Trend Analysis
QQQ ShortBroader Market Structure (QQQ – 15m)
QQQ is in a short-term corrective phase within a larger bearish context. The prior selloff established a clear bearish structure, followed by a counter-trend rally. Price is now approaching a key area where upside looks corrective rather than impulsive. A CHoCH is marked at ~605.07; as long as price remains above this level, the pullback structure holds, but failure to reclaim higher supply keeps downside risk dominant.
Supply and Demand Zones
The upper supply zone around 618–624 is strong. Price previously sold off aggressively from this region, indicating institutional supply and unfinished business. The mid demand zone near 603–607 (highlighted green) is the first meaningful support; it has held once but shows weakening structure. Below that, the lower demand around 595–598 is stronger, formed from an impulsive rally base and likely the next magnet if the mid demand fails.
Price Action in the Marked Region
Price is currently stalling just below the lower edge of higher-timeframe supply, with smaller candles and slowing momentum. This behavior suggests distribution, not continuation. The projected path shows a potential push slightly higher into supply (liquidity grab), followed by a rotation lower back into the 603–607 zone, and possibly deeper toward 596.
Trade Bias, Direction, and Invalidation
Current trade bias is bearish. Preferred direction is a move lower into 603–607, with extension risk toward 595–598. This bearish view is invalidated on acceptance above ~624, which would signal bullish continuation and negate the supply-based rejection thesis.
Momentum and Price Behavior
Momentum is decelerating. The rally lacks strong bullish displacement and is corrective in nature. No strong bullish continuation candles are present near supply, favoring a downside rotation.
CARRARO | Buy if close above 275 | SL below 530 on closing basisCARRARO | Buy if close above 275 | SL below 530 on closing basis | Targets 680, 850
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Disclaimer (Please Read Carefully):
This is not investment advice. The stocks shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Stock market में सिर्फ risk ही risk होता है। Market में survive करने का एक ही तरीका है, stop loss को पूरी discipline के साथ accept करना। अपनी capital को protect करने का इससे बेहतर कोई तरीका नहीं है।
मैं जो भी stock यहाँ शेयर करता हूँ, वो या तो मेरी existing holding में होता है, या फिर मैं उसी level पर fresh buying या add on करता हूँ जिसे मैं mention करता हूँ।
मैं हमेशा buy करते समय अपने system में stop loss ज़रूर लगा देता हूँ, और मेरे लिए stop loss, target से भी ज़्यादा important होता है।
Target achieve होने के बाद मैं पहले profit book करता हूँ और फिर retest या fresh breakout का इंतज़ार करता हूँ।
मैं सिर्फ breakouts पर buy करता हूँ, कभी भी support पर नहीं। और मैं resistance पर sell भी नहीं करता।
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The stock market involves risk, risk, and only risk. To survive in the market, accepting stop-loss with discipline and without hesitation. There is no other way to protect you capital.
Any stock I share is either already part of my existing holding or I take a fresh entry at the same level I mention. I always place the stop-loss in my system at the time of buying, and I give the highest importance to stop-loss more than the target. Once the target is achieved, I usually book profit once and then wait for either a retest or a fresh breakout.
I buy only on breakouts, never on supports. I also do not sell at resistance levels.
That is simply my trading style.
BTC Liquidity Probe and then Liquidity Harvest laterIn the above chart, I am trying to show that the selling pressure that drove price sharply to $60,000 was engineered by market makers to test the depth of liquidity and grab some liquidity in the process. The fact that after buy orders were triggered at the support zone of $60,000 but there was no immediate follow through but a choppy and sideways price action suggests that 'they' have unfinished business below $60k. The price action we are seeing is the next step of their manipulation, it's designed to induce more buyers who will be sacrificed soon with panic selling. We need to understand that Bitcoin is getting scarce and market makers must build inventory and liquidity and this is how they are engineering it step by step.
The second liquidity sweep where the real liquidity sits around $48k to $54k is where clustered stop loss orders will be triggered along with panic sellers and margin liquidations. This is the target area for their intermediate accumulation, from about this level will there be a healthy bounce to about $80k.
Guys this is the liquidity atlas map I am looking at currently.
I hope this weekends analysis is helpful to your own due diligence.
Thank you as always for reading and listening to my publications.
Cheers my fellow traders.
HBAR Macro Chart, Wave 2 complete, ATH incoming?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR wave C of 2 ended in the expected area, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of wave 1, at a high volume node. This is the altCoin golden pocket where low-caps have the highest probability of reversing from. A long weekly lower wick was left on daily bullish engulfing candles.
If that was wave 1 then wave 3 should be powerful and take price into all-time high and beyond, with targets of the weekly R3-R5 pivots, $0.6-$0.8.
Weekly RSI has a little room to push lower into oversold but also gives it roo to produce a weekly bullish divergence. First target s the weekly pivot at $0.2.
Safe trading
Selling Bitcoin Rallies May Make More Sense NowBitcoin started the month of February on a very weak note, with price dropping roughly 25% and reaching a local low near 60k.
However, once that level was tested, buyers stepped in and BTC began to recover.
At the time of writing, price is trading back above 70k, showing that demand exists at lower levels.
🔎 Current Market View
From my perspective, the most feasible scenario for the coming period is range trading.
- Not a straight continuation up.
- Not an immediate collapse.
- But a period of balance.
A reasonable working range could be:
Ceiling: 80–83k
Floor: around 60k
⚖️ Bias and Risk Perspective
Personally, I do not believe 60k is the final bottom.
It may hold temporarily, but structurally the market still looks fragile.
Because of that, from a risk perspective:
👉 the lower-risk opportunities are on the sell side,
especially if price pushes back toward the 80k+ zone.
📌 Practical Approach
This doesn’t mean blindly shorting.
It means:
- waiting for rallies into resistance
- watching for exhaustion or rejection
- then acting with defined risk
✅ Bottom Line
BTC is likely entering a range phase, but NO, I don't think 60k was the ultimate bottom.
Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum with a healthy trend 🟠BTCUSD – Strong Bullish Trend in Play 🚀
Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum with a healthy trend structure 📈
Buyers remain in control, and continuation setups are valid.
🔑 Buy Zone:
➡️ 72,000 (Buy on pullbacks / support hold)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour (1H)
🎯 Technical Targets:
🥇 TP1: 73,800
🥈 TP2: 76,600
🥉 TP3: 79,000
⚠️ Risk Management – Must Follow 🛡️
✔️ Risk only 1–2% of your account per trade
✔️ Always use a Stop Loss below key support
✔️ Avoid over-leveraging — protect capital first
✔️ Partial profit booking recommended at targets
✔️ Trade with confirmation, not emotions
📌 Capital protection is the key to long-term success.
Big wins come from discipline, not overconfidence.
👍 Like | ➕ Follow | 💬 Comment | 🔁 Share
📊 Trade smart. Stay consistent. Stay profitable. 💯
EURCHF: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURCHF
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURCHF
Entry Point - 0.9136
Stop Loss - 0.9128
Take Profit - 0.9151
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychologicaal Level 1.06000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100% 105% TPT
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Oracle (ORCL) - "Buy The Dip" Value Area! Oracle (ORCL) is like a huge “digital plumbing” company for businesses. A lot of the world’s biggest companies run their most important data on Oracle. Now AI is making companies need way more computing power + way more data organization, and Oracle is in a strong spot to benefit.
📊 Value Zones on My Chart
Good Value Area: $140 – $180
Great Value Area: $80 – $140
Price is now entering levels where long-term investors often start building positions rather than chasing higher prices.
✅ Why ORCL can be a “value buy zone” here
1) Oracle is already “installed” inside big companies
Oracle databases and software are deeply built into how large businesses operate. Switching away can be expensive and risky, so customers tend to stick around (that’s a moat).
2) AI needs two things Oracle is good at:
Massive computing power (cloud infrastructure)
Secure, organized data (databases)
AI isn’t just a chatbot. Businesses want AI that uses their private data safely, and Oracle’s core products are made for that.
🧠 The AI Moat (what makes Oracle hard to replace)
1) AI compute demand is pushing customers to Oracle Cloud (OCI)
Oracle has been landing real AI infrastructure business. OpenAI selected Oracle Cloud Infrastructure to extend Microsoft Azure’s AI platform capacity (basically: “we need more horsepower, and OCI is part of the solution”).
2) Oracle + NVIDIA partnership strengthens Oracle’s AI infrastructure
Oracle and NVIDIA announced collaboration around bringing NVIDIA’s newest AI hardware and services into OCI (including adoption of NVIDIA Grace Blackwell and DGX Cloud on OCI). That’s a big deal because NVIDIA is the “picks-and-shovels” provider of the AI gold rush.
3) Oracle + Microsoft = “best of both worlds” multicloud
Oracle Database@Azure keeps expanding. This matters because many companies want Azure for apps, but Oracle for databases. Oracle is meeting customers where they already are instead of forcing them to move everything.
🤝 Partnerships / Positioning (simple DD)
OpenAI using OCI capacity = Oracle is relevant in the highest-demand AI workloads.
NVIDIA + Oracle = Oracle is aligning with the #1 AI infrastructure ecosystem.
Microsoft + Oracle = Oracle is getting distribution through Azure customers.
📈 Why the outlook can surprise people
Many investors still think of Oracle as “old tech.” But the story has shifted:
Oracle is pushing hard into cloud infrastructure
AI is increasing demand for compute + data + security
Oracle is positioning as a serious AI infrastructure +
database backbone for enterprises If your chart is showing a “value buy area,” the fundamental bull case is basically:
“This isn’t just a legacy software company, it’s a core enterprise data + AI infrastructure platform that can re-rate higher if cloud/AI growth keeps compounding.”
🔥 Catalysts to watch
More announcements of large AI infrastructure customers
Continued expansion of Oracle Database@Azure regions
Proof in results that OCI growth and AI-related demand is accelerating
🧾 My quick note
This is not financial advice. I’m sharing my research + chart thesis. Always do your own research and manage your own risks.
USDCAD Approaching Smart Money Sell ZoneUSDCAD is currently transitioning from an impulsive bearish leg into a corrective phase, but the broader structure still favors downside continuation. The recent selloff appears more like institutional distribution rather than a completed trend, and the ongoing rebound is likely a positioning-driven retracement rather than a true reversal.
From a technical perspective, price is attempting a pullback after breaking below a descending channel, a behavior typically associated with exhaustion followed by mean reversion. The key area to monitor now sits between 1.3750 and 1.3850, where dynamic trendline resistance aligns with a prior supply zone. If price rotates into this region and shows rejection, the probability of a lower high formation increases significantly. Above that, the macro supply cluster around 1.3880–1.3950 represents the critical invalidation zone. A sustained break above it would force a reassessment of the bearish narrative. Until then, rallies should be viewed as potential selling opportunities rather than trend shifts.
Looking at the Commitment of Traders, the Canadian Dollar is starting to show signs of accumulation. Speculators have aggressively reduced short exposure, a classic early signal of strengthening currency flows. At the same time, positioning on the US Dollar Index is flattening, suggesting the crowded long-dollar trade may be losing momentum. When CAD strength meets USD positioning fatigue, the result often translates into medium-term downside pressure for USDCAD.
Seasonality further reinforces this scenario. Historically, the pair tends to form a temporary top between February and early March before weakening into spring. This pattern aligns well with the current technical rebound, increasing the probability that the market is preparing for another leg lower rather than building a base.
Retail positioning adds an additional contrarian signal. Approximately 70% of traders are currently long, which typically indicates that smart money liquidity sits above the market. Retail participants often attempt to buy perceived bottoms, while larger players use these rallies to re-enter short exposure.
Putting everything together, technical structure, COT flows, seasonality, and sentiment, the path of least resistance still appears skewed to the downside.
Primary scenario: A corrective rally into 1.3750–1.3850 followed by bearish confirmation could open the door for a continuation toward 1.3550, with a deeper extension targeting 1.3470.
Should macro USD weakness accelerate, a move toward the 1.3350 region cannot be ruled out.
Invalidation: A daily acceptance above 1.3950 would suggest a structural shift and delay the bearish continuation.
ADAUSDT(cardano)If this support is lost and the descending triangle pattern proves valid and the price follows it, CARDANO will fall below 20 cents for a long time. But since the crypto market often breaks rules and patterns, maybe this time it will reverse again and, after breaking the triangle, push the price back above 60 cents.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EXPECT MORE DROP BEFORE THE ACTUAL BUY RESUMES!!!BTCUSD has a high tendency to drop more about 25% before the actual bullish move starts. The global trend remains bullish but the aggressive correction that’s currently happening can push price as low as $49,900 I’d be positioning myself for a buy once I see price around the $49.9k
USDCHFUSDCHF price is near the support zone of 0.77528-0.77352. If the price fails to break through 0.77352, a rebound is expected.
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US30 Consolidation Growth momentumUS30 trading within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a medium-term bullish trend. Price has consistently respected both the upper resistance and lower support boundaries of the channel, indicating strong trend structure and controlled momentum.
Recently, price produced a strong impulsive bullish breakout from the mid-range consolidation zone, pushing above prior resistance around the 49,600–49,800 area. This move suggests renewed buying strength and continuation intent.
Tecnically the breakout, price is currently consolidating just below the upper channel resistance, forming a short-term pullback this behaviour is typical of bullish continuation, where the market digests gains before the next directional move.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
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