Get started

Wave Analysis

Gold 1H – Will 4242 Displace or 4170 Unlock the Next Leg?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (04/12) 📈 Market Context Gold squeezes into engineered liquidity as Donald Trump signals policy authorization for ultra-compact car production in the U.S., adding risk-on volatility to USD narratives. Markets may front-run sentiment shifts into commodities like gold. Expect fast bilateral sweeps before institutions reveal intent. On H1, structure toggles between premium supply at 4242–4244 and discount demand at 4170–4168. The next directional leg requires MSS + BOS + displacement confluence. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes Liquidity Zones & Key Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Bias invalidation only via structure break + displacement validation. Expected Sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 Rules: ✔ Zone tap 4243 → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15) ✔ Clean bearish BOS down + candle displacement ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement Targets: 1. 4200 – 4190 2. 4182 – 4176 3. 4170 – 4168 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up ✔ Displacement candle away from discount ✔ Wick rejection into FVG fill / OB retest confirm Targets: 1. 4186 2. 4210 3. 4242+ ⚠️ Risk Notes • Both sweeps = traps until BOS + Displacement confirms intent • No averaging inside compression • SL = structural invalidation only • Reduce size during headline-driven spikes 📍 Summary Two institutional paths today: • 4243 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4170 or • 4169 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into 4242+ Trade the structure. Let price narrate the intent. Patience = edge. 🚀 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
36
$UPS — Monthly Structure Still Following the Wyckoff Spring SetuNYSE:UPS continues to respect the spring + test structure on the monthly chart. We broke out of the long descending “creek” and the retest zone around $92–$95 is still holding. This area is the key spring test. Losing it would invalidate the setup. As long as price holds above this zone, the roadmap doesn’t change: • First major target: ~$109-$120 • Mid-range pullback likely before continuation Monthly charts take time, but the structure is still intact and progressing exactly as expected.
NYSE:UPSLong
by Cockpitrader
BTCUSD – 30M Distribution Retest | Bearish Continuation SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is currently oscillating inside a tight consolidation after a strong recovery rally. Failure to break and hold above 94,234 would open room for a corrective move toward resting liquidity below 89,055 and 86,150. A deeper sweep into 83,900 remains possible if momentum weakens further. Key Scenarios 📈 Bullish Case – Break & Hold Above 94,234 🎯 Targets → 95,500 / 96,800+ Invalid if price closes back inside the range. 📉 Bearish Continuation – Preferred Swing Scenario Rejects 94,234 & falls below range mid-line: 🎯 Target 1 → 89,055 🎯 Target 2 → 86,150 🎯 Extended Target → 83,900 liquidity pocket Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴 94,234 Support 🟢 89,055 Break below → 86,150 → 83,900 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational market analysis, not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
BTC/USD – 30m | Range Break + Retest → Bearish Continuation SetuBITSTAMP:BTCUSD As long as price remains below 93.927, bearish pressure holds weight. A clean rejection from this zone may push price toward deeper support as liquidity sits lower near 90.952, with an extended downside target if momentum accelerates. Key Scenarios 📉 Bearish Continuation Setup (Primary Bias) Rejection below 93.90–93.20 → 🎯 Target 1: 90.952 🎯 Target 2 (Final Target): ≈ 83.858 📈 Bullish Invalidation Sustained break & close above 93.927 shifts sentiment bullish again. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 93.927 Support 🟢: 90.952 → 83.858 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
Gold completes its corrective phase and heads toward $4,250OANDA:XAUUSD is moving within a remarkably well-structured ascending channel, and the overall market structure clearly highlights the strength of the buying momentum. Each swing produces higher highs and higher lows, confirming that the bullish dynamic remains intact despite a few natural pauses along the way. The recent pullback looks more like a healthy technical breather than a sign of weakness, often the kind of pause that sets the stage for a new upward acceleration. The price is now approaching a key support zone, where the lower boundary of the channel aligns with a previously proven demand area. If the market reacts here, buyers could find a highly favorable re-entry opportunity that aligns perfectly with both the channel structure and the logic of the current trend. In that scenario, the natural upside target is around 4,250 dollars, a level that combines the channel’s midline with a historical resistance, giving even more weight to this objective. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the support zone and the ascending trendline. A decisive break below these levels would redefine the market context and open the door to a deeper correction, but for now, market conditions continue to favor long positions. Stay disciplined in your market reading, validate your setups carefully, and protect your capital with strict risk management. Good luck.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
7
GBP/USD – 30m | Bullish Structure Trend ContinuationFPMARKETS:GBPUSD Price broke from a ranging market into a sharp impulsive rally, indicating increased buyer aggression. Continuation waves have developed along a supportive trendline, suggesting buyers remain in control despite corrective downside movement. A valid retracement reaction from the entry zone will confirm bullish continuation toward previous inefficiency and high-volume price areas. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Continuation 🚀 If price stabilizes above the entry zone: 🎯 Target → 1.33854 (final target shown on chart) 🔄 Structure remains valid while price respects trendline ❌ Bearish Invalidity Level Break and strong close below: 1.32727 = bullish structure collapses Below here, deeper retracement may follow toward 1.31817 Current Levels Resistance 🔴: 1.3385 (target area) Support 🟢: 1.3273 — key trend defense Secondary Support 🟢: 1.3181 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational insight only — not financial advice.
Long
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
Gold Awakens: Sharp Pullback but Outlook Remains BrightFrom a technical perspective, gold is currently moving within a parallel ascending channel, showing a clear bullish momentum with a rhythm that is hard to ignore. The price recently bounced away from the resistance area, indicating a typical overbought reaction. At the moment, the market is approaching the lower boundary of this projected channel, an area considered important. The convergence of several technical support levels in this zone is likely to attract renewed buying interest. I expect the price to rebound toward the 4,250 area, which aligns with the mid-channel region. The bullish momentum may not appear immediately. The situation could develop into a consolidation phase, a false decline, or even a sudden acceleration.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Helene_Aurelia
5
XAUUSD: A new rise is possible after the pullbackXAUUSD has climbed strongly along a steep uptrend, and based on what I’m seeing on the chart, I expect the price to continue pushing toward the 4,265 area. This zone could become a decision point where the price either finds support and bounces higher or breaks below and allows the move to extend deeper. If I had to choose a direction right now, I’d lean toward more upside. But price action will always decide what comes next because the chart always speaks last. When the price breaks below the trendline with real conviction, the bullish scenario loses validity. That could signal a pause in the uptrend or even a short-term reversal. This is not financial advice, only my personal thoughts based on what I see on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Helene_Aurelia
2
BTC | 4HCRYPTOCAP:BTC — Quantum Model Projection 4H Zoom-In | Trend Reversal Following the prior updates projecting a potential reversal, BTC appears to be forming a Leading Diagonal, likely in the Minor Wave 1 position. If this bullish pattern completes, it would strengthen the case for the uptrend resuming through the Primary degree advance in Wave ⓹. From my perspective, BTC may be in the initiating stage of Primary Wave ⓹ within the 2nd Cycle (the fifth wave of Wave III Uptrend). 🔖 My monthly analysis is now pinned on my profile on X. #TrendAnalysis #WaveAnalysis #MarketStructure #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoMarket #Blockchain #DigitalAssets #TechnicalAnalysis #ElliottWave #ChartAnalysis #ElliottWaveTheory #Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD #BTCChart #BTCAnalysis #BitcoinPrice #BTCPrice #TradingView
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ElliottChart
USDJPY 1H – Pullback To Sell Continuation SetupFX:USDJPY Price continues to respect the descending structure, rejecting key levels and forming two clear range blocks before continuation lower. A bullish pullback is visible, but unless price reclaims 156.13+, it remains a corrective move inside the downtrend. A rejection from 155.90 – 156.13 can trigger the next continuation leg toward the demand block below. Main downside liquidity sits near 154.60 – 154.80, which aligns with trend structure support. 🔻 Bearish Scenario 📍 Sell Zone: 155.90 – 156.13 🎯 Target: 154.60 – 154.80 ❌ Invalidation: Break & close above 156.70 🔼 Bullish Breakout If Invalidated Close above 156.70 opens road toward 156.80 → 157.80+ liquidity ⚠️ Educational analysis only — not financial advice.
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
USDCAD Bearish Extension ModelIt finally looks like price has completed its correction on the daily chart. After Fridays hawkish U.S. data and stronger than expected Canadian data, we saw a sharp sell off to close the week. Going into next week, I am expecting price to form a retracement and retest broken structure. We may see price revisit last weeks highs or lows before continuing its move to the downside. I will be looking to capitalize on another bearish position, but only when the conditions are right. Patience will be key here.
Short
by TheTradingRegimen
1205 XAUUSD 4-Hour Chart Trading Plan for EU/US SessionsHello traders, 1. Harmonic Pattern Identification (Left 4-hour Chart) This is a bullish Butterfly Pattern, confirmed by the following key ratios: - AB leg: Retraced ~0.78 of the XA leg (aligns with the typical 0.786 retracement for Butterfly patterns). - BC leg: Retraced ~0.845 of the AB leg (close to the standard 0.886 retracement for this pattern). - CD leg: Extended ~1.333 of the BC leg (falls within the 1.27–1.618 extension range required for a valid Butterfly setup). 2. Trading Plan (US/EU Session, Dec 5) Primary (Bullish) Strategy - Entry: Buy in the 4,200–4,210 zone (near EMA support/short-term consolidation). - Stop Loss: Below 4,180 (breaks recent rebound low + daily Doji support). - Targets: 1. First: 4,245 (daily resistance ). 2. Second: 4,265 (4-hour chart’s marked Butterfly TP2 resistance). 3. Risk Note Today is Friday + pre-Fed meeting (Dec 9–10) → volatility may rise. Use strict stop-losses (15–20 pips) and avoid over-leveraging. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold: Wave Y Still In Progress — One More Impulse ExpectedGold continues to unfold a complex corrective structure after the previous peak. On the 4H chart, Wave Y appears to be forming as a 5-3-5 zigzag: 📌 Wave A — clear impulsive structure upward 📌 Wave B — corrective consolidation 📌 Wave C — currently developing higher → Expecting another impulsive leg to complete Wave Y 🔎 Technical Highlights Wave Y is incomplete A higher high is expected to finish the pattern Price is respecting a channel structure The current sideways move likely represents a pause before final Wave C rally 🎯 Target Zone Bullish continuation is anticipated toward W=Y level: Projected Completion Zone: 📍 4,345 – 4,375 This level is where profit-taking or countertrend setups may become attractive. 🧭 Trading Plan (Concept) 🟩 Bullish bias while price holds the channel support 📌 Look for Wave (iv) corrections to complete 📌 Buy dips with Wave (v) upside target at channel top 🟥 Reversal risk begins in the 4,350+ area 📌 Watch for RSI bearish divergence 📌 Look for impulsive breakdown under channel support 🧠 Bigger Picture This entire structure remains a correction within the larger trend. Once Wave Y completes, a major downside correction is expected at higher timeframe — but not yet. 🔔 Invalidation If price breaks down below: 📉 4,160 → This would suggest Wave C already completed and the market has turned early. 📌 This is a wave structure outlook — not financial advice.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MrLiquidonFX
EURJPY DAILY ✅ EUR/JPY – Market Cycle Position Conclusion: 📌 EUR/JPY is in the late stage of a Distribution Phase, transitioning toward the early Markdown Phase. This conclusion is based on multiple signals visible on your chart: 🔍 Why This Is a Distribution → Markdown Transition? 1. Price has reached major Fibonacci & structural resistance The chart shows: Price touching the 0.75–1.0 Fibonacci zone, historically a turning area. Strong resistance around 179–181, which has repeatedly rejected upside. This is classic distribution territory. 2. Loss of bullish momentum On the chart: The rising trendline is being tested and partially violated. Candles show lower highs forming, indicating exhaustion. histogram visually shows reduced bullish expansion. This signal often appears right before a markdown begins. 3. projection box matches a distribution topping pattern red scenario path matches: UTAD-like behavior (Upthrust After Distribution) Sharp drop into the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zones The drawn path is consistent with a Wyckoff Distribution to Markdown. 4. Market structure shows break-of-structure attempts The chart indicates: A local BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside. Followed by weak bullish pullbacks (LPSY behavior). This is typical behavior during the transition to markdown. 📉 Where this places the market cycle: ✔ Accumulation – Already completed. The long move from ~155 to 180 shows a strong accumulation → markup trend. ✔ Markup – In its final stage. The trend is extended and overbought. 🔶 Distribution (Current Phase) You can clearly see: Sideways compression at the top Lower highs Trendline weakening Reaction to major fib levels 🔻 Next: Markdown Phase (probable) Your projection to ~168–170 aligns with markdown retracement targets. 🎯 Summary EUR/JPY is currently in the LATE DISTRIBUTION phase and is preparing for MARKDOWN.
Long
by WallStreetVeteran
1
GOLD Best Buy and Sell area ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) At the beginning *Inverse Head & Shoulders* pattern, alongside an **ABC corrective wave** upwards, with clear Fibonacci retracements and volume profile zones. Let’s break down the analysis into six key points: --- # ✅ **1) Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern** * We have a clear **Left Shoulder**, **Head**, and **Right Shoulder** formation. * The **neckline has been broken**, signalling a strong bullish reversal. * Typically, the target is measured from the head to the neckline, which aligns roughly with **Target 1 at 4217** on the chart. --- # ✅ **2) Elliott Wave Analysis** The chart outlines an **A → B → C upward corrective wave**: ### Wave A An initial impulsive move upward, indicating a trend change. ### Wave B A retracement to the 0.618 – 0.705 Fibonacci levels, which is very typical for gold. ### Wave C Expected to reach the labelled targets: * **C ≈ A** at about 4217 * **1.272 – 1.618 of A** around 4236 to 4248 This alignment supports the target levels shown. --- # ✅ **3) SMC Zones (Smart Money Concepts) ** We can see three key elements: ### **🔵 Demand Zone** Around **4202 – 4195** The price has bounced strongly from this area, indicating: * Liquidity absorption * Entry of large buyers * This zone acts as a strong **order block (OB)** ### **🔴 Liquidity Pools Above** At the target levels (4217, 4236, 4248), we see likely stop hunts. The price tends to gravitate there to trigger stops and fill orders. --- # ✅ **4) Volume Profile (VPVR) Analysis** The chart shows: ### ✔ Point of Control (POC) around: **4208 – 4210** Currently, the price is trading above the POC, suggesting that: 🔹 Buyers are in control 🔹 Any dips to this zone are likely just retests rather than trend reversals --- # ✅ **5) Expected Scenario** ## 🔵 Main Scenario (Bullish) As long as the price stays above **4202 – 4208**, gold is expected to target: ### 🎯 **TARGET 1 → 4217** (The first liquidity level) ### 🎯 **TARGET 2 → 4236** (Approx. 100% extension of wave C) ### 🎯 **TARGET 3 → 4248** (The final target of the C wave) --- # ✅ **6) Alternative Scenario (Bearish Failure) ** Only if the price breaks: ❌ **Below 4195** ❌ And closes below it on the 15-minute chart In that case, we might see a decline towards: **4164 – 4151** (the 1.618 and 2.00 Fibonacci extensions downward) --- # 📌 **Conclusion** Overall, the analysis suggests: ### ✔ Short-term trend: **Bullish** ### ✔ Buy zone: **4195 – 4205** ### ✔ Stop loss: **Below 4192** ### ✔ Targets: 4217, 4236, 4248 The price action, wave structure, and volume profile all support this bullish scenario. FX:XAUUSD ---
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MRokaM
Gold - The bullrun top happens now!✂️Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is heading for a major reversal: 🔎Analysis summary: After the all time high breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +115% until today. During this entire move, Gold did not create any real correction. Considering that Gold is currently retesting a major resistance trendline, the bullrun top happens now. 📝Levels to watch: $4,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
40
Apple - This stock will collapse!🥊Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is reversing right now: 🔎Analysis summary: Starting back five years ago, Apple established a major rising channel pattern. Following this channel, Apple recently created a textbook +40% move higher. But with the current retest of resistance, we will certainly see another pullback of -30% in the near future. 📝Levels to watch: $250 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
14
Aptos Wave Analysis – 5 December 2025 - Aptos testing major support at 1.688 - Likely to fall to support level 1.5000 Aptos cryptocurrency has been falling strongly in the last few trading sessions inside the minor impulse wave B from the end of October. The active wave B belongs to the medium-term ABC correction (B) from the start of October. The price is currently testing the major support at 1.688 (monthly low from October) – the breakout of which can lead to further losses toward 1.5000.
FXPRO:APTUSDShort
by FxPro