Get started

Trend Analysis

BankNifty levels - Feb 16, 2026Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nasdaq 100 May Retest This Year’s LowNasdaq 100 May Retest This Year’s Low As the chart of the Nasdaq 100 index shows, bearish sentiment currently dominates the equity market. Yesterday, the technology index fell by around 2%. Why Is the Nasdaq 100 Declining? According to media reports, developments linked to the expansion of AI are weighing on the market: → Major technology firms are sharply increasing capital expenditure on infrastructure, yet there is little clarity on when these investments will begin to generate returns. For instance, Google issued bonds this week, including 100-year debt. → The impact of AI on traditional business models, particularly companies operating in the software sector. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart When analysing Nasdaq 100 price action on 2 February, we: → identified a resistance zone (highlighted in orange) and marked the key 25,900 resistance level; → noted that bears had taken the initiative and suggested they would need to maintain control around the 25,500 area — where the ascending channel had previously been broken. Since then, bulls managed to break above this zone, but only briefly, testing the 25,900 level. As indicated by the arrow, the move was short-lived and prices soon fell back below, signalling the bulls’ inability to sustain upward momentum. A sequence of lower highs has allowed a descending trend line (R) to be drawn. If the consolidation that began last evening reflects a temporary balance between supply and demand, a median line can be plotted, with a lower channel boundary beneath it. Under a continued downward trend scenario, this configuration points to the potential for the Nasdaq 100 to set a fresh low for the year. Whether this outlook materialises will largely depend on US inflation data. The CPI report is due for release today at 16:30 (GMT+3). Traders should be prepared for heightened volatility. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
ETHUSD – Bearish Trend Continuation Below Descending Trendline ETHUSD on the 2H timeframe is trading within a clear downtrend, respecting a descending trendline that continues to cap price. After a strong sell-off, price formed a consolidation range near a key resistance zone and the Ichimoku cloud, but failed to reclaim it. The market is now making lower highs and holding below dynamic resistance, suggesting bearish continuation pressure. The highlighted downside target zone reflects a potential next support area if selling momentum persists.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
5
EURUSD – Bearish Breakdown After Range Failure (H1) EURUSD on the 1H timeframe shows a strong impulsive rally that moved inside an ascending channel, followed by a period of consolidation (range) near the highs. Price then broke down sharply from the range and dropped below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. The current structure suggests weak follow-through to the upside, with price consolidating below resistance and a potential continuation move toward the highlighted downside target zone.
Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
2
USDJPY Long1. The Indication — price was held by sellers at the upper blue box before price broke through. When price action broke out of this area buyers had control up to 157.662. 2. The Correction — Price ran into the new level of sellers at 157.662 then corrected back into the original range. 3. The Continuation —If price gets above 154.051 again I anticipate price reaching my TP at the newly identified level of sellers 157.662. I am wrong about the trade if price breaks the lower blue box, this level is where the bulls have held up price. Let's see what happens!
Long
by CashFalcon
XAUUSD: Bullish Push to 5250?FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from the upward trendline after recent pullback, converging with a potential entry zone near support that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a continuation opportunity in the uptrend, targeting higher resistance levels with more than 1:4 risk-reward .🔥 Entry between 4800–4850 for a long position (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 5250 . Set a stop loss at a close below 4750 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:4 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's resilience near the trendline.🌟 Fundamentally , gold is trading around $4,976 in mid-February 2026, with today's key US Dollar event being the CPI release for January at 8:30 AM ET (13:30 UTC), forecast at 0.3% MoM and 2.5% YoY, where hotter-than-expected inflation could strengthen USD and pressure gold lower, while softer readings boost safe-haven demand. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Long): 4800 – 4850 (Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & position sizing.) 🎯 Target: • 5250 ❌ Stop Loss: • Close below 4750 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • > 1:4 💡 Your view? Does gold extend toward 5250 after defending trendline support, or will CPI volatility trigger a deeper correction first? 👇
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Master_Hunter
5
Lingrid | USDCHF Corrective Move Against Bearish TrendOANDA:USDCHF is climbing within a short-term pullback channel, but the broader structure remains capped by a dominant bearish trend. The recent advance appears to be a corrective bounce rather than a structural reversal, as price is approaching dynamic resistance near 0.7740. This zone aligns with the upper boundary of the larger bearish channel, where prior distribution phases developed. If upside momentum stalls beneath that ceiling, the pair could resume its prevailing downward trajectory toward 0.7644 initially, with a potential extension toward horizontal demand and lower channel. Failure to break and sustain above the descending trendline would likely reinforce the bearish framework. ➡️ Primary scenario: rejection from 0.7740 → decline toward 0.7644. ⚠️ Risk scenario: sustained acceptance above 0.7740 may weaken the bearish outlook and expose 0.7800 next. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
4
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to 100% Fibo (59.144).As for oil, a major ABC correction in wave B of a higher order continues. Wave “C” should be approximately equal to wave “A”, so I expect a correction in wave ‘B’ to the level of 63.789, followed by a decline in wave “C” to the level of 100% Fibonacci extension 59.144. There is a possibility of wave “A” extending into the same area, but a correction before the decline seems more attractive and correct. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
13
Lingrid | TONUSDT Market at Key Resistance - Potential ShortOKX:TONUSDT perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price is testing upper boundary of a well-defined descending channel, where multiple prior reactions have emerged. The recent advance appears corrective rather, climbing into a confluence of dynamic resistance and horizontal supply near 1.40–1.42. Structure still reflects a sequence of lower highs on the broader slope, suggesting that upside attempts may be vulnerable if sellers defend this region. If price fails to secure acceptance above the channel lid, it could rotate lower toward 1.33 first, with a deeper slide potentially extending toward lower levels. That diagonal base may act as the next liquidity pocket should bearish pressure accelerate. ➡️ Primary scenario: rejection from 1.40–1.42 → continuation toward 1.33. ⚠️ Risk scenario: sustained breakout above 1.42 could invalidate the short bias and shift momentum toward 1.48. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
1
QQQ Structure Points to a Higher‑Degree Pullback from April 2025The Nasdaq‑100 Index ETF (QQQ) has completed the cycle that began from the April 7, 2025 low, and the instrument is now entering a larger‑degree corrective phase. The decline from the October 29, 2025 high is unfolding as a double‑three Elliott Wave structure, which reflects a more complex form of correction. From the October 29 peak, wave W ended at $580.74, followed by a recovery in wave X that reached $637.56. After this rebound, the ETF turned lower again and began wave Y. The internal structure of wave Y is developing as a zigzag, which is consistent with the broader corrective theme. From the wave X high, wave ((a)) declined to $587.44, while wave ((b)) retraced to $617.52. This sequence sets the stage for the next leg lower within wave Y. In the near term, the bearish outlook remains valid as long as the pivot at $637.56 stays intact. If the pivot holds, QQQ is expected to extend lower toward the typical Fibonacci targets associated with a double‑three structure. The 100% to 161.8% extension of wave W projects a potential downside area between $545 and $579. This zone represents the next logical region where buyers may attempt to stabilize the decline and where the correction could reach completion.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Elliottwave-Forecast
QQQ — Deep Bearish Consensus**QQQ — Deep Bearish Consensus, 1-vs-13 Leading Line Rejection Signals Structural Breakdown** The Nasdaq 100 ETF is in trouble. Multi-timeframe scoring reads Bull 21% vs Bear 79% — a deep bearish classification with a 58.49% conviction spread. The detailed breakdown confirms it at 30.6% vs 69.4% with a 38.7% spread classified as "Strong BEAR" across 51% signal clarity. Nearly four out of every five directional signals are pointing down. One number stands out above everything else. The close-vs-leading-line analysis reads 1 bullish vs 13 bearish. Thirteen out of fourteen timeframes — from 3-minute to monthly — show price sitting below its key reference line. Only a single timeframe disagrees. This is as close to unanimous bearish rejection as you will see. It means the weakness is not isolated to scalp or swing timeframes. It is structural. Every level of the market agrees that price is below where it should be. The remaining factors reinforce the picture. Candle bias reads 4 bullish vs 10 bearish — sellers are closing candles lower across the majority of timeframes. Ichimoku crossovers show 3 bullish vs 9 bearish. EMA trend reads 3 vs 8. Two evening star reversal patterns are active with zero bullish patterns detected — the candle pattern total is 0 bullish vs 2 bearish. There is not a single bullish structural signal strong enough to counter the trend. The retrace and recovery data confirm the weakness. Price has pulled back -5.9% from recent highs — that is a meaningful decline, well past the shallow retrace zone and into deep pullback territory. The bounce recovery is just 2.1%, giving a recovery ratio of 0.4x classified as "Partial." Price has recovered only 40% of its drop. That is one of the weakest recovery readings possible. Buyers are barely showing up. When the recovery ratio sits below 0.5x during a multi-timeframe bearish consensus of this magnitude, it typically means the selling is not done. Supply and demand structure shows 8 active demand zones versus just 1 supply zone. Price has been falling through resistance levels and stacking up demand zones below. Eight demand zones provide some theoretical cushioning, but in a deep bearish trend they often act as speed bumps rather than reversal points — price touches the zone, bounces weakly, then breaks through on the next attempt. No squeeze is building. Momentum reads bearish and declining with 5.98% bandwidth. This is not a compressed market waiting for direction — it is an expanded market trending in one direction with conviction. The absence of a squeeze means there is no coiled energy to produce a sharp reversal. The path of least resistance is continuation. Volume is quiet but telling a clear story. The Z-score reads -0.86, classified as "Quiet." Volume sits at 416.8K shares ($250.02M). Momentum is deeply negative at -1.47, classified as "Decelerating." The one-bar vs five-bar comparison shows a dramatic shift from 0.61 down to -0.86 — volume was present during the initial decline but has since drained away. Directional volume reads neutral with bull-bear Z-scores at -0.6 vs -0.4. No whale activity. No volume squeeze building. The volume contraction at 375.7% bandwidth on the spot momentum indicator shows volume is compressing downward — not building for a reversal, but simply dying off. This is the signature of a market grinding lower on diminishing interest rather than capitulating on a volume climax. Capitulation would be preferable — at least that marks an emotional extreme. Quiet grinding is harder to bottom because there is no flush event to reset sentiment. No futures data is available for QQQ through this framework, so premium and funding analysis cannot be applied. The read is based purely on price structure, multi-timeframe momentum, volume behavior, and pattern detection. What would signal a bottom forming: The close-vs-leading-line reading needs to start flipping. Moving from 1/13 to even 5/9 would suggest the lowest timeframes are turning. Volume Z-score needs to spike above 2.0 — a capitulation event that marks emotional exhaustion. Recovery ratio needs to climb above 1.0x, showing buyers can actually reclaim more ground than they lose. None of these conditions are present today. What to watch for further downside: Multi-timeframe bear readings push above 80%. The retrace deepens past -7% while recovery ratio drops below 0.3x. Demand zones at lower levels start breaking one by one. Each broken demand zone below removes a support level and opens the door to the next. Bottom line: QQQ is in a deep multi-timeframe bearish trend with one of the most lopsided leading-line rejections possible at 1-vs-13. Recovery is weak at 0.4x, volume is quiet and decelerating, no squeeze is building to produce a reversal, and no capitulation volume has appeared to mark an extreme. This market is grinding lower with structural conviction. Until the leading-line factor starts flipping and volume shows up with intent, there is no reason to step in front of this train. --- **Direction:** Short **Tags:** QQQ, Nasdaq, bearish, trend, multitimeframe, volumeanalysis, equities
NASDAQ:QQQ
by stingrayea
AAPL (Apple) Stock Update, Price DecreaseAs of today Apple stock market traded between a low of $267.33 and high of $271.88. shares are currently priced at $269.48, with the stock down to 2%. well thanks to the success of the iPhone 17 series, Apple has seen "unprecedent demand," according to CEO Tim Cook. however strong demand could be challenging due to supply chain issues at the moment. India is pushing to boost its electronics manufacturing, with Apple, increasingly betting on the shift away from china. Apple investors are focused less on any one headline and more on the ongoing tension between costs and capacity. In respect of the structure, it shows a sell signal eyeing 251.25 -243.63 as anticipated drop limit. Thanks for reading.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Blaisefxacademy
BTCUSD 15M | Support Hold Aiming for 69.9K BreakoutStructure Overview: Clear ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows. Strong impulsive breakout toward 68.8K. Current price consolidating above support (68.5K–68.6K zone). Bullish continuation likely if support holds. 📈 Trade Setup: Entry: 68,500–68,600 (support retest area) Stop Loss: Below 68,100 (under structure support) Target: 69,900–70,000 (upper resistance / liquidity zone) 🧠 Market Logic: Buyers stepped in aggressively from channel support and pushed price toward local highs. The consolidation above 68.5K suggests absorption rather than rejection. As long as price holds above the support block, continuation toward 69.9K liquidity looks probable. A breakdown below 68.1K would weaken the bullish structure and shift bias short-term bearish.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Market_Mind