LTC/USDT 30M Short-Term📊 1) Market Structure (Price Action)
The market is consolidating/accumulating between ~67.2 and ~70.1.
Previously, there was a strong decline, then range trading with false breakouts.
Currently, the price has rebounded from the ~66 low and is making a higher low → short-term bullish.
👉 This looks like a retest of the range bottom → a push to the middle of the range.
🧱 2) Key Levels (Your lines are well marked)
🔴 Support Levels
67.20 – the most important local support (range low).
64.89 – a strong swing low (if 67 breaks → decline here).
63.14 – the bulls' last defense.
🟢 Resistance
69.37 – mid-range, local S/R flip.
70.11 – key range high.
71.60 – strong HTF resistance (if it breaks 70 → target).
📈 3) Trend (moving average)
The green MA (probably the 200 EMA/SMA) has been acting as dynamic resistance previously, and now the price is starting to hold above it → bullish short-term.
Structure:
low → higher low → test resistance = breakout potential.
⚡ 4) RSI + Stoch RSI
RSI (lower panel)
RSI ~55–60 → bullish momentum (above 50).
No overbought → room for further upward movement.
Stoch RSI (middle panel)
Oscillates, but not to an extreme → no dump signal.
If it crosses upwards >80 → a scalp short signal (at 30m).
🧠 5) Scenarios (most important)
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO
Condition:
Close of the 30m candle above 69.40
Targets:
70.11
71.60
73+ (if a breakout range on HTF)
👉 This will be a consolidation breakout → an impulsive move.
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO
Condition:
Rejection of 69.4 + return to below 67.9
Targets:
67.20
64.89
63.14
👉 This will be a classic range fake breakout → dump to the lower zone.
🧨 6) What do I see as smart money?
A liquidity grab above 69.5–70 is very likely, followed by a dump.
Market makers like to:
break resistance
collect longs
dump to range low
💰 7) Trading setup (pro)
📌 LONG scalp
Entry: 69.4 breakout retest
SL: 68.8
TP1: 70.1
TP2: 71.6
📌 SHORT swing (better R:R)
Entry: 70–71 rejection
SL: 71.8
TP1: 67.2
TP2: 64.9
Trendanalyse
XRP/USDT 1D Chart Review🔎 Market Structure (Most Important)
The market is in a clear downtrend.
The price is moving within a descending channel (the upper and lower boundaries are well respected).
Each uptrend ends with a lower high.
➡️ The trend remains bearish until the channel breaks out to the upside.
📐 Downtrend Channel
Upper channel line = dynamic resistance
Lower channel line = demand/bounce zone
Price:
has been rejected from the upper band of the channel
is currently moving back down.
This is classic behavior in a downtrend.
🟢 / 🔴 Key Levels
🟢 Resistance (sell zone)
2.38 USDT – very strong resistance (previous support)
2.26 USDT
2.10 USDT
👉 Any return to these areas = potential short/distribution
🔴 Support (buy reaction, not long confirmation)
1.91–1.89 USDT – current fight zone
1.80 USDT
1.76 USDT
1.57 USDT – last strong base (capitulation if broken)
⚠️ These are reaction zones, not automatic longs.
📊 Stochastic RSI
Oscillator has broken out of overbought
Direction: down
No bullish divergence
➡️ Momentum favors continued declines
🧠 Scenarios (specific)
🔻 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Price loses 1.90 USDT
Test:
1.80
then 1.76
If there is no strong volume, a drop to as low as 1.57
➡️ Continuation of the downtrend
🔄 Corrective scenario (short-term bounce)
Bounce from 1.89–1.80
Pullback to a maximum of:
2.10
2.26 (ideal short zone)
BNB/USDT 4H Chart📌 Market Structure
• The uptrend has been broken – a clear breakout of the black trend line + an impulsive decline.
• Currently consolidating after a drop → a classic bear flag/base after a downward impulse.
• The market is in a decision phase, not in a trend.
⸻
🟥 Key Levels
🔴 Support
• 890–888 → current fighting zone (local HL after dump)
• 872 → very important support (if broken → acceleration of the decline)
• 849 → last line of defense for the bulls
🟢 Resistance
• 901 → first resistance (local LH)
• 923 → strong S/R flip (this is where the avalanche began)
• 958 → key structural resistance (return to bullish scenario)
⸻
📉 Momentum & RSI
• Stochastic RSI:
• High/overbought → weak fuel for growth
• Typical spot for a recoil or false breakout
• No bullish divergence → no signal yet Reversals
⸻
🎯 Scenarios
🐻 Baseline Scenario (more likely)
• Recoil from 890–901
• Pullback to 872
• If 872 breaks on volume → quick move to 849
➡️ This is a classic pullback → continuation
⸻
🐂 Alternative (conditional) Scenario
• Defense 888–890
• Breakout of 901 + close of the 4-hour candle
• Retest of 901 as support
• Target: 923, and only then consider 958
➡️ Without a breakout of 901, there is no way the uptrend will resume
ETH 4H Chart1️⃣ Market Structure (HTF – 4H)
We had a clear uptrend in the channel (black lines).
A breakout from the channel occurred at the bottom → this is a break of structure.
The decline was impulsive, without any major corrections → supply prevailed.
➡️ Medium-term bias: bearish/corrective
2️⃣ Key price levels
🔴 Supports
$2,938 – currently the closest technical support
$2,862 – a very important zone (strong reaction, long wick)
$2,740 – next HTF support (if the market collapses)
➡️ 2,862 = key decision level
Loss → high chance of a breakout to 2,740
🟢 Resistances
$3,081 – local resistance/flip after a breakout
$3,215 – former support, now resistance (ideal for shorts)
$3,430 – upper HTF resistance (only after a structure change)
3️⃣ Price Action (what we're seeing now)
After a strong dump, an impulsive downward wick appeared → Possible short-term relief (dead cat bounce).
The current bounce looks corrective, not impulsive.
Not yet:
higher low
4-hour candlestick closes above 3,081
➡️ This could still be just a pullback for further declines.
4️⃣ RSI Stochastic
RSI was heavily oversold → a technical bounce is normal.
Now a quick return to the upper regions → watch out for a bearish cross.
In downtrends, the Stoch RSI often:
Quickly reaches 80–100
and immediately reverses
➡️ RSI does not yet confirm a trend change
5️⃣ Scenarios
🟡 Scenario A – correction and further decline (more likely)
Bounce to 3,080–3,215
Rejection
Return to 2,860 → 2,740
📉 Short setup:
Reaction below 3,080 / 3,215
Weak volume, pin bar / bearish engulfing
🟢 Scenario B – return to growth (less likely)
Conditions:
4-hour close above 3,215
Hold as support
Only then target: 3,430
📈 Without this → longs are counter-trend
BTC/USDT 1D Chart Review📉 MARKET STRUCTURE
The price is moving within an ascending channel, but:
The last candle is a strong rejection of the upper levels.
We have a clear downward impulse from the ~97.6k area.
The price is currently testing the lower line of the ascending channel.
➡️ Short-term trend: correction / weakness.
➡️ Medium-term trend: still up, BUT at risk.
🔑 KEY LEVELS
🟢 RESISTANCES
97,642 – local high / strong rejection.
94,465 – 94,400 – zone from which the downward impulse occurred.
👉 After a downward breakout, it now acts as resistance.
🟡 DECISION ZONE
92,370 – 93,400
The price is currently below.
A return above this zone = a chance for continuation. Channel
🔴 SUPPORT
89,500 – 88,960 – a very important zone
local demand
currently being tested
84,411 – key structural support
80,710 – the last line of defense of the uptrend
📊 STOCH RSI
strongly downward
no bullish divergence
there is still room for further decline
➡️ momentum = bearish
🧠 SCENARIOS
🟥 SCENARIO 1 (more likely)
Continuation of correction
Loss of 89,000
Descent to:
84,400
and with panic even 80,700
➡️ Healthy correction in the uptrend
🟩 SCENARIO 2 (less likely) (likely)
Defense of the lower channel line
Demand reaction to 88.9k – 89.5k
Return above 92.3k
Retest 94.4k
➡️ Requires strong volume (not visible yet)
🎯 WHAT IS KEY NOW
Close of the daily candle
Price reaction to:
88.9k
Ascending channel line
ETH/USDT 4H chart🧭 Trend Context
• Main Trend: Up – clear HH/HL breakout.
• Price respects the uptrend line (orange).
• The last upward impulse was very strong (dynamic breakout to ~3400).
⸻
📊 Key Horizontal Lines
🔴Supports
• 3188–3200 – local support + prior S/R flip
• 3130 – strong structural support
• 3052 – last line of trend defense (critical)
🟢 Resistances
• 3232 – current resistance (price reaction now)
• 3317 – important resistance/consolidation
• 3404 – high impulse (local ATH)
⸻
📐 Price Structure
• The drop from ~3360 to ~3188 looks like an impulse correction, not a trend reversal.
• Currently, the price:
• has rebounded from support
• is above the trend line
• is fighting against 3232
👉Into the decision zone.
⸻
📉 Stochastic RSI
• Was oversold (0–20)
• Now retracing upward
• Potential for an uptrend, but no confirmed breakout
⸻
🔮 Scenarios
✅ Baseline scenario (bullish – more likely)
Conditions:
• Hold >3188
• Breakout and 4-hour close above 3232
Targets:
• 3317
• 3400–3420
⸻
⚠️ Corrective scenario
If:
• Rejection from 3232
• Reversion to the downtrend
Targets:
• 3188
• 3130
• Extreme: 3050 (still uptrend)
ADA/USDT 12h🔍 Market structure
Medium-term trend: corrective / sideways after an upward impulse
Price is moving in a narrowing channel (descending wedge/triangle)
Lower highs + held support → pressure before breakout
📐 Key levels
🟢 Resistances
0.407–0.410 – local resistance + upper structure line
0.426 – very important level (previous high + price reactions)
0.451–0.452 – strong HTF resistance (if an impulse occurs)
🔴 Support
0.384–0.385 – key support (if it falls → weak)
0.371
0.352
📊 Price Action
The last upward impulse was rejected exactly at the resistance of 0.426
Currently, the price is consolidating just above 0.384
Every move lower is bought, but there is no strong volume for growth
👉 The market is in compression - the breakout is getting closer.
📉 Stochastic RSI
Oscillator close to the oversold zone
No clear bullish crossover yet
This favors a rebound, but is not a confirmation of the long
🧠 Scenarios
✅ Bullish scenario (more technically correct)
Conditions:
Defense 0.384
Breakout above 0.407–0.410 (preferably close 12h candle)
Goals:
0.426
0.451
➡️ This would be a breakout from the wedge + continuation of the impulse
❌ Bear scenario
Conditions:
Candle close below 0.384
Goals:
0.371
0.352
➡️ This means negating the structure and returning to the range
LTC is in a clear downward trend📉 MARKET STRUCTURE
Main Trend: Down
Sequence: Lower High → Lower Low
Price is moving in a clear downward channel.
Any upward breakout = correction, not a trend change.
📐 KEY LEVELS
🟩 RESISTANCES (sell zones)
84.50 – current S/R flip (was support → now resistance)
94.50 – strong HTF level, where the market has been rejected multiple times
107.50 – key trend reversal level (BOS)
🟥 SUPPORT
72.00–72.50 – key support, currently being tested
63.10 – next strong HTF support
Below → empty space to ~55–58
🔎 PRICE ACTION – WHAT YOU CAN SEE
Recent Bounce:
Weak HH
No volume
Strong rejection from:
Upper channel line
Level ~84.5
Current candle:
Aggressive supply
No demand response
👉 Sellers in full control
📊 STOCH RSI
Turnover from the upper zones
Bearish momentum
No bullish divergence
👉 Oscillator confirms continuation of the downtrend
🧠 SCENARIOS
🔴 BASELINE SCENARIO (60–65%)
Descent lower
Condition:
Close D1 below 72
Target:
63.1
Possible breakout to 60–61
🟡 CORRECTIVE SCENARIO (25–30%)
Bounce Technical
Condition:
Holding 72
Demand candle + follow-up
Target:
84.5
Maximum 94.5
DOES NOT change the trend
🟢 TREND REVERSE SCENARIO (<10%)
Condition:
Close D1 > 94.5
Then reclaim 107.5
👉 Only then can we talk about a bull market
🎯 HOW TO PLAY IT (technically)
Short:
Retest 84–85 or 94–95
SL: above the structure
TP: 72 → 63
Long:
Only a reaction to 63
Short-term scalp / swing
No forcing the low
BTC/USD 4H Chart Review🔎 Market Structure
Medium-term trend: up
The price is moving within an ascending channel (the lower and upper limits are nicely respected).
Last move = upward impulse from a consolidation breakout.
📈 Current Situation
The price has broken out above key resistance at ~94,600 USD (red line)
We are currently in the 97,500–98,200 USD zone (local resistance).
This is the first test of this zone from below → a natural place for reaction.
🟩 Key Levels
Resistance
98,200–98,300 USD – local resistance (green line)
103,800 USD – main channel target / ATH region
Supports
94,600 USD – most important support (flip from resistance)
89,400 USD – middle of the structure + previous accumulation
Lower channel boundary ~87–88k USD – last defense
📊 MACD
Strong bullish crossover
The histogram is rising → upward momentum is accelerating
No downward divergence (on (for now)
➡️ This supports continued growth, not a reversal.
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Short consolidation/pullback
Retest of USD 94,600–95,000
Continuation up → 98k → 100k → 103–104k
🟡 Alternative scenario
Rejection of USD 98k
Drop to USD 89,400
Still uptrend as long as the channel holds
🔴 Bullish negation
4-hour close below 89,400
Then the structure breaks down → drop to 86–84k
SOL/USDT 4H chart📌Market Structure
• Medium-term trend: up
• Clear Higher Low (around 117 → 126 → 133)
• Price respects the ascending trend wave (black)
• Currently consolidating after an upward impulse
⸻
🔴Key Horizontal Lines
Resistances
• 140.4 USDT – local resistance, multiple rejections
• 147.2 USDT – main resistance/supply zone
Supports
• 133.2 USDT – most important short-term support (POC of the structure)
• 126.9 USDT – strong HTF support + trendline
• ~117–120 USDT – extreme (end-of-line scenario)
⸻
📊Oscillator (Stoch RSI)
• Currently in an oversold zone
• No advanced bullish trend yet Crossover
• To the owner:
• Pullback/recovery, not an immediate drop
• Potential available below 140+ if support holds
⸻
🧠 Scenario
🟢 Baseline scenario (more likely)
• Weapons price 133 USDT
• Consolidation 133–140
• Breakout 140.4 → 147.2
• Target: 147–150 USDT
🟡 Corrective scenario
• Breakout of 133 USDT
• Downside to 126.9 USDT (ideal retest of the trendline)
• Market decision there:
• Defense → continuation up
• No defense → deeper correction
🔴 External scenario (less likely)
• Loss of 126.9
• Structure change → entry to area 120 / 117
BTC/USDT 4H Chart📈 Trend
Main trend: up
Local trend: downward correction
The uptrend line (black) has still not been broken → this is crucial.
🟩 Support Zones
The most important levels you have well-marked:
91,120 – 91,400
Current price reaction
Local support + mid-range
Decisive in the short term
90,120
Very important zone
Overlaps with:
previous consolidation
potential retest of the trendline
Loss = deepening correction
88,843
Strong structural support
If price reaches here → high probability of bounce
87,235
Bulls' last line of defense
Break = structure changes to bearish
🔴 Resistance
91,400 – 91,500
Nearest resistance
Here we'll see if the uptrend has fuel
92,718
Very important level
Return above = bulls regain control
94 834
High / supply zone
Unlikely to be broken on the first try without an impulse.
📊 Stochastic RSI
Was heavily oversold.
Now bouncing from the lows → a short-term bounce signal.
Note: in an uptrend, the Stochastic RSI often gives false short signals.
➡️ Supports a corrective bounce scenario, not a dump.
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Defense 90-91k
Bounce → test 91.5k → 92.7k
Consolidation and decision
🔴 Negative scenario
Break 90 120
Down to 88.8k
Reaction there (or fake breakdown)
LTC/USDT 1D Chart 🔎 Market Structure
The market is in a downtrend (a series of lower highs and lower lows).
The price is moving within a descending channel (black lines).
The recent move is a rebound from the lower demand zones, but the trend has not yet been broken.
📉 Trend & Price Action
The main downtrend line has not been broken – the price has reached it and is reacting.
The current move looks like a pullback/upward correction, not a trend reversal.
No clear higher high → the structure remains bearish.
🟢 Key Levels
Resistance (sell zones)
86.84 USDT – local resistance (currently being tested)
95.83 USDT – strong structural resistance
103.54 USDT – previous downside base
110.66 USDT – very strong resistance (key to trend reversal)
Support (buy zones)
78.67 USDT – local support
72.25 USDT – strong demand zone
63.14 USDT – critical support (channel bottom)
📊 Indicators
Stochastic RSI
Currently in the overbought zone (>80)
Historically, on this chart, → often ends in a correction
Signal: watch out for shorts / profit-taking
CHOP Index
High → market was in consolidation
Recent CHOP breakout down → possible impulse but not yet confirmed by volume
🧠 Scenarios
🔴 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Rejection at 86–88 USDT
Return to around 78.67 → 72.25
Continuation of the downtrend
🟢 Alternative scenario (bullish, conditional)
Daily close above 95.83
Then a breakout of 103.54
Only 110.66 = a real trend change to up
🎯 Final conclusion
This is a correction in a downtrend, not a trend reversal.
Shorts are logical under resistance
Longs are only short-term/scalp
Swing longs only after a breakout of 103–110
LINK/USDT 1W Chart Long-Term📌 PRICE STRUCTURE
Long-term trend: still up, confirmed by the ascending trendline (orange).
The price respects the trendline – each dip below was bought.
We are now in the midst of a strong upward impulse correction (peak ~$26–27).
🟢 KEY LEVELS
Support
$13.7–14.7 → current demand zone/consolidation
$11.63 → strong HTF support (low of previous reactions)
$7.84 → worst-case scenario (only in the event of a market breakdown)
Resistance
$18.85 → key HTF resistance (mid-range)
$22–24 → supply zone after the last impulse
$26–30 → ATH range/supply zone
📈 PRICE ACTION
Price is consolidating above the trendline → this is bullish behavior
No downward impulse – more likely accumulation
Candles with long downward wicks = supply absorption
➡️ This doesn't look like distribution, but rather a base for a move.
📊 INDICATORS
Stochastic RSI
Was in the oversold zone
Starting to curve upwards → potential buy signal (HTF)
CHOP
Falls to around 40
This indicates the end of consolidation and preparation for a trend
Perfect for an upside breakout in the coming weeks
🔮 SCENARIOS
🟢 BASELINE SCENARIO (most likely)
Sustaining $13.7–14.7
Breakout $18.85
Targets:
$22–24
Next $26–28
📌 Typical range → weekly breakout.
🔴 NEGATIVE SCENARIO
Weekly close below $11.63
Trendline negated
Decline to:
$9–$8
Strong long-term accumulation zone there
BTCUSDT (W1)🔍 Market Structure
For many months, the uptrend has been in a channel – clear higher highs and higher lows.
A breakout from the uptrend channel → indicates a change in market structure (BOS) to weekly.
The current move is a correction after a downward impulse, not a new uptrend.
➡️ HTF Bias: BEARISH / Corrective
🧱 Key Levels
🟢 Resistance (now resistance)
98,000 – 100,000 → former support, currently flipping to resistance
109,000 → strong weekly supply / EQ of the previous range
~125,000 → upper band of the old channel (unrealistic without a change in structure)
🔴 Support
85,400 → current reaction zone (local demand)
74,300 → key weekly demand, a very important level
Below: ~68–70k (another HTF zone – not marked, but logical)
📉 Price Action
Strong, impulsive bearish candle + long lower wick → liquidations + panic sell
No strong upward momentum after the rebound → weak demand
Current move = bear flag / bear range
➡️ This does NOT look like the end of the correction.
📊 Volume
High volume on the decline → distribution
Declining volume on the bounce → no real buyers
➡️ Classic pattern: dump → weak bounce → continuation
📈 Indicators
Stochastic RSI (W1)
In the oversold zone, but:
No strong bullish cross + no price impulse
➡️ May grind low for many weeks
CHOP
Falling → market preparing for a bigger move
Direction still more down than up
🧠 Scenarios
🟥 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Rejection 98-100k
Return to 85k
Test 74k
Only then the decision is made: bounce vs. Deeper bear market
🟩 Alternative scenario (less likely)
Weekly close above 100k
Retest of 98k as support
Only then can we consider 109k
❗ Key takeaways
❌ This is not a good time to go long on HTF
❌ The current rebound is a pullback, not a reversal
✅ Shorts only on retests of resistance
✅ Spot DCA only makes sense at 74k ±
XRP/USDT 4H chart review🔍 Price structure
• The price was moving in a descending channel (orange lines).
• There was a strong rebound from the low of ~1.825–1.83, with a clear lower wick → demand defended the level.
• Currently, the price has returned to the interior of the channel, but has not broken it above yet.
⸻
📊 Key levels
Support:
• 1.8555 – local support (now crucial, because after breaking up it should act as support)
• 1.8256 – very strong support (bottom + demand reaction)
Resistances:
• 1.8776 – nearest resistance (local high + consolidation)
• 1.9175 – main resistance / target after breaking the channel
⸻
📈 Momentum/indicators
Stochastic RSI:
• A clear exit from the oversold zone
• The lines are dynamically going up → bullish momentum, but:
• We are close to the overbought zone, so a short correction or consolidation is possible
⸻
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish scenario (more likely in the short term)
• Maintenance 1.855–1.86
• Breakout and closing of the 4H candle above 1.8776
• Goals:
• 1.90
• 1917–1992
➡️ This would be confirmation of exit from the descending channel.
⸻
🔴 Corrective scenario
• Rejection 1.8776
• Back to:
• 1,855
• in a worse variant, retest 1.83
➡️ Until 1.8256 breaks, the structure still looks like a higher order uptrend correction.
EUR/USD Pressed Under Descending Resistance — Break or BreakdownOn the 1H timeframe, EUR/USD is trading within a compressed range, capped by a descending resistance trendline and a broader horizontal resistance zone around 1.1800–1.1820. Multiple attempts to push higher have failed, producing lower highs and confirming that sellers remain active on rallies. Price acceptance below this declining structure indicates bearish pressure dominating the short-term order flow.
Structurally, the market has transitioned from a prior impulsive bullish leg into distribution and rotation. The inability to reclaim the descending resistance with momentum suggests that upside moves are corrective rather than impulsive. Each rejection from the trendline has been followed by sharp pullbacks, highlighting a lack of sustained buying interest at higher prices.
On the downside, the support zone around 1.1740–1.1760 is the key area currently preventing further weakness. This zone has absorbed selling pressure multiple times, but reactions have been relatively weak and overlapping, signaling defensive buying rather than accumulation. If price revisits this area with increased bearish momentum, the probability of a clean breakdown increases.
In conclusion, EUR/USD is trapped between descending resistance and a fragile support base. As long as price remains below the downward trendline and the 1.1800 resistance zone, the technical bias favors further downside rotation toward support. A confirmed break below 1.1740 would open the door for deeper continuation, while only a decisive reclaim above the descending resistance would invalidate the current bearish structure.
MSTR: Mid-term and Macro Price Structure As price holds below $344, odds favor a continuation lower to retest February lows, with later potential bounce and one more push to macro-support levels: 160/150-120 (with a potential extension to 105)
(see. recent idea on BTC price structure)
If BTC and broad market indexes show signs of stabilization and short-term strength over the coming weeks with MSTR price rising above 344, the odds are shifting to a more pronounce bounce to 400-460 resistance levels.
Weekly chart:
From a macro perspective:
as long as price remains below the 460 level, I consider the bullish trend since 2008 lows to have topped in November 2024, with current price action unfolding as part of a larger corrective Wave c.4 structure. Otherwise, If price reclaims ATH the door opens for an extension to 780-1280 resistance levels.
Monthly chart
Recent idea on BTC:
BTC/USDT 1D chart review📐 PRICE STRUCTURE
1️⃣ Trend
• Long term: the upward trend continues
• Short term: correction + consolidation
The price moves between 85,800 – 88,200, which is a classic range after a decline.
➡️ The market is collecting fuel for greater movement.
⸻
🟢 KEY LEVELS (from your chart)
🟩 RESISTANCE
• 88,200 – local resistance (multiple reactions)
• 90,600 – very important level (structure + S/R)
• 92,400 – upper range / supply
🟥 SUPPORT
• 87,300 – 87,500 – current combat zone
• 85 870 – key support (if breaks → quick move down)
• 83,500 – the bulls' last line of defense
⸻
📊 STOCH RSI (D1)
• Came out of oversold
• Lines curl upwards
• No extremes yet
➡️ Momentum is growing, but there is no confirmation of a breakout
It supports:
• rebound scenario
• or fake breakout + dump
⸻
🧠 SCENARIO (most important)
🟢 SCENARIO 1: BULLISH (more likely)
Condition:
• D1 close above 88,200
Goals:
• 90,600
• then 92,400
➡️ This would be confirmation of the continuation of the upward trend.
⸻
🔴 SCENARIO 2: BEARISH (if market fails)
Condition:
• Loss of 87,300
• D1 close below 85,870
Goals:
• 83,500
• possible wick up to ~82k
➡️ Still a correction, no change in trend until 83,500 is reached.
NMR/USDT 1D Chart Long Review🔎 Market Structure
Main Trend: Down
→ Series of lower highs and lows
→ Breakout below the downtrend line (which has already happened)
Currently, the price is consolidating low, with no trend reversal signal.
📉 Price Action
After a strong upward impulse (pump), the market:
failed to maintain the structure
gave back most of the gains
Current price ~9.3 USDT
No clear demand – small candles, weak momentum
🧱 Key Levels (very important)
🔴 Support
9.00–9.30 → local, weak
~8.00 → demand zone / lower consolidation range
5.94 → HARD SUPPORT
Loss = possible further decline / capitulation
🟢 Resistance
12.36 → nearest Sensible resistance (flip level)
14.98 → strong structural resistance
19.59 – 22.77 → distribution zone (very difficult to break)
26.74 – 27.58 → local ATH/supply zone
📊 Stoch RSI indicator
Currently emerging from oversold territory
This is not a long signal per se
It only gives:
short-term bounce if volume appears
🧠 Scenarios
🟡 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Consolidation 8–10 USDT
Lack of strength for a breakout
The market is waiting for:
BTC move
or news/volume
🔴 Bearish scenario
Loss of ~8 USDT
Test of 5.94
If 5.94 falls → new Lows
🟢 Bullish scenario (conditional!)
D1 close above 12.36
Retest as support
Targets:
14.98
19.59
Without this → no medium-term longs
BNB/USDT 1W chart1️⃣ Main trend
• Long-term trend: upwards
The black trend line is respected - the market moves in a higher highs / higher lows structure.
• The recent upward move was expansive and parabolic → it was not a healthy growth, just FOMO.
➡️ Correction was inevitable.
⸻
2️⃣ Current price situation
• Current price ~ USDT 840
• The market rejected the 1020-1160 zone very aggressively
(long wick = smart money distribution)
This does NOT look like:
• continuation of impulse ❌
• only for local peak and market cooling ✅
⸻
3️⃣ Key levels (most important)
🟢 Resistances
• 911–920 → first hard resistance
• 1020–1030 → distribution zone
• 1160 → ATH / extreme (unrealistic without long consolidation)
🔴 Support
• 780–800 → KEY
This is:
• previous resistance
• psychological level
• place of price reaction
• 600–620 → strong HTF support
• ~520–550 → the last line of defense of the trend
⸻
4️⃣ RSI Stochastic (bottom)
• RSI in the oversold zone
• BUT:
• on W1 RSI may stay in oversold for a long time
• this is NOT yet a buy signal in itself
We are waiting for:
• RSI turn up
• preferably bullish cross + price reaction
LINK/USDT 4H Short-Term🔍 Market structure
• Local trend: it was upward (black trend line), it was broken down
• This means lost momentum for the bulls and a transition into correction/consolidation
• No higher low structure yet → the trend is not rebuilt
⸻
📉 Price vs levels (key zones)
🔴 Support:
• 12.20 – upcoming, very important
• 12.00 – psychological + technical
• 11.74 – last line of defense for the bulls
👉 Going below 12.20 increases the chances of 11.74
🟢 Resistances:
• 12.61 – currently strong resistance (flip S/R)
• 12.95 – local peak
• 13.21 – main target when the trend returns
⸻
📊 Momentum – Stochastic RSI
• Indicator close to the oversold zone
• Possible:
• short technical bounce
• BUT without trend confirmation (no HH/HL)
⚠️ Rebound ≠ trend change
⸻
📌 Scenarios (Highlights)
🟡 Scenario A – corrective reflection
• Weapon price 12.20
• Move up to 12.61
• Perfect place for supply response
👉 If 12.61 is rejected → further consolidation or decline
⸻
🔴 Scenario B – continued decline
• 4H close below 12.20
• Movement towards 12.00 → 11.74
• Only there is reasonable demand
⸻
🟢 Scenario C – bulls return (least likely now)
• Breakout and holding above 12.61
• Structure confirmation (HH + HL)
• Targets: 12.95 → 13.21
ETH/USDT 4H Chart Review🔎 Market Structure
Medium-term trend: downward
The price is moving within a descending channel (orange lines).
Each upward breakout has been corrected lower so far.
Current: consolidation after a strong rebound from the low.
📉 Key Levels
🔴 Support
2925 USDT – very important local support (currently being tested).
2756 USDT – strong support from the previous reaction.
2600 USDT – last line of defense (structural low).
🟢 Resistance
3057 USDT – key resistance + near the moving average (SMA).
3225 USDT – strong supply reaction level.
3346 USDT – upper range of the structure, very strong resistance.
📐 Moving Average (green)
Price below the SMA → market still under supply control.
Until the 4-hour period closes clearly above ~3057, any upward move is a correction, not a trend change.
📊 Stochastic RSI
There was an overheating (80+), now a downward turn.
This is a cooling signal, possible:
a sideways correction,
or another decline to support.
🧠 Scenarios
🐻 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Rejection from the downward channel.
Retest of 2925 → if it breaks:
2756
and in an extreme case, 2600.
🐂 Alternative scenario (bullish)
Breakout of 3057 + close of the 4-hour candle above.
Targets:
3225
3346
Condition: Breakout from a descending channel (not just a wick).
BTC/USDT 4H chart📉 Trend and Structure
H4 Trend: Downtrend / Downtrend Consolidation
Sequence of lower highs + lower lows from around 95k
Currently, the price is below key resistance levels; the market has not regained its upward structure.
🟩 Key Chart Levels
Resistance
94,596 – Very strong resistance (upper range zone)
91,600 – Local resistance / consolidation center
90,748 – Flip level (former support → resistance)
Support
88,385 – Short-term support (already tested)
85,226 – Current price reaction zone
83,596 – Key structural support
80,646 – Last line of defense (if 83.6k falls)
📊 RSI (14)
RSI ~40–45 → Lack of strength Buyers
No bullish divergence
RSI has not returned above 50 → trend remains bearish
📉 Stochastic RSI
Recently in the overbought zone → downward trend
This confirms a correction/further weakness
No confirmation of an upward impulse
🧠 What does price action say?
Last candle: strong upward rejection
No follow-through after bounces
Any upward breakout is sold
📌 Scenarios
🔴 Baseline scenario (more likely)
Consolidation / further decline to:
83,600
and with market weakness even 80,600
Shorts have an advantage below 88,400
🟢 Alternative scenario (bullish)
Conditions:
H4 close above 88,400
Then breakout and hold at 90,700
Only then:
Targets: 91,600 → 94,600
Without this = only corrections in a downtrend






















