EURUSD at Key Resistance | Fed Warsh Boosts DollarHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around the 1.18500 zone.
EURUSD remains in a clear downtrend and is currently undergoing a corrective pullback, with price approaching the descending trendline and the 1.18500 key support–resistance zone. This area could act as a strong technical rejection zone in line with the broader bearish structure.
Fundamentally, the recent nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair is supporting a stronger US dollar bias in the short term. Warsh is widely viewed as a more hawkish and fiscally disciplined choice, which may reinforce expectations of tighter monetary conditions — adding further pressure on EURUSD to the downside.
As always, wait for price action confirmation at the zone before execution and manage risk accordingly.
Trade safe,
Joe
USD
EURUSD Outlook | Downtrend Pullback Meets USD StrengthHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are closely monitoring EURUSD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.19000 zone. EURUSD remains in a well-defined downtrend and is currently undergoing a corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and the 1.19000 support-turned-resistance area, which may act as a strong rejection zone for bearish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, the recent nomination of a new Federal Reserve Chair is expected to support the US Dollar in the short term, as markets anticipate a more conventional and fiscally disciplined policy stance. This near-term USD strength could add further downside pressure on EURUSD and is also short-term bearish for Gold, reinforcing the broader risk-off bias.
As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk responsibly.
Trade safe,
Joe.
DXY Bulls? USD comeback?Dollar bears are peak right now, i actually think the dollar will begin a bullish rebound soon
Monthly outlook pictured,
in the year 2000 about 70% of all FX reserves were USD
in 2025 its roughly 58.5%
in 25 years the dollat has lost 11.5% of its power,
it would take approximately 50-100+ years to succesfully replace the dollar as reserve currency
(unless one of the wildcard options transpires, BRICS, or petro dollar replacement, US Debt bursting etc, all unlikely IMO)
USDCAD — FRGNT DAILY FORECAST Q1 | D3 | W5 | Y26📅 Q1 | D3 | W5 | Y26
📊 USDCAD — FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach
I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on:
• Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐
• Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅
This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price.
💡 My Motto
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.”
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ On Losses
Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed.
We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section.
Stay sharp 🧠
Stay consistent 🎯
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— FRGNT 🚀📈
FX:USDCAD
BCHUSD H4 | Heading Towards 38.2% Fib ResistanceThe price is rising towards our sell entry level at 562.52, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 597.43, whichis an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 501.30, which is a pullback support.
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Potential bullish bounce off?Silver (XAG/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 74.81
1st Support: 66.47
1st Resistance: 93.16
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce off?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 154.52
1st Support: 153.58
1st Resistance: 157.77
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Pullback resistance ahead?Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.7862
1st Support: 0.7696
1st Resistance: 0.956
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish drop off?Aussie (AUD/USD) could rise towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6982
1st Support: 0.6852
1st Resistance: 0.7061
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and coild bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3552
1st Support: 1.3390
1st Resistance: 1.3842
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce off?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1763
1st Support: 1.1679
1st Resistance: 1.1942
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish continuation?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 83,564.08
1st Support: 75,639.09
1st Resistance: 86,951.84
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
USD Bounce from OversoldLast week saw the US Dollar go more oversold on the daily chart than at any point in the past five years. The Trump comment on Tuesday when asked what he thought about US Dollar weakness to which he replied with 'it's great,' helped USD to sell off even more. But, the latter half of last week saw those comments get walked aback, first by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and then by Director of the National Economic Council Kevin Hassett. Hassett in particular is a noted Trump ally so it seems unlikely that he refuted his boss in public on his own, and it does seem as though the admin wanted to walk those comments back a bit after the aggressive push from bears last Tuesday.
While RSI isn't a great timing indicator it can be phenomenal for context, and when a market is as oversold as the USD was last week, it's a tough argument to chase it lower.
But now that it's bounce, bears have a chance to make a push as there's some resistance that can be coming into play soon, such as the 97.94 Fibonacci level, or the 98.98 level that sits above that.
It's on pullbacks that we can see what a trend is made of, whether it gets defended and holds as a higher-low or a lower-high. - js
GBPUSD SHORTS - MAJOR SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE BREAKOn the daily we can see GBPUSD failed to maintain price above 1.37500 area with the last day of the month candle last week closing below.
Here we can see in the past a significant amount of sellers enter the market. Expecting the pair to go into a free fall.
TP1: 1.35500
TP2: 1.34110
EURUSD SHORTS - IMMENSE SELL PRESSURE EURUSD has failed to maintain price above 1.18679 support zone, we can see immense selling pressure on the daily and on the weekly a bearish pin bar candle this also in confluence with the dollars strength and the rising dollar.
I am expecting the pair to continue this downside momentum.
TP1: 1.17500
TP2; 1.16768
Could Oil fall from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 62.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 58.69
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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USD/CHF – Triangle Breakout Confirmed (30.01.2026)📝 Description🔍 Setup FX:USDCHF
USD/CHF formed a clear Triangle consolidation after a strong bearish move, showing lower highs and higher lows — compression before expansion.
Price has now broken above the descending trendline and is holding structure with a breakout & retest near the support zone.
EMA + Ichimoku support adds confluence for bullish continuation.
📍 Support & Resistance
🟥 Support Zone: 0.7635 – 0.7655
🟢 1st Resistance: 0.7817
🟢 2nd Resistance: 0.7870 – 0.7873
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Forex trading involves risk — always use proper risk management and trade your plan.
💬 Support the Idea👍 Like if you’re bullish on USD/CHF
💬 Comment: Clean breakout or fake move?🔁 Share with traders watching CHF pairs
#USDCHF #ForexTrading #TriangleBreakout #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #FXTrading #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
eurusd bulish opportunityThe market shows a general bullish structure into 2026, with clear higher highs and higher lows forming from November onward.
Two BOS (Break of Structure) points are marked in blue, indicating bullish structure breaks where price continued higher after consolidations.
In early February, price makes a strong impulsive rally, breaking above prior resistance around 1.18, followed by a sharp pullback.
The pullback taps a zone labeled “SS” (likely Supply / Sell-side or Support-to-Resistance flip) near 1.18–1.175.
A trade setup box is drawn:
Entry zone: around 1.18
Stop loss: just below the gray/red area (below recent structure)
Take-profit target: the blue zone above, around 1.20–1.205
This suggests a bullish continuation idea, looking to buy the retracement into former resistance turned support, targeting a move to new highs.
#052: Long Investment Opportunity on USD/JPY
The USD/JPY exchange rate is experiencing a particularly interesting market phase, where underlying bearish pressure coexists with technical signals of a possible short-term reaction. After a sharp decline, the price showed signs of slowing, suggesting the entry into a consolidation phase, typical of markets absorbing directional excess.
From a structural perspective, the main trend remains down, consistent with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows on higher time frames. However, this very trend has favored a progressive accumulation of speculative positions in the same direction, creating the conditions for a potential technical rebound. In such environments, the market often tends to move against the grain, hitting areas of liquidity before deciding on the next direction.
Price action analysis highlights how the latest phases of decline have been accompanied by increased volatility and impulsive movements, elements that often herald a phase of rebalancing. The appearance of candlesticks with pronounced wicks and less directional closes suggests that selling pressure is gradually diminishing, leaving room for corrective reactions.
From a volume perspective, the market is also showing signs of absorption. After the initial push, volumes tend to stabilize, indicating that the most aggressive traders have already taken positions. In these environments, subsequent movements are often driven by technical re-entries and position coverings, rather than new directional initiatives.
On the macroeconomic front, the monetary policy differential continues to support the dollar in the medium to long term, while the yen remains structurally weak. However, in the short term, this imbalance does not prevent the market from experiencing temporary rebounds, especially when positioning becomes excessively unbalanced. It is precisely in these phases that the exchange rate tends to move more technically than fundamentally.
The intermarket picture is currently not showing signs of strong risk aversion that would favor a decisive flow towards the yen. This reduces the likelihood of immediate downward accelerations and strengthens the hypothesis of a price breathing space. Bond and currency markets appear to be moving in a more orderly fashion, without sudden shocks.
In summary, USD/JPY is in an unstable equilibrium: the main trend remains bearish, but the market is showing signs of a corrective phase. In these contexts, patience and a good understanding of the structure become crucial, as the most interesting moves often emerge precisely when consensus appears excessively biased in one direction.
As always, the price will provide clarity. The market's ability to sustain any rebounds or, conversely, decisively resume its main direction will offer valuable insights into institutional investors' intentions in the coming sessions.
EURUSD closed January below the 1M MA200! Bear Cycle confirmed?The EURUSD pair closed last month's (January's) 1M candle below its 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) even though it broke above it for the first time in 8 years (since February 2018)! As mentioned on our last week's analysis, that was would be a strong bearish signal long-term, as the pair hasn't closed a 1M candle above the 1M MA200 since November 2014 and every test or approach near it was a market Top, like January 2021 and February 2018.
So as long as the market keeps closing monthly candles below its 1M MA200, we will stay bearish, looking towards a 2-year Bear Cycle, similar to 2021 - 2022 and 2018 - 2019. As mentioned last week, we have a minimum Target at 1.0200 (near the Jan 2025 Low Support) for this Bear Cycle.
In addition, look the huge 1M RSI Lower Highs Bearish Divergence (against the price's Higher Highs) following the June 2025 rejection on the 8-year Resistance. An extra signal of strength reversal.
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XAUUSD: immediate prospects🛠 Technical Analysis: On the H4 chart, Gold has printed a sharp reversal from the major resistance zone near 5,600, triggering an aggressive bearish impulse back into the 5,000 area. The move suggests a classic “blow-off + pullback” phase, where price stabilizes after an extended rally before the next leg forms. The previously broken structure around 5,100 is now acting as a key pivot zone — if price fails to reclaim it, sellers keep control. XAUUSD is trading below the SMA 50, while still above the SMA 100 and SMA 200, pointing to a corrective decline inside a larger uptrend. The chart highlights a likely accumulation range around 5,000, which can lead to continuation lower if distribution persists. The next downside objective aligns with the marked support at 4,586, with a deeper target toward the lower support zone around 4,300. A sustained recovery back above 5,100 and the SMA 50 would weaken the bearish scenario and favor stabilization.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
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➡️ Entry Point: Sell on consolidation below 5,100
🎯 Take Profit: 4,586.53 (extended target: 4,300)
🔴 Stop Loss: 5,210.39
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.






















