XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW 🚀 XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW TRADING
📊 CPI Results (September)
Core CPI m/m: 0.3% (In line with forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.3%)
CPI m/m: 0.4% (Above forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.2%)
CPI y/y: 2.9% (In line with forecast: 2.9%, previous: 2.7%)
📈 MMFLOW Insight – What This Means for Gold (XAUUSD)
1️⃣ Headline CPI Beat Signals Sticky Inflation
The uptick to 0.4% m/m surprised markets and indicates inflationary pressures are not cooling as much as expected.
This strengthens USD short-term and pushes Treasury yields higher. The initial reaction is selling pressure on gold as traders price in a more hawkish Fed stance.
2️⃣ Core CPI Stability Offers Mixed Sentiment
Core CPI staying flat at 0.3% suggests underlying price pressures remain steady.
This tempers extreme hawkish expectations, leaving room for gold to recover after initial volatility, especially if yields stabilize.
3️⃣ Medium-Term Implications
Despite today’s stronger headline CPI, inflation remains on a downtrend y/y (2.9%), supporting the broader narrative of a Fed pivot in the coming months.
Central banks (esp. PBoC & EM countries) continue to accumulate gold, which underpins long-term bullish bias.
🔑 Technical Reaction Zones (M15/M30)
Resistance: 3,648 – 3,654 (Trendline/React FIB)
Support / Liquidity Zones:
• 3,624.33 – Key Zone Support BUY
• 3,612.54 – CP/React Zone FIB
• 3,599.23 – Major BUY Zone
🛠 Trading Approach After CPI
Expect whipsaw price action: an initial spike lower (USD strength) followed by potential recovery if buyers defend liquidity zones.
SELL Scalp: Only on strong rejection from 3,648–3,654 with tight SL.
BUY Opportunity: Watch for confirmed bounce signals at 3,624 / 3,612 / 3,599.
Stay nimble: CPI-induced volatility can sweep both sides before choosing direction.
✅ Summary
The hotter CPI print adds near-term pressure to gold, but the overall structure and central bank demand remain supportive. Expect liquidity sweeps before a potential bullish continuation.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time execution updates, liquidity setups, and professional market insights during this volatile post-CPI session.
Trading
US30: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 46,091.71 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 46,272.39 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.17361 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SUI | Watching for Key Resistance Flip — Long Setup BuildingDescription:
Sui (SUI) is shaping up for a potential bullish continuation, with price action currently hovering just below a critical resistance zone. A confirmed break and retest of this level could open the door for a strong upside move.
📍 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $3.40 – $3.60
Stop Loss: Just below $3.30
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $4.00 – $4.20
TP2: $5.00 – $5.20
This setup is built around a support-to-resistance flip. If bulls can reclaim the overhead resistance and turn it into a base, it could confirm bullish momentum continuation.
#SUI #Crypto #Altcoins #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,632.97 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,643.34.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 41.351 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 41.269.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
THIS IS THE CYCLE RUN FOR NMR/USDT 2025 --> $30 -$34This update confirms the ongoing cycle of NMR/USDT as well as the secure zone. The trend is expected to continue for several days, and potentially even longer. We are seeing a green signal for this coin, which suggests that a short-term breakout is likely. After the correction, we continued to track this coin in anticipation of the next upward wave
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Bearish Pressure
WTI Crude Oil is under a strong bearish pressure after
US CPI release today.
A bearish breakout of a support line of a flag pattern
in a clear intraday downtrend on a 4H time frame leaves
a strong confirmation.
I think that the price will reach 62.0 level soon.
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GBPCHF Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPCHF is below:
The market is trading on 1.0803 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0779
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3635.2 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3624.7
Safe Stop Loss - 3641.7
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF – Liquidity Sweep + FVG Entry (Counter-Trend Long to PDH)Idea:
Price swept previous day’s low (PDL), tapping into an Extreme Daily POI.
We then saw a CHOCH on LTF, confirming rejection.
A clean 5M FVG entry formed, giving a precise long setup.
Bias: Intraday bullish (HTF still bearish).
Entry: 5M FVG inside Daily POI.
SL: Below swept low.
TP1: 2R (partial exit).
TP2: Previous Day High (PDH liquidity magnet).
Notes:
This is a buy-to-sell setup — valid for intraday longs up into PDH, but watch for shorts if HTF structure rejects at PDH.
Bitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPIBitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPI
Hello Traders,
The current picture for Bitcoin is unfolding broadly in line with expectations, with the uptrend continuing to build momentum. Price movements are backed by solid volume, and the overall structure is developing as anticipated.
Key Levels
The price has cleared the 113k area, confirming that the bullish trend remains intact. This strengthens the probability of completing the final leg of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
The next area to monitor is around 116k, where a modest reaction or short-term pullback could occur before the trend resumes towards the 121k region.
Close attention should be paid to the 117k level, as this represents the potential completion of the inverse head-and-shoulders structure. At this point, price may consolidate before establishing a fresh primary trend.
Trading View
For the moment, it remains important to follow the prevailing uptrend. Any shift in market structure will call for re-assessment, with updated strategies to be applied only once clear confirmation emerges.
This is my latest outlook on Bitcoin ahead of the PPI release. I trust this perspective will assist in shaping your trading approach.
#023: GBP/NZD LONG Investment Opportunity
The market for this pair is showing interesting behavior. After a period of weakness, prices are moving into a key support area, where institutions often begin to accumulate positions. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, an independent trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time.
In these areas, retail momentum tends to be uncovered: many retail traders are still positioned against the trend or looking for a bearish breakout. This creates the perfect environment for potential institutional manipulation and subsequent price recovery.
📌 My LONG logic is based on two fundamental points:
Structural support: we are at a level that has already generated significant rebounds in the past.
Relative strength: the pound maintains resilience against the New Zealand dollar, especially on higher timeframes.
The plan remains simple: wait for confirmation that support holds and that the market shows a willingness to rebound higher.
US Federal Reserve Policy & Global Interest RatesPart I: The Role of the Federal Reserve
1. Origin and Mandate
The Federal Reserve was created in 1913 to stabilize the U.S. financial system after frequent banking crises. Today, its core mandate, often referred to as the dual mandate, is:
To maintain price stability (control inflation).
To achieve maximum employment.
Unlike some central banks (e.g., ECB, which focuses mainly on inflation), the Fed balances growth and stability.
2. Policy Tools
The Fed has three primary tools:
Federal Funds Rate (FFR): The short-term interest rate at which banks lend to each other. Adjustments to the FFR ripple through the economy, affecting borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans, and corporate credit.
Open Market Operations (OMO): Buying or selling government securities to manage liquidity in the financial system.
Reserve Requirements: Minimum reserves banks must hold (rarely changed now).
Since the 2008 financial crisis, new unconventional tools have been added:
Quantitative Easing (QE): Large-scale bond purchases to inject liquidity and lower long-term interest rates.
Forward Guidance: Communicating future policy intentions to shape market expectations.
Part II: How Fed Policy Shapes Global Interest Rates
1. The Dollar’s Dominance
The U.S. dollar is used in over 85% of global foreign exchange transactions and is the world’s leading reserve currency. This means when the Fed changes rates, it directly impacts the global cost of capital.
2. Capital Flows and Emerging Markets
When U.S. interest rates are low, investors look abroad for higher yields, often pouring money into emerging markets (India, Brazil, Indonesia, etc.). When the Fed raises rates, capital tends to flow back into the U.S., pressuring emerging market currencies and raising borrowing costs.
Example: The 2013 Taper Tantrum, when the Fed hinted at reducing QE, triggered massive outflows from emerging markets, weakening their currencies and forcing many to raise domestic interest rates to protect stability.
3. Global Bond Yields
U.S. Treasury bonds are the global benchmark for “risk-free” assets. If U.S. yields rise (due to Fed tightening), global bond yields also tend to rise as investors demand comparable returns. This impacts corporate debt, mortgages, and sovereign bonds worldwide.
4. Exchange Rates and Trade
Higher U.S. rates make the dollar stronger. This hurts exporters in countries like Japan, South Korea, and India (whose currencies weaken), but helps U.S. consumers by making imports cheaper.
Part III: Historical Case Studies
1. The Volcker Era (1979–1987)
Paul Volcker, then Fed Chairman, famously raised interest rates to nearly 20% to combat runaway inflation. This caused a U.S. recession but restored price stability. Globally, developing nations faced debt crises because their dollar-denominated loans became unpayable at higher rates.
2. Dot-Com Bubble and 2001 Recession
After the dot-com crash, the Fed cut rates sharply to support the economy. Low global interest rates encouraged borrowing and fueled asset bubbles in housing markets around the world.
3. 2008 Global Financial Crisis
The Fed slashed rates to near zero and launched QE. This flooded the world with cheap liquidity, boosting global markets but also encouraging excessive risk-taking in emerging economies.
4. 2013 Taper Tantrum
When the Fed signaled an end to QE, global markets panicked. Emerging market currencies crashed, and many central banks had to raise interest rates defensively.
5. COVID-19 Pandemic (2020–2022)
The Fed again cut rates to zero and launched massive QE, injecting trillions into the system. This stabilized markets but also fueled inflation globally.
6. Inflation and Rate Hikes (2022–2024)
As inflation surged to multi-decade highs, the Fed raised rates aggressively from near zero to over 5%. This had global consequences:
Borrowing costs rose worldwide.
Currencies like the Indian Rupee and Japanese Yen weakened.
Dollar-denominated debt in developing nations became more expensive.
Part IV: Global Interdependence of Interest Rates
1. Major Central Banks and Fed Influence
ECB (Eurozone): Often follows Fed moves but balances inflation with fragile growth in southern Europe.
BoJ (Japan): Maintains ultra-low rates due to deflationary pressures, but Fed hikes force it to intervene to protect the yen.
PBoC (China): Sets its own path but faces currency depreciation when the Fed tightens.
RBI (India): Often compelled to adjust policy to stabilize the rupee and control imported inflation when Fed acts.
2. Interest Rate Differentials
Investors exploit differences between U.S. and global rates through carry trades (borrowing in low-yielding currencies like yen, investing in higher-yielding assets). Fed policy shifts can reverse these flows quickly, destabilizing markets.
3. Debt Vulnerability
Many emerging nations borrow in U.S. dollars. When Fed hikes occur:
Dollar strengthens.
Debt servicing costs rise.
Sovereign default risks increase (e.g., Sri Lanka in 2022).
Part V: Current Global Dynamics (2024–2025 Context)
High U.S. Rates: As of 2025, Fed policy remains restrictive, keeping rates elevated to ensure inflation is under control.
Divergence Across Economies:
U.S. and Europe are tightening.
Japan is only slowly exiting negative interest rates.
Emerging markets are balancing between growth and inflation pressures.
Global Debt Stress: Record-high global debt (over $300 trillion) makes the world highly sensitive to Fed policy.
Dollar Liquidity Premium: With global uncertainty, investors continue to seek U.S. assets, reinforcing the Fed’s influence.
Part VI: Risks and Challenges
1. Inflation vs. Recession
The Fed’s challenge is to cool inflation without causing a deep recession. If it overtightens, global growth suffers.
2. Currency Wars
Countries may intervene in foreign exchange markets to protect competitiveness when the dollar strengthens.
3. Financial Stability
High rates can trigger bank collapses (as seen in Silicon Valley Bank 2023) and strain weaker economies.
4. Geopolitical Factors
Wars, trade tensions, and energy crises interact with Fed policy, complicating interest rate alignment globally.
Conclusion
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s policies are the anchor of the global financial system. Whether through rate hikes, cuts, or balance sheet operations, Fed decisions ripple across borders, influencing global interest rates, capital flows, exchange rates, and debt sustainability.
History shows that when the Fed tightens, global borrowing costs rise and emerging markets feel the pinch. When it loosens, liquidity floods the world, sometimes fueling bubbles.
As of 2025, the Fed’s balancing act between inflation control and economic stability continues to define the trajectory of global interest rates. For investors, policymakers, and businesses worldwide, keeping a close eye on the Fed is not optional—it is essential.
US30 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 45,509.9
Target Level: 43,969.8
Stop Loss: 46,527.7
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.527
Target Level: 0.524
Stop Loss: 0.530
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDCHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on NZD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.471 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/NZD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/NZD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.111.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 114,261.88.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 115,993.92.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.169.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.163 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.352.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.365 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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