AVAXUSDT → Distribution of 8-month accumulationBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is testing the resistance of an 8-month consolidation. The market is showing positive signs that may indicate a possible rally...
Bitcoin looks positive. If the flagship can overcome the upcoming 113K mark, BTC's growth could support altcoins, including Avalanche.
AVAX has been consolidating for 8 months, and in the last few weeks, we have seen a directed movement towards strong resistance. Another retest led to a breakout, and if the bulls hold their defense above 25.9 - 26.5, a fairly active phase of realization towards 30.6 may begin.
Resistance levels: 26.550
Support levels: 25.97, 24.88
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the local support and liquidity zone, but a return to the zone of interest (above 25.97 - 26.55) and consolidation above the specified border could provoke a distribution towards 30.0 - 45.0.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trend Lines
EURUSDWeekly support zone help up.
Daily inverse head and shoulder with neckline as trendline resistance broken and retested. Today's candle could close as an engulfing. If we push up next daily resistance zone around 1.19100. But overall bullish move is looking to reach monthly resistance zone around 1.22000.
SUSHIUSDT Breakout or Bull Trap?Yello, Paradisers – could this finally be the moment SUSHIUSDT flips the script, or are we about to walk into another trap? With Bitcoin potentially preparing for a short-term pullback, traders need to be extra cautious right now. That said, SUSHIUSDT is showing promising signals that are worth your full attention.
💎After a prolonged downtrend, SUSHIUSDT has broken out of a significant resistance trendline. What makes this breakout more convincing is the confluence of bullish signals appearing across multiple technical indicators. We’re seeing bullish divergence on both the RSI and MACD, suggesting a shift in underlying momentum. On top of that, the Stochastic RSI is showing hidden bullish divergence, which typically signals the continuation of an uptrend. Together, these factors increase the probability of a meaningful bullish move.
💎From a trading strategy perspective, aggressive traders may choose to enter at the current market price. This entry offers a risk-to-reward ratio close to 1:2, which meets the basic criteria for a solid trade setup. However, conservative traders should consider waiting for a potential pullback. Given the current market conditions and the likelihood of a short-term correction in BTC, a retest of the breakout level is likely. If SUSHIUSDT retest support—and prints a clear bullish candlestick pattern, that could offer a safer entry with an even better risk-to-reward profile.
💎It’s crucial to note that this bullish scenario becomes invalid if SUSHIUSDT breaks below the support zone and closes a candle beneath it. In that case, the technical setup would be considered broken, and it would be wise to stay out of the trade until a stronger, more reliable structure develops.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not a gambler. Only those who stay disciplined and wait for confirmed setups will come out on top in the long run. Patience and strategy will always beat emotion and FOMO. Trade smart, Paradisers.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
NZD/CAD – Short Setup on False BreakoutThe pair is moving inside a descending channel. Price is now trying to move above the upper boundary.
The plan is that the market may form a false breakout above the previous highs and the channel line, and then return back into the blue range.
📌 Plan: establish a short position in the 0.826–0.8265 zone once a BC is confirmed.
Stop-loss: very wide, beyond 0.829
Take-profit: quoter-line of the channel around 0.8195
Risk/Reward: about 1:2
💡 Rationale: the descending channel structure remains intact. A breakout followed by a quick return would provide a clean short entry with limited risk.
Official: Alt-token market chart says the bottom is in.A lot of messages today. Can’t answer them all. Gripped by fear.
Have published the above chart as an add-on in other ideas but felt it deserved its own post given the number of messages.
The market bottom is in. The bottom was signalled when the 700-day EMA (yellow) crossed down the 150-day SMA (Red) as shown on the above 10-day chart.
This correction we’re now seeing is perfectly normal and healthy with a correction to the 0.23 Fibonacci level just as before in February 2019 following the printing of a ‘great buy’ signal. The market needs to flush out the flotsam and jetsam trying to catch waves.
The above chart is not the subject of this idea, however. Just a back story. The chart that has caught my attention is the alt-token market cap TOTAL2.
The two moving averages that called the market bottom on Bitcoin are now doing so on the alt-token market capital.
Look left. In the months that followed this cross the alt-token market went to make remarkable gains. There was nothing else to do.
Think like a proton and stay positive.
Ww
Good time to get out of the MARKET (Too Heated)The market has never been this expensive and retailers are being the exit liquidity for whales / institutions. Almost like many people are just sitting a sipping away on an active volcano. The market could be jumping for a few days, but a rate cut confirms that the market is weak and needs a boost / help. Unfortunately, it's too little too late. Most macros show a clear sign of stress, which is not being reflected in the market (for now). Don't get too complacent...the VIX will spike at astronomical levels when the hammer falls. Best of luck!
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Bearish Pressure
WTI Crude Oil is under a strong bearish pressure after
US CPI release today.
A bearish breakout of a support line of a flag pattern
in a clear intraday downtrend on a 4H time frame leaves
a strong confirmation.
I think that the price will reach 62.0 level soon.
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Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold.
From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700.
On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580.
In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
EUR/USD Rallies from 2025 Uptrend After ECB, U.S. InflationEUR/USD is trading higher on Thursday morning in the wake of the September European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision as well as the dual U.S. data releases, weekly jobless claims and the August U.S. consumer price index (CPI). From the ECB, upgrades to growth and inflation targets are helping reduce cut odds on the Euro’s side. While headline U.S. inflation was a bit warmer on the monthly reading (+0.4% vs +0.3% expected), traders seem more concerned with the jump in initial claims (263K vs 236K expected). The U.S. 10-year yield dropped below 4% for the first time since April.
In the above chart, EUR/USD rates are displaying signs of a meaningful rebound from a technical perspective. The pair rallied off uptrend support that has defined price action since the start of 2025, as well as the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). Candlestick analysis likewise suggests that a bullish reversal is transpiring. A bullish key reversal is forming, with Thursday’s low exceeding Wednesday’s low; a close today above yesterday’s high would mark the reversal candle.
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high.
If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700.
However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580.
The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.
Gold trend analysis continues to rise after consolidationGold trend: Today, gold focuses on the impact of CPI data, which may impact the temporary technical view. Today, the Asian and European sessions maintain a low-long bullish trend, with support at 3620-3610 and short-term focus on 3645-3655. The US data has little impact, so it depends on the range. If the data has a large impact, focus on 3600 below and 3680-3690 above. Gold has risen unilaterally in two transactions and fluctuated for one trading day this week. The current high of gold is 3675, and the decline is only around 3620. Therefore, it is obvious that gold is rising slowly under the bullish trend, and even if it fluctuates, it will not fall much. Then, to determine the direction, we must look at the upward space under the direction. We still don’t guess the top, but under the influence of data, we still have to discuss whether there will be a change in direction or a shift in strength in the near future.
From a technical point of view, the daily line is still above the support of the 5-day moving average. If the 5-day moving average is not broken, there is no possibility of weakening. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Bands have closed, the middle track has not broken, and it is difficult to have a major adjustment. Therefore, the current market is still in a strong position. It is not clear whether gold has peaked or has a larger adjustment space. Therefore, if you want to trade, you still have to go long on the decline. So, today's market can be viewed in two steps. The European session is expected to fluctuate upward. Operate at key points and go long in the 3620-3610 support area below. Look at the 3645-3655 area above. If the US data has a greater impact, pay attention to the gains and losses of the 3600 key point below. It is still a good time to go long if it does not break.
Silver Near PRZ – Bearish Reversal Incoming?Today I want to share with you an analysis of SILVER ( OANDA:XAGUSD ). In my opinion, in terms of technical analysis , Silver has a more regular chart than Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) these days.
Silver is currently trading near the Resistance line , Important Resistance lines , Yearly Resistance(2) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Silver has managed to complete microwave 3 of the main wave 5 , and after the support lines are broken, we can expect a decline and completion of microwave 4 . The end of microwave 4 could follow Fibonacci levels .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Silver to fall to at least $40.51(First Target) AFTER breaking the support lines .
Second Target: $39.81
Stop Loss(SL): $42.18
Note: Today's US data release could cause a shock to Silver, but ultimately, Silver will continue its downward trend (at least to the first target).
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Silver/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (XAGUSD), 4-hour time frame.
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XAU/USD: Resistance at 3,650 Triggers Potential Pullback SetupXAU/USD has reached the 3,650 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally within its upward channel, but momentum is now stalling. A visible top formation is emerging on the chart, with sellers actively defending this level, suggesting a possible corrective move ahead.
If gold fails to break and sustain above 3,650, the price may retrace toward the next key support at 3,546. While the broader trend remains bullish, near-term momentum indicates a likely pullback phase. Upcoming economic data could also influence whether the market consolidates or corrects from current levels.
Gold update SeptemberI predict that gold is accumulating in this wedge pattern, the closest point of confluence between the down channel and FVG then increases and my short selling point is Supply frame 3 hours target to Demand frame 1 hour. Then I will collect goods there to hit the last increase of Gold. Because according to my calculation, Gold cycle often creates peaks at the end of September and the beginning of October. In case Gold breaks down falsely to sweep stop loss, I have waited for the FVG frame 1 hour to break down and collect goods for the last time until the end of September.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time To Fall!?Gold appears to be respecting a falling trend line on a 4H time frame.
A strong bearish pattern seems to be emerging. The price has formed a cup and handle pattern and is currently testing its neckline.
The next confirmation for a bearish trend is to watch for a breakout. A 4-hour candle closing below the 3620 level would validate the breakout.
Subsequently, a bearish reversal could be anticipated, potentially leading towards the next support level.
TIA Consolidation Ends? Bulls Eye 2.2 First, Then 4.0In my previous analysis, I mentioned that I am bullish on BINANCE:TIAUSDT , expecting the coin to recover at least part of the ground lost since the start of 2024.
So far, we haven’t seen real acceleration to the upside, but the price action is encouraging:
• Dips have been well defended around the 1.5 zone.
• The recent low stands above the July low, suggesting buyers are stepping in earlier.
• Two days ago, price finally managed to break above the falling trendline, a technical step in the right direction.
Putting these elements together, I maintain my bullish outlook. The first soft target for this move is 2.2.
But the real inflection point comes there: if TIA manages to stabilize above 2.2, a level that acted as support in early 2025 and resistance in late July, then the door opens for a much stronger rally. In that case, a reasonable target would be 4.0, with momentum likely to pick up sharply.