Weeklymarketsanalysis
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis Week-Ahead (Oct 20th - 24th)Market Structure Overview
Price has shown a robust rebound from last week's discount levels, now trading back near the 6,720 area following a swift flush and subsequent V-shaped recovery.
Currently, we remain capped under the supply zone between 6,765 and 6,795, which represents the previous swing-high levels. As long as we trade below this resistance, our primary strategy will be to sell into strength and buy on dips within the established range, rather than pursuing breakouts.
On the hourly chart, key equilibrium is noted around the 6,701 to 6,705 range; this serves as the pivotal point around which price action is currently oscillating.
Setups (Level-KZ style)
Reclaim-and-go long (Tier-1 / Tier-2):
Asia/London: hold above 6,701–6,705 after a shallow dip → in NY AM, take the first 5m re-close + 1m HL toward 6,725–6,735.
Scale/target: TP1 6,725–6,735, runners toward 6,765–6,780 if strength persists. Invalidation: 15m body back below 6,701.
Flush-and-reclaim long (Tier-3 bounce):
• Quick sweep into 6,655–6,665 (or even 6,685–6,690) during London → immediate reclaim → first HL entry.
• Targets: back to 6,701 then 6,725–6,735. Invalidation: 15m close back inside/under the swept zone.
Pop-and-fail short (fade):
• Squeeze into 6,725–6,735 that fails to accept (15m rejection back inside) → take the first 5m LH.
• Targets: 6,701 then 6,685–6,690. Invalidation: 15m body acceptance above 6,735.
Stop-run reversal short:
• Spike into 6,765–6,795 (look for wick/absorption) → 15m rejection → 5m LH entry.
• Targets: 6,735 then 6,701. Invalidation: sustained 15m/30m acceptance above 6,795.
Management:
Anchor hard SL to the relevant 15m wick of the trigger ± a small buffer; require TP1 ≥ 2R to the next major level.
At TP1, trim most and put the runner to BE; max 2 attempts per level per session.
Overnight to Tomorrow NY Forecast
Base Case: Anticipate a range build between 6,685 and 6,735 overnight as the market absorbs the recent rebound. During the NY AM session (09:30–11:00 ET), initial attempts may test the 6,725–6,735 resistance before pulling back towards 6,701, potentially moving within the 6,685–6,690 range. Should buyers maintain support at 6,701 on a 15-minute chart, watch for a late-morning rebound back to the 6,725–6,735 zone, with a potential squeeze toward 6,755–6,780 if we see acceptance above 6,735.
The bias shifts to a bullish trend only with clear acceptance above 6,795, which would indicate multiple strong closes in that area, potentially targeting 6,820 and beyond. On the other hand, a decisive move below 6,655 would trigger a downward extension toward 6,604, 6,564, and 6,520.
Execution windows (ET)
• London: 02:00–05:00 — look for the sweep/reclaim plays.
• NY AM (primary): 09:30–11:00 — best momentum/rotation.
• NY PM: 13:30–16:00 — continuation or mean-revert back into the day’s pivot.
What changes the plan
Acceptance above 6,735 early: favor continuation to 6,765–6,780 rather than fading.
Hard failure at 6,701 with sellers defending on 15m: expect a deeper test into 6,685 → 6,655–6,665.
Elevated macro headlines/data at 08:30/10:00 ET windows can temporarily override levels; let the impulse print, then trade the retest.
ETH Weekly – Tracking the Fib Battle, Week by Week
This is ETH on the weekly chart.
In this series, the main focus is on Fibonacci levels and the 21, 50, and 200-week moving averages, the key structures shaping ETH’s long-term rhythm.
The goal is to maintain clarity when zooming out from lower timeframes and to understand where ETH truly stands in the broader cycle.
The story here is one of repeated attempts and liquidity hunts.
ETH has tried three times to break through the 0.236 Fib level ($3738) and failed each time, needing deeper pullbacks to reload for another try.
After the first rejection (March 2024), ETH found support at the 0.382 Fib ($3039) near the 21-week MA, which helped fuel a second attempt.
The second rejection sent price lower to the 0.5 Fib ($2474) and the 200-week MA, from which ETH found strength for the third attempt.
The third rejection pushed price all the way to the $1500 zone, but that final deep flush gave enough strength for the fourth attempt, which finally succeeded: ETH broke through the 0.236 Fib.
However, after that success came another test, a rejection at the 0 Fib level ($4868), which now acts as major resistance.
This week, price is retesting the hard-won 0.236 Fib support ($3738), with the 21-week MA sitting just beneath it, forming a potential support confluence zone.
The big question now:
Will ETH repeat its own pattern again; holding the 0.236 Fib and 21W MA to attempt another push toward the 0 Fib level, only to face yet another rejection?
Weekly closes from here will tell the story, one candle at a time.
This chart will be updated each week to track how ETH behaves around these defining levels.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTC Weekly Series – Tracking the Price, Week by Week
BTC Weekly – The Line That Defines the Cycle
On this chart, one line has quietly supported Bitcoin since the March 2024 ATH: the blue cayenne line, the 50-week moving average.
It held the dip after the January 2025 ATH, and now we’re about to find out if it can do it again after the September 2025 ATH.
Each time price needed that support, it tested the 50-week MA twice before reversing higher.
There’s also a recurring pattern with Fibonacci levels:
* After the March 2024 ATH, price lost the 61.8 Fib, touched the 50-week MA, and bounced.
* After the January 2025 ATH, price lost the 100 Fib, touched the 50-week MA, and bounced.
This time, things are different.
The 50-week MA now aligns exactly with the 127.2 Fib, meaning there’s no safety net below.
If this level fails, there’s nothing technical left beneath it that has caught price since March 2024.
That could make any future leg higher more difficult to form.
From here, the focus should be on weekly closes.
They will tell us whether this structure still holds or if we’re about to enter a deeper correction phase.
I’ll continue updating this view at the end of each week or on Mondays, to keep track of how this key level evolves, both for myself and for anyone following the cycle closely.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Still Bullish! Wait For Valid Buys!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 13 - 17th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ dumped last Friday with the Trump tariffs on China announcement. His latest tweet seems to have lowered the temperature on the tension. The markets have opened with a gap up.
The plan: look for valid buy setups, and stay with the overall trend. Avoid selling this market.
Simple.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 6 - 10 OctoberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: FOMC Minutes & Powell’s Speech, Canada Jobs, RBNZ Rate Decision
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— FOMC Minutes and Fed Powell’s Comments
— Canada’s Unemployment Rate
— RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US Dollar Index: Bullish! Buy The Dip!Expecting price to retrace into the +FVGs below. Look on the 1H for a CISD when price comes into contact with either of the two poi's. Once a directional change is confirmed, buy it.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD: Bearish! Wait For Valid Sell Setups!After sweeping the old highs from 2021, price has cleared out the buy side liquidity.
The next move should be simply heading down to clear out the sell side liquidity at the lows.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NZDUSD: Bearish! Sell The Pullback!NZDUSD has been the most bearish of the majors. I am expecting more of the same this week.
Wait for the retracement, as this market is overextended. The -FVGs are perfect poi's to look for sell setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Analysis of the S&P 500 (ES) - Sep 22 - 26 - Fundamental Bias
So, here's the deal: we're still on an upward trend, but price is pushing against a "ceiling cluster" just above us. Expect a slow climb for now until something changes.
As long as we stay above 6,700–6,705, dip buyers will probably step in and try to push things back up to the 6,73x/6,75x range.
When we hit 6,745–6,760, we might see some stalls or rejections because there’s not much support there. If we can get above 6,760 and hold it for 15 minutes, we could squeeze up to around 6,798.
On the flip side, if we drop below 6,700–6,705 and stay there for 15 minutes, the vibe could switch to a downward trend, with potential targets around 6,693 and then about 6,660.
In short: I'm feeling slightly bullish as long as we’re above 6,700. Watch for some action around 6,745–6,760, and consider going long only if we cleanly break above 6,760.
Quick game plan for tomorrow (NY kill-zones 9:30–11:00 & 13:30–16:00 ET)
Open > 6,710 and < 6,731: Buy dips into 6,720/6,710 aiming back to 6,731 → 6,745.
Gap/push into 6,745–6,760 early: Look for a 15m rejection to fade back toward 6,731/6,720. Accept > 6,760? Switch long and target 6,798.
Break and hold < 6,700–6,705: Stand down on longs; hunt bounces to sell toward 6,693 → 6,660.
Use Key Levels as a map.
Week-ahead fundamentals (ET) — what can move ES
Mon 9/22 — CFNAI (Chicago Fed) 8:30a. Tracks broad U.S. activity; August print due.
Tue 9/23 — S&P Global “flash” PMIs (Mfg/Services) 9:45a indicative timing; S&P’s week-ahead notes flash PMI on the 23rd.
Wed 9/24 — New Home Sales (Aug) 10:00a. Census’ July release notes the Aug report is scheduled Sep 24.
Thu 9/25 — Q2 GDP (third) 8:30a (BEA), Durable Goods (Aug) 8:30a (Census), Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30a (DOL).
Fri 9/26 — PCE & Core PCE (Aug) 8:30a (BEA) and U. Michigan sentiment (final Sep) 10:00a.
Fed speakers (mid-day risk): Mon 12:00p Gov. Miran; Tue 12:35p Powell; Thu 9:00a/1:00p Bowman/Barr; Fri 10:00a Bowman.
Treasury supply: 13- & 26-wk bill auctions Mon 9/22; 6-wk bill Tue 9/23; 2-yr FRN reopen Wed 9/24 (tentative schedule).
Earnings to note (Thu): Costco Q4 FY25 call Thu 9/25 2:00 pm PT; broader week list light otherwise.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 22 - 26 SeptemberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: US Durable Goods, GDP Final, PCE, Personal Income & Spending
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
00:16 — US Durable Goods Orders
01:09 — US GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
01:54 — US PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Personal Spending
03:00 — Trade Tensions
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip! Keep It Simple!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 22 - 26th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P500 is still bullish, and there is no reason to short it.
Wait for price to pullback to a +FVG, and then look for valid buy setups on your entry TFs.
Don't jump into sells! They are against the trend and lower probability!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Market Outlook – Nifty, BankNifty & S&P 500Nifty ended the week on a positive note, closing at 25,327 – up 213 points from last week’s close. This week’s price action was once again perfectly aligned with my projected range of 25,500 – 24,700, making a high of 25,448 and a low of 25,048.
Nifty Outlook for Next Week:
I expect Nifty to trade within 25,700 – 24,900. A break below 24,900 could open the doors towards 24,600 / 24,400.
Sector Strength Check:
Looking at the monthly time frame, none of the major indices look particularly strong right now. On the weekly chart, strength is visible only in selective sectors like Consumption, FMCG, Metals, and a few Auto stocks.
⚠️ Caution: Until we see strength coming back in at least 3–4 major indices, it’s better to stay selective and avoid aggressive long positions.
BankNifty Analysis:
BankNifty has staged a sharp V-shaped recovery, but I am not fully convinced with this move.
Support to watch: 55,000 – a break below this can take it down to 54,700 / 54,600.
Resistance to watch: Above this week’s high of 55,835, it can test 56,000 / 56,400.
Expected Range: 56,400 – 54,550
India VIX Alert:
India VIX is currently near its support zone, which signals possible volatility ahead – so stay cautious.
Global Markets – S&P 500:
S&P 500 once again gave an all-time high close at 6,671 (+80 points WoW).
Breakout Levels: Above 6,671, we could see 6,689 / 6,780 / 6,930 / 6,959 (key level).
Investors holding long positions should keep a trailing SL at 6,450 to protect profits.
Weekly Insights EUR USD AUD NZD BTC ETH (22nd-25th septemer2025)Get ready for the week ahead — in this video we break down the technical outlook and key levels for major currencies and markets including EUR/USD, AUD, NZD, as well as S&P 500 and Bitcoin (BTC). We analyze recent price action, highlight important support & resistance zones, and discuss possible scenarios you’ll want to watch from September 22–26, 2025. Whether you trade forex, crypto, or equities, these insights will help you stay informed and better positioned for whatever the markets throw next.
If you want, I can give you a more detailed summary (key levels, possible trades, etc.) of the video.
US Dollar: Bearish! Buyside LQ Sweep Before Rate Cut?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD has a .25 basis point rate cut coming Wednesday. Will there be a manipulation of the buy side liquidity before prices turn downward? I am looking out for this fake out maneuver by MMs, being mindful the rate cut will weaken the USD against its counterparts. A short term move higher before the market turns bearish with the news announcements is more then possible.
Wait and react. Do not predict.
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
BTCUSDT Weekly Chart Analysis | Bullish V-Pattern Breakout ?BTCUSDT Weekly Chart Analysis | Bullish V-Pattern Breakout Possible
🔍 Let’s dive into the Bitcoin/USDT weekly setup and map out the current momentum, focusing on a key bullish scenario as price nears decisive levels.
⏳ Weekly Overview
Bitcoin is trading near $119,427, just below a major resistance zone at $119,430. A confirmed weekly close above this level, accompanied by sustained volume, would activate a textbook bullish V-pattern breakout. The V bottom structure is recognized for its aggressive buying pressure — price first sharply reverses from the support zone, then rallies as bulls take control, validated by both price and volume signals.
🔺 Long Setup:
A strong volume-backed weekly close above $119,430 unlocks a 10% move at RR1, projecting further upside toward the next reachable target at $130,000, which acts as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The setup relies on clean confirmation: breakout, high volume on the weekly, and consolidation above resistance for sustained momentum.
📊 Key Highlights:
- Weekly V-pattern maturation can drive a strong bullish leg if confirmed above $119,430.
- Volume confirmation is vital: look for above-average weekly bars to validate breakout strength.
- Target zone sits at $130k, an area with clustering past liquidity and technical importance (PRZ).
- If the breakout stalls or is rejected, expect price to retest lower bands; first support now sits at $113,000–115,000.
🚨 Conclusion:
A bullish scenario is building, hinging on a weekly close with volume above $119,430. Such confirmation would validate a breakout from the V-pattern and set sights on $130k, where trend participants may look to realize or reassess positioning. Failure at this level could reload bids at key lower supports. Stay sharp for volume cues and structural follow-through.
USDCAD: Bullish For The Near Term?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USDCAD
Last Week I was looking for weakness in the USDCAD. It traded through the bearish FVG on the Daily, moving higher as the CAD turned out to be even weaker last week.
Look for this to continue for the upcoming week, as there is internal range liquidity (IRL) drawing price higher for a short term gains.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
ES (SPX) Weekly: Levels & Setups - Sep 8-12, 2025Price is camped under a higher-timeframe supply/“weak-high” band. Trend remains constructive on the Weekly/Daily, but 4H/1H are coiling beneath resistance. I’m neutral into mid-week inflation data and will only engage on clean acceptance above the prior-high band or a rejection back into range.
Event stance: Two inflation releases hit 08:30 ET mid-week. I’ll be flat into the prints and wait for the first qualifying 15-minute close before arming anything
Key ES zones I’m trading around
6530–6545 — HTF supply / weak-high packet (primary take-profit for longs; fade candidate on rejection)
6518 — Breakout line (PMH/PWH band)
6500 — Round-number pivot
6460 ±2 — 1H equilibrium / prior LL shelf
6408–6415 — 4H HVN / equilibrium shelf
6360–6375 — 4H demand (strong-low)
Setup 1 — Breakout-Acceptance LONG
Trigger: 15m close > 6518, then two 5m bodies hold above.
Entry: 6520.5–6523.0 on the retest or break of bar-2 high.
Stop: tighter of (i) below the 15m trigger candle low, or (ii) below the last confirmed 5m swing; cap ≤ 6–8 pts.
• If neither option fits ≤ 8 pts from your fill, pass and wait for a cleaner micro HL.
TP1 (dynamic): first hard band (e.g., any workable print inside 6530–6545) that yields ≥ max(15, 2.5×SL) from your fill (front-run 0.25–0.5 pt if 2.5R is tight).
TP2/TP3: 6550, then 6570; trail by 15m/30m closes.
• Disqualifiers: any 5m body back ≤ 6518 before TP1; visible liquidity wall ≤ 5 pts beyond trigger; news window.
Setup 2 — SRR Rejection SHORT (Sweep → Recapture → Reversal)
Trigger: Sweep 6518–6530, fail, then 15m bearish close < 6518.
Entry: 6515.0–6518.0 on the retest from below.
Stop: tighter of (i) above the 15m trigger candle high, or (ii) above the last confirmed 5m LH; cap ≤ 6–8 pts.
• I f the correct structural stop is > 8 pts from your fill, skip until a micro LH tightens risk.
TP1 (dynamic): first hard band below that gives ≥ max(15, 2.5×SL) from your fill—usually 6500; if 2.5R isn’t met to 6500, promote to 6482, then 6460.
TP2/TP3: 6482, then 6460 (extend toward 6410 if momentum).
• Disqualifiers: no 15m bearish confirmation; any 5m body ≥ 6518–6522 after entry (use your exact line); news window.
GBPUSD: Bearish-Neutral, But Showing Signs Of WeaknessWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD
The GBPUSD has been a little more bearish than EURUSD. This is still the case. Bearish and moving sideways. There was a sweep of buy side liquidity Friday, but a late retreat back into the range of last weeks range. This may indicate weakness going into this week, and I am looking for price to turn over, as it is still inside correction territory.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Outlook: Strong Bullish Momentum Meets Key US Data XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook: Strong Bullish Momentum Meets Key US Data | MMFLOW TRADING
Market View:
Gold (XAUUSD) ended the week with explosive momentum after Nonfarm Payrolls pushed price to a new ATH near $3600/oz. On the daily chart, the bullish candle closed with only ~30% wick, showing no signs of profit-taking. The weekly chart also printed a powerful bullish candle, confirming BUY dominance. This suggests that gold could see further upside in the coming week – and potentially throughout this month.
Macro & Fundamental Drivers (Week Ahead):
Key US data will drive volatility in XAUUSD:
Wed, Sep 10: Core PPI & PPI m/m → hotter-than-expected prints could support USD short term, weighing on gold.
Thu, Sep 11: CPI (Core, m/m, y/y) + Jobless Claims → the most critical release. Softer CPI + higher jobless claims would fuel gold’s rally, while hotter CPI keeps Fed hawkish.
Fri, Sep 12: UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations → inflation outlook could shape Fed expectations further.
Overall, fundamentals may create volatility, but the medium-term bias stays bullish.
Technical Outlook (H1 Chart):
Price is consolidating sideways after the Nonfarm breakout. Key levels to watch next week:
Support: 3574 – 3551 – 3530 – 3516
Resistance: 3600 – 3621 – 3633 – 3649 – 3669 – 3678
Trading Plan:
BUY bias (preferred):
Long on pullbacks around 3574–3550
SL: below 3530
TP: 3600 → 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669 → 3678
SELL scalp (alternative):
Only if 3530 breaks with strong CPI upside surprise → target 3516/3527
Summary:
✅ Gold remains in a strong uptrend on both Daily and Weekly charts, with macro factors favouring further upside if inflation continues to ease.
👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) – these are the decision points for the next major move.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily updates and trade setups.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 1 - 5 SeptemberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: UK Retail Sales, Canada Jobs, US NFP, and OPEC+ Meeting
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex and commodities to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— UK Retail Sales
— Unemployment Rate in Canada
— US NFP and Unemployment Rate
— OPEC+ Meeting
— Trade Tensions
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Full analysis & breakdown on EURGBP and AUDUSDFull analysis & breakdown on EURGBP and AUDUSD
Not too much to dive into in terms of charts for Week 36, given the way price action closed out last week.
However, there are clear trading ranges forming on a couple of key pairs — and with them, some directional bias we can work with.
This week, I’ll be keeping a close eye on:
EURGBP
AUDUSD
Both pairs are offering defined ranges and structure-based opportunities that I’ll break down below.
FRGNT






















