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Analyzing GOLD: Market Dynamics and Trading strategyThe XAU/USD currency pair, a dynamic interplay between gold and the US dollar, is currently navigating through pronounced market fluctuations. In this comprehensive analysis, we will delve into the intricate interplay of fundamental factors steering the value of XAU/USD. Our focus extends to the looming potential of The Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments, the consequential shifts in the 10-year US Treasury Yield, and the intricate repercussions woven into the fabric of the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine conflicts. Moreover, we will embark on a journey through the undulating terrain of gold price fluctuations, deciphering their nuanced implications for the volatility inherent in this currency pair. As we scrutinize both the fundamental and technical dimensions, our aim is to provide traders with a nuanced understanding of the multifaceted forces currently at play, guiding them toward informed and strategic trading decisions. Join us as we unravel the layers of complexity inherent in the XAU/USD market, offering insights that transcend the surface, into the heart of this captivating financial landscape. Fundamental Analysis Potential Rise in The Fed's Interest Rates The Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, stands at the forefront of XAU/USD trader considerations. Despite maintaining interest rates in the latest meeting, speculation about future rate hikes has introduced uncertainty. A hike in interest rates could diminish gold's allure as a risk-free investment alternative. Gold investors tend to favor assets offering higher yields when interest rates rise. Increasing 10-Year US Treasury Yield The recent upswing in the 10-year US Treasury Yield over the past few months has adversely impacted XAU/USD. Gold, often considered a safe-haven asset, typically experiences decreased demand as bond yields rise. Investors seeking protection tend to shift towards bonds offering higher returns than gold, resulting in a decrease in the value of XAU/USD. Impact of Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine Conflicts Geopolitical uncertainty stemming from the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine conflicts plays a pivotal role in the dynamics of XAU/USD. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold tends to attract attention during periods of uncertainty. Elevated geopolitical tensions increase the demand for gold, contributing to an upsurge in the value of XAU/USD. Gold Price Fluctuations: Implications for XAU/USD The notable fluctuation in gold prices, reaching $1,750 per ounce on September 21, 2023, and subsequently declining to approximately $1,700 per ounce on October 20, 2023, reflects significant market volatility. The dip in gold prices could be attributed to a combination of factors, including expectations of interest rate hikes and a shift in investor preferences towards higher-yielding assets. Technical Analysis Indicator Analysis XAU/USD exhibits overbought signals on the STOCHRSI(14) and MACD(12,26) indicators. However, the elevated volatility serves as a warning for potential market direction changes. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) confirms a bullish trend, instilling confidence in traders. Support and Resistance Levels According to Barchart, current support and resistance levels are as follows: 1st Resistance Point at 1,986.06, Last Price at 1,994.86, 1st Support Level at 1,954.30, 2nd Support Level at 1,934.11, and 3rd Support Level at 1,914.30. These levels serve as crucial guides in planning trading strategies. Trading Strategy The employed trading strategy involves entering positions after the price breaks and retests the breached support and resistance (S&R) levels. The target price is set before the next resistance level or prior to the Fed speech on October 25, 2023, considering potential unforeseen events. Trade Parameters Based on the above analysis, several trade parameters are identified: Entry Point: When the gold price rises and re-test the previous resistance level. Stop Loss: Placed below the nearest support level to safeguard against sharp declines. Target Profit: Before the next resistance level or prior to the Fed speech on October 25, 2023, considering potential unforeseen events Conclusion: This analysis illuminates the intricacies of XAU/USD, emphasizing the intertwined nature of complex fundamental and technical factors. As investors grapple with potential Fed rate hikes, changes in the 10-year US Treasury Yield, and geopolitical conflicts, a comprehensive understanding of risks is essential. The fluctuation in gold prices serves as a vital indicator, highlighting the need for vigilant monitoring of news and Federal Reserve policies. In navigating these volatile market conditions, prudent trading strategies and effective risk management become indispensable for success in trading XAU/USD.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by fardycurry
USDT.D (Full Chart Analysis-Long-Term)Hello Friends. How are you? Hope you always be happy and successful Today I want to talk about USDT.D in another words, I want to talk about the dominance of Tether. the situation is complicated. I want to check this item based on Ichimoku, channel line, and classic pattern. so, let's go into details. based on Ichimoku, the future cloud is getting green(positive) Tenkensen is above Kijunsen and it's a sign to prove us the chart is bullish. based on the Classic pattern, we have an Ascending Triangle. As you know it's a continuation pattern. and I expect this trend to continue. if dominance succeeds in breaking 8.21% and then 8.51%, the next target will be 9.45%. that's a border of a huge dropping in altcoins. if dominance is able to stabilize above 9.45%, everything will be changed and the main target of this movement will be 15% it means that you will see a lower low in all markets. And you should expect it to drop more than you think. it's my favorite theory. I think it will happen soon. let me check based on the channel line in the weekly time frame. As you can see, we are moving in an ascending channel. we had three hits at the top of the channel and four hits at the bottom of the channel. it means that this channel is validated. at this time we are moving around the midline. This move to the top of the channel is expected to be around 15%. If these three conditions occur, everything will be changed. and you can buy for example Bitcoin for around 9800-11500 USD for the first level. and maybe cheaper. sounds great. who doesn't like it? 🙏🙏 Please don’t forget to like 👍, follow ✌️, and share 👌 this analysis with your friends. Thank you so much for your attention and participation 🙏🙏 Sincerely Yours Ho3ein.mnD
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by Sticky-Stock
THE LAST RALLY in The BEAR MARKET RALLY WAVE B TOPThe chart posted tonight is the DIA tracking share we have declined in a three wave decline and from the cycle peak due on july 26/27 into the panic cycle 55 to 62 days down from sept 23 to oct 4 focus on the 25 th of sept we should enjoy a major short squeeze event in the spy dia qqq and smh . I am working on the time spirals as well as the fib time relationships I have labeled the DIA as a diagonal and it should the old record high within or above by 2 % before the WAVE C CRASH see 1998 /1999 fractals to form from the cycle low of oct 13 1998 and oct 13th 2022 a mirror image . The 5 th of the 5 was the top into my dec8th 2021 report .
AMEX:DIA
by wavetimer
When do we sell a symbol? Expiry went fine the 2nd June, it has various bullish remarks at the end, the volume spikes spoke for themselves. Now there is new danger ahead, economy is hanging onto verges of a single man, and typically now the popular opinion is that he shall be left with no other option than greening the signal light and another rally is expected. Many weeks have gone by when Hawkish behaviour hysterically chose the opposite stand than what was popularly spread or wrongly articulated by the media houses. Fund managers are having a gala time because on one switch the retailer accumulate huge lots and their low cost investment earns a fortune and at another switch they sell what is a cheap calculated risk investment for future. TSLA is going to sink yet again and AAPL shall make history.
SP:SPX
by INDEXKING0
US30 TRADE IDEA + PPI%Hi everyone, So here is my analysis for US30 today - as we can see yesterday the CPI% was released and the stats were:Actual: Actual: 0.1% - Expected: 0.2% - Previous: 0.4% - natrually you would say stocks would have a positive reaction to this data, correct? Well indeed it did when the stats were released but it instantly reversed and market closed down lower than expected. I call this move a BULL TRAP - All though there was positive news, based off what the FED has to do to battle inflation as well as talks of a potential recession in the U.S.A. gave reasoning why investors would focus on shorting the market. Same thing today for PPI - I expect a fake breakout up and then a reverse down taking stocks into last weeks range. Nice potential swing trade setup if we get into a good entry. Be cautious today as there is a lot happening - apply proper risk management and don't see this opportunity as a winning lottery ticket, see it as an opportunity to compound on your current wins to grow into an even more profitable trader.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by jaimehucrypto
XAUUSD; PROBABLE DROPDear Traders, It is my pleasure to provide you with an update on the recent market activities of GOLD since the SVB Collapse. There has been a substantial uptrend observed in the market, as the price of GOLD surged from 1809.90 to 1926.04, representing a notable 1,160 pips move. Based on our technical analysis, we anticipate a potential bearish reversal if the 1HTF candle fails to close above the resistance zone at 1921.63 - 1911.73. In this scenario, we expect sellers to push the price towards the downside to fill the gap created at the (1871.65 -1867.17 region) during the previous bullish run, before the continuation of the upward trend. However, if there is a close above the resistance region, we may see a break and retest pattern, followed by a bullish continuation. Happy trading.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Samuel124
Bitcoin Futures Analysis: Potential for a Bullish MoveHello everyone, I am excited to share my first post and my analysis of Bitcoin futures on a daily chart frame. Based on my analysis, I believe that Bitcoin may be on track to fill the gap at 28,740$, however, there are some important factors to consider. One of the key indicators that supports my analysis is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is showing a strong bullish divergence. This suggests that momentum is shifting towards the upside, and that there may be a potential for a bullish move in the near future. Additionally, the 50-day moving average is about to cross over the 200-day moving average, which is another bullish signal. However, it is important to note that if we break below 21,450$, this analysis may no longer be valid. If someone is looking to trade based on this analysis, they should wait for the price to break over 22,700$ before going long. It is also important to keep in mind that the most important resistance level is around 25,000$, as indicated by my white trend line. Overall, based on the technical analysis, I believe that there is a strong potential for a bullish move in Bitcoin, with a target of the unfilled gap at 28,740$. However, traders should always do their own research and make informed decisions based on their risk tolerance and investment goals. I would love to hear your opinions and comments on my analysis. If you found it useful or interesting, feel free to follow my account for future updates and analysis.
CME:BTC1!Long
by IndzheV
SPY Weekly 01/13/2023 Testing TrendOn this Weeklty SPY ETF chart (SP500 Proxy), we see the upper trendline on the bear trend (yes i made it green sorry) is being tested and spiking it again. This has repeatedly resulted in a rejection. CPI came in sorta inline which gave a little boost this week, but bank earnings disappointed when you look in the line items of the reports. This is an inflection point for markets. PE dont support these levels, so I am in the bear camp and do expect to see low 3200-3300 SPX by middle to end of 2023. I have to add that I do find the fact this last rally started before retracing to lower trend, and now looking like a cup (maybe building a C&H?), we need to watch that as well.
AMEX:SPY
by Markets-Sniper
2
Wave Auction Theory & WHY it worksSup, this is the 30th & the last post that concludes all the previous ones, and finally reveals the name how I've called all this - wave auction theory. Well, me as a creator of all this (or more like a mixer, a DJ lol) I think about it more as a theorem, but that's for nerds and geeks to work it out, me I just wanna flexx. If you take a look at all existing market theories their main thing is they all attempt to divide market activity into parts. Patterns, El waves, Wyckoff market states, then what Steidlmayer created (I call it Interval Auction Theory, since he divided market activity in parts by days, weeks, months etc). The main problem with is all these concepts (maybe except the last one) dem are not well defined, and they apply on the fractal market something that the highest resolution of this fractal (raw tick chart) doesn't have. Wave auction theory ain't superimposing any exogenous structures on the market, such as "crowd behaviors", nah, it doesn't guess and predicts anything, it derives the principles and structures from the sequences of fundamental particles of the market - ticks, and it can be used fully on this fundamental resolution. This is the most fundamental principle how you can divide market activity without any subjectivity: waves and levels. Btw, indirectly, we also gain the interval size information by choosing the right resolutions, while interval auction theory disregards sequence of events (read my post about market & volume profiles). Why it all works It's a lil bit recursive kind of thing, you need to read all the statements below multiple times in different order, then your brain will start making the whole picture out of it, and finally things will come together, you'll feel that "snap" in your head. It's the best I can do. * Market is fractal => all the principles propagate through all the resolutions; * Market is a feedback loop, market is ALL of us together, that famous "composite operator" that Wyckoff tried to explain to people around him, that composite operator is All of us - the collective; * Each individual entity in the collective has different voting power = better you operate = better the market = more revenues & capital you have = more voting power you have; * We all have all the same data => we can gain as much information as there is in the data; * Data on every resolution has information where it is, it was, or it will be cheap or expensive, every1 gains it with different degree of precision, but essentially every1 gains the same info because it's the same market & same data; * The only thing that works all the time in all the cases is being an operator (a market maker) aka you buy cheap and sell expensive; * Market making happens on all the resolutions, be it 1 minute or 1 week chart, on the former it might be one dude with 100 shares, on 1W it might be 100k dudes with 100 shares, the collective is always there, even on yearly charts; * More data & information you have, the more question of "what's going to happen in the future" transforms into the question of "what IS happening NOW"; * market works on the principle I call "GTC Naive" (good till cancel Naive forecast), meaning that "the stuff's gonna continue the same way UNTIL there's an event/evidence that'll change it"; We all make the future, how can we not know what we're making ourselves if we have the info and exogenous factors are not numerous and secondary at best, and the system itself is quazi-closed? Still gonna try to analyze log returns? xD Everything is already decided, we've decided all of that ourselves having the same data & same info xdddd All the prophecies are self fulfilling prophecies by definition lmao, they are consequences of sequences of choices made by every1 through all the timeline. While loosing precision we gain generality => are able to understand what IS happening NOW. Not even contra intuitive aye? The good side point of all this is that now you can rewatch Matrix movies (all of dem) and finally understand the dialogs between Neo and The Oracle (the parts her telling him the choice is already made). Coming back to the theme, I share all this because I think that markets are sadly unhealthy, there's ENORMOUS room for liquidity provision for centuries to come on Ks of assets. Better we gonna operate, more clients = more volume will come to the markets => better for all of us. The last several things I wanna share: 1) You can approach designing an automated agent (a bot) by following principle, smth I call "sMATEs framework"; - s: selection of assets that will end up in your masterlist; - M: management - choosing between the most potent timeframes & assets within the assets in masterlist; - A: analytics, seeing what's happening on your chosen data, choosing the signal generation method aka strategy accordingly; - T: trading, generation the actual signals based on the strategy chosen before; - E: execution, processing & fine tuning the actual executions based on the signals; -s: sizing: choosing the quantities based on equity control and what the market can give. The two small Ss are the only levels where you need to use ML. Reinforced learning for sizing based on order book & equity chart of a given agent. Then you can use ML & AI to form the masterlist, based on what you want. Generally you're interested in action or as I say in MEAT (ain't no vegan bruh sorry). 2) Each market has its own main cycle set: set of properly chosen optimal resolutions & time frames & rolling window lengths (no, there's nothing to optimize there & no need in dynamic lengths). I think you can figure it out reading all the posts & studies I've posted lately. I can give a hint: if you want to divide smth, you always try to divide it by 5 first. If you can't by 5, then by 4. If you can't by 4, then by 6. If you can't by 6, then by 3. If you even can't by 3, then by 7. And omg if you can't by 7, then in theory it's by 2, but not on our planet with our modern time system. Look at the 2 centuries of S&P chart in this post and see what I see. 3) If you a coward, or an overconfident prick, or a cheater, or a lier, or a snitch, you wont't succeed. You'll succeed if you're real & legit, in this case it's only a matter of time. From there it seems like my path goes somewhere else, but this is the way, all good TV, was fun. Remember, there's no noise, only the truth
SP:SPXEducation
by gorx1
2
BITCOIN THE MAP Break the green line ... then all in! (with confirmed break out) . road to 100k bitcoin cant dies. to the MOON The live S.C. Corinthians Fan Token price today is $0.351174 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $59,408.80 USD. We update our SCCP to USD price in real-time. S.C. Corinthians Fan Token is down 3.66% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #1351, with a live market cap of $961,454 USD. It has a circulating supply of 2,737,829 SCCP coins and a max. supply of 20,000,000 SCCP coins. If you would like to know where to buy S.C. Corinthians Fan Token at the current rate, the top cryptocurrency exchanges for trading in S.C. Corinthians Fan Token stock are currently MEXC, DigiFinex, and Chiliz. You can find others listed on our crypto exchanges page. The S.C. Corinthians Fan Token allows $SCCP fans to have a tokenized share of influence on club decisions, purchased through the consumer-facing platform, Socios.com, fans can engage in a wide variety of club decisions, for example, choosing a goal celebration song or deciding which MMA fighters should face off and in doing so, earn rewards and money can't buy experiences. Experiences like... having the opportunity to meet and greet with players of their favourite club, receiving VIP treatment at their favourite stadium & much much more. To obtain Fan Tokens, fans must purchase Chiliz (CHZ) Tokens via Socios.com which then can be used to buy $SCCP Fan Tokens. Fan Tokens are initially sold in a Fan Token Offering or FTO. FTOs are the initial sale of Fan Tokens which allows fans to buy the Fan Token at a fixed price. work in a similar way to flash sales and are designed to be a fair way for new partnerships to launch Fan Tokens on the Socios.com platform at a discount. At pre-launch a proportion of the total Fan Token supply is made available to users before being listed on the worlds first tokenised sports and entertainment exchange, Chiliz.net. This enables dedicated fans to gain early access prior to Fan Token launches which will be made accessible to everyone. The growing list of partnerships launching their Fan Tokens on the Socios.com platform include some of the biggest sport organisations in the world from the likes of major European soccer teams FC Barcelona, Paris Saint-Germain, Juventus, AC Milan, Manchester City, MMA giant UFC, NASCAR Roush Fenway Racing, NHL New Jersey Devils, Formula One Aston Martin, and the Argentine Football Association.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TrojanBible
$SAND - The Sandbox Road Map : Beyond Technical Analysis$SAND - THE SANDBOX On a Weekly Chart LONG POSITION -MOMENTUM STRATEGY - SWING 12.11.22 1221H +8 SINGAPORE Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the publisher of this idea and should not be taken as a piece of investment advice. My Published Ideas are not 100% Accurate. Many given factors at a given time can change the forecast. ALERT: Forecast Entries for a BULL SWING. Long-Term Entries Only Smart money wants a REBOOT of 2018 and all is possible for the forecasted entries based on the character of the market Let us see how price action reacts on a DAILY chart to our BOXES. INSTRUCTIONS: HOW TO USE THIS MINIMALIST CHART (Bento Box) "Follow the white rabbit!" Just Follow the TOPS and BOTTOMS of the BOXES as a GUIDE to where the MARKET will take you. If it cannot break a TOP or BOTTOM of a BOX, It signifies a reversal of a trend. TARGET ZONE IDENTIFICATION: The LARGE BOXES (Tops and Bottoms) are MAJOR turning points that will occur sometime in the future. While the SMALL BOXES (Tops and Bottoms) are MINOR turning points. These can be entries to a BUY/ SELL POSITION, EXIT/PARTIAL EXIT/TOP-UP AREAS, as well as Support and resistance levels Also includes the MAXIMUM TARGET EXIT AREA OF VALUE (Conservative) If price action and conditions are right at that given moment. NOTE: 1. That PRICE TARGETS for ENTRY and EXITS are DYNAMIC and can CHANGE from time to time. 2. Created using data on a MONTHLY, WEEKLY & DAILY Analysis of a MARKET'S CHARACTER. 3. My BENTO BOXES are designed for SWING TRADES at the LOWEST or START of a SWING CYCLE. 4. At times I will include a WAY BEYOND PARABOLIC PRICE TARGET, depending on The Character of the Market (CRYPTOS ONLY). 5. DYOR for your Fundamentals, Volume, Chart Patterns, Candlestick Math, FIB COILS ( ABC ), Price Action, FIB LEVELS, Market Dynamics, AB=CD Pattern especially institutional and retailer trading psychology. Hoping that this BENTO BOX CHART ANALYSIS will efficiently help you with your DYOR as we Enter a NEW SWING CYCLE for LONG positions, either short, mid, or long term. Wishing you all The Best Trades and Thank you for your Appreciation and Support of My Work. Many thanks to My 3 Mentors. They are so much of a Blessing that I also wish to share my knowledge. Vive Le Autist!
KRAKEN:SANDUSDLong
by The_Crypto_Samurai