Investors Turn to Gold as Tariff Tensions PersistGold is trading near $3,330 on Friday and is on track to record its third consecutive weekly gain. The increase in prices is primarily driven by heightened safe-haven demand, as uncertainty surrounding a potential U.S.-China trade agreement continues to weigh on investor sentiment. Although Chinese officials have publicly denied the continuation of negotiations, President Trump stated that discussions are still in progress. Adding to the cautious outlook, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized that any progress would depend on the reduction of existing tariffs, reinforcing market skepticism about a near-term resolution.
Key resistance is at $3410, followed by $3,500 and $3,600. Support stands at $3315, then $3290 and $3250.
Technical Analysis
Trump Reassures on Trade and FedThe EUR/USD traded near 1.1350 on Friday, while the US Dollar Index rose above 99.5, recovering from earlier losses. The dollar strengthened after President Trump reassured markets that trade talks with China would continue, despite Beijing’s denials. Optimism also grew on reported progress with Japan and South Korea. Earlier, Treasury Secretary Bessent said US-China tariffs must be reduced significantly for real progress, increasing hopes for a deal. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by stating he never planned to remove Fed Chair Powell. Although Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack mentioned a rate cut in June if needed, renewed trade optimism lifted the dollar.
Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.
BOJ Faces Inflation ChallengeThe Japanese yen weakened to around 143 per dollar on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains as the U.S. dollar rebounded on easing global trade tensions. President Trump reassured markets that U.S.-China trade talks are ongoing, despite China’s denial, and optimism over talks with Japan and South Korea also supported the dollar. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by clarifying he never intended to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
In Japan, Tokyo’s core inflation rose to 3.4% in April, the highest in two years, posing a challenge for the Bank of Japan as it balances rising inflation with external risks from U.S. tariffs. The BOJ is expected to keep rates steady.
Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/04/2025Gap down opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 24200 level. 24200-24300 levels are the consolidation zone for the today's session. Strong upside rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24300 level. Any downside only expected below 24200 level. Downside 24000 level will act as a strong support for today's session.
EURCHF: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇭
One more CHF pair that looks strongly bullish to me is EURCHF.
The market successfully broke and closed above a key daily horizontal resistance.
The next strong resistance is 0.948.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD has finally broken out of a well-formed falling wedge pattern on the 12H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained downtrend, price consolidated within the wedge, indicating decreasing bearish momentum. The recent breakout confirms buyer strength and opens the door for a fresh upside swing. The current price sits around 1.072, and based on technical structure and projected pattern targets, we could be heading towards the 1.105 zone.
From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian Dollar is gaining support due to rising commodity demand and hawkish tones from the RBA, hinting at a possibility of sustained higher interest rates. On the other hand, the New Zealand Dollar has been under pressure due to softer-than-expected CPI data and growing speculation that the RBNZ might be done with its tightening cycle. This divergence in central bank stance adds fuel to the AUDNZD bullish narrative. Today’s macro releases show stable Australian employment data and a dip in New Zealand’s retail figures, which further supports the bullish view.
This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio, especially with a clean invalidation below 1.062. If the momentum sustains, price may accelerate quickly toward the 1.105 target. Market participants should also keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) correlations and global risk sentiment, which could amplify volatility across AUD and NZD pairs.
As a professional trader, I’ll be monitoring price action closely near lower timeframes for confirmation entries and managing the trade with dynamic stop-loss adjustments. This breakout is technically clean, fundamentally supported, and strategically aligned with the current macro backdrop – making it a high-probability swing setup worth sharing.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 25, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Procter & Gamble Cuts Outlook Amid Consumer Pullback: P&G shares declined after the company lowered its full-year earnings guidance, citing reduced consumer spending due to economic uncertainty and higher tariffs. CFO Andre Schulten noted significant consumer hesitation, linking it to volatility in mortgage rates and declining stock markets affecting retirement savings.
📊 Durable Goods Orders Surge, Core Spending Stagnant: March durable goods orders jumped 9.2%, driven by a spike in aircraft demand. However, core capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, rose only 0.1%, indicating cautious business investment amid ongoing tariff uncertainties.
🏠 Existing Home Sales Decline Sharply: Existing home sales fell 5.9% in March to an annual rate of 4.02 million units, reflecting affordability challenges associated with high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, April 25:
🗣️ Fed Governor Neel Kashkari Speaks (5:00 PM ET):
Remarks may provide insights into the Federal Reserve's perspective on current economic conditions and monetary policy direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/04/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 24500 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24550 level then possible strong upside rally towards the 24750+ level in opening session. Downside 24300 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Any major downside only expected below 24200 level.
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels.
Current Situation:
The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement.
Potential Bullish Scenario:
A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322.
Conclusion:
The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
NASDAQ Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 19,400 zone, NASDAQ is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 19400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Market Analysis: #BTCUSDT💰 On the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart, a clear symmetrical triangle pattern has formed and already broken down, leading to a confirmed bearish impulse. Price has now returned below the POC level at $93,370.4 (Point of Control by volume), indicating weakness from buyers.
📊 Key Levels
🔴 POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $93,370.4
— This is the highest volume area, now acting as strong resistance. As long as price remains below, short bias is favored.
🔵 Support BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $91,905.5
— A short-term target if the bearish momentum continues.
🎯 Lower Target Zone
— Indicates the full depth of the breakdown move, aiming at the $90,800–$91,000 range.
📈 Volume
➡️ Volume increased during the breakdown, then dropped as price revisited the $93,000 zone — this signals a weak retest and seller control.
📍 Important Notes
➡️ Currently, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading between two key zones — the POC above and the $91,900 support below.
➡️ Failure to break and hold above $93,370 keeps the bearish scenario in play.
➡️ A move below $92,600 will confirm continuation of the downtrend.
📢 Strategy Recommendations:
🚨 SHORT Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Entry: on a retest of $93,000–$93,200 and rejection
Stop Loss: above POC ($93,450)
Targets: $92,100 → $91,900 → $90,800
🚨 Alternative LONG Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P (only if POC is broken):
Entry: after a solid breakout and hold above $93,400 with volume
Target: $94,200–$94,800
Stop Loss: below $93,000
🚨 Conclusion :
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P has completed the triangle pattern and is now in a retest phase. So far, signs still point to bearish continuation, with final confirmation coming from a break below $92,600.
USDCHF: Very Bullish Price Action 🇺🇸🇨🇭
There is a high chance that USDCHF will go up from
the underlined blue support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
Target - 0.83
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
OFSS Weekly | Bullish Harmonic Reversal & RSI Breakout | Short-T📈 Swing Trade Recommendation (Short-Term):
Buy Zone: ₹8,600–₹8,750 (on dips or on strength)
Target 1: ₹9,300 (initial resistance and round number)
Target 2: ₹10,200–₹10,500 (next harmonic resistance zone)
Stoploss: ₹8,050 (below recent swing low)
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Bullish Harmonic Structure forming with strong reversal from "C" to "D".
Volume breakout supports the current leg of momentum.
RSI bullish divergence and breakout confirms potential trend reversal.
For Education purpose only
BANARISUG Weekly | Bullish Breakout from Retracement | Short-Ter📈 Swing Trade Recommendation (Short-Term):
Buy Zone: ₹4,000–₹4,030 (on dips or closing above ₹4,100)
Target 1: ₹4,400 (Fibo 0.786 level)
Target 2: ₹4,750–₹4,800 (swing high near 1.0 Fibo)
Stoploss: ₹3,825 (below 0.5 Fibo support zone)
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Volume surge confirms strong buying interest (see blue arrow).
RSI breakout suggests new momentum leg forming.
0.618 Fib level reclaimed after long consolidation → bullish bias.
for educational purposes only
Gold – Watching Key Resistance for Intraday Sell Plays📌 Gold Surges $80 off Support – Watching Key Resistance for Intraday Sell Plays 📉📈
Gold (XAU/USD) bounced sharply today — surging over 80 points from the support zone near $3,260, swept during the late U.S. session. This strong rebound came as buyers stepped in aggressively after a 250+ point crash earlier in the week.
Now, the market is pulling back from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone, showing early signs of sell-side reaction. If this momentum continues, Asian and London sessions could push price lower to fill liquidity in the untested FVG region near 3,288.
🔁 Intraday Structure & Key Zones
After sweeping both sides of the range (80 up / 40 down), gold is now consolidating between 3,328 – 3,320. With intraday volatility ranging from 80–100 points, today’s focus will be on high-probability reaction zones.
🔴 SELL Bias for Today
Primary Resistance: 3,376 – 3,378
→ This zone is expected to act as the first defense for sellers.
If broken, watch the final resistance at 3,410 — a key structural level.
→ A clean breakout above 3,410 may invalidate the sell setup and shift the bias back to BUY.
🔍 News to Watch
⚠️ Unemployment Claims (U.S.) will be released during the New York session.
→ Given current market sensitivity, expect volatility to spike around this release.
🧭 Today’s Trading Zones
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3,230 – 3,228
SL: 3,224
TP Targets: 3,234 → 3,238 → 3,242 → 3,246 → 3,250 → 3,254 → 3,260
🔻 SELL ZONE #1
Entry: 3,376 – 3,378
SL: 3,382
TP Targets: 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350
🔻 SELL ZONE #2
Entry: 3,408 – 3,410
SL: 3,414
TP Targets: 3,402 → 3,398 → 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 3,382 → 3,375 → 3,370
🛡️ Risk Management Note
The market remains extremely volatile and headline-driven. Stick to your trading plan and always respect TP/SL levels to protect your capital — especially during high-impact news releases.
💬 Are you planning to sell into resistance or wait for a deeper pullback to buy? Share your setups and ideas below! 👇👇👇
JK CEMENT | Strong Volume Breakout | Short-Term Upside in Play📈 Short-Term Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: ₹5,240–₹5,255 (on retest of breakout zone)
Target 1: ₹5,310
Target 2: ₹5,360
Stoploss: ₹5,195 (below the breakout candle wick)
🔍 Technical Insights:
Strong volume surge on breakout above ₹5,220–₹5,230 resistance zone.
RSI comfortably above 60, suggesting sustained strength.
Box breakout pattern typically suggests upward continuation with momentum.
for educational purposes only
C98USDT — Descending Wedge & High R/R ZoneBased on the current structure, BINANCE:C98USDT is moving within a descending wedge , approaching zones that align with early investor positions.
🔍 What I’m seeing:
Potential drop into the range of a previous horizontal channel - marked on the chart.
We've already reached the Strategic Round level; below that is the Seed Round .
Assuming the project isn’t abandoned, it makes sense to expect investor defense in this zone.
From what I observe, there's likely accumulation happening from weak hands - at a discount .
🛡️ Approach:
As I’ve said before - you can’t treat coins like this in isolation .
They should be traded as part of a group of low-liquidity tokens , with proper risk management .
You can’t know in advance which one will “survive” without insider info from the team.
So the key is having a solid strategy and managing your portfolio and risk wisely .
📈 Targets:
Potential breakout targets from the wedge are marked on the chart.
If the market remains weak, I’ve noted a lower zone where consolidation might occur (sideways chop within a horizontal channel).
💭 Opinion:
The market is “paused” and waiting for a catalyst. You can’t rush it.
But zones like the current one on BINANCE:C98USDT seem attractive in terms of risk/reward .
The goal isn’t to guess - it’s to follow a pre-built strategy and stay focused .
📌 As always, this is not financial advice. Just my personal take and observations on the structure.
GBP/USD is Bullish: This Breakout Triggers the UptrendFenzoFx—GBP/USD fell from $1.3435, testing the 50-period simple moving average near $1.3276. The Stochastic Oscillator is nearing the 20 level, suggesting the US dollar is overbought in the short term.
Support lies at $1.3202. The outlook remains bullish while above this level, though a close above $1.3295 is needed to confirm upward momentum. A retest of $1.3435 could follow.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $1.3202 would invalidate the bullish view, potentially extending the decline to $1.3144 or even $1.3030 under sustained selling pressure.
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Can Be Unfolding A Bullish ImpulseBlackRock's Bitcoin ETF with ticker IBIT made a massive rally in 2024, which can be wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse. Despite the recent decline at the beginning of 2025, it's still above 42 invalidation level, and as long as it's above that level, it can be wave 4 correction, so we may still see that 5th wave this year.
The Elliott Wave Principle is a form of technical analysis that identifies patterns in market movements. A bullish impulsive wave is one of the most important and common wave structures in an uptrend. It describes how prices typically move in the direction of the main trend. A bullish impulsive wave consists of five waves labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
Bitcoin Rallies on Stablecoin Optimism and Liquidity BoostMacro:
- The crypto market rebounded as sentiment improved following the US Treasury Secretary's proposal to ease stablecoin regulations, boosting trading volumes and risk appetite.
- On-chain data reflects growing activity. The average bitcoin trade size rose 15% MoM, overall volume jumped, and 78% of supply is now in profit.
- Liquidity support from the increasing M2 money supply in China and the US has further enhanced bitcoin's appeal.
Technical:
- BTCUSD surged to resistance near 94300, aligning with the 100% Fibo Extension, before forming a Doji candle that signals possible correction. The price remains above both EMAs, indicating a bullish shift.
- If the price breaks below 92000, it may leads to a pullback toward the 87000–90000 support zone, near the 23.6%-38.2% Fibo Retracement levels.
- A breakout above 94300 may open the door for a move toward the next resistance around 101400.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness