GOLD (XAUUSD): bullish-Neutral! Prepare To Buy!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Dec. 8 - 15th.
Gold closed last week indecisive. It has been moving sideways inside a bullish FVG, that continues to act as support.
Prepare for a short term pullback.... and buy it.
Mindful that FOMC is Wednesday, and the USD is weakened with the expectation of a .25 rate cut.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weeklymarketsanalysis
EURUSD: Bullish! Wait For The Pullback Before Buying!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec 8 - 15th.
The EURUSD has been bullish for 2 weeks, and reached buy side liquidity. A pullback seems to be in order.
Wait for the pullback to sweep sell side LQ, then take safer buys.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Look For Valid Buys Only!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec. 8 - 15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is showing bullish order flow, and it has been strong over the past couple of weeks.
Trading above 25,600 is making looking for shorts a no no.
A weakened US Dollar supports the idea of higher prices.
Wait for valid buy setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NZDUSD: Bullish Order Flow For Two weeks Now! Buy It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec. 8 - 15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NZDUSD
NZDUSD is bearish on the HTFs, but has been bullish the last two weeks. Bullish enough to form a change in the state of delivery! The move indicates bullish order flow entering the market!
Wait for the market to confirm its bullish intent with the +FVG it is currently sitting in, and buy it.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBPUSD: Bullish! Buys Are Best Against A Weakened US Dollar!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec 8 - 15th.
The GBPUSD is sitting in a +FVG that could send prices higher. As long as it holds, the bullish momentum over the last couple of weeks in this paper will continue.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBPUSD: Bearish! Wait For The Market Shift Then Sell!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec 1-5th.
The GBPUSD is in a pullback into premium prices of the trading range. There are bearish confluences at these levels, but price is in a holding pattern. Wait until there is a clear shift in the market to the downside to sell this market!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 24 - 28 NovemberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: US Inflation Surprises, Too Dovish RBNZ, and Struggling Canada
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— US Producer Price Index
— RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
— Canada GDP Growth Rate
— US PCE Price Index
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
QuantSignals V3: AAL Neutral-to-Bearish Intraday MoveAAL QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-11-20
Prediction Type: 1-Month (Katy AI)
Current Price: $12.47
Trend: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 55%
Volatility: 42.9%
Trade Signal: SHORT
Entry: $12.47
Target: $12.42
Stop Loss: $12.66
Expected Move: -0.52%
Technical Summary:
Price near current neutral range
Moderate volatility suggests small swings possible
RSI and momentum indicators mixed (no strong trend)
Options / Flow Intel:
No unusual options flow detected
Put/Call ratio neutral
Risk Level: MODERATE – small downside expected; keep position size minimal
Notes:
This is a short-term, low-conviction trade based on AI prediction
Use tight stop to manage risk
NVDA Earnings Play: Bullish Calls Despite Katy Neutral BiasNVDA QuantSignals V3 — Earnings Play (2025-11-19)
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 68% (Medium Conviction)
Risk Level: Moderate
🎯 Trade Setup
Strike: $180
Expiry: 2025-11-21
Entry Range: $9.30 – $9.40
Target 1: $18.60
Target 2: $27.90
Stop Loss: $4.65
Position Size: 3%
📈 Key Metrics
Current Price: $185.06
Implied Move: $13.15 (7.1%)
PCR: 0.46 (Bullish)
24h Move: +0.48%
RSI: 31.3
Support: $180.52
🧠 Analysis Snapshot
Katy AI Prediction: Neutral → slight bearish drift toward $183.56–184.20
Technical Indicators: Mixed (MACD bullish, ROC bearish)
News Sentiment: Strongly Bullish
$100B AI infra deal w/ Brookfield
Presidential endorsement
AI chip testing breakthroughs
Options Flow: Heavy call activity; institutional size at higher strikes
Volatility: VIX 23.25 — elevated
⚡ Why This Trade Works
Bullish news + strong call flow overpowers Katy’s neutral/slightly bearish modeling
Earnings volatility + catalysts create a favorable upside skew
0.63 delta strike gives balanced risk/reward
⚠️ Notes
Moderate confidence → consider smaller sizing
Expect heavy volatility due to 7.1% implied earnings move
Low pre-earnings volume → scale entries if possible
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 17 - 21 NovemberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: Fed Rate Cut Chances, UK Markets, NVIDIA Earnings
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— FOMC Meeting Minutes
— UK Inflation Rate
— UK Retail Sales
— Corporate Earnings Reports
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Time To Buy This Dip? Oh Yeah!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Nov. 10-14th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ pulled back after rallying for weeks! We patiently waited for a dip buying opportunity to form. Well, Friday might have given us the indication of an end to the pullback... and the opportunity to buy the dip may be upon us!
Wait for the shift in the market structure from bearish to bullish to form... then look for your
valid long setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 3 - 7 NovemberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoE Interest Rate Decision, Canada Jobs Data & Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— BoE Interest Rate Decision
— Canada’s Unemployment Rate
— Corporate Earnings Reports
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 27 - 31 OctoberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: US and Canada Rate Decisions, Earnings Reports & Trade Tensions
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— US Interest Rate Decision
— Canada Interest Rate Decision
— Corporate Earnings Reports
— Trade Tensions
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis Week-Ahead (Oct 20th - 24th)Market Structure Overview
Price has shown a robust rebound from last week's discount levels, now trading back near the 6,720 area following a swift flush and subsequent V-shaped recovery.
Currently, we remain capped under the supply zone between 6,765 and 6,795, which represents the previous swing-high levels. As long as we trade below this resistance, our primary strategy will be to sell into strength and buy on dips within the established range, rather than pursuing breakouts.
On the hourly chart, key equilibrium is noted around the 6,701 to 6,705 range; this serves as the pivotal point around which price action is currently oscillating.
Setups (Level-KZ style)
Reclaim-and-go long (Tier-1 / Tier-2):
Asia/London: hold above 6,701–6,705 after a shallow dip → in NY AM, take the first 5m re-close + 1m HL toward 6,725–6,735.
Scale/target: TP1 6,725–6,735, runners toward 6,765–6,780 if strength persists. Invalidation: 15m body back below 6,701.
Flush-and-reclaim long (Tier-3 bounce):
• Quick sweep into 6,655–6,665 (or even 6,685–6,690) during London → immediate reclaim → first HL entry.
• Targets: back to 6,701 then 6,725–6,735. Invalidation: 15m close back inside/under the swept zone.
Pop-and-fail short (fade):
• Squeeze into 6,725–6,735 that fails to accept (15m rejection back inside) → take the first 5m LH.
• Targets: 6,701 then 6,685–6,690. Invalidation: 15m body acceptance above 6,735.
Stop-run reversal short:
• Spike into 6,765–6,795 (look for wick/absorption) → 15m rejection → 5m LH entry.
• Targets: 6,735 then 6,701. Invalidation: sustained 15m/30m acceptance above 6,795.
Management:
Anchor hard SL to the relevant 15m wick of the trigger ± a small buffer; require TP1 ≥ 2R to the next major level.
At TP1, trim most and put the runner to BE; max 2 attempts per level per session.
Overnight to Tomorrow NY Forecast
Base Case: Anticipate a range build between 6,685 and 6,735 overnight as the market absorbs the recent rebound. During the NY AM session (09:30–11:00 ET), initial attempts may test the 6,725–6,735 resistance before pulling back towards 6,701, potentially moving within the 6,685–6,690 range. Should buyers maintain support at 6,701 on a 15-minute chart, watch for a late-morning rebound back to the 6,725–6,735 zone, with a potential squeeze toward 6,755–6,780 if we see acceptance above 6,735.
The bias shifts to a bullish trend only with clear acceptance above 6,795, which would indicate multiple strong closes in that area, potentially targeting 6,820 and beyond. On the other hand, a decisive move below 6,655 would trigger a downward extension toward 6,604, 6,564, and 6,520.
Execution windows (ET)
• London: 02:00–05:00 — look for the sweep/reclaim plays.
• NY AM (primary): 09:30–11:00 — best momentum/rotation.
• NY PM: 13:30–16:00 — continuation or mean-revert back into the day’s pivot.
What changes the plan
Acceptance above 6,735 early: favor continuation to 6,765–6,780 rather than fading.
Hard failure at 6,701 with sellers defending on 15m: expect a deeper test into 6,685 → 6,655–6,665.
Elevated macro headlines/data at 08:30/10:00 ET windows can temporarily override levels; let the impulse print, then trade the retest.
ETH Weekly – Tracking the Fib Battle, Week by Week
This is ETH on the weekly chart.
In this series, the main focus is on Fibonacci levels and the 21, 50, and 200-week moving averages, the key structures shaping ETH’s long-term rhythm.
The goal is to maintain clarity when zooming out from lower timeframes and to understand where ETH truly stands in the broader cycle.
The story here is one of repeated attempts and liquidity hunts.
ETH has tried three times to break through the 0.236 Fib level ($3738) and failed each time, needing deeper pullbacks to reload for another try.
After the first rejection (March 2024), ETH found support at the 0.382 Fib ($3039) near the 21-week MA, which helped fuel a second attempt.
The second rejection sent price lower to the 0.5 Fib ($2474) and the 200-week MA, from which ETH found strength for the third attempt.
The third rejection pushed price all the way to the $1500 zone, but that final deep flush gave enough strength for the fourth attempt, which finally succeeded: ETH broke through the 0.236 Fib.
However, after that success came another test, a rejection at the 0 Fib level ($4868), which now acts as major resistance.
This week, price is retesting the hard-won 0.236 Fib support ($3738), with the 21-week MA sitting just beneath it, forming a potential support confluence zone.
The big question now:
Will ETH repeat its own pattern again; holding the 0.236 Fib and 21W MA to attempt another push toward the 0 Fib level, only to face yet another rejection?
Weekly closes from here will tell the story, one candle at a time.
This chart will be updated each week to track how ETH behaves around these defining levels.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTC Weekly Series – Tracking the Price, Week by Week
BTC Weekly – The Line That Defines the Cycle
On this chart, one line has quietly supported Bitcoin since the March 2024 ATH: the blue cayenne line, the 50-week moving average.
It held the dip after the January 2025 ATH, and now we’re about to find out if it can do it again after the September 2025 ATH.
Each time price needed that support, it tested the 50-week MA twice before reversing higher.
There’s also a recurring pattern with Fibonacci levels:
* After the March 2024 ATH, price lost the 61.8 Fib, touched the 50-week MA, and bounced.
* After the January 2025 ATH, price lost the 100 Fib, touched the 50-week MA, and bounced.
This time, things are different.
The 50-week MA now aligns exactly with the 127.2 Fib, meaning there’s no safety net below.
If this level fails, there’s nothing technical left beneath it that has caught price since March 2024.
That could make any future leg higher more difficult to form.
From here, the focus should be on weekly closes.
They will tell us whether this structure still holds or if we’re about to enter a deeper correction phase.
I’ll continue updating this view at the end of each week or on Mondays, to keep track of how this key level evolves, both for myself and for anyone following the cycle closely.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Still Bullish! Wait For Valid Buys!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 13 - 17th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ dumped last Friday with the Trump tariffs on China announcement. His latest tweet seems to have lowered the temperature on the tension. The markets have opened with a gap up.
The plan: look for valid buy setups, and stay with the overall trend. Avoid selling this market.
Simple.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 6 - 10 OctoberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: FOMC Minutes & Powell’s Speech, Canada Jobs, RBNZ Rate Decision
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— FOMC Minutes and Fed Powell’s Comments
— Canada’s Unemployment Rate
— RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US Dollar Index: Bullish! Buy The Dip!Expecting price to retrace into the +FVGs below. Look on the 1H for a CISD when price comes into contact with either of the two poi's. Once a directional change is confirmed, buy it.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD: Bearish! Wait For Valid Sell Setups!After sweeping the old highs from 2021, price has cleared out the buy side liquidity.
The next move should be simply heading down to clear out the sell side liquidity at the lows.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NZDUSD: Bearish! Sell The Pullback!NZDUSD has been the most bearish of the majors. I am expecting more of the same this week.
Wait for the retracement, as this market is overextended. The -FVGs are perfect poi's to look for sell setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Analysis of the S&P 500 (ES) - Sep 22 - 26 - Fundamental Bias
So, here's the deal: we're still on an upward trend, but price is pushing against a "ceiling cluster" just above us. Expect a slow climb for now until something changes.
As long as we stay above 6,700–6,705, dip buyers will probably step in and try to push things back up to the 6,73x/6,75x range.
When we hit 6,745–6,760, we might see some stalls or rejections because there’s not much support there. If we can get above 6,760 and hold it for 15 minutes, we could squeeze up to around 6,798.
On the flip side, if we drop below 6,700–6,705 and stay there for 15 minutes, the vibe could switch to a downward trend, with potential targets around 6,693 and then about 6,660.
In short: I'm feeling slightly bullish as long as we’re above 6,700. Watch for some action around 6,745–6,760, and consider going long only if we cleanly break above 6,760.
Quick game plan for tomorrow (NY kill-zones 9:30–11:00 & 13:30–16:00 ET)
Open > 6,710 and < 6,731: Buy dips into 6,720/6,710 aiming back to 6,731 → 6,745.
Gap/push into 6,745–6,760 early: Look for a 15m rejection to fade back toward 6,731/6,720. Accept > 6,760? Switch long and target 6,798.
Break and hold < 6,700–6,705: Stand down on longs; hunt bounces to sell toward 6,693 → 6,660.
Use Key Levels as a map.
Week-ahead fundamentals (ET) — what can move ES
Mon 9/22 — CFNAI (Chicago Fed) 8:30a. Tracks broad U.S. activity; August print due.
Tue 9/23 — S&P Global “flash” PMIs (Mfg/Services) 9:45a indicative timing; S&P’s week-ahead notes flash PMI on the 23rd.
Wed 9/24 — New Home Sales (Aug) 10:00a. Census’ July release notes the Aug report is scheduled Sep 24.
Thu 9/25 — Q2 GDP (third) 8:30a (BEA), Durable Goods (Aug) 8:30a (Census), Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30a (DOL).
Fri 9/26 — PCE & Core PCE (Aug) 8:30a (BEA) and U. Michigan sentiment (final Sep) 10:00a.
Fed speakers (mid-day risk): Mon 12:00p Gov. Miran; Tue 12:35p Powell; Thu 9:00a/1:00p Bowman/Barr; Fri 10:00a Bowman.
Treasury supply: 13- & 26-wk bill auctions Mon 9/22; 6-wk bill Tue 9/23; 2-yr FRN reopen Wed 9/24 (tentative schedule).
Earnings to note (Thu): Costco Q4 FY25 call Thu 9/25 2:00 pm PT; broader week list light otherwise.






















