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USDT DOMINANCE ANALYSIS (2D)Hello. I'd like to share my ideas about USDT Dominance today. When I start to analyze a chart, the first thing I do is look at past events and patterns. As I can see, around August 2025, USDT completed its double zig-zag corrective move. Now we're seeing that the entire market is bleeding, and of course this parameter is also moving in the opposite direction of the market. Due to its nature, it's easy to analyze the entire market by looking at this parameter alone. We realize that after the first change of character around the market, this parameter began forming a five-wave impulsive movement. October 10th also confirms this idea in a way. As anyone who knows about Elliott Theory understands, there are many possibilities when a sudden crash appears in the market. That's the reason why I waited patiently to update my thoughts on this chart. At the moment, I'm almost sure that what we're seeing here is another five-wave impulsive upward pattern. The good news is that we are about to see this bleeding in the market come to an end. The reason is simple: volume. As you can examine on the chart, volume has been decreasing for days now. Even if it's not the end of wave 5 yet, we are going to see this parameter drop significantly in the coming weeks — possibly with an A-B-C zig-zag or a double zig-zag pattern. The orange line on the chart represents an ascending channel. When it breaks, it will also confirm a change of character in the entire market. What I expect is that when this happens, we’ll most likely see a drop of around -20% in this parameter. This will allow the market to recover from its ashes once more. Thanks for reading.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by vs_sayin
3
EURUSD: This Move Wasn’t Accidental…EURUSD MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H 1. Current Price Structure - EURUSD has completed a full parabolic rounded bottom formation, pushing price back into the upper boundary of the ascending channel. - After touching the resistance zone (1.16800), price sharply rejected and transitioned into a descending channel, signaling a shift from bullish continuation to correction. - The recent rally lost momentum, and price is now moving inside a bearish correction channel, confirming that buyers are weakening. - The circled area shows a failed breakout attempt, followed by strong re-entry inside the bearish channel → classic distribution signal. 2. Liquidity Zones Resistance Liquidity (1.16800): Price tapped this level multiple times and got rejected aggressively → liquidity above remains intact, suggesting the market is not ready for a breakout. Support Liquidity (1.15900): The support zone below holds significant liquidity — multiple previous wicks show repeated absorption by buyers. Current structure indicates Smart money is distributing near resistance and collecting liquidity for a deeper move toward support. 3. Today’s Market Scenario 🔻 Main Scenario – Bearish Correction Toward Support The price is expected to continue moving inside the descending channel: Multiple lower highs forming at the top of the channel. Price likely oscillates sideways with bearish bias, forming repeated LH–LL structures. Final target of this correction: 1.15900 (support zone). This aligns perfectly with the red path drawn on your chart: - Zig-zag correction - Progressive decline - Reaching support zone for liquidity sweep. Unless the resistance zone is broken convincingly, bearish continuation remains the highest-probability scenario. 4. Market Psychology The chart reflects a classic sentiment shift: - Before reaching resistance, traders were optimistic due to the strong bullish rally (rounded bottom). But the sharp rejection at resistance created psychological distribution, where: -Early buyers take profits -Late buyers get trapped - Smart money sells into retail optimism The descending channel represents controlled selling pressure, not panic — this is strategic distribution. Price will typically move slowly downward, trapping breakout traders until deeper liquidity at support is reached. This is textbook smart-money behavior: Euphoria → Distribution → Controlled Decline → Liquidity Sweep. 5. Intraday Strategy 🔻 Short Bias (High Probability) Trade with the correction channel. Entry: Short at the upper boundary of the descending channel (1.16500 – 1.16600). SL: Above mini-swing high or above channel top (≈ 1.16750). TP1: 1.16250 TP2: 1.16050 TP3: 1.15900 (major support zone) 🔹 Conservative Strategy Wait for price to retest 1.16500 and show rejection before shorting. 🔸 Long Setup (Low Probability) Only consider long if: Price breaks the descending channel AND Retests above 1.16650 with strong bullish confirmation. Target if breakout occurs: 1.16800 – 1.17000.
Short
by RexTraderSignal
7
1012 GOLD a new chance for mid-term buyersHello traders, Gold Entry Opportunities Analysis (Harmonic Pattern + Fundamentals) 1. Key Harmonic Pattern Structure Verification - Proportions: - XA wave (Uptrend): Magnitude of 1.359; - AB wave (Pullback): Retraces 0.794 of XA (aligns with the Bat Pattern’s AB = 0.618-0.786 of XA); - BC wave (Rebound): Extends 1.102 of AB (aligns with the Bat Pattern’s BC = 1.13-1.618 of AB); - CD wave (Decline): Currently retraces 0.904 of BC (close to the Bat Pattern’s CD = 0.886-1.13 of BC). The pattern is nearly complete. The target support for the CD wave corresponds to the 4170-4175 zone (overlapping with prior technical support). 2. Long Entry Opportunity (High-Level Consolidation + Breakout Bias) Gold is currently in a high-level consolidation phase (trading within a tight range after recent gains). Entering long at the 4170-4175 support zone not only targets the short-term rebound (to 4220), but also positions for a medium-to-long-term breakout: - Entry Conditions: Price stabilizes in the 4170-4175 zone (confirmed by bullish candlestick patterns, e.g., hammer/engulfing) + RSI (current 45.13) rebounds above 50. - Stop Loss: Below 4163 (the starting point of the XA wave, a critical prior support level). - Targets: 1st target: 4220 (the high of the BC wave); 2nd target: 4250+ (driven by the Fed rate cut narrative). 3. Fundamental Resonance Current Fed rate cut expectations + the “dual buffer” from potential BOJ tightening limit deep short-term declines in gold. The harmonic support zone (4170-4175) coincides with the fundamental “pullback buying zone,” making it a high risk-reward long entry level. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FUNTRADER-Vera
USDJPY 📊 USDJPY – MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS 🔶 D1 (yellow trendline) Price remains above the main trendline → overall trend is still bullish. 🔷 H4 (blue waves) Clear wave structure: We are currently in a wave 4 correction, preparing for the next impulse into wave 5. 🔴 H1 (red – ABC) Technical correction in progress: Waves A and B completed Price is now looking to finish wave C 🟡 KEY SUPPORT: 151.95 Critical level: Previous resistance turned into support Confluence with H4 correction and C-wave projection ✅ If price reacts at this level → High probability of the start of wave 5 toward new highs. ⚠️ If support breaks strongly → Correction may extend toward the lower daily trendline area. 🎯 Summary: Trend remains bullish, market is in correction. Price may be preparing for the next bullish leg from support.
Short
by VenumPT
Monthly Metals Analysis: Gold (XAUUSD), Issue 211 The analyst expects XAGUSD’s price to rise by the specified end time, based on quantitative analysis. The take-profit level only indicates the potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a prediction that price will reach it. You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely. Allocating just a portion of your funds keeps overall risk minimal. Our approach follows institutional portfolio principles — not the all-in or blow-up trading style often seen on social media. Results are measured over the full time window, regardless of whether the take-profit level is hit. The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 06 Jan 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days). Next analysis : Monthly Forex Analysis: GBP/USD – Issue 213
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by MoonriseTA
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for December 10thGold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4260, Support: 4133 4-Hour Resistance: 4241, Support: 4170 1-Hour Resistance: 4220, Support: 4190 The Federal Reserve is about to announce its interest rate decision, with the market widely expecting a 25 basis point rate cut. The focus of this meeting is whether the Fed will release a "hawkish" signal regarding rate cuts. We need to closely monitor the decision statement, economic forecasts, and Powell's speech to assess the policy path in the first half of 2026. In the short term, gold still faces selling pressure at higher levels. The daily candlestick chart showed a downward trend starting in the European session, further confirming the recent lack of strong continuity in both bullish and bearish movements. Pay attention to the reaction around the trendline support level of 4160. The widening Bollinger Bands provide some support for short-term upward movement. Looking at the 1-hour chart, the price is trending downwards with consecutive declines in the candlestick chart. The moving averages are crossing downwards. Watch for support around 4190, the low of the previous US session. A break below this level could lead to a further test of 4160 in the short term. Trading Strategy: BUY: 4170~4160 SELL: 4260 (near) More Analysis →
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
Nikkei Short: Completed Triple Combination (Again)In this video, I discussed the mistake in the previous video, and updated the counts for Wave Z to show the 5-waves structure together with Fibonacci extension. I explained how 1.618x of wave 1 is actually the minimum extension required in order for wave 5 of Z to make a new high. The stop loss for this idea is above wave Z high and the TP shown is really just a place where we will review the idea. I expect Nikkei to fall to April's low. Good luck!
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by yuchaosng
BTC | 4HCRYPTOCAP:BTC — Quantum Model Projection 4H Zoom-In | Confirming Reversal Structure As outlined in prior analyses, IG:BITCOIN surged 5.6% directly from the confluence of the support equivalence lines, confirming the development of a Leading Diagonal in the Minor Wave 1 position as the active reversal structure. Price action has stabilized cleanly along these equivalence lines, which continue to function as dynamic structural support. Internal wave proportions remain precise with no rule violations, keeping the reversal framework fully intact and technically validated. The reversal thesis remains favoured, with the Leading Diagonal still the most probable early-wave formation—an origin phase of the Primary degree uptrend. The projected near-term Q-Target of $96,111.11 🎯 remains unchallenged, marking the extreme point at which the diagonal structure would likely reach completion. A move into this level would significantly strengthen the probability of BTC transitioning into the impulsive extension phase of the Primary Wave ⓹, offering strong confirmation of the broader uptrend’s continuation. Notably, from my perspective, BTC may be in the initiating stage of Primary Wave ⓹ within the 2nd Cycle (the fifth wave of Wave III). 🔖 My monthly analysis is now pinned on my profile. 🔖 This potential reversal has been projected since Nov. 15 during the BTC decline. 🔖 This outlook is based on insights from my Quantum Models framework. Within this methodology, Q-targets are defined as high-probability possibilities generated by the confluence of equivalence lines. These equivalence lines also act as structural anchors, shaping the internal geometry of the model and guiding the evolution of alternative paths as price action progresses.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ElliottChart
Domestic Market vs Global Market1. Meaning of Domestic Market The domestic market, also known as the internal market or home market, refers to the economic environment within a specific country. All transactions—production, distribution, marketing, buying, and selling—take place inside national borders. Participants operate under the country’s laws, currency, taxation, and business culture. Key Characteristics of Domestic Markets ** Single Currency:** All trade happens in the nation’s currency (e.g., INR for India). ** Local Regulation:** Businesses follow national laws, taxation, and safety standards. ** Known Consumer Preferences:** Companies understand local culture, tastes, and purchasing power. ** Lower Risk:** No foreign exchange fluctuation, geopolitical uncertainty, or cross-border compliance. ** Easier Market Entry:** Setting up operations, distribution, and marketing is simpler compared to international expansion. Advantages of Domestic Markets Lower cost of operations. Predictable demand patterns. Better regulatory familiarity. Local brand loyalty. Smaller logistical and transportation challenges. Limitations Limited customer base. Growth potential capped by domestic economic conditions. High competition if the market is saturated. Vulnerable to local inflation, interest rate changes, and policy shifts. 2. Meaning of Global Market The global market (or international market) refers to buying and selling across multiple countries worldwide. Companies sell products, raise capital, and source raw materials internationally. Global markets connect nations, businesses, and consumers across borders through trade, investment, and technology. Key Characteristics of Global Markets Multiple Currencies: Trade involves forex markets (USD, EUR, JPY, etc.). Global Consumer Base: Millions of potential customers worldwide. Complex Regulations: Different countries have different laws on product standards, taxes, and business operations. Increased Competition: Competing with international brands and multinational corporations. High Growth Opportunity: Access to huge markets, new segments, and diverse demand. Advantages of Global Markets Unlimited expansion potential. Higher profit margins due to scale. Ability to diversify business risk across countries. Access to cheaper raw materials and skilled labour. Enhanced brand value and global recognition. Limitations Complex logistics and supply chain challenges. Exposure to currency fluctuations. Geopolitical risks (wars, sanctions, trade barriers). Cultural and language barriers. High cost of marketing, compliance, and international operations. 3. Key Differences: Domestic vs Global Market 1. Scale of Operation Domestic: Operates within one country. Global: Operates across several countries or continents. 2. Consumer Base Domestic: Limited to local population. Global: Millions of global customers with different needs and purchasing behaviours. 3. Currency Domestic: One currency. Global: Multiple currencies and exposure to forex volatility. 4. Competition Domestic: Compete with local businesses. Global: Compete with global giants such as Apple, Tesla, Samsung, etc. 5. Regulation Domestic: One set of national laws. Global: Must comply with customs, trade agreements, tariffs, and legal systems of many countries. 6. Risks Domestic: Political instability, inflation, taxation. Global: Geopolitics, supply chain disruptions, currency risk, global recessions. 7. Logistics Domestic: Simple networks within the country. Global: Shipping, customs clearance, warehousing, and international transport. 8. Marketing Strategy Domestic: Fixed strategy based on local culture. Global: Localization required—adapt product names, pricing, packaging, promotions, and language. 4. Why Companies Expand from Domestic to Global Markets Businesses often start in domestic markets to build a stable foundation. Once they achieve brand recognition and financial strength, they expand into global markets for: 1. Growth and Scalability The domestic market may become saturated. Going global allows businesses to tap into new customer segments. 2. Diversification Expanding globally helps protect companies from domestic economic downturns. 3. Cost Efficiency Countries like India, Vietnam, and Bangladesh offer affordable labour and production costs, reducing overall expenses. 4. Competitive Advantage Companies that operate globally often achieve technological, financial, and operational superiority. 5. Resource Access Global markets provide access to: Rare minerals High-end technology Skilled talent Advanced manufacturing hubs 5. Impact on Investors: Domestic vs Global Markets Investors also benefit differently from domestic and global markets. Domestic Investing Less complex. Lower risk. Better understanding of companies and regulations. Global Investing Exposure to fast-growing economies. Diversification across countries. Opportunities to invest in global companies like Apple, Google, or Amazon. However, global investing involves: Currency risk Higher brokerage costs Taxation complexity 6. Impact on the Economy Domestic Market’s Role Creates employment. Strengthens local industries. Helps the government generate tax revenue. Global Market’s Role Boosts exports. Improves foreign exchange reserves. Promotes technological advancement through global competition. Encourages multinational companies (MNCs) to invest locally. A strong global presence can elevate a country’s economic status. 7. Examples for Better Understanding Domestic Market Examples Patanjali selling products primarily within India. Local Kirana stores and regional brands. India-focused stock exchanges like NSE and BSE (though they attract global money indirectly). Global Market Examples Apple selling products worldwide. Tata Motors operating in 100+ countries. Amazon’s global e-commerce network. Reliance exporting petrochemicals to several continents. These comparisons show how companies leverage both markets depending on their goals. 8. Conclusion The domestic market forms the foundation of any business, offering stability, low risk, and predictable demand. It is ideal for startups and companies building brand loyalty. On the other hand, the global market presents massive opportunities for scale, profit, innovation, and diversification—but requires deep resources, compliance capability, and adaptability. In today’s interconnected world, businesses and investors increasingly balance both domestic and global markets. Companies begin locally, refine operations, and gradually expand internationally. Investors diversify across borders to reduce risk and capture global growth. Understanding the distinctions between these two markets helps businesses design better strategies, investors make smarter decisions, and policymakers create more balanced, growth-focused economic policies.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Gold Forming a Double Top Pattern?Last week, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) exhibited sharp movements, both upward and downward, making trading quite challenging. The key question is whether gold will continue its bullish trend. Currently, gold is positioned near a resistance zone($4,231 – $4,215) and is moving close to significant support lines. Last week, gold created a bull trap above the resistance zone($4,231 – $4,215). From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that gold has completed wave 5 with an expanding ending diagonal and is now undergoing a pullback towards the lower line of this pattern. Looking at the classic technical analysis on the 4-hour chart, there’s a potential double top formation, and the momentum from the second top is quite strong, suggesting that gold may break through the support lines and confirm the double top pattern. On the other hand, factors like the DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) and the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ), which are currently bullish, could exert downward pressure on gold. Considering all these points, I expect that gold will break through the support lines and potentially move down to $4,167. Note: If gold breaks through the support zone($4,185 – $4,133), we can expect further declines. First Target: $4,167 Second Target: $4,127 Stop Loss(SL): $4,247(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves ------------------------------------------------ We should also keep in mind that several important US economic indicators will be released this week, which could significantly impact market direction. So be extra cautious with your positions, especially during data releases: JOLTS Job Openings➡️09 December Federal Funds Rate➡️10 December FOMC Statement➡️10 December FOMC Press Conference➡️10 December Unemployment Claims➡️11 December ------------------------------------------------ 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
1
XAUUSD Gold Volume Profile Resistance Trade Plan’m watching Gold (XAUUSD) right now, and we’re starting to see bearish momentum coming in after that recent consolidation phase. 📉🪙 When I apply the volume profile, price has now broken below the Point of Control (POC) — and that level is a major value area where a lot of trading activity has taken place. Once price slips under the POC, it often begins acting as strong resistance. 🧱 If Gold stays below this POC and we get a clean continuation to the downside, I’ll be looking for a potential sell setup. ✔️ However, if price pushes back above the POC and starts holding above that area, then I’ll completely abandon the bearish idea and wait for a new opportunity. ⚠️ Keep it simple — let price action tell the story. Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
2
Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.34683.Colleagues, the upward movement is actively developing, and I see a medium-term upward impulse (12345) developing in the higher wave “1” (red). At this stage, I see: 1) the possibility of a correction in wave “4” in the area of 1.32440, then reaching the resistance area of 1.34683. 2) the extension of wave “3” directly to the area of 1.34683. Such scenarios often occur in impulses. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
1