Trend Analysis
Range High Deviation → Expecting Breakdown to the DownsidePrice has been trading in a clear horizontal range for an extended period, with well-defined support and resistance. Recently, the market made a strong deviation above the range high, which was quickly rejected — a classic liquidity grab / false breakout.
After the upper deviation failed, price returned back into the range, indicating weak bullish continuation and increasing probability of a range breakdown to the downside.
📌 Key points:
Well-established consolidation range
Upper deviation swept liquidity above resistance
Rejection signals distribution and bearish continuation
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $0.007
Target 2: $0.005
❌ Invalidation:
Acceptance back above the range high would invalidate the bearish scenario
This setup favors short positions after confirmation of weakness near range resistance.
Gold resistance retest, uptrend support at 4254The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4254 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4254 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4354 – initial resistance
4380 – psychological and structural level
4403 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4254 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4230 – minor support
4209 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4254. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/USD | Another try at supply zone? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, GBPUSD has managed to break free from the 1.3347-1.3367 supply zone. At the moment it is being traded at 1.33860 level and I expect it to challenge the 1.34300-1.34570 supply zone. It has been rejected once, now let's wait and see if it makes it up there and breaks through the supply zone. I expect a drop after reaching the supply zone.
EURGBP Descending channel breakout📈 Trend: Bullish
🔍 Divergence: No
🔄 Reversal Pattern: No
📊 Continuation Pattern: Descending channel breakout
🎯 Harmonics: No
🧭 Bias: Bullish
📝 Trade Plan – Long Position
💥 Entry (Buy Stop on FVG): 0.87618
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL on bottom of FVG): 0.87180
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.88192
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.88648
🎯 Risk & Reward: 1: 2
Rising Channel Breakdown → Waiting for Better Buy Prices on SUISUI has been moving inside a well-defined rising channel on the higher timeframe, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, price is now trading near the lower boundary of the channel , showing signs of weak momentum and potential breakdown.
Historically, a loss of the rising channel support often leads to a deeper corrective move, especially after an extended uptrend. Current structure suggests that downside continuation is more likely before any sustainable bullish scenario.
📌 Key points:
Long-term ascending channel
Price approaching / losing channel support
Increased risk of trend exhaustion and correction
🎯 Downside targets:
Target 1: $0.60
Target 2: $0.25
🛑 Conclusion:
At current levels, buying SUI is not attractive from a risk-reward perspective. A better strategy is to wait for deeper pullbacks and signs of stabilization near the mentioned targets before considering long positions.
This is a patience trade — better prices are likely ahead.
BTCUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 90211
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 91445
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD Tapped Support. A bounce seems likely nextUSDCAD price dropped lower with strong bearish momentum. That selloff broke previous structure and showed a clear shift in control.
However price now tapped into a well-defined demand zone. And notice the reaction. Selling pressure is starting to slow down.
This is a big clue.
If price holds this zone and forms a base, a corrective move higher seems more likely.
My expectation is a pullback into the prior structure level, with upside potential toward the 1.3880.
I’ll only look for longs if price holds above the zone, with clear structure and controlled risk.
Serious level to gain for BTC Hi Traders,
Looking for these scenarios on BTC/USD.
If we don't gain this level soon -> then we're going to look for some more buyers on the downside
Be careful: we are in the final fase of the compression now. Trades will be more risky at the moment.
Trade safe, colleagues.
M.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please see our weekly chart timeframe Route map and Trading plans for the week ahead.
We are seeing a repeat of the same ranging action again. We still have a long range candle body close gap above at 4294, with 4059 acting as support. We can expect price action to play between these two levels. We now also have EMA5 cross and lock above to strengthen the gap toward 4294. Conversely, a ema5 lock back below 4059 would reopen the broader retracement range.
We’ll keep these long timeframe structures in mind as we continue with our plan to buy dips.
We will keep you all updated as this chart idea unfolds.
Mr Gold
NASDAQ Time to correct hard until it reaches this level again.Exactly 6 months ago (June 20, see chart below), we posted the following analysis on Nasdaq (NDX), which helped us ride the rally following the April 07 2025 market low:
The reasoning behind this was that Nasdaq's low was on its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line), a key Support level which since 2009 and the start of the market's dominant multi-year Channel Up following the 2008 Housing Crisis, has offered 5 perfect long-term buy entries upon contact, only breaking once during the 2022 Inflation Crisis.
Now that the 3W RSI is displaying a Lower Highs Bearish Divergence (against the price's Higher Highs) that has been formed on another 3 prior Cycle Tops, we expect the market to start reversing soon for another cyclical correction. Technically another Bearish Leg for the dominant Channel Up.
Naturally, we expect it to reach at least the 3W MA50 again. Based on its trajectory, it is possible for contact to be made around 20500. Keep in mind again that absolute pricing isn't the important thing here, timing is. The most optimal time to buy based on this high accuracy model, is upon contact with the 3W MA50, regardless of the price it is at, so don't get fixed on 20500, but it is a fair projection based on the trend.
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EURAUD Idea: Buying the Dip at FVG Support
I am monitoring a potential long opportunity.
Key Technicals:
Trend: Short-term bullish structure.
Area of Interest: Overlap of Demand Zone + FVG.
Setup: Waiting for a retrace to fill the imbalance.
The Setup:
Entry: Limit orders around the FVG fill (Green Zone).
Stop Loss: Below the structural low.
Take Profit: Targeting recent highs or upper resistance.
#EURAUD #Forex #DemandSupply #SMC #ICT
ETH/USD – 8H Analysis ...ETH/USD – 8H Analysis (Based on my chart)
Market Structure
ETH was in a strong downtrend, respecting a descending trendline.
Price has now broken and closed above the descending trendline.
A successful retest + cloud support is forming, indicating a trend reversal to bullish.
Momentum is shifting upward after accumulation near the bottom.
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📈 Buy Scenario (As per my marked arrows)
Buy Zone: 3,050 – 3,150
🎯 Targets
Target 1: 4,000
Target 2: 4,800
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❌ Invalidation
A strong close below 2,950 will invalidate the bullish setup.
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📌 Summary
Previous Trend: Bearish
Current Bias: Bullish reversal
Expectation: Price to continue higher toward major resistance zones
BITCOIN following the same blueprint as all previous Bear CyclesBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been falling non-stop since its October All Time High and all the signs continue to be there that we have already entered the new Bear Cycle.
We've been sharing extensive analyses with you since September on the markers of the Bear Cycle and the latest indicator that adds to the data set is the STOCH on the 3W time-frame.
As you can see, it has entered a level where all previous three Bear Cycles completed roughly their 1st Phase and rebounded on a dead-cat-bounce. On average it i roughly after every three 3W candles that this happens, this time it was after two, the previous two Bear Cycles after three and the one before (longest) after six.
Also this is the fastest it's reached the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) on a Bear Cycle correction and most likely it will be the same for its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3W MA100 (green trend-line).
This is another sign that shows how every Cycle gets less and less aggressive. The first Bear Cycle dropped by roughly -94%, the second by -87%, the third by -84% and the fourth (last) by 77%. This decelerating rate reveals BTC's asymptotic behavior as more and more mass adoption kicks in with every passing Cycle. As the market stabilizes, becomes larger and more widespread, the volatility becomes lower and lower. This is a sign of maturity.
So what does this potentially mean for us and this Bear Cycle? Well that the drop will most likely be contained at -70% maximum (-7% less than the previous Cycle), a rate that may be as low as -60% (just after contacting the 3W MA100) if ETF buying interest returns or other fundamental catalysts (bitcoin treasuries etc?) accelerate adoption. So this potential range translates into a possible buy zone of $50000 - $38000 towards the end of 2026 but that's a topic we've analyzed extensively on other studies.
So do you think the 3W STOCH puts another nail on Bitcoin's coffin or there are still hopes that the Bull Cycle will be resumed? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Selena | BTCUSD – 2H | HTF Liquidity & Accumulation StructureBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After a strong rejection from the top distribution zone, BTC entered a corrective phase. Sell-side liquidity has already been taken near the HTF demand, followed by gradual accumulation and higher lows. Price is currently reacting from a mid-range demand zone while targeting remaining buy-side liquidity above.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the demand zone and maintains structure, continuation toward buy-side liquidity is expected.
🎯 Target 1: 92,000
🎯 Target 2: 95,000
🎯 Target 3: 98,000 – 99,000
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A clean breakdown and acceptance below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish structure and open downside continuation.
🎯 Downside Target 1: 84,000
🎯 Downside Target 2: 80,500 (HTF demand)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 94,500 – 99,000
Support 🟢: 87,000 – 88,000
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Stiffes XRP ChartThe chart maps XRP from 2017 to 2030 on a monthly timeframe.
Key external events (legal, macroeconomic, political) are explicitly marked.
Green vertical lines indicate cyclical tops, while red vertical lines indicate cyclical bottoms.
Price action develops within a clearly defined long-term ascending channel, which has been respected across multiple cycles.
Each cycle unfolds through a triangle consolidation pattern, followed by an impulse move and a corrective phase.
Fibonacci retracements are included to visualize the relationship between impulsive and corrective moves; prior corrections repeatedly align with the 0.618–0.786 levels.
The time cycles of 1,461 days (4 years) remain consistent throughout the chart, indicating a stable cyclical rhythm.
Based on time structure and pattern repetition, a cyclical endpoint is projected around 2029–2030, coinciding with a broader macroeconomic reset period.
GBPCHF: Breaks the Channel! Bullish Continuation Ahead?GBPCHF: Breaks the Channel! Bullish Continuation Ahead? - Update
GBPCHF has successfully broken out of the descending channel, showing renewed bullish momentum after months of gradual decline.
The price started the correction during the BOE week. This could be ready to start a bullish trend; however, the focus will be on the BOE Press Conference this week.
If the price holds above the channel breakout zone, we may see a continuation toward the first target at 1.09200.
A sustained move above 1.09200 opens the door toward the higher resistance zone near 1.11500, which remains the major bullish target for the coming weeks.
Targets:
1.0800
1.0920
1.1150
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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