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USDCAD - From Sellers to BuyersLast week, the focus was clear: price was trading inside the orange supply zone, and that was a clean area to look for shorts. Sellers did their job perfectly there. Fast forward to now, and the context has changed. USDCAD has pushed lower and is retesting a strong demand zone, an area where buyers have previously stepped in. As long as this demand holds, the bias shifts again, this time toward looking for longs, not chasing, but waiting for price to show rejection. Let price confirm… then react📈 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
3
USDJPY - Where Trends Like to Reload!USDJPY remains overall bullish, and this pullback is doing exactly what strong trends usually do. Price is now approaching a key confluence: the rising trendline lining up perfectly with a former support zone. As long as this trendline + support intersection holds, I’ll be looking for trend-following longs, not counter-trend trades. 🐂 A clean reaction here keeps the bullish structure intact and opens the door for continuation toward higher levels. If support fails, the idea is invalid. Until then, the trend gets the benefit of the doubt. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
BTCUSD H4 — Range Compression After Selloff, Bullish Path On the Bitcoin H4 chart, price has completed a sharp impulsive markdown from the prior distribution area and is now stabilizing between a clearly defined demand zone below and an overhead resistance zone around the 89.5k–90.5k region. The reaction from demand was strong enough to stop the selloff, but structurally the market is still in repair mode, printing overlapping candles and lower highs beneath resistance a classic post-impulse consolidation, not yet a trend reversal. For a bullish continuation, BTC must first hold above the demand zone, then break and accept above the local resistance, which would open the path toward the premium resistance/target zone near 95k as projected. That upside scenario implies absorption of supply and a successful range expansion. However, failure to reclaim resistance and a breakdown back below demand would invalidate the bullish path and signal continuation of the broader corrective structure. Key point: this is a transition phase confirmation comes only with acceptance, not anticipation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
Silver & the $100 MagnetFrom a long-term perspective, Silver remains clearly bullish, holding well above the blue rising trendline. Zooming in, the short-term structure is just as clean. XAGUSD is trading inside a rising red channel, respecting both its upper and lower bounds with precision. As long as this red channel continues to hold, my focus stays on trend-following long setups. The natural target remains the upper bound of the channel, which aligns perfectly with the $100 level, a round number that has been acting like a magnet for price. What do you think? Does Silver tap $100 again before any deeper correction? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
TICKMILL:XAGUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
7
EURGBP - It is just a correction for nowEURGBP has been bearish, trading cleanly inside a falling red channel. After the recent bounce, price is now retesting the upper bound of that channel, and more importantly, this area lines up with a clear red structure zone. This kind of confluence is exactly where corrective rallies tend to run out of steam. As long as price remains capped below the channel resistance, the bias stays simple: 👉 Look for trend-following shorts, in line with the broader bearish structure. A clean rejection from this zone would confirm that sellers are still in control. Only a strong breakout above the channel would force a reassessment. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
5
AUDCHF - Pullback Into Structure, Watching the ReactionAUDCHF remains overall bullish, trading cleanly inside the rising blue channel. After the recent push higher, price is now pulling back into a very interesting area. We’re approaching the intersection of the demand zone and the lower blue trendline. This is exactly the kind of confluence I like to see in a trending market. As long as this intersection holds and price respects the lower boundary of the channel, I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, with confirmation coming from lower timeframes. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
USDCHF - Let the Market Come to YouUSDCHF remains overall bullish, and price is now doing exactly what we want to see in a healthy trend. We’re currently retesting a key intersection: – the lower blue trendline – and the green structure support As long as this intersection holds, my focus stays on trend-following long setups. I want to see buyers step in again from here and defend structure before considering any entries. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
USDCAD - Back Into Supply, Sellers Watching CloselyUSDCAD is now hovering around a clear resistance and supply zone. This area has already proven itself in the past, and price is once again reacting to it. As long as this zone holds, the bias remains to the downside, and we’ll be looking for short setups, ideally confirmed on lower timeframes. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
15
EURUSD Is Stalling at Supply — Distribution Pressure Is Quietly On the EURUSD H1 chart, price has completed a sharp impulsive rally and is now stalling directly inside a well-defined resistance zone, where upside momentum has clearly weakened. After the vertical push, the market failed to extend higher and instead transitioned into a tight sideways range, signaling acceptance rather than continuation. Candles inside this zone are overlapping, with repeated rejections near the upper boundary a classic sign of distribution, not consolidation for another leg up. Structurally, this sideways behavior after an impulse suggests buyers are losing control, while sellers are gradually absorbing liquidity at premium prices. As long as price remains capped below resistance, the bias favors a range breakdown scenario. A clean loss of the lower boundary of the sideways zone would likely trigger a controlled bearish expansion, targeting the next liquidity pocket below, followed by a deeper continuation toward the lower demand region where profit-taking becomes logical. This is no longer a breakout environment. EURUSD is in a sell-high, patience-required phase. Failure to reclaim and hold above resistance keeps the path of least resistance to the downside, with rallies into the zone serving as opportunities for distribution rather than continuation.
by Mathew_TraderGold
Natural Gas – Trend Shift in Progress?After being bearish bearish for a while, Natural Gas has broken out of the descending red trendline, signaling a clear shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. What stands out here is how price reacted after the breakout. Instead of selling off again, it held above the recent support zone and started building higher structure. As long as this new bullish structure holds, the bias remains to the upside, with room for continuation toward higher levels. Any pullbacks that stay above support are, for me, opportunities to watch. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by TheSignalyst
10
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam Plan Macro tailwinds remain, but price is extended | Trade reactions, not emotions Quick summary Gold remains supported by a strong macro backdrop: 📌 Fed hold probability in January: 95% → USD/yields capped. 📌 Geopolitical tension (Kremlin praising Trump over Greenland, NATO cracks) adds safe-haven demand. Technically, price has pushed aggressively into upper expansion territory. At this stage, the edge is reaction trading at key levels, not chasing strength. Macro context (why volatility stays elevated) With the Fed very likely holding rates in January, markets are highly sensitive to USD and yield shifts. Rising geopolitical noise keeps gold bid, but also increases the risk of headline-driven spikes and liquidity sweeps. ➡️ Conclusion: directional bias is secondary to execution quality. Trade levels + confirmation only. Technical view (H4 – based on the chart) Gold is trading inside a rising channel, currently extended toward the upper Fibonacci expansion. Key levels to focus on: ✅ Major sell Fibonacci / wave top: 4950 – 4960 ✅ Sell wave B / reaction zone: 4825 – 4835 ✅ Buy entry / structure support: 4730 – 4740 ✅ Sell-side liquidity: 4520 – 4550 (below structure) Price is stretched above the mid-channel — conditions where pullbacks and rotations are statistically more likely than clean continuation. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – reaction trading) A. SELL at Fibonacci extension (primary idea) ✅ Sell zone: 4950 – 4960 SL: above the high / fib extension TP1: 4830 TP2: 4740 TP3: 4550 (if momentum accelerates) Logic: This is an exhaustion area aligned with wave completion and fib extension — ideal for profit-taking and mean rotation, not trend chasing. B. SELL wave B reaction ✅ Sell: 4825 – 4835 Condition: clear rejection / bearish structure on M15–H1 TP: 4740 → 4550 Logic: Classic corrective wave zone. Good for tactical shorts within a broader volatile structure. 2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – only on reaction) BUY at structural support ✅ Buy zone: 4730 – 4740 Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on lower TF) TP: 4825 → 4950 (scale out) Logic: This is a key flip zone inside the rising channel. BUY only if price proves acceptance — no blind dip buying. Key notes (risk control) Market is extended → expect fake breaks and sharp pullbacks. Avoid mid-range entries between levels. Reduce size during geopolitical headlines. Confirmation > prediction. What’s your play: selling the 4950 fib extension, or waiting for a clean reaction at 4730–4740 before reassessing? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
6
Bitcoin Breakdown Complete: Accumulation or Just a BounceOn the BTCUSD H1 timeframe, price action has officially shifted into a post-breakdown environment, and the structure on this chart is very clear from a professional market-structure perspective. Bitcoin previously spent a significant amount of time rotating inside a tight accumulation/balance range around 93,000 – 93,500, with price holding above the EMA 89. However, that range was distribution, not accumulation. The decisive bearish impulse candle sliced cleanly through the range, the EMA, and prior intraday support confirming acceptance below value, not a fake break. After the breakdown, price attempted to stabilize briefly, but sellers maintained control and forced continuation lower. This behavior tells us two things: 1. Buyers failed to defend the range, and 2. The market is now actively searching for real demand, not resting. The current move into the 91,800 – 90,800 support zone is structurally logical. This zone aligns with a prior demand base and represents the first area where responsive buyers may step in. The green projected path on the chart reflects a technical rebound scenario, but it should be viewed strictly as a corrective reaction, not trend continuation. As long as price remains below the broken accumulation range (~93,000), any upside move is classified as a lower-high pullback within a bearish intraday structure. A clean reclaim and acceptance back above that range would be required to shift bias bullish again. Until then, rallies are vulnerable to selling pressure. This is not a dip-buy environment yet, it is a range failure followed by a liquidity run. If price reacts strongly from the support zone, short-term bounces are tradable. But structurally, Bitcoin remains weak below value, and patience is required to see whether this support produces real accumulation or simply fuels the next leg down. Smart traders wait for confirmation not hope.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BlackGoldMarket
ETH Liquidity Sweep Complete: Accumulation or Trap On the ETHUSD H1 timeframe, the market has just completed a clean liquidity sweep below value, and the structure now transitions into a very sensitive decision zone. Ethereum previously traded inside a high-volume liquidity range around 3,280 – 3,350, where price repeatedly stalled and failed to expand higher. The sharp bearish impulse candle slicing through this range was not random it was a distribution break, confirmed by strong momentum and a decisive loss of the EMA 89. Once price accepted below that EMA, upside continuation was structurally invalidated. Following the breakdown, ETH rotated briefly inside a lower accumulation zone (~3,160 – 3,220). However, this was not true accumulation it was bearish acceptance, evidenced by overlapping candles, weak bounces, and failure to reclaim the EMA. The final sell-off flushed liquidity directly into the major support zone around 3,050 – 3,080, where reactive buyers are now expected to appear. From a professional market-structure perspective, the current price action suggests sell-side liquidity has been largely cleared. This opens the door for a technical rebound, but context is critical: any bounce from this support should be treated as corrective, not trend-confirming, until price can reclaim and hold above the broken accumulation range near 3,220 – 3,240. The projected upside path on the chart reflects a mean-reversion scenario a bounce from support, followed by a retest of prior value. If ETH fails at that retest, it would confirm the move as a classic liquidity grab + lower-high setup, increasing the probability of another downside leg. Only sustained acceptance back above the liquidity range would flip bias bullish again. Key takeaway: ETH is currently trading in a post-distribution environment. The dump was structural, not emotional. Support may produce a bounce, but until value is reclaimed, rallies are reactions not reversals. Smart traders now wait for confirmation at the reclaim, not at the bottom.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
ETH Is Testing Major Demand After BreakdownETH Is Testing Major Demand After Breakdown – Bounce Is Likely, But Context Still Matters On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum has just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking down from the prior consolidation and accelerating straight into a well-defined support zone around 3,070–3,090. The nature of this move is important: price did not drift lower gradually, but instead sold off aggressively after failing at the 3,220–3,240 resistance zone, confirming that sellers were firmly in control at higher prices. The rejection from resistance occurred directly beneath the descending EMA cluster, which acted as dynamic resistance throughout the pullback. This alignment between horizontal resistance and EMA pressure created a high-probability sell zone, and once price failed to reclaim it, bearish momentum expanded rapidly. Structurally, this confirms that the prior consolidation was distribution rather than continuation. Now that ETH has reached the support zone, downside momentum is beginning to slow. Long lower wicks and reduced follow-through suggest sell-side exhaustion, opening the door for a technical bounce. In bearish or corrective environments, this type of reaction is common once price reaches a higher-timeframe demand area. However, any upside from this level should be treated as corrective by default. The first upside objective sits near 3,150–3,170, followed by the more critical 3,220 resistance zone, which now represents the key decision area. A move back into this zone would be a mean-reversion rally unless price can reclaim it with acceptance and strong follow-through. As long as ETH remains below the former resistance and under the EMA, the broader bias stays bearish to neutral, despite the likelihood of a short-term bounce. Only a clean reclaim of resistance would invalidate the downside continuation thesis and suggest that the sell-off was a false move. In summary, Ethereum is currently reacting at demand after an impulsive breakdown. A relief bounce is technically justified, but unless structure is reclaimed, this move should be read as a pause within bearish control rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
2
Gold Is Breaking Price Discovery – Pullbacks Are Fuel New ATHOn the H1 timeframe, Gold has just delivered a clean impulsive breakout, pushing the market into price discovery territory. The strength of this move is evident not only in the vertical expansion, but also in how decisively price has left prior value behind. This behavior signals aggressive institutional participation rather than short-term speculation. The breakout leg has already respected key Fibonacci expansion levels, with price reacting near the 0.618 and pressing toward the 1.618 extension zone around 4,768. Importantly, this is occurring without any meaningful distribution a strong sign that buyers remain firmly in control. In trending markets, this type of structure often leads to continuation rather than reversal. That said, after such a sharp impulse, a corrective pullback is both healthy and expected. The highlighted demand zone around 4,660–4,680 represents the first high probability area where price may rebalance. This zone aligns with prior breakout structure and unfilled demand, making it a logical level for buyers to defend. Below that, the large price gap acts as a deeper liquidity magnet in the event of an extended correction. However, unless Gold decisively breaks and holds below the demand zone, any retracement into this area should be viewed as re-accumulation, not weakness. Strong trends often revisit demand only to reload before the next expansion leg. If buyers successfully defend demand and price reclaims momentum, the path toward new all-time highs above 4,768 opens quickly. In price discovery environments, resistance is psychological rather than technical, and extensions can travel further and faster than most expect. In summary, Gold is not topping it is transitioning into a new expansion phase. Pullbacks are part of the process, not a threat to the trend. As long as demand holds, the dominant bias remains bullish, with higher highs and continued price discovery firmly on the table.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
4
ETH Just Collapsed Into Support — Relief Bounce or Start Break1. Market Structure & Impulse Context ETH has just printed a strong bearish impulse from the upper range, breaking decisively below the EMA cluster (fast + slow EMAs). This move is not corrective — it is an impulsive sell-off, signaling aggressive distribution from the resistance zone near 3,360–3,380. When price leaves a range with this level of momentum, the first reaction into support often determines whether the move is: a trend continuation, or a liquidity sweep before reversal Right now, ETH is at that decision point. 2. Key Zones on the Chart Resistance Zone: 3,360 – 3,380 → Major supply + prior rejection area Mid-Level / Reaction Zone: ~3,240 → Previous structure support turned resistance Support Zone: 3,160 – 3,180 → First meaningful demand after the breakdown Price is currently compressing just above the support zone, not bouncing strongly yet this is important. 3. EMA & Trend Alignment Both EMAs have now rolled over and crossed bearish, with price trading well below them. This confirms: - Short-term trend has flipped bearish - Any upside move from here is counter trend unless price reclaims the EMA zone decisively As long as price remains below the EMAs, rallies should be treated as pullbacks, not trend reversals. 4. Price Action & Liquidity Read Current candles are small, overlapping, and indecisive classic pause after impulse behavior. This often leads to one of two outcomes: - A technical relief bounce to rebalance liquidity - Or support failure once weak buyers are absorbed Liquidity is clearly resting below the support zone, while unmitigated supply remains above. 5. Scenarios to Watch 🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Corrective Scenario) Support at 3,160–3,180 holds Price pushes back toward 3,240 reaction level Extension toward 3,350–3,360 resistance if momentum builds ⚠️ This would still be a counter-trend move unless structure flips. 🔽 Bearish Continuation (Higher Probability) Clean break and acceptance below 3,160 Acceleration toward 3,120 → 3,080 liquidity zone Confirms that the impulse was the start of a larger markdown This scenario aligns with EMA structure, impulse behavior, and broader distribution context. 6. Trading Perspective Bias: Bearish continuation unless proven otherwise Aggressive longs are risky inside support without confirmation Shorts favored on: Weak bounce into 3,240 Or confirmed breakdown below 3,160 Summary ETH has transitioned from range → distribution → impulse. The current pause at support is not yet a reversal signal. Until price reclaims key structure and EMAs, the market remains vulnerable to another downside expansion. This is a classic moment where patience pays let the market show whether this support is real demand… or just a stop before the next drop.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
EURUSD Pressed Against the Downtrend On the H4 timeframe, EURUSD remains firmly locked in a bearish market structure, with price continuing to respect a well-defined descending trendline that has capped every recovery attempt. The broader picture is clear: this is a controlled downtrend, not a capitulation move. Structurally, the market has been printing lower highs and lower lows, while price consistently trades below the EMA cluster, reinforcing bearish trend alignment. Each bullish swing has been corrective in nature, lacking impulsive follow-through a classic sign of weak demand and dominant sellers. The recent sell-off pushed price into the 1.1575–1.1580 support zone, where we are now seeing a short-term reaction. This bounce is technically expected, as this level has previously acted as demand and liquidity support. However, context matters: support inside a downtrend is not a buy signal it is a decision zone. From here, two scenarios stand out clearly: Corrective bounce scenario: Price may grind higher toward the descending trendline and EMA resistance zone around 1.1650–1.1665. If bullish momentum stalls there, that area becomes a high-probability sell zone, aligned with trend continuation logic. Bearish continuation scenario: Failure to build acceptance above the current support, or a clean breakdown below 1.1575, would signal renewed sell pressure and open downside continuation toward 1.1520 and lower liquidity pools. Importantly, the rounded corrective structures drawn on the chart highlight distribution behavior, not accumulation. Buyers are reactive, not proactive — while sellers remain positioned at premium levels. ➡️ Trend bias: Bearish ➡️ Key resistance: 1.1650–1.1665 (trendline + EMA) ➡️ Key support: 1.1575 ➡️ Best approach: Sell rallies, not chase bounces Until EURUSD breaks and holds above the descending trendline with strong momentum, any upside should be treated as corrective not reversal.
by BlackGoldMarket
ETH Lost the Accumulation – This Breakdown Shifts the BearishHello Traders....On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum has just delivered a critical structural signal by breaking decisively below the prior accumulation zone, confirming that the range was not continuation but distribution. The sharp impulsive sell off from the upper boundary of the range is not random volatility it reflects a clear rejection from value and a transition into a bearish phase. For an extended period, ETH was compressing inside the 3,260–3,400 region, where price respected the EMA and rotated cleanly. However, the most important detail is how the breakdown occurred. Price did not drift lower gradually; instead, it collapsed impulsively through the range low and the EMA 98, signaling that buyers were no longer defending value. This type of move typically marks the start of a markdown cycle, not a temporary stop run. After the breakdown, ETH is now attempting to stabilize around the 3,210 area, but this should be viewed as a weak corrective pause, not a base. Former range support has flipped into resistance, and price is struggling to reclaim it. This behavior is consistent with bearish market structure, where rebounds are sold and upside follow-through remains limited. The next key area of interest lies at the 3,150–3,160 support zone, which represents the first meaningful demand below the range. If price continues to fail below 3,220, a rotation toward this zone becomes the higher-probability scenario. Any shallow bounce into the 3,240–3,260 region would likely serve as liquidity for sellers, rather than a signal of renewed strength. From a cycle perspective, ETH has transitioned from accumulation → distribution → markdown. Until price can reclaim the broken range low and hold above it with acceptance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Buyers had their opportunity inside the range the market has now made its decision. In summary, Ethereum is no longer consolidating it has resolved lower. As long as price remains below the former accumulation zone, bearish continuation toward deeper support levels remains the dominant technical scenario, and rallies should be treated with caution rather than optimism.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
ETH 4H Cup & Handle Fails at the Pivot 1. Higher-Timeframe Structure Context On the 4H chart, ETH previously developed a well-defined Cup & Handle structure, with a clean rounded base, midpoint recovery, and a strong impulsive rally into the pivot resistance zone near 3,400. This move initially signaled accumulation transitioning into markup. However, price failed to sustain above the pivot, and the rejection was sharp and impulsive a critical warning sign that buyers were not yet in full control. 2. Cup & Handle Breakdown Dynamics Instead of holding above the handle low and grinding higher, ETH lost the handle support decisively, invalidating the bullish continuation in the short term. Key observations: - The handle breakdown occurred with large bearish candles, not compression - This indicates supply dominance, not a healthy pullback - The “current close” sits below the handle low — structurally bearish When a Cup & Handle fails like this, price often rotates back toward the base, rather than immediately resuming higher. 3. Key Levels & Zones Pivot Resistance: ~3,400 → Major rejection, unmitigated supply Handle Low / Flip Zone: ~3,260 → Now acting as resistance Midpoint of Base: ~3,160 → First reaction level Base Demand Zone: 3,000 – 3,050 → High-probability liquidity target if selling continues The projected path on the chart aligns with a distribution → markdown rotation, not immediate continuation. 4. Trend & Momentum Assessment The impulsive rally into the pivot was followed by: Failure to form higher highs Breakdown of short-term structure Loss of bullish momentum This sequence typically reflects bull exhaustion, especially after a pattern becomes obvious and crowded. Unless ETH can reclaim and hold above 3,260–3,300, upside attempts remain corrective. 5. Scenarios Going Forward 🔽 Bearish Continuation (Primary Scenario) Price fails to reclaim handle low Weak bounce followed by continuation lower Rotation toward 3,100 → base demand zone (~3,000) 🔼 Bullish Recovery (Lower Probability) Strong reclaim of 3,260, followed by acceptance Compression below pivot Only then does a renewed breakout attempt toward 3,400+ become valid Without that reclaim, bullish bias is premature. 6. Trading Perspective Bias: Cautiously bearish / corrective Failed Cup & Handle favors mean reversion, not breakout chasing Shorts favored on: Weak pullbacks into 3,260–3,300 Longs only justified after clear structure reclaim Summary ETH’s Cup & Handle has failed at the most important level the pivot. This is not a normal pullback; it’s a structural rejection. Until buyers prove strength by reclaiming key levels, the path of least resistance remains downward toward the base, where real demand must step in. In this phase, discipline matters more than prediction let structure confirm before committing bias.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
EURUSD Is Not Reversing — It’s Respecting the Downtrend 1. Market Structure: Clean & Disciplined Downtrend EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, clearly respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The structure is bearish by design, not chaotic lower highs and lower lows are consistently maintained. Each orange-circled area on the chart highlights failed bullish attempts. These are not random rejections; they are systematic sell-side responses at the channel’s upper boundary, confirming strong supply control. This is a trend market, not a range. 2. Trendline & Price Behavior The descending resistance trendline has been respected multiple times: - Price rallies into resistance - Momentum weakens - Sellers step in aggressively - Structure rolls over into continuation The most recent pullback failed once again near the upper channel, validating this zone as an active short area, labeled clearly as “Downtrend Trade”. As long as price remains below this trendline, bullish scenarios are counter-trend and low probability. 3. Current Positioning & Momentum Price is currently consolidating after a minor corrective bounce, but this bounce: Lacks impulsive bullish candles Shows overlapping price action Remains capped below trend resistance This is distribution before continuation, not accumulation. The white projected path reflects the higher-probability scenario: ➡️ a minor consolidation → another leg lower toward the lower channel boundary. 4. Key Levels & Trade Logic Dynamic Resistance: Upper channel trendline Short Bias Valid While Below: ~1.1640–1.1660 region (trend-dependent) Downside Continuation Target: Lower channel near 1.1550–1.1580 Any bullish breakout must: - Break the channel - Hold above it - Show impulsive continuation Until then, selling rallies remains the dominant strategy. 5. Professional Trader’s Read This is a high-clarity trend environment: No need to predict reversals No need to overcomplicate structure Simply trade trend + location + rejection The market is offering repeated, clean short setups the kind professional traders wait for. Summary EURUSD is not forming a bottom. It is printing disciplined bearish structure inside a descending channel. Every rally into resistance is an opportunity for sellers, not a signal of reversal. In trending markets, the edge belongs to those who trade with structure not against hope.
by Mathew_TraderGold
2