GBPUSD InsightHello everyone, welcome back.
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Key Points
- The ECB kept interest rates unchanged at its monetary policy meeting, with President Christine Lagarde stating in a press conference that “the disinflation process has ended,” reducing expectations for further rate cuts.
- The U.S. Department of Labor reported that August CPI came in at MoM 0.4% and YoY 2.9%, largely in line with market expectations. However, markets are paying closer attention to signs of cooling employment, keeping expectations for Fed rate cuts alive.
- In the U.K., 30-year government bond yields reached their highest level since 1998, fueling continued fiscal concerns.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ September 12: U.K. July GDP, Germany August CPI
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has recently shown a sharp upward move, attempting to break through the 1.36000 resistance level. If this resistance is cleared, further gains toward the 1.38000 level are expected, with the potential for a longer-term rise toward 1.42000 if 1.38000 is also broken. However, if these resistance levels fail to break, there is a possibility of retreating back to the 1.32000 level.
Trend Lines
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 11 September 2025
- AUDUSD broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6700
AUDUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance area located at the intersection of the pivotal resistance level 0.6620 (former monthly high from July) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May.
The breakout of this resistance area continues the active impulse wave c, which belongs to the ABC correction 2 from April.
Given the strong daily uptrend and bearish US dollar sentiment, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.6700 (target for the completion of wave 2).
CPI data is confusing,gold is fluctuating in a bearish directionGold Technical Analysis: Looking back at the recent trend, gold surged and then retreated on Tuesday, forming a shooting star pattern. However, the decline did not continue on Wednesday, indicating that the pullback was merely a one-off adjustment and lacks sustainability. It is a normal correction after a significant rally. Even if the market peaks, it will not be so simple. It will at least undergo a process of "high-level fluctuations turning bearish" or "second upward attack to lure more investors and then decline." In the short term, the rebound will continue to fluctuate, and it is unlikely to see significant rises or falls in a short period of time. Looking at the daily gold chart, the daily gold line has slowed down slightly. After continuous large volume, the daily line has turned into a small Yinxing candlestick pattern for consolidation. There is a need for a short-term pullback. Considering the short-term chart, the second high-point test failed to break through the previous high, the previous continuous large volume without a pullback, and the pressure from the second upward test. If there is no new high in the short term, there will be a partial correction around 3675-3657. The pattern will determine whether it is a deep pullback or a sideways consolidation.
Judging from the 4-hour gold chart, yesterday's gold price failed to achieve results in its attempt to rise again. There are signs of a downward correction. The 4-hour chart lost the middle track, breaking the unilateral upward momentum. At the same time, there is a need to further retrace to the lower track. Combined with the second high in the hourly chart near 3657, the second pressure turned into a decline. The strong market is to retrace and then break the high. Once the breaking power is stopped, it will go into a shock correction. Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy recommends shorting on rebounds as the main strategy, and buying on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3640-3650 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3610-3600 support line.
EURUSD 4H: Dual Scenario OutlookEURUSD 4H: Dual Scenario Outlook
The EURUSD pair is depicted on a 4-hour timeframe, trading within a well-defined ascending channel (light blue parallel lines) that has guided price action from April to September, indicating an underlying bullish trend over this period.
Several significant support and resistance zones are identified: a current '1st Resistance' (red band) where the price is currently testing, a 'Deciding Area' (grey band) which aligns with the channel's lower boundary, a 'Key Support' (green band), and a 'Long-term Support' (dark blue band).
The current price (1.17325) is critically positioned, actively testing the '1st Resistance' zone, which has previously acted as a ceiling for price action on multiple occasions.
Two potential scenarios are outlined: an immediate bullish move (upper dotted white line) targeting the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.2000 (indicated by the upper purple ellipse).
Alternatively, the second scenario (lower dotted white line) suggests a rejection from the '1st Resistance,' leading to a retracement down to the 'Deciding Area' (grey band) and the lower trendline of the ascending channel, around 1.1600 (indicated by the lower purple ellipse), before any potential further move.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
GOLD → Retest 3620 - 3600 (imbalance zones) on the uptrendFX:XAUUSD is consolidating ahead of important news. The market is currently testing support, but the bullish pattern remains intact despite the intraday correction.
Gold is trading near $3650 in anticipation of US inflation data (CPI), which will determine the further trend. So far, the metal is consolidating below a record high of $3675.
High CPI data: will strengthen the dollar and weaken gold (bets on Fed easing will decline).
Low data: will push gold to new highs (the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts will be confirmed).
At the moment, the probability of a rate cut on September 17 is 92% (25 bps), with an 8% chance of 50 bps.
Technically, the chart is forming a consolidation against the backdrop of a bullish trend, the market is testing support, and if the bulls hold their ground in the key zone, traders may return to buying.
Resistance levels: 3638, 3649, 3657
Support levels: 3620, 3607, 3600
There is a battle for the 3620 zone. Consolidation above this zone will confirm bullish strength; otherwise, we can expect a deeper correction to the 3607-3600 zone to retest the imbalance area before further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Correction before bull run to 0.600FX:NZDUSD , after breaking the downtrend, is forming a consolidation, the goal of which is the potential for continued growth...
The dollar is forming a small countertrend correction, to which the market is reacting, but overall sentiment on currencies is relatively bullish amid expectations of interest rate cuts...
NZDUSD is forming a trading range (consolidation) after breaking through the resistance of the downtrend. 0.5915 - 0.596. Before the growth, MM may form a liquidity capture at 0.5915 - 0.5f.
Support levels: 0.5915, 0.5884
Resistance levels: 0.5960, 0.5996
Interest rate cuts, especially aggressive ones, could trigger a fall in the dollar, which in turn would support forex currency baskets. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD could trigger medium-term growth from the specified support zone.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AVAXUSDT → Distribution of 8-month accumulationBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is testing the resistance of an 8-month consolidation. The market is showing positive signs that may indicate a possible rally...
Bitcoin looks positive. If the flagship can overcome the upcoming 113K mark, BTC's growth could support altcoins, including Avalanche.
AVAX has been consolidating for 8 months, and in the last few weeks, we have seen a directed movement towards strong resistance. Another retest led to a breakout, and if the bulls hold their defense above 25.9 - 26.5, a fairly active phase of realization towards 30.6 may begin.
Resistance levels: 26.550
Support levels: 25.97, 24.88
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the local support and liquidity zone, but a return to the zone of interest (above 25.97 - 26.55) and consolidation above the specified border could provoke a distribution towards 30.0 - 45.0.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSDWeekly support zone help up.
Daily inverse head and shoulder with neckline as trendline resistance broken and retested. Today's candle could close as an engulfing. If we push up next daily resistance zone around 1.19100. But overall bullish move is looking to reach monthly resistance zone around 1.22000.
SUSHIUSDT Breakout or Bull Trap?Yello, Paradisers – could this finally be the moment SUSHIUSDT flips the script, or are we about to walk into another trap? With Bitcoin potentially preparing for a short-term pullback, traders need to be extra cautious right now. That said, SUSHIUSDT is showing promising signals that are worth your full attention.
💎After a prolonged downtrend, SUSHIUSDT has broken out of a significant resistance trendline. What makes this breakout more convincing is the confluence of bullish signals appearing across multiple technical indicators. We’re seeing bullish divergence on both the RSI and MACD, suggesting a shift in underlying momentum. On top of that, the Stochastic RSI is showing hidden bullish divergence, which typically signals the continuation of an uptrend. Together, these factors increase the probability of a meaningful bullish move.
💎From a trading strategy perspective, aggressive traders may choose to enter at the current market price. This entry offers a risk-to-reward ratio close to 1:2, which meets the basic criteria for a solid trade setup. However, conservative traders should consider waiting for a potential pullback. Given the current market conditions and the likelihood of a short-term correction in BTC, a retest of the breakout level is likely. If SUSHIUSDT retest support—and prints a clear bullish candlestick pattern, that could offer a safer entry with an even better risk-to-reward profile.
💎It’s crucial to note that this bullish scenario becomes invalid if SUSHIUSDT breaks below the support zone and closes a candle beneath it. In that case, the technical setup would be considered broken, and it would be wise to stay out of the trade until a stronger, more reliable structure develops.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not a gambler. Only those who stay disciplined and wait for confirmed setups will come out on top in the long run. Patience and strategy will always beat emotion and FOMO. Trade smart, Paradisers.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
NZD/CAD – Short Setup on False BreakoutThe pair is moving inside a descending channel. Price is now trying to move above the upper boundary.
The plan is that the market may form a false breakout above the previous highs and the channel line, and then return back into the blue range.
📌 Plan: establish a short position in the 0.826–0.8265 zone once a BC is confirmed.
Stop-loss: very wide, beyond 0.829
Take-profit: quoter-line of the channel around 0.8195
Risk/Reward: about 1:2
💡 Rationale: the descending channel structure remains intact. A breakout followed by a quick return would provide a clean short entry with limited risk.
Official: Alt-token market chart says the bottom is in.A lot of messages today. Can’t answer them all. Gripped by fear.
Have published the above chart as an add-on in other ideas but felt it deserved its own post given the number of messages.
The market bottom is in. The bottom was signalled when the 700-day EMA (yellow) crossed down the 150-day SMA (Red) as shown on the above 10-day chart.
This correction we’re now seeing is perfectly normal and healthy with a correction to the 0.23 Fibonacci level just as before in February 2019 following the printing of a ‘great buy’ signal. The market needs to flush out the flotsam and jetsam trying to catch waves.
The above chart is not the subject of this idea, however. Just a back story. The chart that has caught my attention is the alt-token market cap TOTAL2.
The two moving averages that called the market bottom on Bitcoin are now doing so on the alt-token market capital.
Look left. In the months that followed this cross the alt-token market went to make remarkable gains. There was nothing else to do.
Think like a proton and stay positive.
Ww
Good time to get out of the MARKET (Too Heated)The market has never been this expensive and retailers are being the exit liquidity for whales / institutions. Almost like many people are just sitting a sipping away on an active volcano. The market could be jumping for a few days, but a rate cut confirms that the market is weak and needs a boost / help. Unfortunately, it's too little too late. Most macros show a clear sign of stress, which is not being reflected in the market (for now). Don't get too complacent...the VIX will spike at astronomical levels when the hammer falls. Best of luck!
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Bearish Pressure
WTI Crude Oil is under a strong bearish pressure after
US CPI release today.
A bearish breakout of a support line of a flag pattern
in a clear intraday downtrend on a 4H time frame leaves
a strong confirmation.
I think that the price will reach 62.0 level soon.
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Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold.
From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700.
On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580.
In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
EUR/USD Rallies from 2025 Uptrend After ECB, U.S. InflationEUR/USD is trading higher on Thursday morning in the wake of the September European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision as well as the dual U.S. data releases, weekly jobless claims and the August U.S. consumer price index (CPI). From the ECB, upgrades to growth and inflation targets are helping reduce cut odds on the Euro’s side. While headline U.S. inflation was a bit warmer on the monthly reading (+0.4% vs +0.3% expected), traders seem more concerned with the jump in initial claims (263K vs 236K expected). The U.S. 10-year yield dropped below 4% for the first time since April.
In the above chart, EUR/USD rates are displaying signs of a meaningful rebound from a technical perspective. The pair rallied off uptrend support that has defined price action since the start of 2025, as well as the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). Candlestick analysis likewise suggests that a bullish reversal is transpiring. A bullish key reversal is forming, with Thursday’s low exceeding Wednesday’s low; a close today above yesterday’s high would mark the reversal candle.
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high.
If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700.
However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580.
The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.