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Trend Analysis

BTCUSDT Compression Below Resistance Signals Expansion To 71,800Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin previously traded within a well-defined range, where price respected both the upper and lower boundaries for an extended period. This consolidation phase reflected balance between buyers and sellers, with multiple reactions from range highs and lows. Eventually, price broke down from the range, signaling a loss of bullish control and the start of a corrective bearish phase. Following the range breakdown, BTC entered a descending channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Price respected the falling resistance line, confirming sustained selling pressure and controlled downside continuation rather than a volatile sell-off. During this move, several corrective bounces were capped by the descending resistance, reinforcing the bearish structure. Currently, BTCUSDT is consolidating above the Buyer Zone, while also attempting to break and hold above a newly formed ascending support line. This behavior suggests that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are gradually gaining control. The recent breakout attempts from minor resistance indicate early bullish intent, although price is still capped below the key Seller Zone / Resistance near 71,800. My primary scenario favors a move higher toward the 71,800 resistance level (TP1), which aligns with the Seller Zone and previous breakdown area. A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm a deeper recovery and potentially signal a trend shift. However, a strong rejection from the Seller Zone could lead to another pullback toward the Buyer Zone. A decisive breakdown below the 68,000 support and loss of the ascending support line would invalidate the bullish recovery scenario and open the door for renewed downside continuation. For now, BTCUSDT shows signs of stabilization after a strong drop, with buyers defending demand and price compressing below resistance — a classic setup for a potential breakout move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
25
Pound-yen retraces after clear results from the electionThe yen gained across the board from 9 February as traders woke up to news of a landslide victory by Japan’s coalition government, with the main partner the Liberal Democratic Party showing its best ever results since its foundation in the 1950s. The government’s very large majority in Japan’s lower house removes the possibility of political instability there for the time being while many participants are increasingly convinced that the government’s fiscal plans will aid growth without pressuring public finances excessively. Against this backdrop, some continuation downward sooner or later would normally be likely, with the confluence of the 38.2% weekly Fibonacci retracement and the 200 SMA being an obvious though quite aggressive target. However, the price is currently testing the 100 SMA and 23.6% weekly Fibo, so it’d be possible to see consolidation around here for some time or possibly a bounce. Lukewarm GDP from Britain on 12 February means that traders are concentrating more intently on the upcoming job report on 17 February. Higher claimant count change for January or higher unemployment for December might hit the pound here and elsewhere to drive the price lower. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Short
by Michael_Stark_Exness
EURJPY-1H SETUP Price shows a clear corrective structure after an extended bearish move, with momentum shifting as price reclaims short-term resistance and trades above the moving average. A descending trendline breakout combined with higher lows suggests bullish continuation potential. 🔹 Entry Zone: 181.90 – 182.10 🔹 Stop Loss: Below 181.58 structure support 🔹 Target 1: 182.95 🔹 Target 2: 184.90 Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above key intraday support. Patience on confirmation and disciplined risk management remain key.
Long
by Fm254
Bitcoin Cash bullish continuationIt is the third time BCH moves below EMA377, yesterday, just to recover—once more. This is another confirmation of support and the final one. This development opens up a higher high next, a price tag above the $669 high, a multiple years high, and a main target of $822 short-term (within 30 days). The action here is true for the altcoins market. The crash happened on the 5th of February. The recovery happened the next day, on the 6th. Then we have some consolidation, a minor retrace and today a continuation. This is true for Bitcoin and many other projects. All followed the exact same price dynamics. Many moved first. All these altcoins hit bottom on the 6th of February, recover on the same day with really high volume. Today, a higher low is already in and the resumption of the bullish recovery. Today, all bearish action ceases completely. Notice that the 6-February low, $423, remains unchallenged. Not even close to be tested. The lowest price happened yesterday at $498. Bitcoin Cash stays bullish and this supports a marketwide advance. Many projects have been growing for months. This is it... We are going up. This is a perfect day for very strong bullish action. Mark my words. It is now or never. Early is better than late. Fortune will favor those that take action. Thank you for reading. Good morning Saturn... Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
GOLD CPI move, is this selling continuation pattern? or not??#GOLD CPI DAY most important day of the week n month as well. as we mentioned that from 4975 to 4990 that is most comfort region/zone for traders. mean there is no aggression in between that range. But you will see when market clear that region for either side breakout. and downside we have our most important region for downside breakout that is around 4905 to 4915 16 have a good day n good luck to all. good luck trade wisely
FX:XAUUSD
by AdilHussain731333
2
POL: ready for a rebound? key levels to watch in the coming daysPOL – tired of bleeding or just loading the spring for the next move? According to market sources, fresh headlines around the Polygon 2.0 migration and new incentives for builders lit up the ecosystem today, and intraday volume picked up right away. On the chart we’re sitting right on a chunky demand zone where buyers defended price several times already. On the 4H, RSI bounced from oversold and is pushing above its signal line, while the visible range volume profile shows a fat node a bit higher, around the first red supply block. I’m leaning long from this green zone, aiming for a squeeze into the 0.103–0.11 area as late shorts get uncomfortable. I might be wrong, but this looks more like accumulation than a safe downtrend continuation. ✅ My base plan: hold longs while price stays above the lower edge of demand around 0.088 and watch for a clean 4H close above local resistance to confirm strength. If bulls fail and we lose that 0.088 support, I step aside and let it drift toward deeper liquidity below 0.085. Until then, I treat dips into the green zone as potential reload spots, scaling out near the first red supply blocks.
by Trade_Logic_AI
Using Smaller Contracts to Trade Silver After the Flush Silver rarely tends to trend in a straight line, often abruptly repricing in phases, particularly when positioning becomes crowded or leverage builds into the move. The latest decline appears to be less a reassessment of long-term fundamentals and more a function of market mechanics. The appointment of a new Fed Chair has introduced a regime shift in volatility. As margin requirements adjusted to this new landscape, leveraged participants faced a significant squeeze.  Evidently, many positions were trimmed not on Silver’s thesis, but because the cost of maintaining them increased. With price action driven by deleveraging rather than deterioration in demand or supply, such moves tend to overshoot. Once forced reductions run their course, price behaviour often becomes more orderly than headlines (and fundamentals) would imply. Against that backdrop, CME’s new 100-ounce Silver futures contract is arriving at a practical moment. In an environment where margin sensitivity has become a dominant variable, contract size is all the more consequential, directly affecting how precisely exposure can be adjusted during periods of stress. THE POST-CRASH SETUP The recent rally and slide in silver coincided with a visible rise and retreat in implied volatility.  As volatility increases, margin requirements rise, and leveraged participants are forced to reduce their exposure, also amplifying the initial price move. The recent compression in CVOL to pre-rally levels indicates a transition toward stabilisation rather than further accelerating stress. Source: CME CVOL On the fundamental side, the medium-term backdrop for Silver has not deteriorated. Industrial demand tied to solar installations, grid expansion and broader electrification trends remains intact. These are not short-cycle impulses but multi-year demand channels that do not reprice week to week. Source: CME QuikStrike Recent changes in Open Interest for Silver Futures also suggest that the post-crash landscape has renewed interest in downside protection for the near-term weekly contracts and the March contract (SOJ6), while for the front-month (SOH6) contract, the leaning is overwhelmingly bullish. The Gold-Silver Ratio (GSR) provides additional perspective. The ratio went below its mean of 67 in mid-December, hit its recent low around 43, but now remains close to the average value at 65. With volatility much lower than before and a stabilisation in the GSR, directional moves in silver are not unlikely, especially with upcoming events (or lack thereof) in the pipeline. CHINA, LIQUIDITY WINDOWS, AND CNY SEASONALITY When the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) pauses trading for the holiday while COMEX remains open, liquidity becomes uneven. With one of the largest physical-demand centres temporarily offline, price discovery shifts disproportionately to Western markets. The window between the SHFE close and its reopening can coincide with outsized moves in silver futures, particularly when positioning or inventories were already stretched going into the break. Without the balancing flow from Shanghai, intraday moves can extend further than they otherwise might. Source: Ceicdata Tracking changes in inventory levels can also reveal whether price swings are rooted in physical tightness, speculative adjustment, or cross-market arbitrage pressures. SHFE last reported about 350 Ton, which is a 75% decline year-on-year. Near-term domestic tightness on the SHFE has been a topic of discussion for months now. Even COMEX inventories have been drained recently, as the narrative becomes more about the physical metal.  Source: TrendForce Global demand signals from the East remain a primary driver of the inventory drain.  When Shanghai closes for the Chinese New Year, and COMEX continues trading, global prices would continue to move on macro flows in the absence of Chinese participation, only to re-adjust once SHFE reopens and domestic (supply-based) positioning re-enters the market. In addition, starting 01/Mar, the SHFE would begin enforcing stricter hedging quotas and require participants to prove physical business ties for their silver positions. MARKET STRUCTURE INDICATORS Positioning data reinforces the idea that this was a stress event rather than a collapse, and investors have started positioning accordingly. Source: CME QuikStrike For the front-month contract expiring on 24/Feb, over 260 calls were added for the $85 strike, while almost 200 ITM puts were removed at the $81 strike. Some near-the-money puts were added as protection, but ITM puts being closed and far OTM calls being added signals a bullish outlook for the next 10 days. A similar dynamic was observed during the February–April 2021 silver correction, when prices retraced sharply following the initial rally and margin increases. After the liquidation phase subsided, silver stabilised near pre-rally levels before resuming its upward trajectory. Over the subsequent 48-day period, COMEX Silver futures rose approximately 19%, moving from USD 24.05 per ounce to USD 28.63 per ounce. For CME Silver futures, each standard COMEX contract represents 5,000 troy ounces of silver. This implies that every USD 1.00 move in the silver price corresponds to USD 5,000 per contract. Illustrative P&L calculation: Entry level : USD 24.05 per ounce Exit level : USD 28.63 per ounce Net price move : USD 4.58 per ounce Profit per contract: USD 4.58 × 5,000 ounces = USD 22,900 per contract. WHY THE 100-OUNCE CONTRACT IS TIMELY CME’s move towards a percentage-based margin has increased the capital sensitivity of silver exposure. In high-volatility environments, effective margin requirements can spike significantly, often requiring traders to hold upward of 50–60% of notional value to weather intraday swings. For a standard 5,000-ounce silver contract, this becomes capital-intensive quickly. A trader forced to reduce exposure due to margin pressure often has little room to scale gradually. The 100-ounce contract changes that dynamic. At one-fiftieth the size of the standard contract, it allows: Gradual position building after volatility resets, Cleaner partial hedging of physical or ETF exposure, More precise risk calibration during macro event windows. In volatile commodities, flexibility is often more valuable than leverage. The smaller contract makes that flexibility accessible to investors. This content is sponsored. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading setups and more effectively express market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs at tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER, the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by mintdotfinance
SMC + FVG Buy Setup — Bitcoin HTF Demand Date: 13 February 2026 ## 1) Higher Timeframe Bias (Don’t rush the entry) **Use:** Monthly / Weekly From the chart: * Buyside liquidity is sitting above (old highs / potential ATH) * A **Bullish BOS (Break of Structure)** already happened * Price has now dropped into a **bullish order block + FVG demand zone** This usually means: > The move down is not a real bearish trend — it is a liquidity delivery into demand. Smart money is grabbing sell-side liquidity and re-loading positions. So your directional bias = **BULLISH**. You are not buying randomly. You are buying **only inside HTF demand**. --- ## 2) Identify the POI (Point of Interest) Your POI is the area where three things overlap: • Bullish Order Block • Fair Value Gap (FVG) • Sell-side liquidity sweep This confluence is important. An FVG alone is weak. But **FVG + Order Block + Liquidity** = institutional interest. This zone becomes your **buying area**, not the exact entry. You DO NOT buy immediately when price touches the zone. You wait for confirmation. --- ## 3) What You Wait For (Very Important — This is where traders fail) Drop to **H4 → H1 → M15** Inside the zone you need 3 confirmations: ### Step 1 — Liquidity Sweep Price must take a low. * equal lows * previous swing low * panic sell candle This tells you sellers entered late and got trapped. --- ### Step 2 — Displacement After the sweep, you want a **strong impulsive bullish candle**. Signs of displacement: * large bullish candle * multiple candles in one direction * creates a **new bullish FVG** This is the real signal that smart money entered. No displacement = no trade. --- ### Step 3 — Market Structure Shift (MSS / CHoCH) Price must **break a lower timeframe swing high**. This is the confirmation that: > control shifted from sellers → buyers. Now the setup becomes valid. --- ## 4) The Actual Entry (This is the FVG trade) Now you wait. Do NOT chase the impulse candle. After displacement, price will retrace. You enter at: > The newly formed bullish FVG (created during displacement) This is the safest SMC entry. **Entry:** **Stop Loss:** Below the liquidity sweep low **Why?** If price breaks that low, the smart money narrative is invalid. --- ## 5) Targets (Very Important) Your targets should always be **liquidity**, not random RR. Target 1: Previous internal highs (first liquidity) Target 2: External highs Target 3 (runner): ATH / Buyside liquidity In your chart specifically: Price is likely aiming for the **buyside liquidity above the range**. --- ## 6) Trade Logic (The story of the trade) This is what actually happened: 1. Market formed bullish structure 2. Retail traders bought late 3. Smart money pushed price down 4. Sell stops were triggered (liquidity taken) 5. Price entered HTF demand 6. Institutions accumulated 7. Expansion up toward liquidity You are not predicting the market. You are simply **joining smart money after they reveal their position**. --- ## Simple Rule to Remember > Never buy a falling market. > Buy only after a liquidity sweep + displacement + FVG retest inside HTF demand. That is a high-probability SMC buy.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSD
by Asif_Brain_Waves
Nifty levels - Feb 16, 2026Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
AAPL (Apple) Stock Update, Price DecreaseAs of today Apple stock market traded between a low of $267.33 and high of $271.88. shares are currently priced at $269.48, with the stock down to 2%. well thanks to the success of the iPhone 17 series, Apple has seen "unprecedent demand," according to CEO Tim Cook. however strong demand could be challenging due to supply chain issues at the moment. India is pushing to boost its electronics manufacturing, with Apple, increasingly betting on the shift away from china. Apple investors are focused less on any one headline and more on the ongoing tension between costs and capacity. In respect of the structure, it shows a sell signal eyeing 251.25 -243.63 as anticipated drop limit. Thanks for reading.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Blaisefxacademy
ETHUSD – Bearish Trend Continuation Below Descending Trendline ETHUSD on the 2H timeframe is trading within a clear downtrend, respecting a descending trendline that continues to cap price. After a strong sell-off, price formed a consolidation range near a key resistance zone and the Ichimoku cloud, but failed to reclaim it. The market is now making lower highs and holding below dynamic resistance, suggesting bearish continuation pressure. The highlighted downside target zone reflects a potential next support area if selling momentum persists.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
5
DXY – 4H | Supply Reaction – Bearish Continuation SetupDXY – 4H | Supply Reaction – Bearish Continuation Setup The Dollar Index continues to trade within a broader bearish structure on the 4H timeframe. The current upward movement appears corrective rather than impulsive. 🔎 Technical Structure: Lower high sequence remains intact. Recent bounce lacks strong displacement characteristics. Price is reacting into a clearly defined supply zone. Prior breakdown area is now acting as potential resistance. 📌 Primary Scenario: As long as price fails to establish acceptance above the 97.20 region, downside continuation toward the 96.10 – 95.90 liquidity pocket remains the higher probability path. Such a move would align with: Confirmation of another lower high Liquidity sweep below recent lows Continuation of the prevailing bearish trend ⚠️ Invalidation: A strong 4H close above the supply zone, shifting short-term structure bullish. Dollar weakness from this region could provide tailwinds for major pairs, particularly EURUSD. Clear structure. Defined risk. Continuation bias. Risk management remains non-negotiable.
TVC:DXYShort
by Nurlan_PT
EURUSD – Bearish Breakdown After Range Failure (H1) EURUSD on the 1H timeframe shows a strong impulsive rally that moved inside an ascending channel, followed by a period of consolidation (range) near the highs. Price then broke down sharply from the range and dropped below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. The current structure suggests weak follow-through to the upside, with price consolidating below resistance and a potential continuation move toward the highlighted downside target zone.
Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
2