MKR/USDT 4H Chart๐ 1. Technical Pattern:
The chart shows a descending wedge (orange lines) that has broken out upward.
The breakout occurred on increasing volume (a signal of bullish strength).
The price is currently trading above a resistance line, which is now acting as support (~1980 USDT).
๐ 2. Support and Resistance Levels:
Support (red lines):
1903 USDT โ local consolidation support.
1801 USDT โ strong support at the previous bottom.
1727 and 1632 USDT โ fallback zones in case of strong declines.
Resistance (green and blue lines):
2120 USDT โ first target after the breakout.
2168 USDT โ another strong resistance from the previous consolidation.
2312 USDT โ high resistance, potential target if the uptrend continues.
๐ 3. Indicators:
๐น Stochastic RSI:
Close to the overbought zone, but not yet giving a sell signal.
A short consolidation or correction may occur in the coming hours.
๐น MACD:
The MACD line is above the signal and the histogram is still rising โ a buy signal.
No signs of weakening momentum.
๐น RSI:
The RSI is rising, but not yet in the overbought zone (>70).
Shows the strength of the trend, but there is room for further upward movement.
๐ง Summary and scenarios:
โ
Bullish scenario:
If the price remains above 1980 USDT, the next targets are:
2120 USDT
2168 USDT
Potentially 2312 USDT with continued demand
โ ๏ธ Bearish scenario (less likely at this time):
If the price returns below 1980 USDT and does not regain this level:
Possible return to 1903 or lower (1801 USDT).
Trendanalyse
LINK/USDT (Chainlink to Tether) from the 4H intervalโก๏ธ Technical situation โ quick overview
โ
Breakout from the descending channel (purple lines)
โ
Resistance zone 14.42 โ currently being tested
โ
Target within the breakout range โ around 17.73 USDT
โ ๏ธ Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone โ local correction possible
๐ช Descending channel โ broken!
The descending channel that has been in place since mid-May has been broken upwards.
Such breakouts often signal a change in the local trend.
Theoretical range of movement = channel height (~3.30 USDT) added to the breakout point (around 14.42) = ~17.73 USDT โ perfectly aligned with your resistance level.
๐ข Key Resistance Levels (green):
Level Meaning
14.42 USDT Current tested resistance โ psychologically significant
15.65 USDT Local high + June price gap
17.73 USDT Potential target after a breakout โ range from the formation
๐ด Support Levels (red):
Level Meaning
12.73 USDT Support from the pre-breakout consolidation
11.91 USDT Key defensive level of the uptrend
11.07 / 10.12 USDT Historical support with strong demand reactions
๐ Stochastic RSI (oscillator):
Currently deep in the overbought zone (above 80).
This may indicate local exhaustion of momentum and a short correction before further upward movement.
However: in strong trends, the RSI may remain high for an extended period โ it does not automatically provide a sell signal.
๐ Bullish scenario:
Retest of the 14.42 level as support โ confirmation of the breakout
Then a move towards:
15.65 โ local stop
17.73 โ final target from the channel breakout
๐ฉ Stop-loss: e.g., below 12.73 USDT (loss of key support)
๐ Bearish scenario:
False breakout and decline below 14.42
Loss of the 12.73 level โ possible quick decline to 11.91โ11.07
๐ด In this case, a new swing low could open the way to 10.12 USDT.
๐ Summary:
Element Rating
Technical Pattern โ
Breakout from a descending channel (bullish signal)
Current Level โ Test of Key Resistance โ Decision Point
RSI (Momentum) โ ๏ธ Overbought โ Correction Possible
Upside Potential (Target) ๐ 17.73 USDT
Threat โ False breakout and return to below 12.73 USDT
๐ง My suggestion (not investment advice):
Observe the price reaction at 14.42 โ if it holds above and consolidation forms โ a signal to continue.
If the 4H/1D candle closes below, consider caution, as this could be a bull trap.
ETH/USDT 1W Chart๐ Trend structure (Price Action)
Downtrend (historical):
A series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) โ a classic downtrend.
Confirmed by the orange downtrend line.
A change in structure โ a possible beginning of an uptrend:
A Higher Low (HL) has recently been formed after a Lower Low (LL).
Suggests a possible end to the downtrend and an attempt to break out upwards.
Currently:
The price is testing the upper downtrend line.
A breakout above the orange line may confirm a trend change.
๐ข Key Resistance Levels (Green Lines):
Level Meaning
3.058 USDT Potential target after a breakout from consolidation
2.767 USDT Nearest strong resistance - currently being tested
3.427 USDT Deep resistance level from the previous high (HH)
๐ด Key Support Levels (Red Lines):
Level Meaning
2.234 USDT Nearest support - previous breakout
1.883 USDT Early 2023 support
1.507 USDT Local bottom
1.204 USDT Historical support - LL extreme
๐ Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator):
Currently in the overbought zone.
This may suggest a short-term correction before an actual breakout.
However, in a strong uptrend, the indicator may "hang out" in the overbought zone for a long time.
๐ Potential scenario:
If the breakout above 2.767 and the orange trendline holds:
A possible move to 3.058 USDT as the first target.
Extended target: 3.427 USDT (HH).
If the breakout fails:
Correction to 2.234 USDT or lower.
There is a risk of returning to a downtrend.
โ
Bullish signals:
Higher Low (HL) formation after Lower Low (LL).
Testing the upper downtrend line with an attempt to breakout.
Volume is increasing (based on candles).
โ ๏ธ Bearish threats:
Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone.
Breakout not confirmed by 100% (needs a weekly closing candle above 2.767).
Resistance at 3,058 could halt the move.
๐ Conclusion:
Ethereum (ETH) could be on the cusp of a new uptrend, but a breakout above 2,767 USDT is needed for confirmation. If it does, a move to 3,058 and then 3,427 is possible. However, the current overbought level on the Stochastic RSI could signal a short-term correction before the trend gains strength.
Is BTC getting ready for a new ATH?๐ 1. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Horizontal Lines):
๐ข Resistances (Green Lines):
114,295.54 โ strong resistance resulting from previous highs.
112,767.65
111,009.00
110,685.35 โ current key level that price may try to retest after a potential breakout.
๐ด Supports (Red Lines):
108,496.55 โ current level being tested, also coinciding with local resistance from the past.
107,687.57
105,888.74
102,909.85
100,848.07
98,208.22 โ strong long-term support; in the past, this level was reacted with a strong bounce.
๐ถ 2. Downtrend channel marked with orange lines:
The upper downtrend line acted as resistance.
The lower uptrend line acted as support.
The price recently broke above the upper line, but is now testing it again - this could be a retrospective retest.
โก๏ธ If the close of the H4 candle is above this line - a possible confirmation of the breakout.
๐ 3. Stochastic RSI indicator (at the bottom of the chart):
Currently in the uptrend phase after a bounce from the oversold level (<20).
The %K line (blue) is crossed upwards by the %D line (orange) - a bullish signal.
Still below the overbought zone, which suggests that the potential uptrend still has room to develop.
๐ง 4. Market structure and price action:
Price broke above the 108.496 level, but is currently struggling to stay above this zone.
A retest of the broken triangle could be a healthy move, provided that support is maintained in the 108kโ107.6k area.
A break below and a close below 107.6k could mean a false breakout and a possible decline towards 105.8k or even 102.9k.
๐งญ 5. Possible scenarios:
โ
Bullish scenario:
Maintaining the 108.496 level and closing the candle above the upper orange line โ continued growth.
The nearest targets are:
110.685 (first resistance),
111.009 and 112.767 next.
โ Bearish scenario:
The price will not stay above 108k and will fall below 107.687.
Possible return to the previous consolidation range with the target:
105.888,
and then 102.909 or 100.848.
๐งฎ Summary:
Currently, the decisive moment is underway: a test of support after breaking out of the convergent triangle.
The Stoch RSI indicator gives a bullish signal, but the price must confirm the movement by behaving above 108k.
Retest and bounce - this is a bullish scenario.
A breakdown and return under the trend line - means that the breakout was false.
ETH/USDT 1D๐ ETH/USDT - technical analysis (1D interval):
๐ Price: 2478 USDT (-4.36%)
๐ง Resistance:
โข SMA 200 (green): ~ 2589
โข Resistance zone: ~ 2715 โ 2880 USDT
โข SMA 100 (blue): ~ 2500 (just rejected)
๐ง Support:
โข SMA 50 (red): ~ 2434 - currently tested
โข Strong support: 2373, 2314, 2223 USDT
๐ indicators:
โข MacD: freshly intersected, but the momentum is weakening
โข RSI: ~ 45 - neutral/weak, under 50 (no bull strength)
โข Trend: Still in the downward channel (yellow trend lines)
โธป
โ ๏ธ Conclusions:
โข Price rejected from 2500 (SMA 100) and flies down.
โข If 2434 falls, a further discount is possible to 2373โ2314.
โข Lack of bulls with key resistance - the inheritance scenario dominates.
โข Watch behavior at 2434 - this is now a key level.
BNB/USD (4h interval)๐ 1. Chart structure
Instrument: Binance Coin / USD (BNB/USD)
Interval: 4 hours
๐ 2. Technical formations
๐ธ Breakout from the descending wedge formation
The descending wedge (orange lines) is a bullish formation - it suggests a potential breakout upwards.
The breakout occurred dynamically, with a large breakout candle (confirmation of the formation).
The goal of breaking out of the wedge is usually the height of the entire formation - this is marked with an orange arrow.
๐ Breakout range (target): around $697โ710
๐ข Potential next targets:
697.83 (local resistance/projection result)
710.73 (main wedge height projection)
728.12 (strong resistance from history)
๐ 3. Supports and resistances
๐ฅ Support zones (red rectangles):
$648.5โ637.5 โ previous resistance, now tested as support after the breakout.
$608.5โ592.5 โ strong support from previous lows.
๐ผ Currently, the price has tested the upper support zone (648โ637), reacted positively and continues to move up.
๐ฉ Resistance levels (green horizontal lines):
679.88 USD โ local resistance, first target after breaking out of the wedge.
697.83 USD โ projected range from the formation.
710.73 USD โ full technical range of the breakout.
728.12 USD โ strong resistance from history, may be a long-term target.
๐ 4. Trends and support lines
Purple upward trend line โ currently the price is above, which confirms the short-term upward trend.
Its break may lead to a retest of 648โ637 USD.
Only below this zone can a larger correction be considered.
๐ 5. Stochastic RSI indicator
Currently in the overbought zone (above 80).
Possible temporary cooling โ signal for local correction / consolidation.
It is worth waiting for the indicator to go down to around 20 to re-enter the long.
โ
6. Scenarios
๐ผ Bullish (base) scenario:
Staying above 648โ637 USD.
Maintaining the uptrend line.
Continuation to 679.88 โ 697.83 โ 710.73.
๐ฝ Bearish scenario:
Breaking the purple trend line.
Returning below 648 USD โ going down to the 608โ592 zone.
Negation of the breakout from the wedge.
๐ Final conclusions
Breaking out from the descending wedge is a strong pro-growth signal.
The price behaves in accordance with technical analysis, testing the previous resistance as support.
Currently, the retest and consolidation phase is underway โ maintaining the trend line and the level of $648 will be key.
The medium-term target is $697โ710.
XRP/USD โ Technical Analysis (1D)๐ XRP/USD โ Technical Analysis (1D)
Current Price:
โข Buy: 2.1554 USD
โข Sell: 2.1553 USD
โธป
๐งญ Trend & Structure
โข Price is moving within a rising channel (orange lines).
โข Itโs currently trading closer to the lower trendline, suggesting potential support.
Resistance Levels (green lines):
โข 2.3197
โข 2.4404
โข 2.5570
โข 2.7300 (channel top)
Support Levels (red lines):
โข 2.1467
โข 2.0461
โข 1.8772
โข 1.7444 (key support)
โธป
๐ Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
โข Hovering around the 50 level โ neutral momentum.
โข No strong divergence observed โ RSI is moving with price.
Stochastic Oscillator
โข %K has crossed %D upward โ short-term bullish signal.
โข Nearing the overbought zone (above 80) โ a pullback could occur soon.
โธป
๐ Interpretation
โข Price is testing the 2.15โ2.16 zone, which has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
โข A break above 2.32 could open the door toward 2.44 and 2.55 USD.
โข A drop below 2.04 USD could lead to retesting 1.87 or even 1.74 USD.
โข Overall trend: neutral to bullish, supported by the rising channel.
๐ฏ Trading Ideas
โข Long Entry: Break and close above 2.32 USD with volume โ targets: 2.44 / 2.55
โข Short Entry: Breakdown below 2.04 USD โ targets: 1.87 / 1.74
BNB/USDT 1D๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ General context
โข Steam: BNB/USDT
โข Price: 649.52 USDT
โข Time: 1D (daily interval)
โข Currently, the reflection is underway after the inheritance, but the technical situation remains uncertain.
โธป
๐ Trend and market structure
โข You can see a previous strong drop (visible long red candles).
โข Currently, reflection is underway to the level of technical resistance (approx. 650โ672 USDT).
โข A medium -term inheritance trend is still in force - marked with an orange interrupted line of decreasing (inheritance) trend.
โธป
๐ Technical levels
๐น Opora (green levels):
1. 651.01 USDT - the first tested resistance (current price right next to it).
2. 672.68 USDT - another resistance, above SMA (2), historically strong level of sales.
3. 700.81 USDT - strong psychological and technical level, tested in the past.
๐ป Support (red levels):
1. 636.40 USDT - short -term support (price maintaining just above this level).
2. 625.65 USDT - key support - if it is broken, a possible test of lower levels.
3. 607.62 and 595.27 USDT - subsequent support, where purchases appeared earlier (Long Knoty).
โธป
๐ Technical indicators
๐ต MacD
โข Histogram comes out of red - a potential signal of Momentum change to upward.
โข The MacD line begins to turn up to the signal line - possible Bullly Crossover soon (buy signal).
๐ฃ RSI
โข RSI oscillates around line 40-50-it is a neutral zone with a slight tilt down, but RSI-Based has a possible reflection.
โข Lack of purchase or sale - suggests that traffic can go both ways.
โธป
๐ Medium walking (SMAS)
โข The price is tested by several medium (green, red, blue line):
โข SMA (1) and SMA (5) are similar and flat - no clear short -term trend.
โข SMA (2) acts as a strong resistance at 672 USDT.
โข Need to break out over 672.68 to recognize that the trend can turn around.
โธป
โ
Applications - technical scenarios
๐ผ Bullish (upward) scenario:
โข Crossing the level 651โ672 USDT and closing the daily candle above.
โข Confirmation by RSI> 50 and MacD crossover.
โข Target: 700โ710 USDT.
๐ฝ Bearish (inheritance) scenario:
โข Price rejection with current resistance and descent below 636 โ 625 USDT.
โข If 625 falls, a possible drop in around 607/595 USDT.
โข RSI may then fall into the sale zone.
โธป
๐ง Neutral / swing strategy
โข Currently, the market in potential consolidation between 625 and 672 USDT.
โข You can consider:
โข Buying at the lower consolidation limit (625โ636) with a stop-loss below 620.
โข Short or Take Profit at the upper limit (670+) until it breaks out.
Eur/Jpy breaks the previous๐ Key Observations:
Supply Zone (169.713):
Price is approaching a marked supply zone, where sellers previously stepped in with strong momentum. This zone could act as a resistance area, potentially rejecting price downward.
Previous Low Break:
The structure shows that price broke below a previous low, indicating bearish pressure and a possible shift in market sentiment.
Demand Zone Below (~168.700):
There's a strong demand zone marked below the current price, which may serve as a target for short sellers or an area for bullish entries if reached.
Projected Move (Orange Arrows):
The orange path suggests a potential move:
Price may first retest the supply zone around 169.713.
A rejection from that level could trigger a downward move, breaking recent support levels.
The price may bounce slightly midway before continuing the drop toward the demand zone.
RSI Indicator (Relative Strength Index):
Currently at 54.80 (blue line), the RSI is nearing overbought territory but not yet extreme. This leaves room for a bit more upside before a potential reversal, aligning with the idea of testing the supply zone first.
SOL/USD๐น Trend direction
Current short-term trend: down
Price below key moving averages:
SMA50 (green) โ 154.84
SMA200 (blue) โ 168.79
Price โ 142.49 โ below both, confirming weakness.
๐น Supports and resistances (key levels)
โ
Supports:
142.00โ143.50 โ current level where price is struggling (multiple price reactions).
131.00 โ strong support, last low (June 18).
119.00 / 116.00 / 113.00 โ next supports from previous consolidations.
95.61 โ deep support if market breaks down.
โ Resistances:
148.00โ150.00 โ local resistance, coinciding with the red SMA (short-term resistance).
154.84 โ resistance (SMA50).
162.00 โ resistance (SMA200).
183.00 โ main resistance from the May peak.
218.55 โ very strong resistance from March.
๐น Technical indicators
๐ MACD:
MACD line < signal, negative histogram โ bearish signal.
No signs of bullish strength.
๐ RSI:
RSI โ 41.31 โ close to the oversold zone, but not there yet (below 30).
RSI trend also downward.
๐น Formations and trend lines
Broken support line after the April-May bullish structure (white trend line).
The previous bearish trend line (yellow) was broken in April, but the momentum did not hold.
A lower high and lower low may be forming now โ a classic bearish structure.
๐น Potential scenarios
๐ป Bearish:
Breakout of 142 โ test of 131 โ possible drop to 119/116.
Staying below SMA50 and MACD still negative = high chance of continuing declines.
๐ผ Bullish:
Recovery of 148โ150 needed โ only then a chance to test 154 and SMA50.
RSI close to oversold = possible local technical bounce, but not reversing the trend.
๐ Conclusions / Summary
General trend: Bearish (down).
Sentiment: Negative, no confirmed signals of strength.
If level 142 breaks - next test will be at 131.
A strong breakout above 150-154 is needed to talk about a change in structure.
BTC/USD 1D Chart๐ 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines
Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 โ 110,000 USD
Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 โ 97,000 USD
โก๏ธ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key โ currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.
๐ต 2. Support and resistance levels
๐ Resistance:
108.202 โ currently tested
112.037 โ psychological level
114.816 โ local top
๐ Support:
105.300 โ SMA 50 + local support
103.424 โ local lows
100.510 โ key psychological support
98.455 โ lower edge of the triangle
๐ 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)
SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term
SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards โ a signal of bullish strength
โก๏ธ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 โ bullish signal.
๐ 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.
The histogram is becoming less and less red โ a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.
๐ 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19
RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.
Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.
๐ 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:
The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).
This indicates buyer activity with technical support.
๐ข Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:
112.037 (next resistance)
then even 114.816
๐ด Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 โ a possible return to:
103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)
SoFi Technologies (SOFI, 1D)On the daily chart, SoFi has broken out of its descending trendline, confirmed the breakout with a clean retest of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $12.33, and is now building upward momentum from this demand zone. This โbuy zoneโ is acting as a launchpad for a potential mid-term move toward higher resistance levels.
Key Fibonacci-based upside targets:
โ $13.48 (0.5 retracement)
โ $14.64 (0.382 retracement)
โ $16.07 (0.236 retracement) โ within the defined target zone
โ Extended target: $18.37 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical structure highlights:
โ Breakout of multi-month downtrend + successful retest
โ Price now trading above key EMAs (50/100/200)
โ Volume expansion on bullish candles confirms demand
โ Daily momentum favors further continuation toward the $14โ$16 zone
โ Premium supply zone above $16 may slow initial momentum but offers long-term potential toward $18+
Fundamental context:
SoFi is evolving as a vertically integrated fintech platform with strong brand recognition and growing user engagement across banking, investing, and lending services. As the company narrows losses and strengthens recurring revenue, investor interest in SOFI is growing โ particularly as market appetite returns for high-quality fintech with path-to-profitability models.
The technical breakout is confirmed. As long as price remains above the $12.33โ$12.50 buy zone, the bullish scenario remains valid with targets toward $14.64 and $16.07. A breakout above $16 would activate the full expansion toward $18.37 in the mid-term.
MKR/USDT (MakerDAO) on the 4H time frame๐ท 1. Trend and market structure
๐ธ Upward channel:
The price is moving in a wide, ascending channel (orange lines).
The lower line of the channel was last tested on June 22, 2025, which ended with a dynamic upward bounce.
The upper limit of the channel reaches around 2,450 USDT.
๐ธ๏ธ Market phase:
In the short term, the market was in a downward correction phase within the uptrend.
Currently, we see a strong rebound from support - a new uptrend is possible.
๐ท 2. Key horizontal levels (support/resistance)
๐ฅ Support:
1,637 USDT - local support (the lowest level of the red zone), almost tested at the bottom.
1,717 USDT - very technical support, tested several times.
1,800 USDT โ psychological level and local consolidation.
1,901 USDT โ last support peak, currently broken upwards.
๐ฉ Resistances:
2,003 USDT โ current price level, currently tested as new resistance.
2,129 USDT โ strong resistance from previous peaks.
2,264 USDT โ previous swing high.
2,433 USDT โ upper boundary of the channel and technical level from historical peaks.
๐ท 3. Price and candle behavior
Strong demand reaction at the lower boundary of the channel: long pin bar/bull's embrace at the lower boundary.
The upward movement was dynamic and uniform, which indicates high buyer activity.
If the price stays above 1,901 USDT โ further increases are possible.
๐ท 4. Technical indicators
๐ Stochastic RSI (4H):
Currently in the overbought zone, just below the level of 100 - a temporary correction or consolidation may occur.
However, with a strong upward trend, Stoch RSI may "stick" to the upper band - it does not yet give a clear S/S signal.
๐ท 5. Technical scenarios
๐ข Bullish scenario (continuation of growth):
Condition: maintaining the level above 1,901 USDT.
Targets:
TP1: 2,129 USDT
TP2: 2,264 USDT
TP3: 2,433 USDT (upper limit of the channel)
Stop-loss: below 1,800 USDT
๐ด Bearish scenario (rejection of resistance):
Condition: strong rejection of 2,003 USDT and return below 1,901
Targets:
TP1: 1,800 USDT
TP2: 1,717 USDT
TP3: 1,637 USDT
SL: return above 2,003 USDT
๐ท 6. Final remarks
The current upward movement looks like a "V-shape reversal" reaction - a sharp turnaround with dynamic volume suggests strong buyer interest.
The key will be the reaction to 2,003 USDT - a breakout and retest can give a very good long entry.
Short positions are risky as long as the price is in the lower half of the ascending channel.
LTC/USDT chart technical analysis (1D)๐ท 1. Trend and market structure
๐บ Main channels:
The chart is moving in an ascending channel (orange lines), the lower and upper limits of which have been respected since mid-2022.
The current price (around 78.3 USDT) is in the middle range of the channel, with a downward trend in recent weeks.
๐ Market phase:
The price is in consolidation in a broader uptrend.
The last upward swing did not break through the previous peak (~135 USDT), which may indicate weakening momentum.
๐ท 2. Key horizontal levels (support/resistance)
โ
Resistance levels (green lines):
83.46 USDT โ the nearest resistance, currently being tested from below.
95.48 USDT โ strong resistance from March-April 2024.
105.19 USDT โ a level tested many times in the past.
110.00 USDT โ a psychological level.
115.83 USDT โ a local high from December 2023.
๐ Support levels (red lines):
78.30 USDT โ currently tested support level.
70.98 USDT โ a key defensive level for bulls.
52.03 USDT โ strong historical support.
39.78 USDT โ the last line of defense, consistent with the lows from 2022.
๐ Dynamic support (orange line):
The lower boundary of the ascending channel โ currently falls around 65 USDT and increases over time.
๐ท 3. Technical indicators
๐ CHOP (Choppiness Index)
Oscillates near the lower values โโโ the market is starting to leave the consolidation phase.
Potential directional movement soon, most likely downward (due to momentum).
๐ RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI below 50, currently around 40โ45 โ supply advantage.
Not oversold yet, but momentum is downward.
๐ Stochastic
Well below 20, i.e. in the oversold zone.
Potential for a short-term bounce, but it can also go lower with a stronger sell-off wave.
๐ท 4. Technical scenarios
๐ข Growth scenario (long):
Condition: Defending the level of 78.3 USDT and a quick return above 83.46.
Targets:
TP1: 95.48
TP2: 105.19
TP3: 115.83 (upper border of the channel)
SL: below 70.98 USDT
๐ด Bearish scenario (short):
Condition: Break 78.3 and retest as resistance.
Targets:
TP1: 70.98
TP2: 65 (lower channel line)
TP3: 52.03 (large accumulation zone)
SL: return above 83.46
๐ท 5. Swing strategy proposal
Long
Entry 78.30โ79.00
SL < 70.50
TP1 95.50 TP2 105.00 TP3 115.00
Short
Entry < 77.50 (ret.)
SL > 83.50
TP1 71.00 TP2 65.00 TP3 52.00
๐ท 6. Additional comments
It is worth observing the price reaction at 70.98 USDT - this could be a capitulation level or a strong rebound.
The formation on the daily chart resembles a head and shoulders (H&S) - a warning signal for bulls.
BTC/USD (4-hour interval)๐ BTC/USD
๐ Interval: 4H
1. General trend
We are observing a medium-term downtrend.
Since June 10 (middle vertical line), the price has been systematically creating lower highs and lower lows.
Current price: approx. USD 102.625.
2. Formation and Price Action
๐ป Left side of the chart (May 20 - June 10):
Volatility, no clear direction, but local highs are formed in the area of โโUSD 111,000 - 112,500.
Consolidation from May 27 to June 2.
๐ป Right side of the chart (after June 10):
A clear breakout from the consolidation downwards.
A potential correction or continuation of the downward movement is currently forming.
The last candles suggest a strong downward impulse, and the current candle has a long lower shadow โ a possible demand reaction.
3. Technical levels
๐ Resistance:
$112,400 โ local peak from June 10.
$109,000 โ $109,500 โ area of โโprevious consolidations.
$107,000 โ lower limit of previous support.
๐ Support:
$102,000 โ currently tested level.
$100,000 โ psychological support level.
$97,000 โ potential range of further declines.
4. Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart)
The indicator currently shows the intersection of the %K and %D lines in the oversold zone.
This may suggest a short-term upward rebound โ but in the context of a downtrend, this may just be a correction.
5. Candles and price action
The last candle has a long lower shadow and a close close to the maximum โ this may indicate buyer pressure in this zone.
No confirmation of a reversal โ only the closing of a bullish candle and a breakout above USD 103,500โ104,000 may give a signal of a larger rebound.
6. Scenarios
โ
Bullish scenario (short-term):
Rebound from the USD 102,000 zone.
Test of USD 103,500โ104,000 (local resistance).
If broken โ a move towards USD 107,000 is possible.
โ Bearish scenario (continuation):
Breakout of support at USD 102,000.
Movement towards the psychological level of 100,000 USD.
Possible escalation of declines on increased volume.
7. Signals to watch
Price behavior in the area of โโ102k USD - a key place to react.
Volume indicators (not visible here) could confirm the direction of the movement.
Will stochastic RSI give a full buy signal? (%K line above %D, both coming out of the oversold zone).
Detailed technical analysis of the ETH/USD chart๐งญ General Context (1D, Long-Term):
The chart covers the period from approximately September 2023 to June 2025.
ETH/USD has gone through a complete cycle: growth โ decline โ correction โ potential consolidation/accumulation.
๐น Market Structure (Price Action)
๐ธ Trends:
November 2023 โ March 2024: strong uptrend, ETH reaches highs around $4,000+
March 2024 โ February 2025: clear downtrend ending with a local low around $1,600
February 2025 โ May 2025: dynamic rebound โ probable trend change (new higher low + higher high)
May โ June 2025: currently consolidating between ~$2,400โ2,800
๐ Key Support and Resistance Levels
Type Level Notes
๐ด Resistance ~2,800 โ 2,900 Local high, many candles with shadows rejected from above
๐ก Resistance ~3,200 โ 3,400 Beginning of strong declines from 2024
๐ข Support ~2,300 โ 2,400 Local lows in June 2025
๐ข Strong support ~1,600 โ 1,800 Final market low of March 2025 (possible accumulation phase)
๐ Technical indicators
โ
Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart):
Currently in the oversold zone (~0โ20) โ may signal a potential bottom / buying opportunity
Red-blue lines are starting to wrap upwards โ possible rebound
Recent crossovers of the indicator corresponded to local price movements
๐ Technical formations
โ ๏ธ Possible formations:
Double Bottom: FebruaryโMarch 2025 โ classic trend reversal formation
Rising Channel: from March 2025 to present โ โโprices are moving in a slightly rising channel
Current consolidation may be a bull flag (continuation after the increase)
๐ Summary โ scenarios
๐ข Bullish scenario:
Breakout of resistance ~2,800 โ possible test of levels 3,200 โ 3,400 USD
Confirmation of a higher low โ continuation of the uptrend
Stochastic RSI in the oversold zone โ potential for an uptrend
๐ด Bearish scenario:
Drop below 2,300 USD โ possible return to the area of โโ1,800โ1,600 USD
Breakout of the structure of higher lows
Confirmation that the increase was only a correction
๐ง Final conclusions
Currently, ETH/USD is in a key decision zone: after a strong rebound, the market is resting.
Stochastic RSI suggests a potential upside impulse, but requires confirmation by a breakout of resistance.
For traders: 2,800 (resistance) and 2,300 (support) are worth watching.
For investors: 1,600โ1,800 could be considered a long-term accumulation zone.
SOLUSD 1D Chart Review1. Main Trend
Downward Channel: Price moving in wide, downward channels (black trend lines), which means that the medium and long term remains bearish.
The upper trend line is a strong dynamic resistance, the lower one โ support.
2. Key Horizontal
Resistance (Resistance):
$168.32: Strong resistance level, which it has responded to many times in the past.
$183.55: Another important resistance, confirmed by historical highs.
$218.85: Further resistance with an interval obligation.
$248.30: Very strong, long-term resistance (far from the current price for now).
Support (Support):
$144.23: actually occurs close to this support โ very level.
$130.99: Another potential level where price could look for a rebound.
$114.74: Strong support, last bastion of bulls near March/April low.
3. Price action (Price action)
Last candles emitted pullback from downtrend line and down to support area of โโ$144.23.
that any attempt to grow above trend line is limited by sellers.
$144.23 level currently existing short-term support - its loss may be available in case of $131 or possibly existing.
4. Indicator
Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart):
Stochastic RSI indicator stated that airlines (blue and orange) were in power (overbought) in recent devices, but suddenly started to turn down.
Currently occurs in neutral zone, however application of protection (oversold). In case of threat occurrence now, it may suggest risk of attack, but it is not yet decided.
It is worth noting whether to go to the area of โโ20 and start turning back - in case of a necessary necessity.
5. Scenarios for the days
Bullish (growth):
Maintaining support at 144.23 USD and hitting the downtrend line (around 160-165 USD).
Breaking the trend line and resistance at 168.32 USD will give a signal to load in the area of โโ183-218 USD, but for the tenth time it seems to be less important, attention given the market structure.
Bearish (fall):
Breaking support at 144.23 USD and closing below on the daily candle - the next target to 131 USD, and then 114 USD.
The downtrend channel is still working against the bulls.
6. Summary
Main trend: downtrend.
Price: Close to support, but the risk of you leaving a big one.
Key horizontals: $144.23 (short-term support), $168.32 (main resistance).
Stochastic RSI: Heading towards oversold zone, but not yet giving a clear conclusion about a breakout.
Recommendation: Observe the application of price at $144.23 and the behavior of Stochastic RSI. In case of a breakout - it is possible that they will occur.
This retrace was never weakness โ it was refinementDOGE delivered the exact narrative Iโve come to expect from algorithmic flow on the low timeframes. This wasnโt about volatility. This was about cleanup.
The play:
After the initial spike, price formed a visible FVG and retraced into the 0.5โ0.618 fib zone. Thatโs not random โ thatโs rebalancing. Not only did we see a fade into the midpoint, but volume increased into the dip, not out of it.
What this does is simple: it clears out early longs, taps deeper liquidity, and prepares for re-delivery โ all while structure remains intact.
Expectation:
Two paths are mapped โ both favoring upside:
Ideal scenario: sweep 0.618 or 0.786 (down to 0.1726) โ quick rejection โ rally back into the FVG and above
Conservative: hold above 0.1761 fib (0.5) and slowly grind into 0.1795
Final target remains the inefficiency fill near 0.1825
Risk profile:
Entry: 0.174โ0.176 zone
Invalidation: below 0.169
TP1: 0.1795
TP2: 0.1825
Iโm not interested in chasing. Iโm interested in absorption. This is where smart entries are born โ deep in discount, backed by displacement.
Final word:
โIf you canโt see the intention behind the pullback, youโre not trading Smart Money โ youโre reacting to it.โ
DOGE/USD 1H Short-term1. General situation on the chart
Trend: The last few dozen candles show a sideways movement with a stronger upward impulse, which was quickly corrected. We are currently seeing declines after the previous upward wave.
Current price: Approx. 0.1847 USDT.
Last structure: After the upward movement (peak around 0.205), the price dropped quite a bit, now consolidating below 0.19.
2. Formations and structures
Formation:
No clear classic formation (e.g. head-and-shoulders, triangle, flags) on the last candles.
However, something like a local peak ("double top") is visible around 0.203โ0.205 โ the price touched these areas twice and fell off, which suggests that this is a strong resistance.
Support and resistance:
Support: 0.1800โ0.1820 โ here is the last local low and the area where the price stopped before the previous upward movement.
Next support: 0.1740โ0.1750 โ the next low from the previous movements.
Resistance: 0.1900โ0.1910 โ here was the last consolidation, and then a sharp decline.
Strong resistance: 0.2030โ0.2050 (recent highs).
3. Indicators
RSI:
RSI value close to 40 and is heading slightly down, but it is not oversold yet. This may suggest that there is potentially room for further decline.
MACD:
Histogram below the 0 line, MACD line below the signal, the bearish signal is still maintained.
4. Signals and potential scenarios
Base scenario (downside):
If the price breaks below 0.1820, the next target is around 0.1750.
Stop loss in this scenario: above the last resistance, e.g. 0.1910.
Alternative scenario (rebound):
If the price does not break 0.1820, and a demand reaction occurs - we may see an attempt to return to 0.1900, or even to the peaks in the area of โโ0.2000โ0.2050.
Stop loss below 0.1800 (in the case of a long play).
5. Potential targets (by price action):
Short:
TP1: 0.1820 (nearest support, you can take some profit)
TP2: 0.1750 (next low, main target)
Long:
TP1: 0.1900 (nearest resistance)
TP2: 0.2000โ0.2050 (highs, if the movement is strong)
Summary
Currently, the chart suggests a bearish scenario.
This is confirmed by the candlestick pattern, negative dynamics and indicators (RSI, MACD).
Key level to watch: 0.1820 โ if it falls, we will probably go down to 0.1750.
If there is strong demand for 0.1820, a rebound to 0.19+ is possible.
BTC/USD Analysis โ 4H Interval (Sample Workflow)BTC/USD Analysis โ 4H Interval (Sample Workflow)
Note: I do not have access to the exact 4H chart from your screenshot, so I will perform the analysis based on the current market situation and typical price zones and setups that are worth following (you can apply them to your chart in TradingView).
๐1. Support and resistance zones
Resistance: 110,000 USD
(the last local peak and the place where a strong supply reaction was visible)
Support: 105,000 USD
(the place of the highest volumes and previous bounces, supported by POC levels from your screenshot)
Next support: 103,000 USD
(important level resulting from previous consolidations)
๐2. Trend & Price Action
Direction: In the short term, the uptrend dominates (a series of higher lows and highs), but a stronger supply wick has appeared - a local pullback is possible.
Observe: Possible correction to the nearest support zones, rebound from POC/VAL/VAH levels.
Price channels: You can draw a rectangle (channel) between 107,000 and 110,000 as the current volatility range.
๐3. Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator: Close to the overbought zone (above 75) - a signal of a possible short-term pullback.
CHOP (Choppiness Index): Low - suggests that the market has just moved from consolidation to a trend (another strong movement after the correction may develop).
๐4. Candlestick structures
Last H4 candle: Long upper shadow (a possible signal of demand exhaustion).
Watch:
Reversal patterns (e.g. pinbar, engulfing) on โโsupport/resistance zones.
๐ง 5. Scenarios and levels to watch
Bull scenario
Breakout of resistance 110,000 USD โ possible quick move to 112,000โ114,000 USD.
Condition: Increased volume and closing of 4H candle above resistance.
Bearish scenario
Bounce from 110,000 USD and drop to 107,000 or 105,000 USD.
If 105,000 USD is broken, possible retest of 103,000 USD.
XRP/USD๐1. Trend and Key Levels
General trend
In the medium term: We see a clear downtrend, marked by two wide blue trend lines (the upper line from the peak around $3.3, the lower from the local lows).
Recent weeks: Consolidation in a wide range between $2.72 and $1.98, with frequent attempts to break out.
๐2. Support and resistance levels
Green lines (resistance):
$3.16 โ the historical peak of this wave, very strong resistance.
$2.72 โ another strong resistance, around which the price was rejected several times.
$2.46 โ local resistance, currently the price is below this level.
Red lines (support):
$1.98 โ very important support, tested several times already.
$1.56 โ lower support, coinciding with the lower line of the downtrend channel.
3. Market formations and structure
Declining channel: Wide channel marked by two blue lines. Price is moving in its lower half.
Short-term descending triangle: Visible at current levels โ local peaks are getting lower, and support is around USD 1.98.
Volume: Volume advantage visible on descending candles.
๐4. Indicators
RSI
Currently around 40 โ No clear advantage of the buyer side, slightly below the neutral zone. RSI does not give a signal of overbought or oversold.
RSI-based MA โ Oscillates below the level of 50, which confirms the downtrend.
MACD
MAD and signal lines are below zero, without clear divergence.
Histogram: Slight advantage of bears โ there is no signal to reverse the trend yet.
๐ง 5. Near-term scenarios
Bullish
Condition: Breakout above the local downtrend line (~$2.20โ$2.25) and return above $2.46.
Target: $2.72 (test of resistance), further move possible to $3.16 in case of strong gains.
Bearish
Condition: Breakout and close below $1.98.
Target: $1.56 (main channel support), and even lower โ lower channel line.
Sideways scenario
Further consolidation possible in the range of $2.46โ$1.98, until a breakout from this range occurs.
๐6. Sentiment and summary
Medium-term trend: Down.
Buyers are weak, RSI low, MACD does not give a rebound signal yet.
Key level to watch: 1.98 USD โ if it falls, the next stop is 1.56 USD.
Only a return above 2.46 USD may give the first signals of a trend change.
๐ง Recommendation
For long-term players: Be careful, do not blindly catch the bottom.
For speculators: Play for a rebound only with a short stop below 1.98 USD.
For investors: Wait for a signal confirming a breakout from the channel or a clear divergence on the indicators.
Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chart๐1. Chart Context
Interval: 4 hours (H4)
Current price: Around 104,950 โ 105,400 USD
Range of recent candles: Strong rebound after a decline to around 101,000 USD.
Lower indicator: Stochastic RSI
๐2. Price Action Analysis
Market structure
Main trend (recent days): Downtrend โ from the peaks of ~114,000 USD a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Recent hours: Dynamic decline, followed by a quick, strong rebound from around 101,000 USD to ~105,000 USD.
Key technical levels
โ
Resistance:
~105,500โ106,000 USD โ local peak of the last rebound wave and earlier lows from the end of May.
~108,000 USD โ next key level, with a bigger upward movement.
Support:
~102,000โ101,000 USD โ bottom of the last movement, quick demand reaction, so-called โstop runโ or false breakout.
~99,000 USD โ psychological zone and important level in case of further declines.
๐3. Indicators
Stochastic RSI (bottom of the chart)
Currently: Stochastic RSI strongly overbought (above 80 points), both lines (blue and orange) are at the top and slightly curling.
Conclusion: Possible short-term correction/slowdown in growth. Overbought Stochastic RSI often precedes pullbacks, especially when testing important resistances.
๐ง 4. Possible scenarios
Bulls โ Upside scenario:
If BTC breaks above $105,500 with momentum, a move to $106,000โ108,000 is possible (another resistance and short squeeze).
The key will be the closing of the 4h candle above $105,500.
Bears โ Downside scenario:
If the price does not break $105,500, profit taking and a pullback to $103,000โ102,000 are possible.
Strong defense of the $101,000โ102,000 level by the bulls โ if it is broken again, it threatens to deepen the declines even to $99,000.
๐5. Additional Notes
Reduced Volatility: After such a strong bounce, there is often a period of โcalmnessโ and consolidation.
Potential Traps: False breakouts for 4h and sudden changes in direction (characteristic of the crypto market).
๐6. Warning Signals
Stochastic RSI overbought โ suggests to be cautious with long positions โon the topโ without additional confirmation.
Lack of continuation after a strong bounce โ if the price does not โreachโ higher in the next candles, the risk of a correction increases.
๐ง Summary:
Currently: BTC/USD in a short-term bounce phase after a strong decline. The price is approaching a significant resistance (~105,500 USD). Stochastic RSI shows overbought โ possible correction or sideways movement.
Direction for the next few hours: Reactions at USD 105,500 (resistance) and ~USD 102,000 (support) will be key.
BTC/USD 1H Short-Term๐1. General Context and Short-Term Trend
Short-Term Trend: The last dozen or so candles have shown strong fluctuations โ a typical sideways market (consolidation) after a clear upward impulse and a quick drop. The price is currently trading in the range of around $104,900โ$106,500.
Recent Strong Move: Clear upward impulse from around $104,900 to around $106,900, followed by a quick correction.
๐2. Supports and Resistances (H1)
Supports:
$105,000โ$105,200 โ Bottom of local wicks and several demand tests.
$104,900 โ Lowest point of the last few hours, clear buyer reaction.
Resistances:
$106,200โ$106,400 โ Upper area of โโseveral candles, strong price rejection.
106,900โ107,000 USD โ The peak of the last impulse, a place of clear supply.
โ
3. Candlestick formations and price action
Pin bar / long wick: Candles with long lower wicks are visible around 105,000 USD, which suggests that buyers are defending support.
Double top? (Double top): Peaks around 106,900 USD (03.06 and 04.06) โ a classic signal of a potential change in direction to the lower.
Possible consolidation: The last few hours have been a series of alternating candles, signaling the lack of a clear advantage of bulls or bears.
๐ง 4. Technical indicators (MACD and RSI)
MACD (lower panel)
The MACD line crossed the signal line from the bottom to the top, then a quick correction and currently the MACD is close to zero โ no clear trend, momentum has slowed down.
MACD Histogram: Declining, close to zero, suggesting potential lack of strong trend and possibility of further consolidation.
RSI (middle panel)
RSI value ~44โ48 โ not overbought or oversold, neutral market state.
No divergence โ RSI generally follows price, no strong divergences are visible.
RSI bounced off 30 (tested oversold zone and returned to neutral range).
๐ง 5. What could be important?
Volatility Squeeze: Low volatility after a sharp move often heralds another impulse.
Potential Fakeout: If support at $104,900 is broken falsely (e.g. quick wick and return), a move up could occur.
No clear trend on the hourly chart, rather sideways market in the short term.
๐Summary and scenarios
Scenario 1 (bullish):
If the $105,000-$104,900 level holds, we can expect a test of $106,200-$106,400 and perhaps another attempt to approach $107,000.
Scenario 2 (bearish):
If the $104,900 support is broken (with a candle closed below this level), the next target is around $104,500 and below.
What to watch out for?
Timing of macro data releases - may increase volatility.
Sudden breakouts from consolidation - no trend = higher risk of sudden, false moves.
