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Trend Analysis

BTC Update: Higher Lows Holding, Slow Grind Up – Boring Is GoodBTC continues to look solid here. Over the past several days we’ve seen a steady sequence of higher lows forming, even though price action has been slow, choppy, and not particularly exciting. But that’s exactly what you want in this phase of the market. Boring, controlled chop is how Bitcoin builds structure and absorbs supply before making any larger moves. The key takeaway: buyers continue stepping in earlier each time, defending levels and maintaining the upward tilt. That’s a constructive sign. I still think there’s a real possibility we eventually get a deeper liquidity flush down toward that major support level below – markets love to test those zones before committing to bigger trend legs. But the important part is that BTC has held up very well throughout the past week. No breakdown, no loss of structure, and the chop is leaning upward rather than downward. Surviving the chop is the goal. And right now, Bitcoin is doing just that. Quiet strength.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by OnchainNewsBlog
UNH Momentum Play ¦ MA Breakout + Structure Aligning for Bullish📈 UNH – UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC. (NYSE) | Swing Trade Profit Playbook 🟢 🧠 Trade Thesis UNH is building momentum after clearing major pressure zones, and the chart structure hints at a bullish continuation once price powers above the breakout zone. Trend strength + MA positioning + momentum shift = a clean technical setup for swing traders. ⚡📊 🚀 Trade Plan (Bullish Breakout Play) 🔓 Breakout Entry Zone Primary Entry: Above $340.00 breakout level OR: Any price after a clean MA breakout confirmation 🔥📈 (Whichever comes first with volume is valid.) 🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief SL) SL: $300.00 💬 "Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), I’m NOT recommending you copy my SL blindly. Entry & SL are your own choice — you make money, you take money at your own risk." 😎🔐 🎯 Take-Profit Zone Targeting $420.00 Why? Kijun Line acting as strong resistance Overbought conditions aligning Likely bull trap zone → perfect place to escape with profits 🏃‍♂️💨💰 💬 "Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), TP is YOUR choice too — this is just my map. Manage your bag wisely." 😉 📌 Additional Market Notes Kijun MA = heavy ceiling. Price currently sitting in a trap-prone region, so trade execution timing matters. Breakout confirmation + sustained volume = stronger conviction. 🔍 Related Pairs / Correlations to Watch These assets often reflect broader US healthcare / insurance sector flows or large-cap market sentiment: NYSE:CVS – Healthcare services correlation; weakness/strength often echoes UNH structure. NYSE:HUM – Similar managed-care trend behavior; watch for sector rotation. NYSE:ELV – Moves in tandem with medical insurance majors; confirms sector direction. AMEX:SPY – Large-cap market momentum; strong SPY = supportive wind for UNH. AMEX:XLV – Healthcare ETF; acts as a sector-strength indicator. Key Point: If AMEX:XLV & AMEX:SPY are trending bullish while $HUM/ NYSE:ELV ** show momentum, UNH breakout continuation becomes more reliable. Sector rotation → strong confirmation tool. ⚖️📊 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is thief-style trading strategy just for fun. 🕵️‍♂️💸 #UNH #SwingTrade #NYSE #BreakoutStrategy #ThiefStrategy #HealthcareStocks #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumTrading #TrendTrading #Investing #TradingView
NYSE:UNHLong
by The-Thief
3
Solana vs USD – Bearish Playbook High-Probability Swing Setup🔹 Asset: SOL/USD – “SOLANA VS U.S. DOLLAR” 🔹 Trade Style: Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (Swing Trade) 🔻 Plan: Bearish Plan 📍 Entry Zone You can enter at any price level according to your strategy and confirmation signals. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL) This is Thief SL → @ 152.50 Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk levels. 🔔 Important: Place SL only after breakout confirmation. I am not recommending to use only my SL. It’s your choice — you make money, you take money at your own risk. 🎯 Target (TP) Market has strong support + oversold conditions + potential trap zones, so kindly exit with profits. Our Target → @ 125.00 🔔 Important: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending to use only my TP. It’s your choice — you make money, you take money at your own risk. 📊 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Guide) 1️⃣ BITSTAMP:BTCUSD – Bitcoin King of crypto; SOL often follows BTC’s direction. If BTC breaks down, SOL bearish continuation becomes stronger. 2️⃣ BITSTAMP:ETHUSD – Ethereum High correlation with major altcoins. ETH weakness usually signals pressure on L1 chains like SOL. 3️⃣ COINBASE:AVAXUSD – Avalanche Competitor L1 chain; often moves in similar sentiment flow. If AVAX also shows bearish structure → confirms broad L1 weakness. 4️⃣ COINBASE:LTCUSD – Litecoin Old major coin; used for risk-on/risk-off sentiment checks. If LTC dumps → market-wide bearish confirmation. 5️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 – Altcoin Market Cap Measures overall altcoin health. If TOTAL2 breaks its support → SOL likely accelerates toward bearish target. 🔍 Why These Pairs Matter? (Key Correlation Points) BTC sets the tone – SOL follows the major trend 75–85% of the time. ETH determines altcoin liquidity – if ETH dominance rises, SOL loses capital flow. AVAX acts as sector correlation – L1 competitors weaken together during bearish cycles. TOTAL2 confirms broad alt weakness, making SOL’s downside more reliable.
BITSTAMP:SOLUSDShort
by The-Thief
Is GBP/JPY Setting Up for Another Bullish Leg Higher?🐉 GBP/JPY “THE DRAGON” — Swing Trade Opportunity Guide! 💹🔥 💬 Overview: The Dragon is waking up 🐲 — GBP/JPY showing strong bullish momentum confirmed by Kijun-sen moving average pullback support 🟢. Price action indicates potential upside continuation as long as Kijun holds. 🎯 Plan: Thief going full layer mode 🕵️‍♂️💰 — stacking multiple buy limits (layering entries) around 201 / 202 / 203 levels. You can increase or reduce the number of layers based on your personal trade management style and risk tolerance. 🛑 Stop Loss: This is Thief’s SL @ 200.00 ⚔️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) — manage your stop loss according to your own risk strategy. This is not a fixed level recommendation. Protect your capital like a pro 💼. 🎯 Target: Expecting a bullish climb toward 208.00 zone, where moving averages align as resistance + potential overbought zone + liquidity trap. 🎯 Take profits smartly, don’t get greedy — escape with profits like a true Thief OG! 😎💸 🧠 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this setup is not financial advice — it’s a strategic view based on Thief’s layering style. Always plan your entries, SL, and TP according to your own risk tolerance and capital plan. 📊 Correlation & Related Pairs to Watch: 💷 GBP/USD — Often moves in sync with GBP/JPY during strong GBP sentiment. 💴 USD/JPY — Key driver of Yen weakness/strength. If USD/JPY stays bullish, GBP/JPY gets more fuel. 💶 EUR/JPY — Similar momentum flow. A bullish EUR/JPY often confirms risk-on tone for GBP/JPY. 💵 DXY (US Dollar Index) — Watch for inverse reaction. Strong DXY may slow GBP pairs temporarily. 🔑 Key Highlights: ✨ Kijun-sen confirms bullish structure ✨ Layered entry strategy = controlled risk + better average ✨ MA resistance near 208 — perfect take-profit exit ✨ Watch correlated Yen pairs for early confirmation signals 🚀 Thief’s Final Words: Trade smart, layer deep, and take profits like a pro. The Dragon flies only for the disciplined 🐉💹.
Long
by The-Thief
GBP/JPY “The Beast” Upside Roadmap — Layered Buy Strategy📌 Asset: GBP/JPY – “THE BEAST” 📈 Market Type: Swing Trade Opportunity 🎯 Plan: Bullish Bias (Upside Structure Intact) 🔹 Entry Plan (Layering Strategy – Thief Style) This setup uses a multi-layered buy-limit method, allowing entries at different discounted levels while price retraces. 💠 Buy-Limit Layers: 202.000 203.000 204.000 (You may increase or reduce layers based on your own strategy & capital.) 📌 Flexible Entry: You can enter at any price level by aligning with your risk plan and allowing the market to fill layered orders naturally. 🔺 Stop Loss (Risk Guidance) SL @ 201.000 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is only my template. 📝 Adjust SL based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and market volatility. 🎯 Target Levels Price faces a strong resistance zone ahead where liquidity hunts and overbought conditions may appear — often acting like a “police barricade.” 👉 Primary TP: 208.000 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), take profit based on your own risk appetite. This is a guidance level, not a mandatory exit. 📚 Market Notes & Behaviour “The Beast” (GBP/JPY) tends to produce aggressive impulsive legs. Layering helps manage volatility + gets better blended entries. Swing structure remains bullish as long as price stays above the 201.000 zone. 🌐 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights) 1️⃣ GBP/USD ( FX:GBPUSD ) Positive correlation with GBP strength. If GBPUSD is rising, it often supports GBP/JPY bullish momentum. Watch for GBP news impact. 2️⃣ USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY ) Highly correlated due to the JPY component. A strong USDJPY usually indicates JPY weakness, helping GBPJPY push higher. Track BOJ sentiment + yield changes. 3️⃣ EUR/JPY ( OANDA:EURJPY ) Moves similarly with risk-on market conditions. When EURJPY is bullish, cross-yen strength can support GBPJPY upside. 4️⃣ GBP/CHF ( OANDA:GBPCHF ) Helps confirm overall GBP strength. If GBPCHF trends up, GBPJPY tends to maintain upside structure. 5️⃣ AUD/JPY ( OANDA:AUDJPY ) Risk sentiment pair. When risk appetite increases, yen weakens, boosting GBPJPY. 🧩 Key Takeaways for Traders Trend remains bullish; dips = opportunities. Layer entries help reduce emotional entries and improve average positioning. Watch correlated pairs for confirmation + risk sentiment cues. Maintain your own SL/TP based on risk tolerance.
Long
by The-Thief
XTI/USD Short Bias – Can Sellers Maintain Control?🛢️ WTI/USOIL BEARISH SWING TRADE - ENERGIES MARKET OPPORTUNITY 📊 ⚡ TRADE SETUP: SHORT OPPORTUNITY ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📍 ASSET: XTI/USD (WTI Crude Oil) | ENERGIES ⏰ TIMEFRAME: Swing Trade (4H - Daily) 📈 BIAS: BEARISH ⬇️ 💼 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 🎯 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Use Multiple Limit Order Layers for optimal entry execution: ✅ Layer 1: $60.00 ✅ Layer 2: $59.00 ✅ Layer 3: $58.00 💡 Why This Works: Averages down your entry price Reduces slippage risk Allows gradual position building Maximizes fill probability 🔧 CUSTOMIZABLE: Adjust layers based on YOUR risk management & capital allocation 🛑 STOP LOSS ⛔ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 Recommended SL Level: $61.00 (above supply zone) ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference point only. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on: Your risk tolerance Account size Trading strategy Technical support/resistance 🚨 Risk Management First: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade 🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS 💰 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Primary Target: $53.00 ⬇️ 📊 Technical Confluence at $53.00: ✓ Strong support zone (oversold recovery area) ✓ Reversal trap potential ✓ High probability profit zone 💡 Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale out 1/3 at $56.00 (quick gains lock) Scale out 1/3 at $54.50 (momentum confirmed) Scale out 1/3 at $53.00 (final target) ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is guidance only. Your profit targets should align with YOUR strategy, market conditions, and risk/reward ratio. Take profits at YOUR comfort level. ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📡 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. USD/CAD (USDCAD) 📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION • Current: ~1.4320 • Why: Canada is oil-exporting nation. Oil ⬇️ = CAD weakens • Action: Watch USD strength - if USD rises, more pressure on oil • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance) 2. S&P 500 (US500) 📊 INVERSE CORRELATION • Current Level: ~6,800+ • Why: Rising energy costs = lower corporate margins = stock weakness • Action: If stocks fall, risk-off → oil likely continues lower • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5 Relevance) 3. US Dollar Index (USDZZ) 💵 STRONG NEGATIVE CORRELATION • Why: Oil priced in USD. Strong dollar = cheaper oil for foreigners = lower demand • Action: Monitor DXY strength - bullish USD = bearish oil • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance) 4. Natural Gas (NATGAS/TradingView equivalent) ⚡ SECTOR CORRELATION • Why: Both energy commodities, affected by demand • Action: Watch as confirmation signal for energy sector weakness • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance) 5. Russian Ruble (USDRUB) 🇷🇺 COMMODITY-LINKED CORRELATION • Why: Russia major oil producer. Oil prices directly impact RUB • Action: Weak ruble often signals oil pressure from supply concerns • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance) 📋 TRADE CHECKLIST ✓ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✅ Check USD strength confirmation ✅ Verify oversold condition on daily chart ✅ Confirm supply zone rejection above $61 ✅ Monitor correlated pairs for confirmation ✅ Set alerts on each layer ($60, $59, $58) ✅ Define your max loss amount (2-3% rule) ✅ Plan exit strategy BEFORE entering ⚡ KEY POINTS SUMMARY 🔑 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 Entry: Layered approach ($60→$59→$58) 🛑 Stop Loss: $61.00 (adjust to YOUR strategy) 💎 Target: $53.00 strong support 📊 Risk/Reward: Define YOUR ratio before entry 🔔 Confirmation: Watch USD, stocks, CAD correlation
THINKMARKETS:WTI
by The-Thief
USD/MXN Bulls Prepare for Breakout as Momentum Rebuilds🕵️‍♂️💰 Thief Trader’s Heist on USD/MXN! 💹💎 “US Dollar vs Mexican Peso – Profit Pathway Setup (Swing / Day Trade)” 🧭 Plan Overview We’re going BULLISH 🟢 on USD/MXN — quiet before the breakout 💥 ✅ Confirmation comes from HULL Moving Average pullback ✅ + Triangular Moving Average breakout 🔺 Once that combo fires, it’s game on! 🏁 Our thief-style blueprint? Layered limit buys to catch every dip like a pro sniper 🎯 💸 Entry Plan – “Thief Strategy” (Layering Style) We don’t chase — we set traps for price! Multi-layer buy limits ready to ambush the market 👇 💰 18.45000 💰 18.50000 💰 18.55000 (Add more layers if you feel spicy 🌶️) 🧠 Logic: Price respects your zone → Layers get filled → Ride the breakout! 🛑 Stop Loss (SL) 📍 Thief’s defensive wall: 18.40000 💬 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s) — this SL is my version of the escape hatch. Manage risk your own way — you’re the final boss of your account! 👑 🎯 Take Profit (TP) 🎯 Primary Target: 18.85000 (🚔 Police Barricade Resistance) ⚡ Quick Escape Zone: 18.80000 💬 Reason: Strong resistance + overbought trap ahead — grab the loot and vanish 🏃‍♂️💨 📢 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s) — my TP is just my play. Take your own prize at your own pace! 💼 🌍 Correlated Pairs to Watch $USD/JPY – Check USD momentum 💪 💶 FOREXCOM:EURMXN – Confirms MXN weakness 🔻 💵 OANDA:USDCAD – USD trend + oil link 👀 💂 CAPITALCOM:GBPMXN – MXN risk sentiment barometer 📊 INDEX:ME / IPC Mexico (Mexican Stock Index): A strong Mexican economy can strengthen the MXN. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): The USD side of the pair. A strong DXY generally boosts USD/MXN. EUR/USD: The world's most popular pair often has an inverse correlation with USD pairs. 📈 If USD flexes strength across majors or EM currencies get shaky, USD/MXN could rally harder. 🧠 Market Key Points ✨ USD strength → Supports bullish thesis ✨ EM risk-off → Peso weakness tailwind ✨ MXN reacts to oil + domestic news ✨ HULL MA + Triangular MA = breakout clarity ⚙️ Simple formula: 📉 Pullback → 📈 Breakout → 💰 Profit potential ⚡ Final Words Trade smart, layer smarter. Don’t chase candles — let candles chase your layers 🔥 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 🧩 Disclaimer: This is Thief-style trading strategy just for fun — educational purpose only! #Forex #USDMXN #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefTrader #LayeringStrategy #HULLMA #TriangularMA #Breakout #USDStrength #ForexAnalysis #TradingViewIdeas #MarketHeist #ProfitPathway
Long
by The-Thief
GOLD Will Keep Growing! Buy! Hello,Traders! GOLD strong bullish displacement confirms a successful mitigation of the horizontal demand area, following a clear sell-side liquidity grab. Market structure remains bullish, with smart money defending the zone and favoring continuation toward the next overhead liquidity pool and marked target. Time Frame 5H. Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
BTC/USD Liquidity Blueprint – Are You Reading the Flow Right?🎯 BTC/USD: The Great Heist Setup | Swing Trade Blueprint 💰 📊 Market Overview Asset: BTC/USD (BITCOIN/US DOLLAR) Market: Cryptocurrency Trade Type: Swing Trade Strategy Style: The Thief Method™ (Layered Entry System) 🎨 Technical Setup 📈 Market Structure: BULLISH CONFIRMED The Simple Moving Average is showing strong accumulation patterns with a healthy pullback structure. Bulls are loading up their bags like thieves preparing for the ultimate vault heist! 🏃‍♂️💨 Key Technical Indicators: ✅ SMA showing strong bullish accumulation ✅ Pullback phase completed ✅ Higher lows formation intact ✅ Volume supporting upside momentum 🎯 The Heist Plan: Entry Strategy 💎 The Thief Layered Entry System Instead of going all-in at one price (that's how amateurs get caught! 👮), we're using a professional layered approach with multiple buy limit orders: Entry Layers: 🔹 Layer 1: $108,000 🔹 Layer 2: $109,000 🔹 Layer 3: $110,000 🔹 Layer 4: $111,000 🔹 Layer 5: $112,000 💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your bag size and risk appetite. The beauty of this strategy? You average into position like a pro! 🎭 🛡️ Risk Management ⛔ Stop Loss: $106,000 ⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen), This is MY stop loss based on MY risk tolerance. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Set your SL according to YOUR risk management rules. Remember: Take profits at your own risk, protect capital like it's your treasure! 🎯 Target Zone: The Great Escape 🚨 Target: $124,000 Why this target? The "Police Barricade" (strong resistance zone) sits right here with multiple confluence factors: 🔴 Major resistance level 🔴 Overbought conditions expected 🔴 Bull trap zone activated 🔴 Historical rejection area 🏃‍♂️ Exit Strategy: When we hit this zone, it's time to take your loot and run! Don't get greedy and caught in the trap! ⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen), This is MY take profit target. You're free to take profits whenever YOU feel comfortable. Your money, your rules, your timeline! 💰 🔗 Correlated Pairs to Watch Keep your eyes on these related assets for confirmation: 💱 Major Correlations: BITSTAMP:ETHUSD - Typically follows BTC momentum; watch for similar accumulation BINANCE:BTCUSDT - Alternative pairing for liquidity confirmation TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weakness in DXY = strength in BTC $SPX/SPY (S&P 500) - Risk-on sentiment indicator GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Alternative store of value; competitive correlation 📍 Key Correlation Points: When DXY weakens, crypto typically strengthens Traditional market risk-on flows support Bitcoin upside ETH/BTC ratio helps confirm alt-season vs BTC dominance Gold movements indicate macro hedging flows ⚙️ Why The Thief Strategy Works ✨ Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) on steroids ✨ Reduces emotional decision-making ✨ Better average entry price ✨ Lower risk per order ✨ Professional money management Think like a thief planning the perfect heist: multiple entry points, calculated risks, clear escape route! 🎭 🎬 Final Thoughts This isn't financial advice—it's a strategic blueprint for those who trade with discipline and style! The market is our playground, but only the smart thieves get to keep their loot. 🏆 Remember: 📊 Stick to your plan 🎯 Manage your risk 💰 Take profits systematically 🧠 Trade with logic, not emotion 🎭 Execute like a professional 📣 Support This Analysis ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ThiefStrategy #CryptoSignals #BitcoinAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup #CryptoTA #BTCSetup #SwingTrading 🎯 Stay sharp, trade smart, and may the profits be with you! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by The-Thief
BCHUSDT Bulls Beware? Price Just Triggered a Classic TrapYello Paradisers! have you noticed how BCHUSDT just tapped into a key resistance right after sweeping liquidity above previous highs? This could be the perfect bull trap, and what comes next might catch many traders off guard if they’re not prepared. 💎BCHUSDT has just taken inducement and is now reacting from a strong resistance zone. Price is currently moving within an ascending channel while also showing clear bearish divergence, a combination that increases the probability of a bearish move. This setup suggests that momentum is weakening despite higher price action, often a red flag for trend continuation. 💎Aggressive traders may already be looking to enter short from current levels. However, the more strategic and safer approach is to wait for another reaction from the resistance zone, ideally accompanied by a clear bearish candlestick pattern. That will give us a much higher probability entry with a more defined invalidation level. If this confirmation comes, we can then look to target the liquidity pools and support zones lying below. 💎That said, if BCHUSDT manages to break and close above the resistance zone with strength, it would completely invalidate our bearish scenario. In that case, it’s best to stay on the sidelines and wait for fresh price action to develop before taking any new trades. Chasing trades without structure is where most traders lose. 🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Stay patient, disciplined, and focused only on high-probability setups, this is the only way you’ll make it long-term in this market. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
6
XAUMO WEEKLY REPORT🎬 XAUMO WEEKLY REPORT “The Big Short… but it’s Gold, and Everyone’s Acting Innocent” Spot Gold: ~4300 Mood: Everyone says “nothing’s wrong” Reality: Something’s always wrong Disclaimer: Educational only. This is not a trade signal. If you lose money, don’t look at me like Steve Carell did. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 1: THE GATES (Also known as: Where the market pretends price discovery exists) UPPER GATES – SUPPLY / DISTRIBUTION U1: 4305–4337 → This is where price goes to die… repeatedly. Everyone buys the breakout. Institutions sell them the breakout. Everyone is shocked. Again. U2: 4379–4381 → The “decision shelf”. Translation: either we squeeze shorts… or dump on retail with surgical precision. U3: 4428–4473 → If price gets here, CNBC will call it “strong demand” even though the selling started 20 dollars earlier. LOWER GATES – DEMAND / RELOAD D1: 4259–4237 → The classic “nothing to see here” reload zone. Looks scary. Isn’t. Unless it accepts. Then it really is. D2: 4194–4154 → Where long-term money actually wakes up. Also where Twitter declares the bull market dead. D3: 4137–4007 → If we’re here, someone blew up quietly on a Friday. RULES (No one follows them, but here they are): - Accept above U1 → continuation possible - Accept below D1 → liquidity vacuum, fast drops, no apologies ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 2: MACRO CALENDAR December Edition: “Thin Liquidity, Thick Lies” - US CPI - Retail Sales - Central Banks saying a lot without saying anything December logic: Less liquidity More stop runs Faster reversals Everyone blames “algorithms” Holiday effect: The book is thin. The wicks are long. Your stop is food. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 3: CROSS-ASSET CHECK (The part where correlations pretend to work) - Equities: down, but not screaming - VIX: up, but not panicking - Dollar: firm - Yields: rising and annoying Translation: Gold can spike on fear, but it won’t trend unless the dollar chills out. So expect drama without commitment. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 4: FUTURES STRUCTURE GC1 vs GC2 (Because structure tells the truth, not price) We’re in mild contango. That’s normal. No stress. No emergency. If contango compresses or flips? Someone’s in trouble. And they’re not tweeting about it. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 5: FIB LEVELS (The numbers traders swear by and still lose money on) Key pivot: ~4304 Support ladder: 4295 → 4289 → 4283 Upside supply: 4318 → 4323 → 4337 Meaning: Price is boxed. Everyone’s impatient. Liquidity loves impatience. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 6: MULTI-TIMEFRAME DRAMA Lower TFs: “Let’s rally!” Higher TFs: “Relax. We’re distributing.” Daily: Still selling strength. Weekly: Still suspicious. Conclusion: Classic stop-hunt week. Nobody gets paid for being early. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 7: ICHIMOKU (Simplified for sanity) Forget the cloud. Treat 4305–4337 as the line of truth. Above and accepted? We talk continuation. Below? It’s all theatrics. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 8: VWAP (The only adult in the room) - Above VWAP + defended → quick longs - Below VWAP + defended → quick shorts Key word: QUICK. December does not reward commitment. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 9: BIAS SCORECARD (Because confidence should always be uncomfortable) Weekly bias: Bear-tilted retest Daily bias: Sell rallies Intraday: Trying to be bullish, failing politely Conviction: ~55% That’s not confidence. That’s “I know something’s wrong but can’t prove it yet”. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 10: MAGNETS (Where price goes after the lie is exposed) If bulls win: 4379 → 4428 → 4473 If bears win: 4237 → 4194 → 4154 Then 4137 → 4007 if liquidity disappears like 2008 promises ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 11: SESSIONS (Because time zones matter more than opinions) Tokyo: Mean reversion and fake breaks. London: Real liquidity test. New York: Where stop hunts go to graduate school. ──────────────────────────────────────── SCENE 12: LIQUIDITY MAP (Where dreams go to get stopped out) Buy-side stops: Above 4337, then above 4380 Sell-side stops: Below 4295, then 4283, then 4237 Expected behavior: Sweep one side. Pause. Then decide. ──────────────────────────────────────── FINAL SCENE: THE BIG SHORT MONOLOGUE “Look, I might be early… but I’m not wrong. The price is lying. Liquidity is thin. And acceptance matters more than direction.” Translation: Don’t trade the middle. Don’t marry a bias. Wait for acceptance. Get paid quickly. Respect the tail risk. December isn’t about being right. It’s about surviving the credits. — End Scene — Educational commentary. Market structure & liquidity behavior. Not financial advice.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
SPY (US500–SP500–SPX) WEEKLY PREDICTION (08 DEC)SPY (US500 – SP500 – SPX) WEEKLY PREDICTION 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a potential FED rate cut in December. Additionally, Trump’s likely nominee for the next FED Chair Kevin Hassett, a strong advocate of aggressive rate cuts has strengthened this bullish outlook. Markets have already begun pricing in the possibility of earlier and more aggressive cuts throughout 2026, fueling upward momentum. 📈 Technical Analysis SPY remains strongly bullish and is currently targeting new all time highs. In my opinion, during this type of price behavior, I do not expect a deep retracement before the market attempts to run the previous highs. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I expect SPY to either push directly into new all time highs or consolidate until Wednesday’s FED decision. If I see a strong daily close above 687, I plan to buy the retracement into 685, targeting: First target: 688.5 Second target: All-time highs around 690 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
#ETC/USDT The price is moving within an ascending channel#ETC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 13.86. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards stability above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 13.86 First target: 13.93 Second target: 14.16 Third target: 14.43 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
PEPE Falling Wedge at Long-Term Support ZonePEPE is forming a clear falling wedge structure after a prolonged downtrend. Price action is compressing between converging downward trendlines, showing a slowdown in bearish momentum as sellers lose strength near the lower boundary. The recent liquidity sweep below support followed by consolidation suggests potential base formation. If PEPE manages to break and hold above the upper boundary of the falling wedge, a relief rally toward the major descending resistance becomes likely. This would mark the first structural shift after an extended bearish phase. On the downside, failure to defend the wedge base will invalidate the bullish reversal setup. In that scenario, price may continue lower toward deeper demand zones, keeping the broader downtrend intact. This setup is driven by falling wedge dynamics, momentum compression, and liquidity behavior near higher timeframe support. Confirmation through breakout and acceptance is essential before expecting continuation.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
Bitcoin Holding Structure Inside Descending ChannelMarket Structure Overview Bitcoin is currently trading inside a well-defined descending channel, following a prolonged corrective phase from the previous high. Price has respected both the upper resistance line and the lower demand boundary multiple times, confirming the validity of this structure. Current Price Behavior After sweeping liquidity near the lower boundary, price has started to stabilize and form higher reactions. This suggests selling pressure is weakening, while buyers are slowly stepping in to defend the range. Key Levels to Watch • The mid-channel area is acting as a short-term reaction zone • A clean reclaim above the channel resistance would shift momentum bullish • Failure to hold current support could open continuation toward lower demand What This Means As long as Bitcoin holds above the recent swing low, the structure favors a gradual upside rotation. A confirmed breakout from the descending channel would likely trigger a stronger expansion move. Patience is key here. Let the structure confirm before committing.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
1
Cronos (CRO) Weekly Chart Analysis: Back at Cycle Lows Cronos is starting to get interesting again from a higher timeframe perspective. When you zoom out on the weekly chart, CRO has a very clear history of sharp cyclical spikes followed by long periods of flat, compressed price action. These expansions typically happen fast, and the retracements tend to grind slowly back to key baseline levels. Right now, CRO is sitting almost exactly at that long term equilibrium zone it has returned to multiple times. This is essentially the “cycle floor” where previous moves have bottomed out before major expansions. The dotted level you’re hovering near on the chart represents a multi-year demand zone that has repeatedly acted as a reset point. A few key observations: - CRO has shown it can produce explosive moves when liquidity cycles back into the ecosystem. - It’s currently trading near the bottom of its historical range, a zone where volatility compresses before trend changes. - Unlike many small caps, CRO has a massive platform behind it (Crypto.com), which means strong branding, user flow, and ongoing development that can continue feeding utility demand. - The slow bleed back to cycle lows is typical in assets that rely on broader exchange-driven hype cycles rather than pure organic network activity. This doesn’t imply a breakout is imminent, but structurally this is where smart money tends to at least start paying attention. Price is back at historical value, sentiment is washed out, and the chart is coiled in a multi-year compression phase. If the platform sees growth or renewed marketing pushes in the next cycle, CRO has plenty of room to re-expand. In short: CRO is back at its long term base, supported by a major ecosystem, and showing the same early conditions that preceded prior upward cycles. This is the zone to watch.
CRYPTOCOM:CROUSDLong
by OnchainNewsBlog