Trend Lines
High-Level Consolidation: A Playground for Both Bulls and BearsToday, I clearly predicted that "cyclical patterns suggest a 600-pips drop in gold." Gold surged to around 3675 before retreating, reaching a low of around 3626, a fluctuation of 490 pips. It was very close to my expectation, so according to my trading model, I won a big victory in long and short trading today!
Day Trading Results:
1. First, we shorted gold near 3658 and closed the trade at TP: 3638, for a profit of 200 pips.
2. We shorted gold twice at 3655-3656, closing the positions manually at 3647 and 3645, respectively, for a total profit of 190 pips.
3. We shorted gold in batches near 3667 and 3673, closing the trade at TP: 3650, for a total profit of 400 pips.
4. We longed gold in batches near 3632 and 3628, closing the trade at TP: 3642, for a total profit of 240 pips.
Thus, today's total profit on both long and short trades was 1030 pips. I am very satisfied with today's trading model and results.
As for my view on the gold market in the future, I believe that the current gold market is still in an environment of interest rate cut expectations, and the macroeconomic background still has a significant supporting effect on gold. The current bullish trend of gold has not changed, and short-term fluctuations will not affect the overall direction. Therefore, before the interest rate cut is implemented (the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on September 17), gold will still maintain an upward structure.
Judging from the candlestick chart, as long as gold remains above 3600, gold will remain in a bullish structure and maintain an overall upward trend. Although gold began to retreat after touching around 3675, and the bullish momentum no longer seems strong, I believe that gold has limited room for retreat in the short term. Even if the bulls no longer recover their previous strong momentum, gold is expected to maintain a high-level volatile trend, with the short-term support below at 3630-3620. If it is difficult for gold to fall below this area in the short term, gold may still hit the 3670-3680 area during the rebound.
Therefore, in the next short-term trading, if gold first retreats to the 3630-3620 area, we can consider trying to go long on gold, first looking at the 3650-3660 target area;If gold touches the 3670-3680 area again during the rebound, we can still try to short gold again, and the retracement target will first look at the 3655-3645 area.
3500? No, it’s 3700!
💡Message Strategy
On Tuesday (September 9), international gold prices hit a new high, firmly above the $3,600 mark broken the previous day. Rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have led to a weakening dollar and lower bond yields, boosting investor demand for precious metals.
Gold prices have risen nearly 39% so far this year, continuing their strength after a 27% jump in 2024. This is primarily supported by a weaker dollar, aggressive central bank purchases, dovish monetary policies, and heightened global uncertainty.
The dollar index fell to a near seven-week low, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remained near a five-month low.
📊Technical aspects
In the 4-hour chart, the stochastic indicator continues to form a golden cross, which is a bullish signal. The MACD double lines are glued together and the high level is blunt. In terms of form, the market continues to rise. The 4-hour signal shows that the high point of the market has not yet appeared! It is still mainly low-long; the current support level of the sideways market is around 3630.
In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator continues to retest the golden cross upward, signaling a three-day winning streak. Today's daily K-line is essentially a bullish candle, but the issue lies in the magnitude. Calculated from the 3500-3120 range, the upward movement here is 380 points.
Gold's current trend has been consistent with our expectations, and the signal targets are being met.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3625-3635,SL:3600,Target:3680,3700
XAU/USD: Momentum Slows After New All-Time High, Correction LikeXAU/USD has reached a new all-time high within its established upward channel, but is now showing signs of price deceleration near the 3,660 resistance zone—a key area where bullish momentum appears to be fading.
The formation of smaller candles in this profit-taking zone signals exhaustion, and a potential rejection at this level could trigger a correction toward 3,590, with a deeper pullback toward 3,470 possible if sellers take control.
Structurally, the market appears to be completing an A-B-C correction from this extended zone, suggesting that a broader retracement phase may be unfolding before any renewed bullish continuation.
GBPUSD Observing The Major Resistance AreaAs we can see in this chat, the pair respected the resistance zone and as expected it is heading down 1.3382 as the next partial support.
Possible outline:
hold on short position with 1.3458 as first Tp and 1.3382 as the second take profit.
Like and share your thoughts
Thanks for reading.
Dollar-Yen Outlook: Bearish While Under 147.82 PivotUSDJPY – Overview
The pair shows bearish momentum after stabilizing below 147.82, confirming pressure to the downside.
Technical Outlook:
📉 As long as price trades below 147.82, bearish momentum is expected to extend toward 147.07 → 146.35.
📈 A confirmed 4H close above 147.82 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 148.49 → 149.00.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 147.82
Support: 147.07 – 146.35
Resistance: 148.49 – 149.00
Bias: Bearish below 147.82; bullish recovery possible only on a confirmed break above this pivot.
AMD Rebounds from Support: Path to $200+ Unlocked?
AMD Rebounds from Support: Path to $200+ Unlocked?
AMD has successfully rebounded from its ascending trendline and the strong support zone of
145−150.
This indicates a potential bullish continuation, with a stop loss recommended below $145 to manage risk.
The immediate upside target for AMD is identified between $185 and $188.
Should the stock breach this initial resistance, a secondary target range of $200 to $205 comes into play.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
EURUSD 1H – Testing Major ResistanceFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price is testing the 1.1765 resistance zone after a strong bullish recovery. Demand zone remains strong around 1.1610–1.1630.
Market Overview
EURUSD is approaching the upside resistance after breaking through key supports last week. Bulls must sustain momentum above 1.1700 to confirm continuation.
Key Scenarios
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Target 1: 1.1682
Target 2: 1.1650
Target 3: 1.1620
Stop Loss: Above 1.1770
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.1765 – 1.1780
Support 🟢: 1.1650 – 1.1620
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Don’t rush to buy, the pullback is the golden opportunity!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold quickly retreated and stabilized at the 3580 mark during the Asian session, ushering in a strong pull-up by the bulls. It continued to rise in the European session and continued the extremely strong unilateral rise of the bulls, and accelerated to break through the 3646 mark and closed strongly. The daily K-line closed strongly and broke through the high-middle yang. The daily level rose strongly and formed an extremely strong unilateral rise pattern of the bulls. It touched a high of 3646.3 in the evening. Gold fluctuated at the opening today. There were signs of a pullback and repair on the technical side. Although the general trend is still bullish, the short-term technical pullback and adjustment cannot be ruled out. I think the recent rise of consecutive yangs currently requires certain technical adjustments, so we should not be overly bullish on gold, especially above the 3650 line. Don't chase more, and be vigilant about the technical pullback demand. If you are not satisfied with your gold operations at the moment, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the current gold trend analysis, today's short-term support is around 3630-3620, and the important support below is 3615-3610. If it retraces during the day, it will continue to be bullish and follow the trend based on this position. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3600. If it stabilizes at this position at the daily level, it will continue to maintain the main tone of retracement and low buying. For specific operations of counter-trend short positions, pay attention to the bottom notification and maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it retraces to around 3630-3620, target 3650-3655, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
Bulls continue to sprint to new highsGold continues to maintain high volatility expectations, and we continue to maintain a bullish and long-term thinking. We have already arranged long orders near 3640-3630 below, so the subjective thinking in operation remains bullish. Although the market is at a historical high and the adjustment demand has been accumulated for too long, it is not advisable to blindly go short before major fundamental events. The technical points continue to pay attention to the short-term pressure near 3670-3375 above. Although the general trend is still bullish, the short-term technical pullback adjustment cannot be ruled out. I, Tian Haoyang, believe that the recent rise of consecutive positive days currently requires certain technical adjustments, so we should not be overly bullish on gold, and must be vigilant against the technical pullback demand. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3635-3630, and the lower support is around 3620. If it pulls back during the day, it will continue to be bullish and follow the trend based on this position. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3600. If the daily level stabilizes at this position, it will continue to maintain the main tone of pulling back to low and buying. I will remind you of the specific operations of the counter-trend short position at the bottom, so please pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it retraces to around 3640-3630, target 3660-3670, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
NVDA gravity is strong....$140NVDA is heading towards the death cross (SMA200) and doesn't seem like much will change that at this point. The economy is doing horribly, despite a few small wins. Even the lower interest rate (25/50 basis points) is too little too late, when most of the S&P is already trading below 200SMA. There is a massive overheating of AI Tech stocks that are highly concentrated, and a massive correction is coming. Follow CAPE and PE ratios historically, this time won't be different! Best of luck....
USNAS100 Holds Above 23,690 – Bulls Eye 23,870 ATHUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 remains in bullish momentum while trading above the pivot at 23,690, with the next target near the ATH at 23,870.
Technical Outlook:
📈 As long as price holds above 23,690, bullish momentum is expected toward 23,860 → 23,940 → 24,090.
📉 A confirmed 1H close below 23,690 would shift bias bearish, opening the way to 23,600 → 23,500 → 23,280.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 23,690
Resistance: 23,860 – 23,940 – 24,090
Support: 23,600 – 23,500 – 23,280
It is not a reversal, the layout of the future market ideasFrom today's data feedback, we can draw an effective clue that the labor market is affected by the White House's immigration policy, which weakens the labor supply. Faced with the weak employment index, the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point interest rate cut is almost tacitly accepted by the market. Coupled with the impact of the geopolitical situation, in the medium and long term, gold is still on an upward trend.
As I told you before, if gold wants to continue to rise in the short term, intraday pullbacks are inevitable. Today's is just a small correction, not a trend reversal. Furthermore, gold's recent upward trend has deviated from its technical support for too long and will need to gradually return to its technical support through a correction. The real significant change will come after the interest rate cut is confirmed next week.
Although gold is still consolidating around 3644 and the hourly moving average tends to stick together, strong short-term buying funds provide certain support at 3635-3620 below. If the retracement fails to effectively fall below the short-term support, then gold may rebound to 3665-3680. Conversely, if it breaks below this support, it could test the 3600 round number or even the important support at 3580. Short-term resistance is at 3665-3680.
But I think the greater probability is that it will maintain a high level of oscillation between 3655 and 3635 before receiving effective data or news stimulation. Short-term traders can consider trading within this range. If gold first retraces to the 3635-3620 area, we can try to go long on gold in this area, with a target area of 3645-3655.
Gold Breakout: Exhaustion Risk into Fresh Record HighGold is breaking uptrend resistance today with price stretching to fresh record highs. An embedded channel highlights the next technical hurdle at the 300% extension of the 2011 decline at 3666- risk for topside exhaustion / price inflection into this threshold IF reached.
Initial support now rests back at 3600 with near-term bullish invalidation raised to 3578- losses should be limited to this threshold IF price is heading higher on this stretch. A topside breach / daily close above channel resistance exposes the 1.618% extension of the May advance at 3782.
-MB
Binge with BROSHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we’re looking at Dutch Bros (BROS).
BROS has a soft spot in my heart, as I used to live near Grants Pass OR where they started.
Even without my bias, There’s a lot happening here that points to bullish momentum.
1) It’s important to note that the yellow box is what I call algorithmic suppression — this isn’t real selling but instead this is fabricated selling . This is usually done by short sellers and hedge funds looking to slow down the momentum of a stock. I talk about the "why" on my channel.
2) The Real seller has been challenged and if they are satisfied by the end of the week (above $71) this would seal the deal.
3) New Aggressors have taken a strong position, and they will look to defend this area as the weeks go on.
For these reasons I have 2 scenarios to help you get Long as well as some Value prices for your long term.
Green Scenario
If buyers continue to defend the New Aggressor zone, BROS should make another push back up into the Light Seller area around 79. This should be a partial TP.
A close into or above that seller zone would continue the marching of these bulls.
Red Scenario
We do not know where exactly the top of this New aggressor is yet, but It's strongest case scenario would be 68.80 (This is the most unlikely)
If there is a retrace, the top of Strong Demand is likely where strong buyers will step in. Out of scenarios, I feel better about going ofr the more conservative approach (but who doesn't like a better deal?)
Entry 62.50
Stop 56
TP 1 80
TP 2 Hold for 5+ years - Long Term.
Long Term
If you’re looking to build exposure on BROS, here’s how I’d map the levels based on conviction:
Aggressive: Current demand (72)
Value: Strong Demand (56-62)
Extreme Value: (44-46)
Overall, this looks very bullish for BROS. With algorithmic suppression cleared, and a real seller already taken out of the market (we will know end of week), You may strike gold in the long term.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
Pay attention to the pressure at 3650, which may fall back!Gold continued to rise strongly during the day, reaching a high near 3646, but it is currently at a high level and is not suitable for blindly chasing long positions. We prefer to choose opportunities for short-term operations in key pressure areas rather than passively following at high levels. It should be clear that the layout of short-term short positions does not mean that this is the market top. If the market is really that simple, the market would not be so complicated. The core idea this week is still to short on rebounds as a supplement and buy on pullbacks as the main method. If gold wants to go higher, a technical pullback in the middle is an inevitable process, and after the pullback, there is still potential to continue to rise. In terms of operation, you can consider shorting with a light position below 3650. The first target is the 3530-3520 area. The short-term support below is the 3615-3610 area. If it fluctuates further and falls back, pay attention to the performance of the 3600 area and then decide whether to enter the market to go long. If the price breaks through 3640-3650 again and stabilizes, hold on to the trend and look for higher space. The key to trading is to grasp the rhythm, not blindly chase ups and downs, follow the trend, and respond flexibly to truly achieve stable profits.
Breaking Free: How Bears Can Win Back in GoldAfter touching the trend line resistance area of 3640-3650, gold fell back as expected, showing a high "doji" in the hourly candle chart and signs of stagflation. It is expected to become a market turning point in the short term. The gold market may usher in a good correction in the short term due to this technical turning point. However, we need to note that as long as gold remains above 3580, the current situation is still a strong bullish pattern, so we must pay attention to the extent of the retracement.
As gold continues to rise, the current short-term support is at 3620-3610, so I think it is necessary for gold to retrace its support in this area. Once gold is supported in this area, it may rebound again and retest the high area of 3640-3650. If gold falls below the short-term support area of 3620-3610, then gold will further retrace its steps to 3590-3580, which is the lifeline of bulls and the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If gold falls below the 3590-3580 area during the backtest, the current gold bull advantage will no longer exist, and the bears will likely regain control of the situation. As most long funds take profits and the market experiences panic selling, gold will completely turn into a bearish trend and fall further.
At present, I still hold short position in gold, and first aim at the short target area: 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the target area will be postponed to 3600-3590 area. I am currently holding my short position and have already realized some profits. I very much hope that gold will fall back to the target area as expected!
Baidu | BIDU | Long at $82.50Baidu NASDAQ:BIDU - the Google of China. This one is being ignored by AI investors, and may be an opportunity. Maybe... nothing is certain (especially with the "risks" of Chinese investments).
P/E = 9x
Debt/Equity = 0.27x
Price/Sales = 1.55x
Price/Book = 0.80x
Price/Cash flow = 7.59x
Thus, at $82.50, NASDAQ:BIDU is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$109.00
$125.00
$150.00