EURUSD H4 | Fallling Towards 50% Fib SupportThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 1.1676, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 1.1623, which is a pullback support that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1774, which is a pullback resistance.
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Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
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USD
Potential bullish reversal?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st reistance, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 2,913.87
1st Support: 2,814.66
1st Resistance: 3,101.46
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5850 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5900.
We look to Buy at 0.5820 (stop at 0.5785)
Our profit targets will be 0.5895 and 0.5900
Resistance: 0.5850 / 0.5875 / 0.5900
Support: 0.5820 / 0.5800 / 0.5785
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EURUSD | Elliott Wave Running Triangle Near Completion – 1.19 On the H4 chart, price appears to be tracing out a classic Elliott Wave running triangle (A–B–C–D–E).
Key characteristics stand out:
Converging trendlines with contracting volatility
Wave E holding above prior structural support
The lower boundary acting as a clear invalidation level (~1.1575)
Running triangles typically resolve in the direction of the larger trend, often with sharp follow-through once compression ends.
Scenarios:
- If the E-wave low holds and price reclaims momentum:
Resolution higher becomes the dominant path, opening room for a move toward the 1.19 zone, aligned with prior supply and the upper range extension.
- If the invalidation level breaks:
The triangle structure is negated, shifting focus back to broader range continuation and deeper consolidation.
Catalysts:
ECB communication and rate path expectations
U.S. data tied to inflation and growth momentum
Broader USD sentiment across risk assets
Takeaway:
EURUSD is compressing into a late-stage triangle — 1.1575 is the line between structure holding and failure, while upside resolution keeps 1.19 as the key zone to watch.
EURUSD final rally before complete collapse?The EURUSD pair is on a very aggressive 2-day rebound just after hitting its 1D MA200 (red trend-line) on Friday for the first time in more than 10 months (since March 05 2025)! This is naturally directly related to the new round of U.S. - E.U. tariffs discussions over Greenland. Typically moves on impulse news fade and technicals come back to center stage to dominate the price action.
So technically, since the September 15 2025 High, this basically ranged price action resembles the peak formation of January - May 2021, which led to a massive 18-month Bear Cycle.
The break below (even though marginal) the 1D MA200 is the first bearish signal and the final confirmation will come when the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks. So far even the 1W RSI Lower Highs sequences among the two fractals are similar.
As a result, when if the bearish break-out is confirmed (a 1W candle close below the 1D MA200 before the 1W MA50), we expect the pair to enter a new Bear Cycle, which by late 2026 - early 2027 can test the previous Low at 1.0200.
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Global scenario for the EURUSD.Global scenario for the EURUSD. AMEX:USD ASX:EUR #EURUSD
Entry: $1.16600
Stop Loss: $1.19222
Take Profit 1: $0.85100
Take Profit 2: $0.73645
Of course, I could write out a long detailed evidentiary base, but on the 3-month charts of EURUSD and the dollar index everything is already perfectly clear anyway, and the probability of these scenarios actually playing out is quite high.
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TVC:DXY Global scenario for the US dollar index.
On the 3-month timeframe, it looks like a reversal to continue the upward trend after a correction down to $96.21.
• It seems we can expect growth in the dollar index roughly through 2032, with the main targets being $119.00, $126.00, and $142.00.
• The world is getting unsettled, and metals like gold, silver, platinum, and aluminum are rising with accelerating momentum.
Many investors and countries are scooping up physical metals because they know what could happen in the future, plus there's active construction of bunkers and more than 100 underground cities in the US.
Also, let's not forget that Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has accumulated historically massive cash reserves, reaching record levels, such as around $381 billion in late 2025.
It's hard to picture what the future holds, but I'm going off the chart here, and this idea gets invalidated if the dollar index drops below $96.00.
Entry: $99.00
Stop Loss: $96.00
Target 1: $119.00
Target 2: $126.00
Target 3: $142.00
TradingView (DXY):
Snapshot:
EURUSD LONGS - BUYER BACK IN CONTROL?After the recent downtrend on the current pair it seems price has halted at support and buyers have resumed.
We can see the 1.16198 area is significant level where price attempted to break lower and failed with buyers entering.
On the daily time frame price is also now trading above the 100 day MA. On the 4 hour we can see a break and restest of the counter trendline signalling a potential big upside move
Expecting EURUSD to make a leg higher if the above holds - TP1 at 1.173 and TP2 at - 1.18150
GBPUSD: Breakout and Potential Retrace! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.34500 zone, GBPUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.34500 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
ETHUSD H4 | Falling Towards Overlap SupportThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 3,070.77, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 2,979.08, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Our take profit is set at 3,268.11, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
GBPUSD – 1-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, greetings,
I have prepared a GBPUSD analysis for you.
My friends, if GBPUSD closes a candle above the levels of 1.34125-1.34045 on the 1-hour timeframe, I will open a buy position.
My targets:
1st Target: 1.34350
2nd Target: 1.34950
My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏
Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
BCHUSD H4 | Bearish Drop OffThe price has rejected our sell entry level at 592.22, which is a pullback resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 618.93, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit is set at 552.16, which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/au), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/au):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Bullish bounce off key support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which is an overlap support, and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 58.68
1st Support: 60.77
1st Resistance: 60.77
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Falling towards 38.2% Fib support?Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3810
1st Support: 1.3749
1st Resistance: 1.3912
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could fall to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 158.28
1st Support: 157.16
1st Resistance: 158.89
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Falling towards 61.8% Fib support?Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce to the 1st reistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.7934
1st Support: 0.7898
1st Resistance: 0.7994
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish rise?Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3398
1st Support: 1.3344
1st Resistance: 1.3489
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Could we see a reversal from here?Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1681
1st Support: 1.1622
1st Resistance: 1.1728
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
EUR/USD, USD/JPY Technical SetupsThe US dollar had a rough start to the week with Trump's tariffs rearing their ugly head once again. This could pave the way for a follow-though bounce on EUR/USD, though I remain a tad suspicious of the daily hammer on USD/JPY - even if it could bounce over the near term.
MS
Bearish reversal for the Loonie?The price has rejected off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3489
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3977
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3806
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.25 Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off?GBP/USD has bounced off the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3292
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3488
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Key resistance ahead?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance, and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1678
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.1734
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1596
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop off?USDX has rejected off the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance, and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.96
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 99.27
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 98.51
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DXY - Trend Shift Confirmed...I’ve been watching DXY closely, and this move matters.
After a prolonged bearish phase, price broke above the orange resistance, and that’s where the bias shifted. What was resistance is now acting as support, and that’s a key change in behavior.
Right now, DXY is pulling back into that same orange zone, which lines up perfectly with the lower trendline of the rising structure. That confluence is what matters.
As long as this support holds , I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, staying aligned with the new bullish momentum rather than fighting it.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr






















