Dxy bullish | 98.012The US Dollar Index (DX) appears to be completing its Wave 4 correction within the Elliott Wave structure, signaling a potential bullish reversal. After a period of consolidation and pullback, price action is stabilizing above key Fibonacci support levels, suggesting that the corrective phase may be ending. Technical indicators are starting to shift bullish, with early signs of momentum recovery and possible bullish divergence on lower timeframes. A confirmed breakout above short-term resistance would likely validate the start of Wave 5, targeting a new swing high. Overall, the setup favors a bullish continuation as Wave 5 unfolds, in alignment with the primary uptrend.
Trend Lines
Nas100: Trading Levels in FocusKey Zones in Play
Zone 1 – Yesterday’s High:
Yesterday’s high represents the level where buyers lost momentum and sellers stepped in. If price revisits this zone, traders should expect potential supply pressure. A clean break and sustained hold above would signal renewed strength and could re-ignite bullish momentum.
Zone 2 – Yesterday’s Low:
This zone is the lower boundary of the previous session and now acts as short-term support. Buyers may defend this level to maintain structure, but its reliability is limited given the fresh all-time high environment and lack of historical confirmation. A decisive break below would weaken the bullish case and could invite deeper retracement.
Conclusion:
With US100 trading close to record highs, these zones provide useful guidelines, but they should not be treated as precise buy or sell triggers. In uncharted territory, reactions are often more volatile, making it essential to treat these levels as reference points rather than absolute decision zones.
Morning Sentiment Brief
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. The recent Fed rate cut and ongoing enthusiasm around AI investments continue to underpin a bullish narrative, keeping the US100 near record highs. However, Powell’s cautious tone this week, stressing data-dependence and warning about stretched equity valuations, has cooled some of the initial euphoria.
Traders are now balancing optimism with prudence. Tech momentum is intact, but profit-taking and sector rotation show that conviction is more selective. Political and regulatory headlines add another layer of uncertainty, leaving the market more sensitive to incoming catalysts. Overall, the bias stays positive, but participants are trading with more caution as the index moves in uncharted territory.
Nifty 50 – Symmetrical Triangle SetupNifty is consolidating inside a large symmetrical triangle.
Support: 24,000–23,500 zone (rising trendline)
Resistance: 25,500–25,800 (falling trendline)
Volume: Contracting, confirming consolidation
Scenarios:
Above 25,800 → room toward 26,500–27,000
Below 24,000 → risk opens toward 22,500–22,000
Bias: Long-term trend is still up. Near-term, likely sideways between 24,000–25,800 until breakout.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. I am not SEBI registered. Not investment advice.
XAUUSD – Gold Analysis & Trading Plan (Sep 25, 2025)1️⃣ Main Trend
- The main trend on the higher timeframe is still bullish (uptrend), as price continues to form higher highs and higher lows.
- However, after reaching the peak around 3,790, price corrected downward and is now trading within a wedge/triangle pattern — with the H1 descending trendline on top and the long-term ascending trendline below.
→ This means the overall trend remains bullish, but in the short term, price is entering a consolidation phase.
2️⃣. Key Zones
Key Resistance:
- 3,754 – 3,755 (CW POC + near H1 trendline): a decisive zone; if it holds, it could continue pushing price lower.
- 3,787 – 3,790 (CW VAH): a strong resistance zone above.
Key Support:
- 3,732 – 3,733 (CW VAL): the nearest support, currently being tested.
- 3,687 – 3,685: deeper support, the previous swing low of the last bullish move.
3️⃣Price Action
- Price recently dropped from 3,773 (near the H1 trendline) down to 3,717 (near the long-term ascending trendline) and then bounced back.
- If it bounces from VAL, price may retest the H1 trendline or POC.
- If VAL breaks decisively, the correction could extend toward 3,687.
4️⃣ Candlestick Pattern
- Long lower-wick candles appeared around VAL (3,732) → showing buying pressure.
- However, the current rebound candles are small-bodied, not yet a clear reversal signal.
→ Confirmation (breakout or rejection) is required before taking action.
5️⃣ Trading Plan
* Strategy 1 – Buy with the main trend (priority):
- Buy around 3,732 (VAL) if a clear bullish reversal candlestick pattern forms (pin bar / bullish engulfing).
- Target: 3,754 (POC) → extended to 3,787 (VAH).
* Strategy 2 – Short-term Sell from resistance:
- Sell if price retests 3,754 (POC + H1 trendline) and gets rejected.
- Target: 3,732 (VAL) → extended to 3,687.
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XAUUSD – The SELL trend has been confirmed
Technical Analysis
After a strong rise hitting the resistance zone of 3770–3780, gold (XAUUSD) couldn't maintain momentum and started forming consecutive declines. This signals that selling pressure is dominating in the short term.
The 3767–3769 zone coincides with local resistance, a place where the market has reacted multiple times → confirming its role as a distribution zone.
Fibonacci Retracement levels from the latest upward wave show the 0.618 zone around 3700–3705 acts as short-term support, where technical rebound reactions may occur.
The 3673–3675 zone confluences with Fib 2.618 and EMA200 → strong support, considered the main Buy zone for long-term buyers.
RSI (14) is currently below 50, momentum leans towards decline, confirming the adjustment trend is prevailing.
Trading Scenario
SELL Scenario (trend-following priority):
Entry: 3767–3769
SL: 3775
TP: 3755 – 3740 – 3733 – 3710 – 3694
Buy scalping scenario (short-term support reaction):
Entry: 3701–3704
SL: 3698
TP: 3710 – 3722 – 3736
Buy zone scenario (priority for medium-term rebound):
Entry: 3673–3675
SL: 3666
TP: 3688 – 3696 – 3705 – 3720 – 3736
Price zones to watch
3767–3769: important resistance, priority Sell zone.
3700–3705: short-term support, potential Buy scalping area.
3673–3675: main Buy zone, confluence of support + Fibonacci.
3694 and 3736: important intermediate levels, where partial profit-taking is recommended.
The main short-term trend is leaning towards SELL, however, important support zones may provide opportunities for counter-trend Buys or trend-following Buys after price adjustments.
This is a reference scenario based on resistance – support and Fibonacci. Follow me if you love trading gold and want to read the latest analyses in the community.
XAUUSD – Pressure at 3777 zone XAUUSD – Pressure at 3777 zone, adjustment scenario and trend-following buy
Technical Analysis
After a strong upward move, gold (XAUUSD) is now approaching the resistance zone of 3777–3780, where it converges with the Fibonacci expansion cluster and the old resistance structure. This is a price area prone to short-term selling pressure, and a decisive point for the next trend.
EMA200 (H1: 3685) is still clearly sloping upwards → the main trend remains upward, but the market is in a state of range expansion, with a potential adjustment phase before continuing upward.
RSI (14) is currently oscillating around 57–60, indicating that the upward momentum has cooled, not yet entering the overbought zone but posing a risk of divergence if a new peak is formed without accompanying momentum.
Volume Profile levels and support zones 3738–3740 / 3719–3722 / 3661–3665 will be where buyers can react to protect the main trend.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Sell adjustment at resistance zone:
Entry: 3777–3780
SL: 3784
TP: 3755 – 3742 – 3730 – 3705
Scenario 2 – Short-term scalping buy:
Entry: 3738–3740
SL: 3734
TP: 3747 – 3755 – 3770
Scenario 3 – Trend-following buy (priority when deep adjustment):
Entry: 3719–3722
SL: 3715
TP: 3728 – 3740 – 3765 – 3780
Price Zones to Watch
3777–3780: critical resistance, potential Sell zone.
3738–3740: nearby support, suitable for scalping buy.
3719–3722: main Buy zone for recovery, confluence of support structure.
3705: deep support, target if adjustment trend expands.
Outlook
The major trend for gold still leans towards upward, however, the 3777–3780 zone currently plays a decisive role. Sellers can take advantage of short-term Sell to catch the adjustment phase, while buyers should wait for prices to pull back to support zones to enter trend-following orders.
This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and prepare well for your trading plan.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDSLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Opportunities at Key Price Levels
Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently oscillating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakouts. The technical structure on the H1 chart indicates the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans.
Technical Analysis
RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the potential for a short-term correction.
The upper price zone around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions.
Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x show dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices correct.
The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed at the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak.
Trading Plan Reference
Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650
Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790
Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790
In summary, the main trend still favors an uptrend, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is high. Traders should patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entry, while managing risk tightly.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
AUDUSD InsightHello subscribers, welcome back!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to boost and subscribe.
Key Points
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that “in the short term, inflation risks are tilted to the upside while employment risks are tilted to the downside,” adding that “this is a difficult situation as risks exist on both sides, meaning there is no risk-free path.”
- U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent criticized Powell’s hawkish remarks, saying “Powell should have sent a signal of a 100–150bp rate cut.”
- Australia’s August CPI rose 3.0% YoY, accelerating from July’s 2.8%. Markets expect the RBA to hold rates at its September 30 policy meeting, followed by rate cuts in November and February next year.
Major Economic Events This Week
+September 25: U.S. GDP (Q2)
+September 26: U.S. PCE Price Index (August)
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
After a sharp rally, AUDUSD is experiencing a minor pullback around the 0.67000 level. A decline toward 0.65000 is anticipated during this correction, but the pair is expected to resume its upward momentum afterward. On a rebound, the projected peak is seen near the 0.69000 level.
SEP 24, 2025 | XAUUSD | 1st Signal (SELL NOW)Selling at the 3765–3768 resistance zone offers a good risk–reward ratio:
- Stop Loss: above 3775 (to filter false breakouts).
- Take Profit: support zone 3740 → 3721 (POC).
1️⃣ Technical Resistance
- The 3765–3768 zone is located exactly at the SWING VAH – the upper boundary of the profile.
- This is a strong resistance zone, as the price has touched it multiple times and left upper wicks → showing clear selling pressure.
2️⃣ H1 Trendline
- On the chart, there is a descending H1 trendline formed after the price dropped from the recent high.
- Currently, the 3765–3768 zone coincides with this trendline → becoming a dynamic resistance, increasing the probability of price rejection.
3️⃣ Price Action
- Candles near the 3765–3768 area have shown long upper wicks, reflecting strong selling force as the price was pushed down.
- This is a clear signal that buyers are struggling to maintain bullish momentum.
4️⃣ Volume Profile
- The 3765–3768 area is close to a thick volume distribution cluster → the market often reacts strongly when retesting this level.
- This makes the zone a potential supply area.
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MSTR....set-up not looking goodNASDAQ:MSTR is below 9, 50, 200SMA! That's about the clearest red flag you can see. There could be some volatility, but would be very careful as it crosses down 330, 300 and then possibly the next support line is further down as people dump hard. CBOE:MSTZ is a nice inverse play here! Best of luck
Daily chart shows a bearish rebound; expect further declines.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has fallen below 3735 and may continue its downward trend in the short term. Pay attention to the MA5 moving average support and the previous top and bottom conversion level of 3708. If it can hold 3712-3708, you can consider going long on gold with a light position, and the SL is given to 3700. Once it falls below 3712-3708, it may test 3685. Aggressive investors can enter in the evening, while conservative investors can wait for my specific trading strategy tomorrow.
AVAX Weekly Resistance Ahead📊 CRYPTO:AVAXUSD has been climbing steadily off the April low, but it's now approaching a critical resistance zone: the 2024 downtrend channel between $40–$44. This area has historically capped rallies and could trigger a strong reaction.
This is a decision zone: momentum vs. structure.
#ElliottWave #Altcoins #CryptoSetup #Avalanche
FECTC LongFECTC is forming a bullish flag pattern.
Next target as per ABCD pattern is 131 (on bigger time frame, you can see a cup formation).
Handle will form after that and target of cup and handle will be ~ 220 to 240.
On monthly time frame, golden cross is about to happen which is again a bullish indicator.
Feroz (Razia) Resistances (Ghundon) main phans gayi !!Feroze is facing many resistances...
Monthly resistance at 419
Black trendline resistance at ~425
Fib 0.5 level resistance at ~428
Blue trendline resistance at ~440
Bearish divergence on RSI indicating a potential downside.. But this may be resolved if trend is sideways and stock remains at this level for 1-2 months more.
So.... 419 to 440 is a very strong resistance zone on monthly timeframe and may take some time and patience for it to pass through it..
Be patient, targets are huge.
Remember !!! its all time high is 900+ and trend seems strong with ADX above 45...
Minimum target is 720 (for weak hearts).
Strong holders can keep it for beyond 900...
Quick Gold Long: Playing the Rebound GameGold has now fallen below the 3755 area, disconfirming the ascending triangle formation in the short term. The price has continued to fall below the downward channel support around 37740, signaling a short-term shift from strength to weakness. However, since gold hasn't shown clear signs of a peak, and the decline hasn't been a cliff-like drop, but rather a volatile downward pattern, the current technical pullback remains within normal limits and hasn't reached the level of a reversal. Therefore, gold still has the potential to rebound after this pullback.
Gold has retreated to the 3730-3725 area. While the decline hasn't completely stopped, the decline has certainly slowed. Furthermore, this area offers some technical support. Gold may rebound in the short term after fluctuating within this area, potentially reaching the 3740-3750 range.
Thus, for short-term trading, we can initially consider going long on gold in the 3730-3725 area, with a short-term rebound target of 3740-3750.
MACTER LongMACTER was previously moving in channel drawn with blue lines.
It broke the channel on 18th July and now it is moving in another channel drawn with yellow lines.
Currently it is at the bottom of this new channel and chances are high that it will bounce back from here. It has almost retraced to Fib 0.786 of its previous high.
Once it bounces back, the first major resistance it will face will be the bottom of blue channel (~480). If it breaks in the channel, the first target will be ~700 (top of yellow channel and Fib extension level of 1.0) and in the longer run, if it also breaks the top of yellow channel, it may reach new highs of ~900 (Fib extension of 1.618).
Heavy volumes in last few days support the idea of heavy accumulation at current price zone.
This is my personal opinion and not a buy / sell call.
MSTR further winding up with a 1-2 1-2 1-2? Looks like MSTR might have just finished and ending diagonal for another wave c of 2. This could also just be a 1-2 1-2 still but so far counting it as a 1-2 1-2 1-2.
Either way, it looks like it is ready to rip to 380. Will see in the next couple of sessions how this plays out.
How to seize the certain opportunities in the gold market?Yesterday, gold continued its record-breaking rally, achieving its sixth consecutive week of gains and further entering an unknown price range. The core driving force behind this round of gains lies in the market's continued rise in dovish expectations for the Federal Reserve to further implement loose policies before the end of the year. Although the 25 basis point interest rate cut last week has been digested by the market, investors are increasingly expecting two more interest rate cuts in October and December, providing strong support for gold prices. In addition, ongoing geopolitical tensions, increased gold holdings by various countries and strong inflows of funds into gold ETFs have together constituted the multiple pillars of this bull market. Under the interweaving of risk aversion and loose expectations, gold has risen by more than 40% this year, highlighting its strong appeal.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows that gold prices closed with a large real body positive line, and the trend is extremely strong. The MACD indicator double lines sent a golden cross signal, confirming the short-term bullish trend. However, the indicator has deviated seriously into the overbought area, suggesting that there is a large risk of technical correction in the later period. Strategy analysis needs to focus on the support role of the MA5 moving average below. If it falls below, it may trigger a deeper adjustment. It is recommended to remain cautious in operation. You can consider light positions and try to arrange short orders on rallies. The upper resistance focuses on the 3780-3800 range, and the lower support is around 3745-3730. Although the current market trend is upward, we need to be vigilant against the risk of high-level corrections.
USDCAD; A Bearish Confirmation Or Breakout ?The chat is plainly showing us how USDCAD have been moving within the area of support and resistance. which we are expecting a short opportunity at the moment.
Although there may be a breakout above the resistance in regard to double bottom chat pattern been displayed.
Possible Outline:
A confirmed reversal below the resistance zone would trigger a movement down to next support.
Like and follow up
Thanks for your time.
$BTC fake pump, you won't be savedSo there's some consolidation taking place, and that's normal at these levels. But let's zoom out for a bit and see the forest vs. the trees. What do we see? Downward channel SMAs / support resistance levels. What does that mean? it will bounce within the downward channel. The direction is way too strong moving it down to it's true support levels. Liquidity is down for retailers and institutions don't have the appetite to experiment with ultra high volatility esp. with YoY diminishing returns. Blackrock is dumping, and some are looking to get luck and hope for an upside. Hope is not a strategy! Maybe one day it will go up higher, but first it will cross 75k and many will get completely wiped out. I've see this many times before. Best of luck and always do your own dd!
If the price remains below 3780, continue short selling.The daily chart closed with a long upper shadow, indicating a clear technical need for a correction. The Asian session fell as expected in the morning, repeatedly testing 3750. Those who followed the short selling could basically get nearly 150pips profit. Although a bullish structure appears in the hourly chart, the trend pressure above 3780 is still there in the short term. If gold fails to effectively break the trend pressure, it will fall back in the short term. The first support below can be seen at 3750. Once it falls below, gold will test the support of 3735. Currently, gold has rebounded again. As long as it fails to effectively break through and stabilize above 3780, we can still consider shorting gold.