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GCT - POTENTIAL 52-WEEK HIGHGCT - Current Price 31.10 - 31.20
GCT is in a healthy UPTREND because :
Price is above 50- and 200-days EMA.
A Golden Cross was formed recently, where the 50 EMA crossed above the 200 EMA (look at the blue circle).
RSI (45-period) has remained above 50 level since May 2025, showing consistent momentum buildup and buyers’ dominance.
Price is now approaching the 52-week high resistance at 34.50. A breakout above this level could trigger momentum toward the next target of 38.00 based on Fibonacci extension.
ENTRY PRICE : 30.00 - 31.20
TARGET : 34.00 and 38.00
SUPPORT : 27.50 (The low of 09 SEPTEMBER 2025 bullish white candlestick)
Notes : 1st target at 34.00 is slightly below the actual 52-week high resistance level of 34.50.
Dovish Spells or Hawkish Surprises? FOMC Prep for ES, NQ, GCLet’s start with the biggest event this week. Unless, of course, some unexpected headline swoops in and steals the spotlight — because markets love a good plot twist.
Emotions are running high, and volatility is flying around like confetti at a surprise party nobody asked for. But don’t worry, Chair Powell might just play the role of the calm voice in the chaos.
Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed this week. Interestingly, the future path of rate cut expectations has been in the doldrums. Is it a bird or a plane? No, it’s Superman. Likewise here, is it 1 cut or 2 cuts? No, it’s 3 cuts priced at this moment until the end of 2025.
Excuse the humor, but what fun is it if you cannot entertain yourself while analyzing the complexities of markets day in and day out. Execution is boring; risk management is much like dementors sucking out life force when risk is not respected. And analyzing and preparation is where the creativity and fun is.
And as Kurt Angle would say, it is “ True ”.
Index futures including ES futures and NQ futures have all climbed steadily higher since September 2 low. Markets are turning higher in anticipation of a new bull run.
Gold futures are rallying, currently trading above $3700. Since the Jackson Hole dovish pivot, gold has not looked back and has rocketed higher above major resistance.
Our focus is on the Fed meeting. All eyes will be on the forward guidance; risks to inflation, risks for the labor market and FED’s SEP (Summary of Economic Projections). This also includes GDP forecasts and the most anticipated Dot Plot.
Which of the two mandates will the Fed prioritize, labor market weakness or sticky inflation? The interesting thing to note is that despite sticky inflation, markets are anticipating 3 cuts of 25 bps for each of the meetings this year.
Thus far, as we have previously mentioned, the Fed will likely be moving away from their 2% inflation target to an average inflation target in the range of 2% to 3%.
This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal less inflation are going to fall sharply lower.
Given this, we anticipate gold to continue higher as the US Dollar's purchasing power erodes away, with mounting debt, higher inflation and falling real yields.
The real question we should be asking is:
What if the meeting outcome is hawkish with the Fed delivering just 1 cut in the September meeting and staying on hold for the remainder of the year?
What other risks are there that could pull stocks and indexes lower? And bonds higher?
Tariffs at this point seem like an old talk unless something reinvigorates and puts them on the front and center of market worries.
Based on these thoughts, here are our scenarios:
Base Case:
25 bps cuts and dovish guidance but iterates meeting by meeting approach.
ES & NQ:
Data dependent Fed, that is likely behind the curve and markets may translate this as Fed too slow to react to emerging risks, risks of recession goes higher. In this case, although stocks may push higher with rates coming down initially, in our view, much of this is priced in and this may be ‘sell the fact moment’.
Portfolio adjustment: Sell index futures, Buy Gold and Bonds.
Ultra-Dovish:
Fed’s dot plot confirms 2 additional rate cuts of 25 bps for Oct and Dec meeting and further 4 cuts till end of 2026 to bring terminal rate lower to 250-275.
USD weakens further, real rates sink, reinforcing gold bid.
Portfolio adjustment: Buy everything. Buy the dip.
Hawkish Surprise
Only 25 bps in September, then pause
ES & NQ:
• Sharp pullback as equities reprice for tighter liquidity.
• ES could retrace recent gains, downside risk toward 4,900–5,000 zone.
• NQ likely hit harder due to tech sensitivity to discount rate.
GC:
• Short-term correction as USD firms and yields spike.
• However, downside may be limited if market shifts focus back to debt & long-term inflation risks.
Risk-Off External Shock- Geopolitical event, tariffs
ES & NQ:
• Drop as risk sentiment sours; defensives outperform growth.
• Bonds rally, yields fall, curve steepens if Fed cut expectations accelerate.
GC:
• Strong safe-haven bid, spikes higher regardless of Fed stance.
Comment with your thoughts and let us know how you see the markets shaping up this week
Market opens Llower as Ethereum holds steady; Analysts eye $5,00Market opens Llower as Ethereum holds steady; Analysts eye $5,000
The market opened lower on Tuesday, with Ethereum trading around $4,500. While bears are applying pressure ahead of a potential rate cut, ETH remains relatively stable compared to more volatile altcoins.
Recent analysis indicates a significant cooling in Ethereum trading activity. The market has entered a neutral but nervous phase, characterized by a decline in perpetual futures trading—suggesting reduced leveraged speculation and a shift toward more organic spot trading. However, spot market volumes have also failed to impress, consistently staying low and reflecting limited investor participation.
This combination points to a indecisive market. Ethereum has managed to maintain a moderate upward trend but lacks strong bullish momentum, leaving it in a semi-bullish range.
Analysts suggest that a clear break above the key psychological level of $5,000 is crucial to avoid sideways movement and could trigger a rally toward $6,000 by year-end.
In institutional news, Standard Chartered’s venture arm, SC Ventures, is planning to launch a $250 million crypto-focused investment fund in 2026. The fund will target digital assets in financial services and signals growing institutional interest. The bank is also launching a separate $100 million Africa investment fund.
Weather vs. Supply: Nat-Gas prices rallyWeather vs. Supply: Nat-Gas prices rally
Natural gas prices surged in mid-October, driven primarily by forecasts for hotter-than-average US weather, which was expected to boost demand for cooling and electricity generation. Supporting this bullish sentiment, data showed US electricity output had increased year-over-year.
However, these gains were tempered by bearish fundamentals. US natural gas storage levels rose more than expected and remained above the five-year average, indicating ample supply. Furthermore, the number of active gas rigs held steady, remaining below their recent peak, while European gas storage levels were also below their seasonal average.
Nike 1W - Just buy it?Nike is showing signs of a reversal after a prolonged downtrend, holding the key buy zone at 69.52, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibo retracement. The breakout of the descending channel adds weight to a structural shift, with the first target seen around 97.63, where the 1.618 Fibo extension and a major resistance zone converge. A successful breakout above this level would open the path toward 125.73, coinciding with the MA200 and a significant volume cluster. While the MA50 still hovers under price, suggesting caution in the short term, the overall structure points toward a bullish scenario.
Fundamentally , Nike remains solid, supported by recovering consumer demand and cost optimization, while its strong brand and institutional interest create a backdrop for sustained growth.
The tactical outlook favors a bullish continuation as long as price holds above the 69.5 zone, with upside targets at 97.6 and 125.7.
If buyers manage to maintain momentum, the market might just rewrite Nike’s slogan: “Just buy it.”
Lucid: post-split impulse and a chance for a new rangeLucid stock has absorbed the post-split selloff and is now showing signs of recovery. On the daily chart, price has moved out of the descending channel and consolidated above 19.50. The bullish scenario points to a first target at 27.00, where strong resistance is located. A breakout there could pave the way toward 48.00–49.00, marking a potential mid-term trend reversal.
EMAs are starting to turn upward, while volume is picking up, signaling increased buying interest. The key support lies in the 18.00–19.00 zone. As long as this area holds, the bullish case remains valid.
From a fundamental perspective, Lucid benefits from strong EV sector demand and continued backing from major investors in Saudi Arabia. Production challenges and high costs remain risks, but overall EV market growth provides optimism.
AAVE has formed a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern 📊 CRYPTOCAP:AAVE Market Update
CRYPTOCAP:AAVE has formed a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern 🦅
👉 Price already broke down the black neckline ⚠️
👉 Until $310 is broken to the upside, AAVE is not bullish yet.
⚡ Stay cautious — manage risk before entering.
Goldman Sachs - Too Cheap to Ignore?NYSE:GS and the general financial services sector as a whole has faced extreme trauma over this past month. However, one that particularly stands out is the "bad guy" of the industry who has taken the equivalent to a roundhouse kick to the face, and the chart shows it. But does this mean that someone looking for a dip shouldn't pick up strong equity on a discount? I say no, lets be greedy while other are fearful just like that one guy said. Warren something... I don't really remember his name.
Let's examine the numbers before we do the finance equivalent of astrology. This means that value investing and it's rather elementary techniques are going to give us some sort of indicator of a buy or a sell. Here's what you need to know.
1. Sachs has an attractive dividend yield of 2.14% ($11.50/share) and a gleaming dividend payout ratio (DPR) of 21.50%.
2. It is far from its high annual EPS sitting at 41.21 sliding from its high last December at 60.35.
3. It's price to earnings ratio (PE) is lounging nicely at 14.00 meaning we are at a generally cheap share price. This metric is what we're looking for.
4. Unfortunately, it has a rather higher price to book ratio (PB) at 1.64 which somewhat contradicts the PE ratio examined in #3.
5. Other metrics to keep in mind is an EV/EBITDA at 53.90 and a PEG at 16.23 which are both considered undesirable to investors.
So as far as statistics are concerned, Goldman is sending some mixed signals making a decision difficult at the moment. This means we're going to have to examine the general sector sentiment and general outlook.
Firstly, I'd like to point out Goldman's enterprise value. Sachs' EV is currently reported at 855.93 billion, 673 billion (78.63%) being debt (long term or short). This means NYSE:GS is a debt heavy company and we all know how debt works (the entity taking on the debt owes principal + interest). Well, this means that NYSE:GS is heavily going to be influenced by interest rates even considering their strong revenue. So, if we plan on interest rates being lowered long term (which I'm sure we all do), Goldman will be able to borrow from the Fed at a cheaper interest price while simultaneously owing account holders and bond holders less in interest (or APY yield for that matter). However, in the event that inflation runs wild and the Fed raises rates, NYSE:GS will face some turmoil along with the other commercial investment banks.
Great, so now for the fun part. Let's see what the charts have to say about this and what it could be implying.
Here is the 4H chart looking back into last October.
As you can see, Goldman posted a sweet rally followed by our current pullback. However, we are being flashed with various bullish technical patterns and a strong explanation for the drop (even considering the tariffs threats and indices pullback). In summary, we are examining a stock in gradual freefall towards what appears to be several safety nets.
On a psychological level, I find that most investors in the business of "smart money" wont let Goldman drop too low before they put their boot down. I also imagine this will happen pretty soon, but we need to hold the $540 price level.
As far as the MACD is concerned, we are experiencing weakness from the buyers are the bears are clearly on offense.
And lastly, the GS implied volatility shows that options traders aren't pricing in anything particularly unusual, and the most usual movement for the market is to climb higher so that's good news.
So, what's the conclusion. In my humble opinion, I believe that Goldman Sachs' stock is trading too low to not buy. Financially, the company is not showing anything particularly concerning and may just need to show some strength before the mass cash chases this play. As of right now, I am long on NYSE:GS considering the financial statistics, general industry sentiment, and technical analysis which was used as an assistance tool. This trade could be last anywhere from 1 day to 1 year, but I am prepared to hold for much longer.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #177👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into Bitcoin analysis, today’s analysis will be on the 1-hour timeframe since Bitcoin is in a corrective phase, and we’ll look at what triggers we can have for trading today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
After reaching the 116,619 level, the market entered a ranging phase and spent Saturday and Sunday consolidating below this level.
📊 Earlier today, before the London session, Bitcoin was rejected from 116,619, starting a bearish move with strong momentum and high volume, pushing price down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level for a correction.
⭐ If price finds support here, we can say the uptrend is still strong since it bounced from the first available support zone and started moving upward. In this case, a breakout above 116,619 would be a good long position entry.
🔍 But if the correction continues, the next support levels to watch are 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels.
✔️ The area between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements forms a critical PRZ, and if price moves lower, this is one of the areas with a high probability of seeing a reaction.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Gold pulls back ahead of Fed decisionGold pulls back ahead of Fed decision
Gold slipped below $3,645 as markets await a Fed rate cut. Profit-taking and a stronger dollar weigh on XAUUSD.
Traders expect a 0.25% cut, if the Fed signals further cuts, gold could regain momentum, while a cautious stance may limit gains.
Traders should also watch U.S. retail sales and industrial production data , along with U.S.–China developments, as both will directly impact the dollar and XAUUSD
TradeCity Pro | AERO Testing Key Support on Curved Uptrend👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review the AERO coin for you. It is one of the largest crypto DEX platforms that mainly operates in China Base and currently ranks 77th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $1.05 billion.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, we see an uptrend that has been moving sharply upward along a curved trendline.
⚡️ The main resistance for AERO is the 1.5 zone, which I have marked on the chart.
✔️ Price has touched this area once and has now returned to its trendline, forming a minor top at 1.278. If it gets rejected from this level and triggers 1.082, this level will turn into a major top.
🔍 Currently, the 1.082 level is a very good trigger for a short position. Breaking this level confirms the trendline break and could start a large corrective wave toward the next support zone.
✨ However, if the price forms a range box between 1.082 and 1.278, we can open an early long position after the breakout of 1.278. The main trigger for a long position or even a spot buy will be the breakout of the 1.5 zone.
📊 A positive sign for the uptrend is that volume has increased well during bullish waves and decreased during corrections. This indicates strong buyer momentum and is a bullish signal for the trend.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Futures steady ahead of Fed cutFutures steady ahead of Fed cut
U.S. stock futures held flat on August 15 ahead of the Sept. 17–18 Fed meeting, where a 25-bps cut is widely expected. Markets price about 70 bps of easing by year-end, though Powell may highlight inflation risks to temper dovish bets. Retail sales Tuesday will be the last key data before the decision.
Global markets were subdued: oil ticked higher on Ukraine-Russia tensions, the dollar eased, and Asian stocks firmed with South Korea’s Kospi hitting records. The Bank of Canada may also cut this week, while the BoE and BoJ are likely to stay on hold.
Traders are watching today’s Empire State manufacturing survey (8:30 AM EDT), the Senate vote on Fed nominee Stephen Miran, speeches from ECB’s Lagarde and Schnabel, and EU Council President Costa’s visit to Cyprus ahead of its 2026 presidency.
Bitcoin — resistance test and growth targetsBitcoin is trading near the 115,000 zone, facing key resistance at the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci levels. A breakout above 116,900 would pave the way toward the next target at 125,000. In case of a pullback, support lies at 112,000 and 110,000, with deeper support near 104,000.
From a fundamental perspective, cryptocurrencies remain supported by institutional inflows and the demand for digital assets as an inflation hedge. Growth potential persists as long as equity markets show strength and the US dollar remains under pressure.
A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.
IONQ — trend breakout and growth potentialIonQ shares have consolidated above the 47–50 zone and successfully broke the trendline, opening the way for further upside. The first target is set around 120, and if buying pressure continues, the price could extend toward 200. Key support levels are at 47–48 and 36, providing attractive accumulation zones.
From a fundamental perspective, the quantum computing sector is gaining momentum, and IonQ remains one of its leading players. Increasing demand for innovative technologies may support the continuation of the bullish trend in the medium term.
A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.