BITCOIN SIGNAL: HERE ARE THE NEXT BTC TARGETS!!!! (trap) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Wave Analysis
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaI’m currently watching XAUUSD (Gold). Price has broken market structure to the upside, confirming a short-term bullish shift. However, the presence of a three-drive pattern suggests we may see a corrective pullback before any further upside.
I’m looking for price to retrace back into support, as highlighted on the volume profile. If that area holds and aligns with the 61.8 Fibonacci level, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break in market structure to potentially look for a long opportunity.
⚠️ Not financial advice — this is purely my market analysis.
Market Prep 12/17The market rallied overnight but is at resistance here. Very difficult to say what will happen so we need to stay on our toes and not get married to any viewpoint. Gold probably rallies to all time highs soon. Oil maybe a bottom, but it's still very early to tell. BTC may drop a bit more. NG looks good for a bounce and maybe more.
I am neutral until I see more price action.
Micron Technology - This bullrun is still not over!💵Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) can rally a final +25%:
🔎Analysis summary:
Micron Technology retested major support in mid 2025. After we then witnessed textbook bullish confirmation, it was clear that this stock will rally. With the recent move of +300%, Micron Technology is almost back at major resistance, but it can rally another +25% first.
📝Levels to watch:
$300
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Nvidia - The correction just started!💉Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is now heading lower:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just recently, Nvidia once again retested the major rising channel resistance trendline. Together with November's bearish engulfing candle, Nvidia is slowly shifting bearish. And before Nvidia will retest the next major support area, we can see a drop of another -15%.
📝Levels to watch:
$150
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
XAUUSD Gold Breaks Structure Short, But My Bullish Bias RemainsI’m currently watching XAUUSD Gold, and yesterday we didn’t get the higher high I was looking for. Instead, price broke structure to the downside, which has resulted in a fairly deep pullback 📉.
⏳ That said, the higher time frame structure remains bullish, so my overall bias is still to the upside 📈. At this stage, I’m waiting to see price trade back into support, and If that holds and breaks to the up-side, I’ll be looking for a potential long opportunity aligned with the broader trend.
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just my market perspective.
EURUSD: Wave Structure Education - Understanding Wave CountsEducational breakdown of wave structure counting using current EURUSD as a live example.
📚 WAVE STRUCTURE FUNDAMENTALS
Understanding wave counts is essential for identifying high-probability setups. Let's break down the key concepts using EURUSD's current structure.
🌊 WAVE 1 - The Foundation
Most Important Aspect: Wave 1 has two variations
Variation 1 - ABC Pattern:
Wave 1 forms as a corrective ABC structure before the main trend establishes.
Variation 2 - Straight Away:
Bearish: Higher High (HH) directly to Lower Low (LL)
Bullish: Lower Low (LL) directly to Higher High (HH)
Why This Matters:
Identifying which Wave 1 variation you're seeing helps you understand the strength and nature of the trend forming.
📈 EXTENSION WAVES - The Power Moves
Bearish Extension Pattern:
The sequence for bearish extensions:
Lower High (LH)
Higher Low (HL)
Lower High (LH)
Lower Low (LL)
Bullish Extension Pattern:
The sequence for bullish extensions:
Higher Low (HL)
Lower High (LH)
Higher Low (HL)
Higher High (HH)
Key Principle:
Extensions follow a specific pattern. Recognizing these sequences allows you to anticipate the completion point and trade accordingly.
💼 CURRENT EURUSD WAVE COUNT
Position: Bearish Wave 2 Extension (3 of 5)
What This Means:
We're in Wave 2 of the larger structure
Wave 2 is extending (showing the extension pattern)
Currently at position 3 within the 5-wave extension sequence
More downside expected to complete the extension
Trading Application:
Understanding we're in position 3 of 5 tells us:
Two more wave points to complete (4 and 5)
Wave 4 will be a pullback (selling opportunity)
Wave 5 will be the final leg down in this extension
🎓 Educational Takeaways:
1. Wave 1 Sets The Stage:
Always identify which Wave 1 variation you're seeing. ABC or Straight Away? This determines your initial bias.
2. Extensions Follow Patterns:
Both bullish and bearish extensions have specific sequences. Learn to recognize them.
3. Count = Roadmap:
When you know where you are in the wave count (like "3 of 5"), you know what's coming next.
4. Practice Required:
Wave counting takes time to master. Watch price action create these patterns repeatedly until recognition becomes second nature.
Summary:
Wave 1 has two variations: ABC or Straight Away (HH→LL / LL→HH)
Extensions follow patterns: Specific sequences for bullish/bearish
Current EURUSD: Bearish Wave 2 Extension, position 3 of 5
Next: Expect Wave 4 pullback, then Wave 5 completion
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💬 Questions? Drop them in comments
EURUSD Update: Target 2 Hit + Wave Extension | USDJPY ConflictFollow-up on yesterday's EURUSD call plus new USDJPY analysis showing interesting timeframe conflict.
📉 EURUSD UPDATE - Target 2 Achieved
Yesterday's Outcome:
Price broke below our second target as prescribed. The bearish setup played out perfectly.
Current Analysis:
Wave structure on the 5-minute chart shows significant downside potential remains.
🌊 Wave Structure Breakdown:
Current Position: Wave 2 printing extension
What This Means:
Wave 2 is extending, which creates a specific roadmap for the move:
Expected Sequence:
Wave 2 Extension - Current phase (5 data points)
Momentum Low (Wave 3) - Strong downside move
Pullback (Wave 4) - Brief correction
Concluding Wave 5 - Final leg down
Trading Strategy:
Sell every structural rally on the 5-minute chart. Each pullback within this wave structure represents a selling opportunity as the larger downtrend continues.
Execution: Wait for rallies to structural levels, then sell the rejection.
💴 USDJPY ANALYSIS - Timeframe Conflict
The Interesting Setup:
USDJPY is showing conflicting signals across timeframes—a common but tradeable scenario.
5-Minute Chart (Short-Term):
Price broke above the last rally high. Technically, this break signals exhaustion and creates a sell signal—a potential failure pattern where price breaks higher but can't sustain.
1-Hour Chart (Bigger Picture):
The larger timeframe structure still suggests higher prices should be expected. The bullish trend remains intact on the H1.
⚖️ The Conflict:
5Min: Bearish (break and potential failure)
1HR: Bullish (trend still up)
How to Trade This:
Two approaches depending on your style:
Approach 1 - Timeframe Priority:
Favour the H1 bias (bullish). Use 5-min pullbacks as buying opportunities within the larger uptrend.
Approach 2 - Short-Term Traders:
Trade the 5-min sell signal for a quick scalp, but manage risk tightly and expect the H1 trend to eventually reassert itself.
Recommended: Wait for timeframe alignment. When 5-min and H1 agree, the probability increases significantly.
Summary:
EURUSD: Sell structural rallies—Wave 2 extension suggests more downside
USDJPY: Timeframe conflict—5min bearish, H1 bullish. Wait for clarity or trade with appropriate timeframe bias.
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💬 Which pair are you trading? Comment below
Drop and popDon't take any selling today too seriously. There is strong support under 6800 and it will likely hold - at least for now. A drop in the morning and recovery by the afternoon could be what happens. Oil is testing it's lows. Gold is testing it's highs. BTC may drop to 84k and then pop. Nat Gas is at support but may drop a little more.
EURUSD Key Levels: Failure vs Continuation Points Today's focus: Key structural levels that determine EURUSD's next move. No predictions—just price behaviour and structural points.
💡 Trading Philosophy:
"Trade what you SEE, not what you THINK."
This is the foundation of mechanical trading. Stop predicting. Start observing structure and reacting to what price actually does at key levels.
📊 Current EURUSD Structure:
Trading At: 1.17197 (Structural Point)
Key Observation:
We have NOT seen a failure at this level yet. Price is holding structure, which suggests selling continuation is the higher probability scenario.
🎯 Downside Levels (Selling Continuation):
Next Target: 1.17033
If 1.07197 holds as structure, this is the next downside objective.
Major Level Below: 1.16821 (Previous Momentum High - TURNCOAT)
This was former resistance that has now been tested and turned into support. This is a critical "turncoat" level—resistance became support, making it a high-probability bounce zone.
🔼 Upside Levels (If Structure Breaks):
If price fails at current structure and breaks higher, watch these levels:
Level 1: 1.1750
Level 2: 1.1762 (Momentum High)
Level 3: 1.1841 (Current Momentum High)
These become your upside targets IF the current structure fails to hold.
For Detailed Context:
Check my previous EURUSD posts for the bigger picture wave structure and how we arrived at these levels.
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💬 Are you trading what you SEE or what you THINK?
#CUMMINSIND Channel seems to be broken.!!! Can that sustain?NSE:CUMMINSIND THe channel of wave (4) on bigger degree seems to be broken and the rally is panicing. However if we can close above the channel or above up above then we couls see the rally continuing up. One small clue is the first swing on the panic looks to be in the form of three swings. Suggesting more downside or atleast releif rally could happen
EURUSD Price Action Entry | Failure Setup After NewsI did an analysis on the EURUSD expectation just before the news. We saw the noise as expected, now we have been presented with a cleaner price action which presented us with a failure entry.
Failure Setup Criteria:
Break of the Previous High (LPH)
Lack of Follow-Through after the break
Bearish close below a Momentum Low (ML) bar
✅ Short trade triggered
This type of price action failure trade offers high-probability entries for traders who have the patience and discipline to wait for confirmation rather than chasing impulsive moves.
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EURUSD: Pre-NFP Analysis - Key Breakdown LevelsFocus on EURUSD ahead of today's Non-Farm Payroll and major US economic data releases (December 16th, 2025).
📰 Market Context:
Major News Events Today:
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP)
Additional major US economic releases
Market participants in wait-and-see mode
Current Price Action:
Following Monday's break above 1.17627, price has entered a sideways consolidation pattern. This pause indicates market participants are positioning ahead of the news before committing to the next directional move.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Recent Structure:
From last week's analysis, EURUSD has shown multiple bearish trend-changing patterns. These patterns suggest underlying weakness despite the recent rally.
Current Setup:
The extended rally has pushed price significantly higher. At current levels, it wouldn't take much to trigger profit-taking from buyers who entered earlier in the move. The NFP data could be the catalyst.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch:
Level 1 - Breakdown Point: 1.17379
Initial breakdown confirmation. Break below signals weakness.
Level 2 - Major Breakdown: 1.17193
Critical support. Break here confirms major bearish structure shift.
💼 Trade Setup:
Sell Entry: Close below 1.17734
Wait for candle close below this level for confirmation.
Stop Loss: 1.0780
Invalidation above this level.
Risk: 46 pips
Targets: Breakpoint Two
T1: 1.17379 (initial breakdown)
T2: 1.17193 (major breakdown)
⚠️ Risk Management:
Be cautious of NFP volatility:
Expect increased noise immediately after news release
Wider spreads possible
Potential whipsaws before directional move
Wait for candle close confirmation, not just spikes
Strategy: Let the news settle, then trade the confirmed direction rather than the initial spike.
Trading Principle:
News creates volatility, but structure determines direction. Multiple bearish patterns + profit-taking zone + news catalyst = high-probability setup IF structure confirms.
👍 Hit the boost button if this pre-NFP analysis helps
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BTC at a Critical Weekly Level: Watching for a Bullish ReactionBTC Bitcoin has seen a fairly aggressive bearish pullback, but when we zoom out to the weekly time frame, price has now retraced directly into a weekly bullish order block 🧱📊. This area represents a key support zone that I’m watching closely.
📈 If this level holds and we start to see bullish price action, it could open up a strong opportunity as we drop down into the lower time frames. From there, I’ll be focusing on the 1-hour chart, watching market structure and price behavior to see if conditions line up for a potential entry.
⏳ As always, patience is key — I’ll only get involved if price does exactly what I’ve outlined in the video.
⚠️ Not financial advice — this is simply my market analysis.
BTC/USDT: Double Top Pattern - Bearish Target $75k-$78kANALYSIS OVERVIEW
Bitcoin is showing a confirmed Double Top pattern at $108,000 level with a breakdown of the neckline around $92,000-$95,000. Current price action suggests a continuation of the bearish trend toward key support levels.
TECHNICAL STRUCTURE
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The price has dropped from $108k to $85k, representing a 21% correction. This appears to be an ABC corrective wave following the fifth wave completion at $108k.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance Zones:
R1: $90,000-$92,000
R2: $95,000-$98,000 (Broken Neckline)
R3: $100,000 (Psychological level)
R4: $108,000 (Previous ATH)
Support Zones:
S1: $82,000-$84,000 (Current range)
S2: $75,000-$78,000 (Double Top target - Strong support)
S3: $68,000-$70,000
S4: $56,000-$58,000 (Major support from previous Wave 4)
TRADING SCENARIOS
Scenario 1 - Bearish Continuation (60% probability):
Short Setup:
Entry: $88,000-$92,000 (on pullback to broken neckline)
Stop Loss: $95,000
Take Profit 1: $78,000 (R/R = 1:2)
Take Profit 2: $70,000 (R/R = 1:3)
Take Profit 3: $58,000 (R/R = 1:4)
Reasoning:
- Confirmed Double Top breakdown
- Break of market structure
- Strong selling pressure
- Multiple consecutive bearish weekly candles
Scenario 2 - Correction and Reversal (40% probability):
Long Setup:
Entry 1: $75,000-$78,000 (Medium risk)
Entry 2: $68,000-$70,000 (Lower risk)
Entry 3: $56,000-$58,000 (Lowest risk)
Stop Loss: Below $52,000
Take Profit 1: $90,000-$95,000
Take Profit 2: $108,000-$110,000
Take Profit 3: $130,000-$150,000
CURRENT MARKET STATUS
Warning: No buying recommendation at current levels. Wait for bottom confirmation.
For swing traders:
- Wait for bottoming pattern at $75k-$80k range
- Look for Hammer or Bullish Engulfing candlestick confirmation
- Confirm with increased buying volume
For long-term investors (DCA approach):
- 25% allocation at $75k-$78k
- 35% allocation at $68k-$70k
- 40% allocation at $56k-$58k
SHORT-TERM FORECAST (1-2 months):
- Primary scenario (60%): Decline to $75k-$78k
- Secondary scenario (30%): Range-bound $82k-$95k
- Alternative scenario (10%): Quick recovery to $100k
CONCLUSION
Current Signal: BEARISH
Primary Target: $75,000-$78,000
Timeframe: 2-4 weeks
Risk Management:
- Always use stop-loss orders
- Risk maximum 3-5% of capital per trade
- Wait for confirmation before entering positions
The Double Top pattern remains active until price reclaims $95,000 with strong volume. Until then, downside pressure is expected to continue toward the measured move target.






















