XAUUSD – Structure Holding at the Blue BoxHi fellow traders,
On the 1H XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential continuation scenario. After a sharp corrective move, price is reacting from the blue box and holding above the key structural level, suggesting the correction may be complete and continuation to the upside remains possible.
I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4270.00. My Take Profit is set at 4574.60, targeting continuation within the larger impulsive structure.
If price breaks below the stop level, this trade is no longer valid.
Structure first. Noise second.
Good luck and trade safe!
Wave Analysis
BITCOIN BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 87,599.76
Target Level: 90,106.43
Stop Loss: 85,916.50
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BITF | DailyNASDAQ:BITF — Quantum Analysis
As illustrated on the daily chart, the transitional Q-Structure φ exhibits structural convergence, with its apex resting on the support Q-Structure λₛ along the confluence zone. This configuration suggests the conclusion of the corrective phase in Intermediate Wave (4) and sets the stage for the projected advance of Intermediate Wave (5)—potentially as an extension toward the Q-Target ➤ $28.88 🎯. (not shown in this frame)
📑 Notably, all projected Intermediate-degree extensions in the mining sector align with BTC’s advanced projection of Primary Wave ⓹.
🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework.
LYN/USDT - Recovery phase LYN/USDT has experienced a severe post-listing sell-off, dropping nearly 90% from its listing high, a classic sign of early-stage capitulation where weak hands are fully flushed out.
After this extended downside, price action has shifted from impulsive selling to stabilization, suggesting selling pressure is exhausted.
XAUUSD – Corrective structure under evaluationWe would like to see signs of an impulsive move, which could potentially represent wave C of a broader corrective structure.
The recent decline appears corrective in nature, unfolding as a W-X-Y sequence, and we are starting to see signs of exhaustion from wave B, suggesting the correction may be nearing completion.
If this interpretation remains valid, we would then anticipate wave C to unfold as an impulsive move, completing the corrective pattern.
⚠️ Invalidation:
A decisive break below the marked invalidation area would negate this scenario and suggest the correction is still unfolding.
Tesla - Move BeginsThe move is starting according to the previously outlined plan.
The local reversal has likely occurred, and one of the sub-waves of C , specifically a downward impulsive wave, is being formed.
Let’s mark the initial targets:
473 -> 466 -> 458
The speed and strength of this downward move will provide insight into the overall market picture.
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XAUUSD – Bearish Continuation from Demand FlipGold has rallied into a previous demand zone that has now acted as resistance, showing signs of exhaustion and rejection. This area represents a demand-to-supply flip, increasing the probability of a downside move.
Plan:
Look for short opportunities near the upper demand / resistance zone after bearish confirmation.
Price may first retrace into the lower intraday demand zone, offering a potential reaction or consolidation.
Expect continuation lower toward the major downside target zone, where stronger buyers previously stepped in.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: Previous demand turned resistance
Intermediate Support: Intraday demand zone
Final Target: Lower higher-timeframe demand zone
Invalidation:
A strong close above the upper zone would invalidate the bearish bias.
#Banknifty Directions and Levels for December 30Good morning, friends! 🌞
Market Directions and Levels for December 30
The Dow Jones shows bullish sentiment, while the Indian market has a moderately bearish outlook. Today, the market may open neutral to slightly negative, with GIFT Nifty trading about 30 points down.
What to Expect Today?
The broader picture shows both Nifty and Bank Nifty in range-bound structures, which are usually tough to predict. In my view, if the market starts with gradual movement, expect consolidation within yesterday's range. On the other hand, if it forms a solid structure—either declining or bouncing back—follow it without hesitation.
Let's look at the charts.
Nifty
> If the market declines and consolidates around the pullback zone, we can expect further correction (current view).
> On the other hand, if the market opens with positive numbers or rejects at 25,905 or MPZ, expect a minimum 50% to 78% bounce back of the minor swing (alternate view).
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 31/12/2025
Today is the final trading plan of 2025.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to everyone who has accompanied and supported me throughout this year. The market does not always move as we expect, but your continuous support—especially your honest feedback—has helped me improve and stay committed to this work.
I wish all of you a successful, disciplined, and profitable year ahead in 2026.
1. Momentum
Daily (D1)
Daily momentum is currently declining. Including today’s candle, we can count approximately three consecutive bearish D1 candles. This suggests that D1 momentum is approaching the oversold zone, with a high probability of 1–2 more bearish daily candles before momentum reaches oversold and a reaction bounce appears.
H4
H4 momentum remains bearish but is starting to compress. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close for confirmation. There is still a high probability that price will continue lower to push H4 momentum into the oversold zone.
H1
H1 momentum is preparing to turn bearish again, indicating that the short-term downside move is likely to continue.
2. Elliott Wave Structure
Daily Structure (D1)
On the Daily timeframe, price is still moving within purple wave Y of the Flat W–X–Y corrective structure.
The current decline has already lasted around three D1 candles. Combined with D1 momentum approaching oversold, I expect this decline to extend for another 1–2 daily candles, followed by a corrective rebound driven by D1 momentum.
The target zone for the completion of wave Y remains unchanged.
H4 Structure
On H4, price corrections are relatively shallow and the market is showing signs of continuation to the downside. Therefore, the primary scenario remains a 5-wave bearish structure.
We will monitor whether H4 momentum moves into oversold or shows a clear reversal signal to confirm this count.
H1 Structure
On H1, the current decline is labeled as a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5).
H1 momentum has turned bearish again, while price has created a liquidity zone with a key boundary at 4372. As long as price remains below 4372, I expect the decline to continue toward 4266, which is the projected completion level of wave 5.
In addition, there is a major liquidity support zone between 4317 – 4348 below current price. A daily or H1 close below 4317 would further strengthen the bearish wave count.
3. Primary Trading Scenario
Once the decline completes near 4266, this area is expected to mark the completion of red wave 5. From this zone, we can look for buy opportunities, as it also aligns with a major high-to-low liquidity boundary.
4. Important Risk Note
Although H4 momentum is currently compressing and still requires confirmation, this is an early warning signal.
If an H4 candle closes bullish and confirms a momentum reversal, the current upward move would likely form a 3-wave corrective structure, which would invalidate the red 1–2–3–4–5 bearish count.
In that case, the entire decline could be either a 3-wave or 5-wave structure on a higher timeframe, and I will update the wave count accordingly once confirmation appears.
5. Trading Plan (Reference)
Buy Zone: 4227 – 4225
Stop Loss: 4207
TP1: 4317
TP2: 4372
TP3: 4471
ES Maintains Bullish Structure, Eyeing Further UpsideThe S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES) continues to advance, breaking into new all-time highs and confirming that the prevailing trend remains firmly bullish. The structure reflects an incomplete bullish sequence originating from the November 21, 2025 low, which provides the foundation for the current upward trajectory. From that low, the rally is unfolding as a five-wave diagonal, a formation consistent with Elliott Wave principles and often observed in strong trending markets.
Wave ((i)) concluded at 6975.25, marking the first leg of the diagonal. The subsequent pullback in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag corrective structure. Within this correction, wave (a) ended at 6817.5, followed by a rally in wave (b) that terminated at 6882.50. The final leg of the correction, wave (c), declined to 6771.75, thereby completing wave ((ii)) at a higher degree. This established a pivotal low that continues to serve as a critical reference point for the ongoing advance.
The index then resumed its ascent in wave ((iii)). From the completion of wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 6872, while wave (ii) pulled back modestly to 6857.5. Wave (iii) extended higher to 6990, followed by a brief consolidation in wave (iv) at 6974. The final push in wave (v) carried prices to 6994, completing wave ((iii)) at a higher degree. A corrective pullback in wave ((iv)) then ended at 6936, setting the stage for renewed strength.
In the near term, as long as the pivot at 6771.75 remains intact, pullbacks are expected to find support within the 3, 7, or 11 swing sequence. The potential upside target can be projected using external retracement levels of wave ((iv)). The 1.236% to 161.8% external retracement zone suggests a range between 7007 and 7029. This measured extension underscores the likelihood of further gains, provided corrective phases remain orderly and contained.
Silver’s 2025 Explosion — How High Can It Go?In 2025, Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) has experienced a remarkable surge, making it one of the most notable assets of the year. As we approach the end of 2025, I’ve decided to analyze silver to see how far its bullish trend might continue. So, stay with me as we delve into the reasons behind silver’s rise and explore how far this upward momentum could go.
Let’s begin by looking at the fundamental factors driving silver’s increase in 2025. After that, we’ll move on to the technical analysis.
Fundamental Drivers Behind Silver’s Massive 2025 Rally:
Structural Supply Deficit — Multi‑year deficits draining inventories, tight physical market.
Strong Industrial Demand — Solar, EVs, semiconductors & data centers consuming silver at record levels.
Rate Cut Expectations — Anticipated Fed easing lifts non‑yielding assets like silver.
Safe‑Haven Flows — Geopolitical risk, inflation, and a softer dollar boosting precious metals demand.
Liquidity & Momentum — Smaller market vs gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) amplifies swings, attracting speculators.
Silver has surged ~ 150–165% YTD , setting fresh all‑time highs as both an industrial metal and investment hedge.
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Technical Analysis:
Now, considering the technical side, with less than five days remaining before the six-month and one-year candles close, I’ll focus on a higher time frame for silver’s analysis. Recently, silver achieved a new all-time high, capturing widespread attention, and many prominent figures are now discussing silver’s potential.
From a classic technical analysis perspective on the six-month time frame, it appears that silver has formed a bullish continuation pattern, specifically a cup and handle pattern, and the recent six-month candle has broken the neckline/resistance zone($50-$34) with strong volume. This suggests that the bullish trend for silver is likely to continue.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that silver is completing wave 3, potentially within an ascending channel and a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect that silver, upon entering this Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , will undergo a correction. If you’re considering adding silver to your portfolio, it’s wise to wait for that correction, as buying at all-time highs can be riskier due to the strong upward momentum.
What do you think? How far can silver’s bullish trend extend, and what levels might we see in 2026?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Silver/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (XAGUSD), 6-month time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 7010.Colleagues, I expect the upward movement in the medium-term wave “1” to continue.
The minor wave “3” should still be developing, and I expect a repeat update of the high of the higher-order wave “3” (6929.4).
I consider the 7010 area to be the nearest target. If we calculate using Fibonacci expansion, the target is higher, but I always play it safe and take the nearest targets.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD DAY CANDLE TAKING SUPPORT🟡 XAUUSD – Long Idea (Educational)
Price is reacting from Daily timeframe support, indicating potential bullish continuation if structure holds.
Entry on M15
📈 Buy: 4347
🎯 Target: 4422
🛑 Stop Loss: 4328
⚠️ Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
📊 Always use proper risk management.
PENDLE Technical Outlook (Long-Term)The global OKX:PENDLEUSDT chart continues to respect a well-defined channel.
📌 Current price action is located near the lower boundary of the channel, a region that historically preceded medium- to long-term upward impulses.
🔹 Conservative technical target:
• Upper channel zone near $6.50
• Potential upside: +240–250%
• Implied market cap: $900M–$1B (from ~$300M currently)
🔹 Extended bullish scenarios:
If momentum accelerates and broader market conditions improve, higher targets such as $14 or even $214 could come into play — though these would require a different macro environment.
❓ Do you consider CRYPTOCAP:PENDLE fairly valued at current levels, or still structurally undervalued?
______________
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
Going Long On Gold (XAUUSD)I’m going long on Gold. Yesterday’s session was a strongly bearish move, with price dropping 2,000 pips from the time the new daily candle opened until it closed.
Today, price is attempting a recovery, but it has not even retraced 40% of that entire bearish move yet. Based on intraday support and resistance, as well as the higher highs forming within today’s price action, I’m anticipating a continuation to the upside rather than another deep sell-off.
Risk-to-reward is 1:3.7, targeting 370 pips.
Let’s see how it plays out.
GBPUSD H1 AnalysisGBPUSD H1 Analysis – Liquidity Build-Up Below Weak High
GBPUSD is currently trading in a compressed intraday range after a strong bullish impulse earlier in the week. Price action suggests the market is building liquidity below a weak high, a structure that often precedes a corrective move rather than immediate continuation.
Market Structure & Price Action
On the H1 timeframe, GBPUSD shifted from a clean bullish trend into sideways consolidation. Multiple equal highs (EQH) have formed near the top of the range, while upside attempts remain shallow and overlapping. This behavior signals buyer exhaustion rather than strength.
The previous bullish BOS remains intact, but the lack of expansion above the highs indicates that smart money may be distributing positions rather than adding longs.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Major Resistance (Weak High): 1.3535 – 1.3550
Liquidity resting above equal highs. Vulnerable to a stop-run.
Intraday Resistance: 1.3510 – 1.3520
Short-term reaction zone inside the range.
Key Support Zone: 1.3455 – 1.3465
Previous demand and structure support.
Deeper Support / Target: 1.3360 – 1.3380
Strong low and higher-timeframe demand area.
Fibonacci & Technical Context
The consolidation sits within the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the most recent bullish leg, a classic distribution zone where price often pauses before continuing lower.
EMA structure has flattened, reflecting loss of bullish momentum, while RSI remains capped below the upper range, confirming that upside pressure is weakening.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Liquidity Sweep then Bearish Continuation (Preferred)
Possible stop-run above 1.3535–1.3550
Look for bearish confirmation on lower timeframes
Targets:
1.3460
1.3380
Extension toward 1.3360 if momentum accelerates
Scenario 2 – Direct Breakdown
Failure to sweep highs followed by a clean break below 1.3460
Confirms bearish continuation without deeper upside liquidity
Conclusion
GBPUSD is trading in a distribution range below a weak high, with structure favoring a liquidity-driven pullback rather than immediate bullish continuation. Until price shows a decisive break and hold above resistance, the intraday bias remains cautiously bearish.
Save this analysis if it aligns with your view, and follow for more structured market insights and intraday trade planning.
USD/JPY | Corrective Structure in Focus USD/JPY is approaching a sensitive inflection point as US yields drift lower and attention increasingly shifts toward potential Japanese policy normalisation.
Technical Lens:
After an extended advance, price action suggests USD/JPY may be completing a broader corrective structure. The current formation aligns with a potential Elliott Wave triangle, where momentum has begun to flatten rather than accelerate. This favours consolidation or a deeper pullback rather than immediate trend continuation
Scenarios:
If current resistance caps price → the structure supports a corrective move lower, consistent with a final triangle wave resolution.
If price sustains a clean break higher → the broader uptrend remains intact, delaying the corrective phase rather than negating it.
Catalysts:
Japanese wage growth data
Inflation persistence in Japan
BOJ communication around further policy normalisation
Direction of US yields
Takeaway:
USD/JPY remains in a broader uptrend, but near-term asymmetry favours correction over continuation as momentum flattens and macro sensitivity increases.






















