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To know where you are, you need a Compass. Opendoor Technology's ( NASDAQ:OPEN ) recent surge (20x of lows) caused me to wonder what the theme is. After all, rarely is a movement motivated by nothing. I've determined the only logical conclusion is the correlation of Real Estate to interest rates. Opendoor is a REIT disguised as a tech company and without the hefty dividend. While they offer tools for homeowners to exit / enter homes quickly, they really are just operating a fat inventory of housing. This is a difficult asset to manage at scale and of course is why they had a difficult 3.5 years after IPO AND the quickest increase of interest rates since the 1980s. This post isn't meant to talk trash on OPEN. I am very happy with what the asset did and may very well continue to do. Compass, Inc. ( NYSE:COMP ) operates a set of tools to allow real estate agents a simpler buying / selling process for their clients. A very similar value proposition to OPEN, but without the heavy real estate inventory on the balance sheet. The lack of bloat on the balance sheet allows COMP to focus on their main customers intently. What this means is a decrease in interest rates will likely allow their base to do more business and frankly a significantly larger amount of business when compared to 2022-2024. The current DD is simple. * COMP price-to-sales of 0.7, i.e. they're market capitalization is 70% of their annual revenue. This means they are trading at a discount to their current business model and NO growth is priced in. * Interest rates are coming down next week. The only question is if the Federal Reserve will lower rates by 0.25 of 0.5. If you think I'm just making this up, check out this link --> www.cmegroup.com * The chart suggest Compass has completed a multi-year Cup and Handle pattern. The end of the handle is generally quite bullish. As well, the volume profile notates only a single node of transaction volume above at about ~$13.5. Outside of that level, it's wide open above without much price resistance. My main price target for this trade is IPO value, which is around ~$18 aka 100% away.
NYSE:COMPLong
by Nickonacci
ZB/MOVE Strategy📚 Bond Market Volatility & MOVE Index Strategy 1. What is the MOVE Index? MOVE = Merrill Option Volatility Estimate (created 1998 by Merrill Lynch, now ICE). It measures implied volatility in U.S. Treasury options (1-month maturities across 2y, 5y, 10y, 30y). Known as the “VIX of the bond market”. Normal range = 55–130. Below 60 → calm bond market. Above 120 → extreme stress. Historical extremes: 2008 Financial Crisis → 264. March 2023 Banking Crisis → near 200. 2. Why It Matters for Trading Bonds are normally “safe” assets, but when MOVE spikes: Rates swing wildly → Treasury ETFs (TLT, IEF) become volatile. Correlations with stocks shift (sometimes both down). Like the VIX, MOVE can be used as: A fear gauge (risk-on/risk-off sentiment). A timing tool for tactical entries/exits in long-term Treasuries. 3. Typical Bond Behavior vs MOVE High MOVE (panic): Bonds often sell off hard (yields spike). After panic, Treasuries may rebound sharply as flight-to-safety resumes. Low MOVE (calm): Bond yields drift slowly. Carry trades (borrowing short-term, buying long-term) work better. 4. MOVE–TLT Strategy Example (Conceptual Backtest) Rules: Buy TLT (20+ Year Treasury ETF): when MOVE > 150 (panic zone). Exit to Cash: when MOVE < 100 (calm zone). Why It Works: Extreme MOVE spikes = fear washouts → bonds oversold. Exiting at calm levels avoids long drawdowns when yields grind higher. Enhancements: Filter by trend: Only take BUY if TLT is above its 200-day MA. Inverse play: Short TLT (or long TBX, TBT) when MOVE climbs from calm → stress zone. 5. Strategy Pros & Cons ✅ Pros Rules-based, objective, avoids “gut calls” on rates. Catches panic-driven rebounds. Reduces exposure during long bond bear markets (like 2022). ❌ Cons MOVE is not directly tradable (only as a signal). Timing lags → by the time MOVE spikes, drawdown in ZB/TLT may already be deep. False signals during policy-driven markets (e.g., QE, yield curve control). 6. Practical Trading Tools ETF Plays: Long Bonds: TLT, IEF, ZROZ. Short Bonds: TBT, TMV, TBX. Futures: ZB (30Y Treasuries), ZN (10Y), ZF (5Y). Options: MOVE itself = implied vol proxy. TLT options → hedge with straddles when MOVE spikes. 7. Educational Takeaway MOVE is a macro volatility barometer. It can provide contrarian buy signals for Treasuries when extreme. Works best when paired with trend confirmation (MAs) and macro awareness (Fed policy, inflation prints, banking stress). ✅ In one line: The MOVE index, the “VIX for bonds,” is a powerful sentiment gauge — traders can use its extreme spikes as buy signals for long bonds (TLT) or fade them when calm, turning bond volatility into a structured timing strategy.
TVC:MOVEEducation
by GabrielAmadeusLau
NEW ATHCleaning solution company gone treasury. 29% revenue YOY for 2M nothing crazy 50M marketcap. Now they are holding/buying $150M of $DOGE. Zone is bouncing off its golden zone while DUS:DOGE is getting a +3% move headed back to the .30 area. Doge ETF launch tm I've seen CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH drop after ETF launches so not fully confident that doge will rise. Also have CPI data tm at 8:30 AM so if markets like it zone could get a big move. Either way pretty risky if it loses $3.50 its headed to $2.
AMEX:ZONELong
by WSMS199
Vimeo | VMEO | Long at $3.87Vimeo NASDAQ:VMEO provides a cloud-based platform for video creation, hosting, and sharing - primarily serving businesses, creators, and enterprises for professional video content management. While NASDAQ:VMEO has a **lot** of competition, it is a rather "healthy" company: Debt-free (a rarity out there...) Maintained profitability over the last twelve months, with a healthy gross profit margin of 78% Earnings are forecast to grow 34.76% per year [*}Revenue growth rate through 2027 is projected at 5.36% (modest) Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $35 million, up from $25-30 million Upcoming product developments, including AI-powered features and new SKUs, are expected to drive further growth Insider bought over $868,000 in shares in the last year at an average price of $5.04 Subscriber growth is a concern... From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price is currently near the bottom of my historical simple moving average bands. This region is typically an area of consolidation. The two open price gaps below the current price on the daily chart (down to $3.38) will likely get closed in the near-term before a move up. I do believe this is a risky investment, though, given the competition and economic headwinds. I would not be surprised if the market flipped and took this down near or below $1... But, if one is going purely by what the company reports concerning fundamentals and general growth, this is an undervalued stock in the $3 range. Thus, if the insider/company hype is true, NASDAQ:VMEO is in a personal buy zone at $3.87 - with near-term risk of the stock dropping to close the price gaps on the daily chart down to $3.38... or below. Targets into 2028: $5.00 (+29.2%) $6.40 (+65.4%)
NASDAQ:VMEOLong
by WorthlessViews
BTC capped at 113.2k–115.2k: fade rallies, watch CPI__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is chopping in the low-110k, capped by a stacked 113.2k–115.2k supply zone, with macro headline risk elevated into CPI. Momentum: 📉 Range with bearish tilt — upside attempts fail below 113.2k–114k while HTF pressure remains risk-off. Key levels: • Resistances (HTF/LTF) : 113.2k–113.4k (LTF/240 PH) · 114.5k–115.3k (HTF/720 PH) · 116.6k (recent high, HTF). • Supports (HTF) : 111.9k–112.0k (W pivot) · 110.8k (240 PL) · 107.8k (D PL). Volumes: Normal on HTF; “moderate” upticks on 1H–30m during failed breakouts. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H/6H trend down; 4H–1H mixed with a hard cap at 113.2k–114k; 15m micro-bullish while 111.96k holds. Strong confluence at 113.2k → 115.2k resistance and 111.96k/110.77k/107.8k supports. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL SELL ; Global Risk Regime stays STRONG SELL — confirms the bearish bias and fades micro-rallies. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ As long as 113.2k–115.2k caps price, favor “sell the rip” and only buy on confirmed signals. Global bias: SELL while below 115.24k; major short invalidation on daily > 116.6k. Opportunities: • Tactical short on 113.2k–114.0k rejection toward 112.0k/111.0k; inval. above 115.3k. • Breakout long only on H1/H4 acceptance > 113.3k (retest holds) toward 114.6k/115.24k; inval. below 111.9k. • Defensive long on clean reaction at 110.8k or 107.8k if risk blocks improve (≥ NEUTRAL BUY on LTF). Risk zones / invalidations: Break < 110,77k voids defensive longs (opens 107.8k); H4/D12 close > 115.24k voids range shorts (opens squeeze to 116.6k). Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): CPI next (direct vol around 111k–112k pivot) · Geopolitics (NATO Article 4; Middle East) supports risk-off · US tariff path (SCOTUS) preserves trade-policy uncertainty. Action plan: • Fade-rally short : Entry 113.2k–114.0k / Stop 115.3k / TP1 112.0k · TP2 111.0k · TP3 110.8k / R:R ~1.8–2.5. • Breakout long : Entry > 113.3k (confirmed retest) / Stop 111.9k / TP1 114.6k · TP2 115.24k · TP3 116.6k / R:R ~1.6–2.2. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ HTFs remain bearish while LTFs attempt extensions under a dense overhead supply. 1D/12H/6H: Downtrend, rallies capped below 113.2k–115.2k; dominant supply, supports layered at 111.96k → 110.77k → 107.8k. 4H/2H/1H: Mixed reads; need a clean close > 113.24k to open 114.6k–115.24k, otherwise frequent fades back to 111.96k. 30m/15m: 30m cautious (STRONG SELL) vs 15m micro-bullish (NEUTRAL BUY); classic pre-catalyst divergence — wait for H1/H4 confirmations. Confluence/Divergence: Heavy multi-TF supply 113.2k → 115.2k; risk-on equities vs risk-off credit/crypto warns against chasing crypto bounces. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is mixed (gold ATH, firm oil, US equities buoyed by cut hopes) while geopolitics heats up and CPI looms. Macro events: CPI imminently (sets risk tone) · NATO Article 4/Middle East tensions (risk premia higher) · US tariff track (SCOTUS) sustains uncertainty. Bitcoin analysis: 100–1k BTC cohorts accumulating, 1k–10k distributing — potential cap on impulsive upside; ETF flows cooling, consistent with consolidation below 114k–116k. On-chain data: Activity skewed by inscriptions/runes; sentiment in “fear” (44/100) implies positioning not crowded long. Expected impact: Range-to-down bias while < 113.3k–115.2k; a benign CPI could trigger a push > 113.3k toward 114.6k/115.24k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ The market stalls under multi-TF supply as key catalysts approach. - Overall trend: 📉 bearish on HTF; LTFs try but stall below 113.2k–114k. - Best setup: Fade 113.2k–114.0k into CPI with active management. - Key macro: CPI and geopolitics drive the global risk regime. Stay disciplined around the 111.9k–112.0k pivot and let confirmation lead exposure. ⚠️
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
Long - Solana📈 Solana has a decent picture. It is at a local extreme, there is a lot of free space ahead. The price is being squeezed, which means they are accumulating a position. After a strong movement a few days ago, the price was held - ready to push it further. Fundamentally, the Sol Strategies company is traded on NASDAQ, and funds are starting to take salt into circulation. This is also a sign that big guys are playing with the coin and there will still be liquidity in it. In the medium term, I assume that ATH will be broken. Observe the risks, profits to everyone!
PEPPERSTONE:SOLUSDLong
by edvardavde
ATHUSDT.P – Trap Zone Absorption → Reversal | High-Timeframe ValBITGET:ATHUSDT.P 🕐 Timeframe: 1H 📊 Strategy: Trap Zone Reversal | Absorption + Delta Flip + HTF Value Reclaim ⸻ 📘 CONTEXT: We’re observing a reversal setup on the 1H chart of ATHUSDT.P (BitGet Mix Perpetual). Price has recently swept a key trap zone and shown aggressive selling absorption near the lows. We’re now seeing reversal momentum building as price reclaims structure. This follows a period of: • Failed sell climaxes at the trap zone • Absorption of aggressive sellers • Re-entry above higher timeframe value (HTFV) These are classic markers of a shift from distribution (short bias) into accumulation (long bias). ⸻ 🔍 STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN: • 🔲 Contraction Box High (BH): 0.03017 • 📉 Higher Timeframe Value (HTFV): 0.03006 • 💚 Trap Zone Absorption Level: 0.02990 • 🔵 Trap Zone Low: 0.02983 (Suggested stop-loss zone) The chart also marks: • 📈 Sell climaxes that failed to follow through • 📉 Buy climaxes that have now been absorbed This suggests wholesale price acceptance has shifted to the upside. ⸻ 🎯 TRADE PLAN: • Entry Zone: Around 0.02990 • Stop Loss: Below 0.02983 (trap zone low) • Target 1: 0.03071 ✅ (Remove ~33% at this level) • Target 2: 0.03151 ✅ (Remove ~90%, leave runners) • Risk/Reward: Designed for a +5% move • Execution Type: Reversal entry off structural sweep + absorption ⸻ 🧠 NOTES ON INDICATORS: This chart is deliberately stripped of indicators to maintain focus on raw structure and price behavior. The following zones are marked visually: • HTFV = Higher Timeframe Value area (drawn manually) • Trap Zone = Where previous aggressive sellers are now trapped • Absorption = Inferred from prior failed lows and clustering behavior • No footprint data shown, but reversal pressure is visible through price structure alone ⸻ ✅ TRADE STATUS: 📈 Active – Position Open Monitoring structure for expansion continuation and scale-out levels.
Long
by TradeGod_1111
1
UPS: From Delivering Packages to Delivering ValueAs you probably know by now, my strategy consists of finding cheap, deep-value, beaten-up, underdog stocks. This is the strategy I've been using for the last 5 years and that allows me to consistently outperform the S&P 500 by 2x to 3x every year. This does not guarantee that all my analyses are correct. But if I'm correct 6 or 7 times out of 10, then I'm a rich man! Now back to UPS! Over the last 3 years, the stock lost 64% of its value. But... did sales or income decline by the same account? Did margins decline? Did the company decrease its fleet by 60%? The answer to all these questions is NO, and this is why I think the stock is undervalued. Yeah, the tariff war and Amazon's slowing of the UPS agreement hurt sales, but these are transient. Overview UPS stock is down 64% since its ATH in 2022. P/S ratio is at 0.8, the lowest since 2009. P/E ratio is at 12.6, the lowest in the history of the stock The P/B ratio is at 4.58, the lowest since 2006. Dividend yield is at 7.8%. The CEO recently bought $1 million worth of UPS stock. This data gives us some clues. The stock is obviously underpriced, despite the fact that UPS is still one of the market leaders and the sales are stable. Financial performance Revenue: TTM $90.69 billion (+1.3% YoY); Revenue is improving, but still 10% down since the $100 billion in 2022. Profitability: Operating margin 9.4% (TTM), net margin 6.4%; EPS is now at $7.70, which is a similar level to what it was in 2020 and 2021, when the stock price was at $120. However, now the stock price is at $85. Balance Sheet: Debt $26 billion, debt-to-equity 1.45x, which is totally fine. Growth prospects UPS is cutting costs and jobs, targeting $3.5 billion in savings by 2026 via automation/AI (5-7% annual cost reduction). E-commerce will sustain long-term growth. The company is innovating with AI-improved routes, self-driving trucks, and drones. Technical Analysis The stock price is right above the $85 resistance level, which has been a support/resistance level since 2005. My target Considering the prospects, estimates, etc, I can see UPS going to $110 to $130 range in mid-2026, providing an upside of 30% to 40%. This level also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 level. If the stock continues to drop, I will simply average down. I don't think it can drop much more from here, and it will definitely not go bankrupt. I'm gonna invest approximately 1% of my wealth into this stock. Remember, I'm just sharing my journey and this is not financial advice! 😎
NYSE:UPSLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
Humana | HUM | Long at $220.00Humana NYSE:HUM took a nosedive to "crash" levels (based on my selected simple moving averages (SMA)) this morning after a lower-performance rating for a widely used Medicare insurance plan is expected to hurt enrollments for 2025 (and will potentially hit the health insurer's revenue and bonus payments in 2026). However, I view this massive drop as an opportunity for an initial long entry for a great value stock. The company is strong, highly rated among patients, and solid fundamentals despite the anticipated earnings drop. From a technical analysis perspective, it touched my "crash" SMA, but may dip further after a dead cat bounce to the $190s in the coming days or weeks. But, predicting true bottom is a fool's game, so at $220.00, NYSE:HUM is in a personal buy zone for an initial long entry. Target #1 = $250.00 Target #2 = $275.00 Target #3 = $314.00 Target #4 = $340.00
NYSE:HUMLong
by WorthlessViews
Cadeler’s Wind-Powered Surge - €2.5B Backlog to Fuel Growth Cadeler A/S (OB): Riding the Offshore Wind Wave In a nutshell, what I see is a stock whose price declined by 33% from October 2024 to September 2025, despite the fact that the company is now in a much better position, with better ratios, much better revenue, and great value. Company Overview Cadeler A/S is a global leader in offshore wind farm installation and maintenance, primarily operating in European markets. Listed on Oslo Børs, the company operates a fleet of 4 jack-up vessels with 8 additional vessels in development, positioning itself to capitalize on Europe's aggressive renewable energy targets. Market Opportunity The offshore wind sector is experiencing a lot of growth. 2024 was a record year with 117 GW of new capacity installed globally. The Global Wind Energy Council forecasts 410 GW of new capacity by 2030, representing annual growth rates of 28% through 2029. Europe's ambitious targets include 42.5% renewable energy by 2030 and 300 GW of offshore wind capacity by 2050, creating a massive addressable market for Cadeler's specialized services. Financial Highlights Strong Revenue Growth: Revenue doubled to €249M in 2024 from €109M in 2023, driven by successful project execution and the Eneti merger. Latest TTM revenue reached €465M (277.9% YoY growth). Q2 2025 revenue grew by 242%, but despite that, the stock price is trending down. Record Backlog: Order backlog increased to €2.5B in 2024 from €1.7B in 2023, providing strong revenue visibility with key contracts including Baltica 2, Bałtyk 2/3 (Poland), US, and Taiwan 4. Profitability Surge: EPS grew 409.5% YoY to €0.32 in Q2 2025, with a 3-year CAGR of 61.9%. 2025 Guidance: Management projects €485-525M revenue with €278-318M EBITDA. Valuation Metrics P/E Ratio: 6.7 (significantly compressed from the previous year) P/B Ratio: 1.1 (37.1% decrease YoY) Revenue CAGR (5-year): 87.6% The combination of low valuation multiples and exceptional growth suggests potential undervaluation. Key Risks Project Execution: Permitting delays and cancellations (e.g., Hornsea 4 removal from backlog) can impact revenue visibility. Cost Inflation: Rising turbine costs (+10% since 2021) and supply chain constraints could pressure margins. Policy Dependency: Growth relies heavily on government subsidies and favorable renewable energy policies, creating regulatory risk. My Investment Thesis Cadeler is an opportunity in the rapidly expanding offshore wind installation market. They have a strong order backlog and prospective contracts, fleet expansion plans, and attractive valuation metrics; the company appears well-positioned to benefit from Europe's energy transition. I see it as a mix of value and growth investing. I see Cadeler as a medium to long-term investment. I think the upside potential is anywhere between +50% and +100% from the current price. I will allocate around 1% of my wealth into this stock. Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
GETTEX:CA2Long
by HenriqueCentieiro
IBIT: ready for liftoffOn the daily chart, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) trades at $62.97, testing the key 0.705–0.79 Fibo zone ($61.63–63.87). This area marks a breakout and retest line, forming a clear buy zone. The technical structure remains bullish: after breaking out and pulling back, price holds potential to move toward $69.39, with Fibo extensions targeting $76.54 and $85.63. Volumes confirm buyer activity on dips, and the bullish flag pattern supports the continuation of the upward trend. Fundamentally , the main driver is bitcoin itself, with institutional demand for BTC ETFs staying strong. Large funds continue accumulating positions, while expectations of a softer Fed tone add pressure on the dollar, fueling capital inflows into crypto. This strengthens the bullish case for IBIT. Tactical plan: watch $61.6–63.8 as the key entry zone. Holding above opens the path toward $69.3, followed by $76.5 and $85.6. The scenario breaks only if price falls below $61. And let’s be honest: IBIT isn’t just a ticker - it’s the “accelerate bitcoin” button for your portfolio.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by TotoshkaTrades
ENIC: Can You Ignore This Massive Cup And Handle?ENIC (Enel Chile S.A.) is a Chilean utility company primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. A key player in the Chilean energy sector, the company focuses on serving residential, commercial, industrial, and government customers. Technical Analysis ENIC's chart exhibits a classic " cup and handle " pattern, a bullish continuation formation that signals a potential for a significant upward move. Understanding the Cup and Handle Pattern The cup and handle pattern, developed by William J. O'Neil, is a technical chart pattern that looks like a teacup with a handle. It is considered a bullish signal and is formed after an uptrend, indicating a period of consolidation followed by a continuation of the upward movement. The "Cup": The cup is a rounded, "U" shaped formation that shows a price drop, a stabilization period at the bottom, and a rally back to the original price level. A rounded bottom is preferred over a sharp "V" shape, as it indicates a more stable consolidation. The "Handle": The handle is a smaller, downward-sloping or sideways consolidation that forms on the right side of the cup. It represents a period of profit-taking by early buyers before the next leg of the rally. ENIC's Current Setup The chart shows the formation of a well-defined cup and handle pattern. The neckline, which is the resistance level at the top of the cup, is identified between $3.44 and $3.50. Breakout Confirmation: Traders should monitor the price for a clean breakout above this neckline on strong volume. A breakout would confirm the pattern and signal a potential move to the upside. Measured Move Target: The measured move of the cup and handle pattern, which is calculated by taking the height of the cup and adding it to the breakout point, sets a first target price of $5.80. This would represent a 70% return from the current levels if the breakout is confirmed. Fibonacci Extensions: For potential longer-term targets, Fibonacci extensions provide additional price levels to monitor: Fibonacci Extension No. 1: $6.22 Fibonacci Extension No. 2: $7.20 Historical Performance Since July 2022, ENIC has shown strong momentum, generating a 250% return for long-term investors. This impressive performance, combined with the current bullish chart pattern, suggests the stock could be poised for another significant move. Sector: Utilities Country: Chile Suitable for long term investors Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based on chart patterns and is not financial advice. All trading involves risk. It is crucial to conduct your own due diligence and consider your personal risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:ENICLong
by Elpidaldo
Undervalued Fintech Just Hit 110M Users: Nubank ($NU)The Case for Nubank NYSE:NU Nubank is a combination of growth and value in the fintech space. I personally like it when, as an investor, I find a stock that is a growth and value stock simultaneously. Nu is trading at a P/E of 31.5x, and the company is a compelling story with upside potential as Latin America's leading digital bank continues its rapid expansion. The LATAM market still has lots of underbanked people, but Nubank offers the neobank and digital services necessary for those people. The fact that it amassed 110 million clients in just a few years tells us something. The clients are mostly in Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia, but the company is planning expansion to other countries, including the US Remarkable Financial Trajectory (2023-2025) Revenue Growth Acceleration: 2023: $3.37B total revenue Q2 2025 alone: $3.36B revenue. Q2 2025 alone had the same revenue as 2023. Truly impressive Very strong quarter-over-quarter growth and operational leverage. Key Financial Metrics Progression P/E Evolution: From 90x+ (growth phase) → 31.5x (profitable growth phase) Revenue CAGR: 63.4% demonstrating consistent market penetration EPS Growth: 63.2% three-year average showing operational leverage User Growth: 30M → 110M+ (4x in 5 years) with improving unit economics Investment thesis: Why Nubank is undervalued 1. Valuation arbitrage Current P/E: 31.5x vs. US fintech peer SoFi NASDAQ:SOFI at ~50x Growth-adjusted valuation: 63% revenue growth at 31x P/E = 0.49 PEG ratio (anything under 1.0 is attractive) International discount: Market applying "emerging market penalty" despite superior fundamentals 2. Proven Business Model Scalability The 2023-2025 data eliminates key execution risks: Growing profitability across multiple quarters Growth maintained at scale (110M+ users, still growing) Margin expansion demonstrating operational leverage Multi-year consistency reducing one-time success concerns 3. Structural advantages in underserved arkets Digital-first cost structure: 80%+ lower cost base than traditional banks First-mover advantage: Dominant position in Brazil, early leadership in Mexico/Colombia Network effects: Growing ecosystem creates switching costs and viral acquisition Regulatory tailwinds: Government support for financial inclusion across Latin America 4. Multiple Expansion Catalysts Near-term (1-2 years): US market expansion announcement Continued profitability growth reducing "emerging market risk" perception Potential inclusion in major indices (MSCI, etc.) Medium-term (3-5 years): Cross-border payments and remittance products Small business lending expansion Insurance and wealth management scaling Geographic Expansion: The untapped opportunity Brazil (Mature Market) Market-leading position providing stable cash flow foundation Still room for product penetration (insurance, wealth management) Mexico/Colombia (Growth Markets) Early-stage penetration with massive TAM 2025 data suggests strong traction in these markets US Expansion (Game Changer) Management indicated plans for US market entry Could unlock premium US fintech valuations (40-50x P/E multiples) Remittance corridor between US and Latin America represents $100B+ opportunity Risk-Reward Analysis Conservative 5-Year Scenario: Earnings growth: 25% CAGR (conservative given 63% current growth) = 3x earnings in 5 years Multiple expansion: P/E re-rating to 45x (still below SoFi's 50x) = 43% upside Combined effect: 3x earnings × 1.43x multiple = 4.3x total return Base Case Assumptions: Revenue growth slows to 20-25% annually (from current 63%) P/E expands to 40-45x as profitability matures US expansion adds 20-30% valuation premium Target: 3-4x returns over 5 years Why Now?? Valuation Opportunity: 31.5x P/E for 63% growth company is historically cheap Proven Execution: 2023-2025 data eliminates major execution risks Market Inefficiency: US investors underweight due to "foreign" perception Catalyst Pipeline: US expansion, product launches, and regulatory tailwinds Target Price: $45-60 over 5 years (3-4x current levels), supported by continued geographic expansion, product innovation, and P/E re-rating as the market recognizes Nubank's transition to a mature, profitable growth company. Conclusion Nubank in 2025 is no longer a speculative fintech play - it's a proven, profitable, growing financial services powerhouse trading at a discount to inferior peers. The combination of 63% revenue growth, sustainable profitability, massive TAM, and 31.5x P/E creates an asymmetric risk-reward opportunity rarely seen in public markets.
NYSE:NULong
by HenriqueCentieiro
Don’t Be the Exit Liquidity: The Truth About IPOsPicture this: a company wants to go public. They don’t just toss shares on the market like a garage sale. No. The sequence is distinct. First, the company sits down with the sharpest pencils on Wall Street—the underwriters. These aren’t TikTok stock gurus; they’re analysts whose job is to tear apart every balance sheet and market forecast. They value the business, set a price, and—here’s the kicker—they buy the shares themselves. Real money on the line. Then they resell to big funds. Only after that circus is done does the stock finally hit the exchange, where the rest of us can click “buy.” Now, what happens at the open? Retail traders pile in like it’s Black Friday, paying two or three times the IPO price because “it’s going to the moon.” But who’s on the other side of that trade? The pros. The funds. The people who literally just bought the same shares for half the price. They’re not dumb. They’re happy to sell you their cheap stock at your expensive price. Look at 2025’s hottest IPOs: Figma (FIG): Priced at $33. Opened at $85. Shot to $142. Now back near $74. Circle (CRCL): IPO $31. Opened $69. Spiked to $299. Collapsed to $135. Chime (CHYM): IPO $27. Opened $43. Two weeks later? $29. Bullish (BLSH): IPO $37. Opened $95. Peaked $118. Then sagged to $68. See the theme? If you chased the open, you weren’t investing. You were buying somebody else’s victory dinner. Here’s the advice your future self will thank you for: trust the underwriters’ homework. These people aren’t perfect, but they’re the best paid risk managers on the planet, and they literally put their own money into the deal. If the IPO is priced at $30, there’s usually a reason. Paying a little premium—maybe 20–30%—is fine. But doubling or tripling that on hype? That’s how you end up holding the bag. If you want an IPO that’s actually worth leaning into a bit above the ask, keep an eye on Accelerant Holdings. Insurance may sound boring, but boring makes money. They’re disrupting an industry with a clear, scalable model. Unlike some flashy names, Accelerant has a simple story and a real path to growth. Paying 30% above ask for that? Much smarter bet than chasing a crypto stock that just opened at triple. Final thought: IPO day isn’t a lottery. It’s poker. The pros already know the cards. Don’t sit down at their table without understanding the rules.
NYSE:ARX
by litwizard
22
Investing in Tech Stocks: What Daxprime Investors Profited From The tech sector is once again in the spotlight. Despite fierce competition, rapidly shifting trends, and increasing regulation, technology stocks remained among the most profitable assets on the market in 2025. The Daxprime team conducted an in-depth analysis of client portfolios, top-performing tech giants, and fast-growing startups. In this article, we reveal which stocks brought the biggest profits to Daxprime investors in 2025 — and the strategies that helped them grow their capital with minimal risk. Tech Sector Overview in 2025 After strong growth in 2023–2024, tech stocks began 2025 with cautious recovery. Investor attention focused on: Companies in artificial intelligence (AI) Leaders in cloud computing and cybersecurity Firms investing in microelectronics and neurotech Startups rapidly capturing niches in automation and robotics From January to the end of August 2025: Nasdaq-100 grew +17.6% XLK (Tech Select Sector SPDR) rose +14.8% Individual stocks gained up to 70–90% Top 5 Stocks That Generated the Most Profit for Daxprime Investors 1. NVIDIA (NVDA) Growth (Jan–Aug 2025): +62% Drivers: Soaring demand for AI chips, data centers, and autonomous driving Clients profited from both price appreciation and short-term trades on earnings reports 2. Microsoft (MSFT) Growth: +34% Highlights: Expanding proprietary AI platforms, Azure cloud growth, strategic partnerships with OpenAI MSFT served as a core holding in many Daxprime portfolios 3. Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Growth: +85% Strengths: Securing government contracts, SaaS expansion, aggressive growth in Europe Considered medium-risk, high-potential 4. Supermicro (SMCI) Growth: +91% Role: Key AI infrastructure server provider One of 2025’s “hidden champions” 5. Tesla (TSLA) Growth: +29% Catalysts: Launch of new EV models, global factory expansion Still volatile, but favored for tactical/speculative strategies Real Daxprime Investor Cases Case 1: Aggressive Growth Strategy Portfolio: 40% NVDA, 25% SMCI, 20% TSLA, 15% PLTR Invested in January: $25,000 Value in August: $47,300 Return: +89.2% Case 2: Moderate Approach Portfolio: 50% MSFT, 30% NVDA, 20% AAPL Invested: $50,000 Current value: $65,500 Return: +31% Conclusion: Daxprime investors profit using both aggressive and balanced strategies — both work when built on quality analysis. What Helped Investors Earn in 2025? Timely portfolio rebalancing — shifting into AI leaders and out of underperforming sectors Using earnings reports as entry points AI-based analysis from Daxprime — trade signals, entry/exit timing Investing in trends, not just “famous brands” Risks and How They Were Managed The tech sector remains volatile: Supply chain disruptions can cause 10–20% drawdowns Strong correlation with macro factors Constant innovation leads to high competitive pressure How Daxprime clients managed risk: Diversifying between large caps and mid-caps Holding defensive assets (e.g., ETFs, bonds) Ongoing support from Daxprime analysts Why Investors Choose Daxprime for Tech Stock Strategies Access to real-time analytics on 500+ stocks AI-powered entry/exit signals Portfolio rebalancing tools Personalized investment strategies Access to IPOs and Pre-IPOs in the tech sector Daxprime helps clients not just buy stocks, but build structured strategies that deliver profits — both in uptrends and sideways markets. Conclusion The year 2025 proved once again: technology companies are the engine of the stock market. Investors who bet on AI and cloud industry leaders — and adapted in time — earned substantial profits. With Daxprime, you’re not just investing — you’re building a strategy where every step is based on data, experience, and smart decisions. That’s how you earn consistently while managing risk.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by CryptoLifeone