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Crude Oil WTI

Crude Oil Resumes Its WeaknessCrude oil rised and then fell sharply from above 78 dollars back in June, after tensions in the Middle East. The drop unfolded as an impulse into wave A, so even if this is just a counter-trend move down from 78, it still appears incomplete. After we recently spotted a corrective rally in wave B that nicely stopped at projected $70 resistance near 61,8% Fibo. retracement, we can now see it resuming lower within projected wave C towards 60-59 area at least, if not even lower.
NYMEX:CLU2025Short
by ew-forecast
WTI quick update. Will we see that 65-dollar break?After OPEC+ meeting, where a promise was made to increase production in September, WTI continues to slide. Let's dig in. MARKETSCOM:OIL TVC:USOIL Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
O
by Marketscom
USOIL drops on rising supply and demand concernsUSOIL drops on rising supply and demand concerns Oil prices fell Tuesday as OPEC+ planned a 547,000 bpd output increase for September, overshadowing potential Russian oil supply constraints from U.S. policies. Brent and WTI crude dropped to their lowest in a week, marking a fourth consecutive decline. OPEC+’s reversal of 2.5 million bpd cuts, combined with weak demand outlooks due to U.S. recession risks and China’s lack of new stimulus, pressured prices. Trump’s threatened 100% tariffs on Russian crude buyers like India, which imports 1.75 million bpd, heightened trade tensions but failed to lift oil prices. Analysts warn U.S. tariffs could further weaken global growth and fuel demand. USOIL shows some in-moment strength on RSI on 1-h chart, the price may rebound towards sma200 at 6,700.00. However, in long-term perspective, low oil price is expected. Eventually, the price may decline towards level of 6,000.00.
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by ProfessorSingapore
XBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Declines Towards Key SupportXBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Declines Towards Key Support As the XBR/USD chart shows, Brent crude oil has made two significant moves recently: Last week’s price increase (A) followed President Donald Trump’s intentions to impose tariffs on India due to its purchases of Russian oil. This could have disrupted established oil supply chains. The price decline (B) may have been driven by both the decision of OPEC+ countries to increase production and reports of a weakening US labour market. Thus, there is reason to believe that the more than 4.5% decline in Brent crude oil prices since the beginning of August reflects market participants’ scepticism about sustained high oil prices: → this has a negative impact on the US economy (JP Morgan analysts raised concerns about recession risks this week); → increased activity from oil producers may offset supply chain disruption risks. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart From a technical analysis perspective, Brent crude oil has dropped to a key support level (marked in blue), which was previously active in July. A rebound from this line could happen – in such a case, the price might face resistance at the Fair Value Gap area (marked in orange), formed between: → $70.81 – a support level active in late July, which was broken; → the psychological level of $70.00. Attention should also be paid to price behaviour around the $69.00 level (indicated by arrows) – it quickly switched roles from support to resistance, indicating aggressive bearish sentiment. Given this observation, a potential bearish breakout attempt below the blue support line cannot be ruled out. However, whether this scenario materialises will largely depend on developments in geopolitical risks and tariff agreements. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 65.944.Colleagues, I previously recommended moving trades to break-even, and for good reason. It is always necessary to hedge and reduce losses—this is part of professional work. (Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level). The price has nevertheless shown a stronger correction, and I now believe that the medium-term “ABC” waves have not yet formed, nor has the large “Y” wave. This means that I expect the completion of wave “B” and then a continuation of the downward movement in wave “C.” I consider the support area of 65.944 to be the minimum target. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
9
WTI(20250805)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Goldman Sachs: We expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points three times starting in September; if the unemployment rate rises further, a 50 basis point cut is possible. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 65.85 Support/Resistance Levels: 67.97 67.18 66.67 65.04 64.53 63.74 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 65.85, consider buying, with the first target at 66.67. If the market breaks below 65.04, consider selling, with the first target at 64.53.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NicolaZhu
How long can the decline in US crude oil prices last? 💡Message Strategy On Monday (August 4) during the Asia-Europe session, WTI fell for three consecutive days, with a drop of 1.16% today, trading around 66.55. OPEC+'s decision to increase production, coupled with geopolitical and economic policies, has jointly formed the expectation that oil prices will be "weak and volatile, dominated by downward pressure." Short-Term: Increased Supply Drives Price Decline OPEC+'s decision to increase production directly led to further declines in oil prices on Monday (Brent crude fell 0.28% to $69.23/barrel, and WTI fell 0.46% to $67.01/barrel), extending Friday's decline. Market expectations of oversupply reinforced bearish sentiment, particularly as the UAE's additional production increase (accounting for 2.4% of global demand) further amplified the signal of easing supply. However, India's announcement to continue purchasing Russian crude oil partially offset the impact, limiting the price decline and failing to shift the short-term downward trend. Medium-Term: Supply-Demand and Policy Risks Intertwine On the Supply Side: OPEC+'s production increase plan may be paused after September, as Goldman Sachs anticipates accelerated OECD inventory accumulation and fading seasonal demand support. However, if US shale oil production is forced to cut production at break-even points due to low oil prices, OPEC+ may adjust its strategy and even consider further releasing the remaining 1.66 million barrels/day of production capacity, which would continue to suppress oil prices. Long-Term: Market Share Competition and Structural Overcapacity OPEC+'s production increase strategy aims to reshape the global oil landscape by squeezing out high-cost producers, such as US shale oil, through low prices. Due to rising equipment costs driven by tariffs and low oil prices, US shale oil companies have cut capital expenditures, resulting in a decline in the number of active drilling rigs and a slowdown in production growth. This strategic game is likely to keep oil prices in a low range for a long time, with significant long-term downward pressure. Unity within OPEC+ and coordination between Saudi Arabia and the UAE will be key to policy implementation. 📊Technical aspects Crude oil's short-term (1H) trend has reversed downward from its highs. The moving averages are diverging and aligning downward, indicating a downward trend in the short term. The K-line chart has continued to close with small real bodies, and the MACD indicator is about to form a golden cross near the zero axis, signaling weakening downward momentum and a bullish bias on pullbacks. Crude oil is expected to remain weak and downward today, with a potential correction near $65.00.
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
Today's crude oil strategy sharingToday's Crude Oil Charlie Recommendation: 📥📥📥. Short at $68.05, stop loss at $68.50, take profit at $66.10. (For aggressive shorting, try $67.85; for a more conservative approach, go short at $68.60).🔥🔥🔥 If the market falls to $66.50 before the New York market opens, go long at $67.70. Set the stop loss at $66.❤️‍🔥❤️‍🔥❤️‍🔥 ⚠️⚠️⚠️The market is risky; participate rationally. FX:USOIL MARKETSCOM:USOIL FX:USOILSPOT FX:USOILSPOT MARKETSCOM:USOIL
TVC:USOILShort
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
2
USOIL Is Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 69.178. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 66.684 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
3
Crude Oil setting up for a Long Trade to $78.40In the long term, Crude Oil is in a short position. We can see this from the red pendulum fork, which projects the price movement downward. However, in the short- to medium-term, we're long, as clearly illustrated by the white fork. Supporting the case for higher prices is the Hagopian signal that occurred on June 24, 2025. This essentially means that the market is expected to rise beyond the point it came from—specifically, the C-point of the red fork. The target would therefore be around $78.40 in the coming weeks or months, which does seem quite ambitious. But as long as price remains within the boundaries of the white fork, we're in an upward mode, and the potential profit target of $78.40 remains valid. Also, the fact that Crude Oil is finding support exactly at the L-MLH (Lower Median Line Parallel) of the white fork gives me further confidence in a long trade. Crude: Long and: Don't forget to watch the follow-up Video.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by HowToChart
USOIL declines for the 3 days in a row. What's next?USOIL declines for the 3 days in a row. What's next? Since the last post the USOIL has already declined on 2.5%, currently rebounding from SMA50 on 4-h chart. 2 main reasons are behind this. On August 3, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their partners, collectively known as OPEC+, decided to increase oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, the latest in a series of swift production boosts aimed at regaining market share. They cited a robust economic outlook and low inventories as the reasons for their decision. However, Friday NFP report may signal of a potential recession risk in the United States, the biggest oil consumer in the world. Here is what the Goldman Sachs writes down in x.com: "The decline in employment growth over the previous two months in the July report was one of the largest since 1960 and was accompanied by several months of similar revisions earlier. Corrections of this magnitude are extremely rare outside of the recession period." So, fundamentals don't favor oil and despite the current rebound from SMA50, there are low chances of developing some bullish momentum here. The pullback from 6,800.00 is expected with the following decline towards 6,500.00
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by ProfessorSingapore
9
WTI: downside potentialHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Weekly timeframe A buyer initiative is tentatively developing, yet the strongest buyer candle (highest volume) produced no follow-through. It was followed by two buyer candles on weak volume. Last week volume expanded again and clustered around 69.975, showing that sellers are still defending this level. Weekly seller targets: 65.628 and 64.378. Daily timeframe Sellers remain in control. The chart clearly shows volume manipulation around 69.975. Daily seller targets: 65.628 and 64.736. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Crude Oil Price Action & Pattern Analysis Bearish Wedge Breakdown: The price was consolidating in a descending triangle / wedge pattern. It has now broken below the wedge, suggesting potential bearish continuation. Key Support Zones: Immediate support near 68.60 - 68.80 (highlighted in blue). FOREXCOM:USOIL The break of the 68.60 level with a strong bearish candle would serve as confirmation of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern , with solid bearish implications. Stronger support around 66.20 - 66.50 , which is a previous demand zone. Resistance Zone: The red zone around 69.40 - 69.50 represents a rejection area , and the price failed to break above it.
TVC:USOILShort
by SaklainManzoor