Detailed unemployment measures (part-time employment and long term unemployed) continue to trend down within their relevant descending ranges, however did not yet restore - unlike headline indicators (such as Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate), confirming the Fed's words regarding still weak employment market.
If the indicators stay within their relevant...
Jobless claims continue to trend down within relevant descending range.
Currently reached a cyclical low, last seen in 2000 and 2006.
Thus the short term unemployment indicator shows that on one hand, situation is improving, but on the other hand it will be difficult to trade lower - and a cyclical upturn in Jobless Claims could be in the cards.
