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$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Dec 11, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Dec 11, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Jobless Claims remain the only real-time labor gauge while other data is still catching up from delays. • Trade Deficit offers macro context but usually has limited intraday impact unless the miss is extreme. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 8 30 AM • Initial Jobless Claims (Dec 6): 223,000 • U.S. Trade Deficit (Sept): -62.0B ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #JoblessClaims #Macro #Trading
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
GBPUSD – Intraday AnalysisGBPUSD – Intraday Analysis Key Levels, Market Structure and Trade Scenarios GBPUSD remains in a corrective phase after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week. Price is currently trading around the EMA cluster on H1, showing signs of weakening momentum as buyers fail to reclaim the short-term structure. The pair continues to oscillate between two major zones: the resistance at 1.3385–1.3400 and the support around 1.3285–1.3300. Market Structure The uptrend leg that originated from the early-December accumulation zone is now losing steam. Price has broken beneath the short-term dynamic support and is hovering around the 200-EMA, which often acts as a neutrality line during consolidation phases. Current structure suggests a potential liquidity sweep toward the lower support before any bullish continuation attempt. Fibonacci & Trendline Behavior The pullback is aligning with the 38.2%–50% retracement zone of the major impulsive move. If buyers defend this region, the market may form a fresh higher low, allowing the trendline to remain valid for another rally attempt. Key Support 1.3285–1.3300: Major intraday demand zone and previous breakout area. 1.3238: Deeper liquidity target if the first support fails. Key Resistance 1.3350–1.3360: Immediate supply where price previously stalled. 1.3385–1.3400: Higher-timeframe resistance and the top of the current consolidation range. Intraday Trading Scenarios Scenario 1: Bullish Reaction from Support If GBPUSD drops into the 1.3285–1.3300 zone and forms a clear rejection candle or RSI divergence, the probability of a rebound increases. Target 1: 1.3350 Target 2: 1.3385–1.3400 This scenario matches the projected upward leg shown on the chart. Scenario 2: Sell-the-Rally Opportunity If the market retests 1.3350–1.3360 but fails to close above these EMAs and horizontal resistance, bearish continuation could resume. Targets include 1.3310 and 1.3290. Scenario 3: Breakout Continuation A confirmed H1 close above 1.3400 may open the path for higher expansion, potentially pulling GBPUSD toward 1.3450. Conclusion GBPUSD is currently in a compression range with neither side in full control. Traders should watch price action closely at 1.3285–1.3300 for potential bullish setups, and at 1.3350–1.3360 for trend-continuation signals.
by Henrybillion
Domestic Market vs Global Market1. Meaning of Domestic Market The domestic market, also known as the internal market or home market, refers to the economic environment within a specific country. All transactions—production, distribution, marketing, buying, and selling—take place inside national borders. Participants operate under the country’s laws, currency, taxation, and business culture. Key Characteristics of Domestic Markets ** Single Currency:** All trade happens in the nation’s currency (e.g., INR for India). ** Local Regulation:** Businesses follow national laws, taxation, and safety standards. ** Known Consumer Preferences:** Companies understand local culture, tastes, and purchasing power. ** Lower Risk:** No foreign exchange fluctuation, geopolitical uncertainty, or cross-border compliance. ** Easier Market Entry:** Setting up operations, distribution, and marketing is simpler compared to international expansion. Advantages of Domestic Markets Lower cost of operations. Predictable demand patterns. Better regulatory familiarity. Local brand loyalty. Smaller logistical and transportation challenges. Limitations Limited customer base. Growth potential capped by domestic economic conditions. High competition if the market is saturated. Vulnerable to local inflation, interest rate changes, and policy shifts. 2. Meaning of Global Market The global market (or international market) refers to buying and selling across multiple countries worldwide. Companies sell products, raise capital, and source raw materials internationally. Global markets connect nations, businesses, and consumers across borders through trade, investment, and technology. Key Characteristics of Global Markets Multiple Currencies: Trade involves forex markets (USD, EUR, JPY, etc.). Global Consumer Base: Millions of potential customers worldwide. Complex Regulations: Different countries have different laws on product standards, taxes, and business operations. Increased Competition: Competing with international brands and multinational corporations. High Growth Opportunity: Access to huge markets, new segments, and diverse demand. Advantages of Global Markets Unlimited expansion potential. Higher profit margins due to scale. Ability to diversify business risk across countries. Access to cheaper raw materials and skilled labour. Enhanced brand value and global recognition. Limitations Complex logistics and supply chain challenges. Exposure to currency fluctuations. Geopolitical risks (wars, sanctions, trade barriers). Cultural and language barriers. High cost of marketing, compliance, and international operations. 3. Key Differences: Domestic vs Global Market 1. Scale of Operation Domestic: Operates within one country. Global: Operates across several countries or continents. 2. Consumer Base Domestic: Limited to local population. Global: Millions of global customers with different needs and purchasing behaviours. 3. Currency Domestic: One currency. Global: Multiple currencies and exposure to forex volatility. 4. Competition Domestic: Compete with local businesses. Global: Compete with global giants such as Apple, Tesla, Samsung, etc. 5. Regulation Domestic: One set of national laws. Global: Must comply with customs, trade agreements, tariffs, and legal systems of many countries. 6. Risks Domestic: Political instability, inflation, taxation. Global: Geopolitics, supply chain disruptions, currency risk, global recessions. 7. Logistics Domestic: Simple networks within the country. Global: Shipping, customs clearance, warehousing, and international transport. 8. Marketing Strategy Domestic: Fixed strategy based on local culture. Global: Localization required—adapt product names, pricing, packaging, promotions, and language. 4. Why Companies Expand from Domestic to Global Markets Businesses often start in domestic markets to build a stable foundation. Once they achieve brand recognition and financial strength, they expand into global markets for: 1. Growth and Scalability The domestic market may become saturated. Going global allows businesses to tap into new customer segments. 2. Diversification Expanding globally helps protect companies from domestic economic downturns. 3. Cost Efficiency Countries like India, Vietnam, and Bangladesh offer affordable labour and production costs, reducing overall expenses. 4. Competitive Advantage Companies that operate globally often achieve technological, financial, and operational superiority. 5. Resource Access Global markets provide access to: Rare minerals High-end technology Skilled talent Advanced manufacturing hubs 5. Impact on Investors: Domestic vs Global Markets Investors also benefit differently from domestic and global markets. Domestic Investing Less complex. Lower risk. Better understanding of companies and regulations. Global Investing Exposure to fast-growing economies. Diversification across countries. Opportunities to invest in global companies like Apple, Google, or Amazon. However, global investing involves: Currency risk Higher brokerage costs Taxation complexity 6. Impact on the Economy Domestic Market’s Role Creates employment. Strengthens local industries. Helps the government generate tax revenue. Global Market’s Role Boosts exports. Improves foreign exchange reserves. Promotes technological advancement through global competition. Encourages multinational companies (MNCs) to invest locally. A strong global presence can elevate a country’s economic status. 7. Examples for Better Understanding Domestic Market Examples Patanjali selling products primarily within India. Local Kirana stores and regional brands. India-focused stock exchanges like NSE and BSE (though they attract global money indirectly). Global Market Examples Apple selling products worldwide. Tata Motors operating in 100+ countries. Amazon’s global e-commerce network. Reliance exporting petrochemicals to several continents. These comparisons show how companies leverage both markets depending on their goals. 8. Conclusion The domestic market forms the foundation of any business, offering stability, low risk, and predictable demand. It is ideal for startups and companies building brand loyalty. On the other hand, the global market presents massive opportunities for scale, profit, innovation, and diversification—but requires deep resources, compliance capability, and adaptability. In today’s interconnected world, businesses and investors increasingly balance both domestic and global markets. Companies begin locally, refine operations, and gradually expand internationally. Investors diversify across borders to reduce risk and capture global growth. Understanding the distinctions between these two markets helps businesses design better strategies, investors make smarter decisions, and policymakers create more balanced, growth-focused economic policies.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
#VET/USDT Traders watch VeChain 10% upside targeting 0.01341 ?#VET The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 0.01230. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards stability above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 0.01243 First target: 0.01280 Second target: 0.01308 Third target: 0.01341 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
NIFTY INTRADAY — TIME & PRICE WINDOW ACTIVENIFTY INTRADAY — TIME & PRICE WINDOW ACTIVE Buy-on-Dips Zone Identified | Move Expected Before 14:35 Nifty has entered a crucial Time & Price vibration zone, and price action is responding exactly the way a clean intraday setup should. Dips are showing absorption, the structure is tight, and the cycle is pointing toward a potential upside push within today’s window. Here’s the broader outlook (for education only): CMP: 25,930 Target 1: 26,055 Target 2: 26,235 Laxman Rekha: 25,870 Strategy: Buy on dips above Laxman Rekha Time Window: On or Before 14:35 Every time the market aligns with Time & Price, we get clean, high-quality intraday moves — not noise, not guesswork. Today’s structure is no different. If the levels hold, the cycle may unfold exactly the way the rhythm suggests. The moment the window activates, Nifty usually doesn’t wait. Stay ready… not reactive. ⚡ If this analysis helps you: Boost 🔼 | Comment 💬 | Follow ❤️ Your engagement supports more Time & Price intraday posts for the community.
NSE:NIFTY1!Long
by RaviRoushanSrivastava
3
ADAUSDT the 0.6$ soon will hit againAs observed on the chart, ADA has executed a decisive breakout above a major resistance zone, confirmed by a strong bullish candle accompanied by significantly high trading volume. This combination of price action and volume indicates substantial buying pressure and validates the breakout's strength. Consequently, the technical structure now supports a continuation of the upward momentum, with the next primary target projected at the $0.60 level. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
#Banknifty directions and levels for December 10th:What to expect today? In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty bounced back after a gap-down start. Structurally, this is a retracement, not a reversal. However, the open interest (OI) data shows a slightly different picture. Nifty still maintains a bearish bias, while Bank Nifty’s OI suggests a slightly bullish sentiment. Usually, this kind of mixed sentiment—Nifty bearish and Bank Nifty bullish—leads to consolidation. So, the market is likely to end the day in consolidation mode. On the other hand, If the market initially pulls back and then breaks the previous high with a strong candle structure, the bounce back is likely to continue.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
Elise | BTC/USD — 30M | Demand Reaction → Re-Accumulation SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD Current positioning favors a short-term bullish retracement as long as price holds above the demand block & ascending trendline. Structure shows strength in demand, but momentum upside needs confirmation via break above 91.000. Liquidity above 92.275 remains unfilled — a magnet for price. Key Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Case — Primary Setup 🚀 Holding above Demand Block (87.8k–88.8k) → 🎯 Target 1: 91.000 micro-breakout 🎯 Target 2: 92.275 liquidity fill 🎯 Extended Target: 94.110 HTF liquidation zone ❌ Bearish Invalidation Break below demand block → 🎯 87.000 → Deeper sweep & redistribution possible Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 91.000 → 92.275 Support 🟢: 88.800 → 87.800 demand base ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
2
BTCUSD Long Setup: Demand Zone Retest with High R:R PotentialThis setup highlights a potential long opportunity on BTCUSD following a clean retest of a key demand zone. After a sharp impulse move upward, price pulled back into a previously established support block, confirming it as a valid re-accumulation area. The market respected this zone with multiple rejections, signaling buyer interest. The entry is positioned directly on the retest of the demand zone, aligning with structure and maintaining a favorable risk-reward profile. The stop loss is placed safely below the zone to account for volatility and prevent premature invalidation. The target aims for a continuation toward the next liquidity pocket above, reflecting the expectation that buyers will reclaim control and push price higher. This idea leverages market structure, zone retest, and momentum recovery to outline a disciplined, high-probability long setup
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gems-Trades
EUR/GBP SHORT FROM RESISTANCE Hello, Friends! It makes sense for us to go short on EUR/GBP right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.872 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBTC is hinting a major bottom soon on BTC!AMEX:GBTC – Elliott Wave Update (1H Chart) The decline from the Wave B high continues to follow a clean 5-wave impulse. Current price action suggests we are inside Wave (iv) before the final flush. 🧩 Structure so far: 🔻 Wave (i) • Initial sharp drop • Set the tone for the entire downtrend 🔻 Wave (ii) • Reactive bounce into the mid-channel • Perfect retracement behaviour for an impulse 🔻 Wave (iii) • Long, persistent decline • Strongest momentum segment • Clean subdivisions visible on lower timeframes 🔵 Wave (iv) now forming: • Grinding upward inside the corrective channel • Should remain below upper channel resistance • Likely forming a flat / zigzag corrective before rollover 🔻 Wave (v) expected next: • Final leg down to complete C • Target = lower channel + 60–62 region • Completion of the larger corrective cycle 🟢 After Wave C completes: • Expect a medium-term trend reversal • First target = reclaiming broken channel lines • Bigger target = recovery toward prior structure above 90+ 📌 Summary: Wave (iv) = corrective bounce. Wave (v) = final drop → then macro reversal likely. ⚡ I am overall bullish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC after this drop. Please check my BTC update here.
AMEX:GBTCShort
by ElliottWavePro
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – December 10, 20251. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum has already turned upward. Therefore, we expect an upward move on the daily timeframe lasting through the end of this week to complete the green wave C. H4: H4 momentum is currently turning down. If the current H4 candle closes confirming this downward signal, the market is likely to form a short-term H4 decline. H1: H1 momentum is still rising but is starting to contract and show signs of a bearish reversal. The most recent strong bearish candle with wide downside range indicates that the next downward swing may begin from the H1 timeframe. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1: The D1 wave structure has not changed from the previous plan. Price is still progressing within the green wave C. When the green wave C completes, the purple wave X will also complete, followed by a decline forming wave Y. With D1 momentum turning upward, our expected targets for the purple wave C remain 4329 or 4336. H4: Yesterday, price touched the projected target area at 4167 and then bounced back to the POC zone, as anticipated. The current bearish reversal on H4 momentum is critical: • If price can remain above 4187 while H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and then reverses upward, we may see the formation of a 5-wave green structure, which would be an early signal that the corrective wave (4) has completed. • If price fails to hold above 4187 while H4 momentum continues downward, the green wave (4) may extend further. H1: Yesterday’s decline toward the 4168 target strengthens the expectation that wave (C) of the black flat structure (A)-(B)-(C) has completed, meaning green wave (4) may also be complete. Price then rallied toward the POC at 4215, which we expect to be wave 1. The current decline shows a 3-wave structure (A)-(B)-(C) in red, which we expect to be wave 2. The projected completion zones for wave 2 (the end of red wave (C)) are: • Equal to wave (A): 4197 • 1.618 × wave (A): 4187 From the H4 Volume Profile: • The two key levels discussed yesterday were POC 4215 and the liquidity boundary at 4187. • With H4 momentum now turning down and price reacting to POC from below, selling pressure remains dominant. • Level 4187 acts as the liquidity boundary—if buyers can defend this level, a breakout above 4215 becomes likely. • If 4187 does not hold while H4 momentum moves into oversold, the green wave (4) could still be ongoing. ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan We will look to capture the end of wave 2. Since the two target zones (4197 and 4187) are close to each other, the best approach is to wait for price to reach these areas and observe the reaction before entering. If placing a limit order, I prefer the upper zone with a slightly wider stop. BUY ZONE: 4198 – 4196 SL: 4177 TP1: 4218 TP2: 4245 TP3: 4329
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Fed Just Opened the Door — USDJPY Could Bleed Hard!!Hey Traders, in today’s session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around the 156.300 zone. The pair continues to trade within a broader downtrend, and price is now retracing toward a key trend + S/R confluence at 156.300 — an area that has consistently acted as a supply zone for sellers. Technical Structure USDJPY remains in a bearish market structure (lower highs / lower lows). Current pullback is approaching the 156.300 correction zone, where downside continuation becomes highly probable. Dollar Macro Backdrop: Perfect Storm for USD Weakness On the other side, DXY broke below its uptrend and is now pulling back toward the 98.800 retracement zone, confirming a broader shift in momentum. The fundamentals are even more compelling: 1. The Fed did cut yesterday — 25bps. This reinforces a clear dovish turn, and historically the USD underperforms aggressively in the weeks following the first cut of a new cycle. 2. The Fed's balance sheet is expanding again. An expanding balance sheet = USD bearish liquidity environment. 3. The January FOMC is currently NOT priced for a cut — and that’s the opportunity. The market is underpricing the risk of back-to-back cuts. Now labor market data becomes the main catalyst. And the reality is: If we get any sign of further labor market weakness — which is increasingly likely — the market will start pricing in a January cut very fast. And that leaves MUCH more room for USD weakness across the board. Trade Focus Monitoring price reaction at 156.300 for a bearish continuation setup. If DXY resumes weakness out of 98.800 and labor data disappoints, USDJPY could accelerate aggressively to the downside. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
2
12.11 Gold (Euro-US Session) - Bearish Trading PlanHello traders, Core Logic: Fed's hawkish rate cut suppresses gold; bearish sentiment dominates. I. Bearish Drivers Key factors for gold weakness: • Dovish Hopes Crushed: Fed signals only 1 more 2025 cut, dashing easing cycle expectations. • Policy Uncertainty: Powell's "patient" tone + 3 dissents (most since 2019) boost caution. • Profit-Taking: "Buy rumor, sell fact" triggered Asian session pullback, extending bearishness. II. Key Levels Type Level Rationale Short Entry 4215-4220 1H EMA13 + rebound resistance Key Resistance 4227 Asian session pre-dive peak TP1 4172 Short-term core support TP2 4153 Medium-term support TP3 4143 Recent range low support Stop-Loss 4242 Above intraday high III. Trading Strategies 1. Primary: Short on Rebound Enter short at 4218-4220 (4215-4220 range with bearish candles: engulfing/long upper wicks). • TP Plan: 4172 (cut 40%) → 4153 (cut 40%) → 4143 (close 20%) • SL: 4242 2. Secondary: Short on Breakdown Enter short at 4198-4200 if gold breaks 4200 (with 30%+ volume surge). • TP: Same as primary (4172→4153→4143) • SL: 4215 IV. Core Risk Rules • Max position per trade: ≤5%; no averaging down • Trigger SL → exit immediately; no SL adjustments • If gold closes above 4242 for 15 mins: close all shorts, no new trades • Avoid positions during US data/Fed speeches V. Key Notes 1. Follow Fed-driven trend; use tech levels for entry/exit. 2. Close positions early if price spikes through TPs. 3. Valid for Dec 11 Euro-US session; adjust for market structure changes. Good Luck! LESS IS MORE!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
USD/JPY: Short-Term Retracement Sets Up Bearish ContinuationTimeframe: 30-Minute Chart (Intraday View) ​Analysis: ​The USD/JPY pair is currently demonstrating a classic bearish continuation setup. ​Initial Sell-Off: We have seen strong bearish momentum push the price down from the \approx 157.00 region, confirming the market's current downward bias. ​Current Action (White Up Arrow): The small rally witnessed recently is identified as a necessary retracement (pullback). Price is moving back up to retest a previous support-turned-resistance area before the main trend continues. ​Key Entry Zone: The ideal zone for sellers to re-enter is around the former structural support and psychological resistance at 156.00 / 156.20. This level is the likely termination point for the current retracement. ​Continuation Target (White Down Arrow): The main thesis remains a continuation of the downtrend. The primary profit-taking target (Support) for this bearish move is the next major psychological level at 155.00. ​Conclusion: ​Looking for a price action signal (e.g., bearish candlestick pattern) within the 156.00 - 156.20 area to confirm the end of the pullback and the continuation of the short trade towards 155.00. ​Bias: Bearish ​Target: 155.00 ​⚠️ Financial Advisory: This analysis and chart setup are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be considered a direct recommendation or trade signal. Trading foreign exchange (forex) on margin involves high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Always practice proper risk management, and never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Short
by GeorgeSylva