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Wave Analysis

EURUSD – Buy Idea (Short Swing / Continuation)Bias: Bullish Primary Timeframes: D1 / H4 (W1 used only for macro context) Entry Timing: H1–H4 Technical Context Primary uptrend intact on W1 and D1. Price trading above the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs, all with positive slope. The 1.1700–1.1710 zone acted previously as resistance and is now being retested as support. Strong impulsive move after the rate cut, followed by healthy consolidation (no distribution). No lower-high / lower-low structure: the current pullback is corrective, not a reversal. Entry BUY: 1.1705 Entry taken on a retest of the key level with confluence of dynamic EMAs on H4. Stop Loss SL: 1.1665 (40 pips) Below the last relevant swing low. Below the H4 50/100 EMAs. If price reaches this level, the bullish idea is invalidated — not a simple stop hunt. Take Profit TP1: 1.1760 TP2: 1.1860 Targets Rationale TP1: Recent highs / nearby liquidity. TP2: Weekly resistance zone. Risk–Reward (approx.) TP1: ~55 pips TP2: ~155 pips Trade Management & Plan As long as price holds above 1.1680, bullish bias remains valid. A confirmed H4 close below 1.1665 invalidates the setup, no debate. No chasing price: either the support holds or there is no trade. Simple as that.
Long
by pepeserrats
Dec 18, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity 📊 Summary: Price is currently consolidating within the 4328–4346 range. Inside this zone, the preferred approach is selling near the top and buying near the bottom. • If price breaks and holds above 4346, watch whether it can push through 4350. • If price holds above 4354, bullish momentum takes control → bias shifts to buying pullbacks into support. • If price breaks below 4328, bearish momentum dominates → bias shifts to selling rallies into resistance. That said, there are multiple supports below, so short setups require patience and confirmation. This is not an easy one-direction market. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4360 – Resistance • 4354 – Intraday key resistance • 4350 – Resistance • 4343–4346 – Resistance zone • 4328 – Support • 4323 – Support • 4315 – Support • 4306 – Support 📈 Asia Session Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 4328 → target 4324, with further downside toward 4320, 4315, 4310 BUY: If price holds above 4335 → target 4338, with further upside toward 4343, 4346, 4350
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) — Base Forming Ahead of a Bullish BreakoutBitcoin is approaching a critical moment . After a prolonged decline downside momentum has clearly slowed and price is beginning to stabilize , which is a common sign that selling pressure is being gradually absorbed . On the macro side market sentiment has improved slightly as investors grow more comfortable with expectations of easier financial conditions ahead , giving risk assets some room to recover. On the H1 chart , the technical picture is turning constructive . BTC is forming a double bottom within a descending structure , showing strong buyer participation around the same support zone . At the same time price is pressing against the descending trendline , suggesting that seller control is weakening . This combination typically appears near transition phases rather than during strong bearish continuation. The key now is confirmation . A clean breakout and close above the descending trendline would activate the double bottom target near 90000 , signaling a shift from corrective price action into a new bullish phase . Until that breakout occurs patience remains essential , but the technical risk to reward is starting to favor the upside .
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Jasmine_Rojas
8
$NVO - Novo Nordisk Has Taken a Beating 2025Novo Nordisk’s bullish scenario centers on sustained global demand for its GLP-1 franchise, with Wegovy and Ozempic expanding beyond diabetes into obesity, cardiovascular protection, and additional metabolic indications. Capacity expansions support multi-year volume growth, while emerging markets adoption accelerates. Pipeline assets, including next-generation oral GLP-1s and combination therapies, provide upside optionality and extend the company’s competitive moat. Margins remain strong due to scale advantages and high pricing power, driving robust free-cash-flow growth and rising returns on capital. In this scenario, Novo continues compounding earnings at a high single- to low double-digit rate, pushing intrinsic value meaningfully above current levels and supporting further share appreciation. Keeping an eye on this one around these levels. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates.
NYSE:NVOLong
by MannyLo
GOLD (XAUUSD) – 4H Trendline & Projection Analysis🔹 Higher-Timeframe Context Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, but price is currently consolidating below a major resistance zone. The market is transitioning from impulse → range → decision phase. 🔹 Trendline Structure The ascending trendline drawn from the November lows shows: Buyers are still defending higher prices Pullbacks remain corrective, not impulsive This trendline represents dynamic support within the current range. As long as price stays above this structure, the bullish bias remains valid. 🔹 Key Zones Explained 🟧 Orange Zone (Lower Support / Demand) This is a strong demand area, aligned with: Previous consolidation Trendline support Labeled “possible long?” because: A pullback into this zone would offer better risk-to-reward Ideal area for buyers to step back in 🔴 Upper Red Zone (Major Resistance) This zone has previously caused strong rejections It’s the main upside target if bullish continuation plays out 🔹 Arrow Projection Logic The arrows outline two possible bullish continuation paths, not predictions: Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback (Bullish Continuation) Price holds above current structure Minor retracement Strong push into the upper resistance zone → Shows strength and continuation momentum Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Healthier Reset) Price rejects near resistance Pulls back into the orange demand zone Trendline + demand hold Strong bullish expansion toward resistance → This scenario cleans liquidity and often leads to a stronger breakout 🔹 Bias Summary Overall Bias: Bullish Best Long Area: Pullbacks into the orange demand zone Invalidation: Clean break and close below the trendline + demand Upside Objective: Previous high / upper red resistance zone 🧠 Community Reminder “We don’t chase highs. We let price come into structure and let the market confirm.” You can trade with us. Comment down below.
TVC:GOLDLong
by D1GITALTRADES
the chart doesn’t care about your fear.( repost, original post on my old account: @notoriousbids ) --- this is not your average joe count. i’m not telling you that btc is going to 185k. the chart is. out here, we close our eyes, take a breath to clear the mind, and when our eyes open, we look at what is in front of us without bias. the chart in front of me looks very constructive. from the lows at $15,460, btc appears to have advanced in a clear three wave move. wave three just printed an extension, which is common in crypto. if you look closely, the sub-waves of wave one and wave four show no overlap. sub-wave one itself extended, giving wave three a contracting appearance, but this was not a contraction. this was a manipulated pause, designed to re accumulate supply during wave four. while you sell and flip bearish, there are entities out there with capital that dwarfs the entire market cap of your bitcoin, quietly absorbing every coin you are willing to give up at these discounted levels. --- wave fours are notorious for producing fear, uncertainty, and doubt. however, we have something on our side that neutralizes that noise completely. it is called the law of alternation. in elliott wave theory, the law of alternation states that if wave two is flat, wave four will be sharp (and vice versa). that is exactly what played out. wave two in 2023 was flat and corrective by nature, which opened the door for the sharp wave four we have been experiencing in the modern day. --- during this sharp wave four, a significant hidden bullish divergence formed between the wave two low and the wave four low, as shown on the chart. this hidden bullish divergence exists across multiple timeframes and on several oscillators, even on the monthly scale. that alone suggests that my 185k upside target may actually be conservative. don’t ask me how high i think this can go. the answer will sound unreasonable to anyone still anchored to fear. --- 🎯 = 185k
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
1
BTCUSDT: Bearish Wave 5, Setting a Path to Under 70,000?Hey Realistic Traders! “Bitcoin Is Riding Bearish Reversal Momentum, Is a New Lower Low on the Horizon?” Let’s dive into the technical analysis to answer this question and see what the chart is really telling us. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, BINANCE:BTCUSDT has moved below the EMA200 line. Each rebound has failed to break above, and price has rarely even touched the EMA200, reinforcing the strength of the broader bearish trend. During the Wave 4 formation, BTCUSDT consolidated within a rising wedge pattern, a corrective structure that typically appears as upside momentum weakens within a larger downtrend. A decisive breakdown from this pattern signals renewed bearish pressure and often marks the beginning of Wave 5 in Elliott Wave theory. Following the breakdown, a bearish MACD crossover occurred, adding confirmation to the bearish bias. Together, these signals strengthen the view that momentum is shifting back in favor of the bears. Based on Fibonacci projections, Wave 5 may extend toward the 0.786 Fibonacci ratio, aligning with the second downside target near 66,450. Before reaching that level, price may encounter a historical support zone around the first target at 72,464, where a temporary pullback could occur. This bearish wave count remains valid as long as price stays below the stop-loss level at 95,596 . A move above this level would invalidate the potential Wave 5 formation and shift the outlook back to neutral. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below 🚀 Disclaimer: Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Bitcoin.
Short
by financialfreedomgoals101
Long Term Silver Bull Going ShortThis post is a follow up to my "Grand Silver Supercycle" chart posted on 2/2/2023. I recommend referencing that chart to understand my commentary here. In that chart, I called for silver to double in price by the end of 2025 and to reach $95 by 2027. Since then, silver has overshot my near term price targets. I'm here to argue that silver has gone up too far too quickly and is due for a sharp pullback to the $50-$55 range. Why am I calling this the near term top? Silver has very neatly followed Elliot Wave Theory throughout its history. In 2023, I predicted Wave 3 of the current cycle, which began with the low in the summer of 2022, to have a 1.618 extension of Wave 1. Instead, silver just reached the 2.618 extension, which back in 2023, I thought was too bold of a prediction. While it is possible for a 4.618 extension to 102.5, these extensions are very rare. The bias is towards a pullback here. There is also a convergence between the Elliot Wave extension, a fib retracement level, and logarithmic trendline. This indicates that any attempts to breakout higher will face strong resistance. Finally, I need to talk about gold. The monthly RSI has been over 90 for 3 months, closing in on 4 months. Gold has only held an RSI above 90 for 4 consecutive months at one point prior in its charted history. Gold is still silver's big brother and will determine the direction the two move.
TVC:SILVERShort
by Cryptogold14
5
CC Breaks Descending Channel and Builds Base Above SupportCC was trending inside a well-defined descending channel for an extended period, reflecting sustained bearish control. Price has now broken out of this channel to the upside and successfully reclaimed the lower boundary, signaling a potential structural shift. After the breakout, CC is consolidating above former channel support, forming a stable base. This behavior suggests that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are starting to absorb supply at higher levels. If price continues to hold above this reclaimed support zone, a continuation move toward the next resistance around zero point zero eight and beyond becomes likely. Sustained strength could open the path toward the higher resistance region near zero point one eight. On the bearish side, losing the reclaimed support would invalidate the breakout and may pull price back into the previous range, reopening downside risk. This setup is driven by descending channel breakout dynamics, support flip behavior, and base formation after trend exhaustion. Confirmation through continuation is essential before aggressive positioning.
BINANCE:CCUSDT.P
by CryptoCoinsCoach
1
Micron Technology - This bullrun is still not over!💵Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) can rally a final +25%: 🔎Analysis summary: Micron Technology retested major support in mid 2025. After we then witnessed textbook bullish confirmation, it was clear that this stock will rally. With the recent move of +300%, Micron Technology is almost back at major resistance, but it can rally another +25% first. 📝Levels to watch: $300 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:MULong
by SwingTraderPhil
11
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Analysis XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Analysis Price is currently trading inside an ascending structure, pushing towards a major liquidity area. Multiple equal highs indicate buy-side liquidity resting above the market. Price has already shown a BOS and CHOCH, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. This zone is acting as a premium selling area, where smart money may distribute. Rejection from this liquidity zone can trigger a bearish pullback. Downside targets are aligned with the demand zone below. Overall bias: Sell on confirmation from the liquidity zone.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by smithgoldtrader0
$AMD 2026 outlook: Expect wide range-bound action, especially H1NASDAQ:AMD - Not in position (on request). Fundamentals: Data center growth solid but competition intensifying ( NASDAQ:NVDA AI dominance, NASDAQ:INTC fighting back). Margins under pressure as hyperscalers negotiate harder. 2025 guidance likely conservative. Technicals: 150x move since 2016 puts us in rarified air. Channel structure suggests we're entering consolidation/normalization phase. 2026 outlook: Expect wide range-bound action, especially H1. Big down, big up structure typically precedes extended base-building. Channel could extend years. Overextension possible, but probability favors digestion here.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Swing_Trader_Saan
1