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Wolfe Wave

AUDCHF (2H)AUDCHF | Bullish Breakout + Retest Setup (2H) Price reclaimed the previous support zone around 0.51860 – 0.51940 and continued to break the short-term resistance at 0.52120 – 0.52170, shifting structure bullish on the 2H timeframe. Market is now pulling back to retest the breakout zone, which can act as demand for continuation higher. 🧠 Why Bullish? Clean break above previous resistance (0.52120+) Market structure flipped to higher highs and higher lows Two stacked demand zones below, showing strong absorption on the way up Current pullback likely a retest rather than a reversal (unless breakout fails) 📌 Key Levels Main Demand Zone: 0.51860 – 0.51940 Breakout / Retest Zone: 0.52120 – 0.52170 Continuation Trigger: Bullish rejection off the retest 🎯 Upside Targets TP1: ~0.52550 (minor liquidity level) TP2: ~0.52750 – 0.52800 (major sweep objective / imbalance fill) ❌ Invalidation Bullish bias invalid if price breaks below 0.51860, meaning demand failed and structure returns bearish.
Long
by harshkjogadia
Nifty Midcap Select Index - 15 mins🧩 Pattern Structure: Wolfe Wave (Bearish Formation) The chart clearly outlines a 5-wave Wolfe structure within a broadening wedge: Wave 1–2: Sharp corrective fall marking the start of the structure. Wave 2–3: A strong rally forming the upper resistance trendline. Wave 3–4: Pullback holding the mid-support region, creating the internal pivot. Wave 4–5: Final push forming a false breakout above the upper boundary — a classic exhaustion move typical before reversal. Wave 5 marks the completion of the structure and hints at the beginning of a strong downside impulse toward the “EPA” (Estimated Price at Arrival) line — the projected Wolfe target. 📊 Summary Parameter Observation Pattern Type Bearish Wolfe Wave Completion Point Wave 5 near upper resistance Breakdown Confirmation Below Wave 4 line (~13,180) Immediate Targets 13,100 → 12,850 → 12,500 Invalidation Above 13,400 Probability of Downmove ~65–70% Technical Bias Strong Bearish Setup 🧠 Conclusion The Nifty Midcap Select Index has likely completed a bearish Wolfe Wave, indicating exhaustion at higher levels. Once the support line (Wave 4–2) is breached, a sharp impulsive decline toward 12,850–12,500 is probable. This aligns with a broad market rotation from midcaps to large caps as profit booking accelerates. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly — always manage risk with appropriate stop-loss levels before initiating any trade.
NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECTShort
by shiva560060
UNITEDHEALTH UNH Long Scenario based on Seasonality and FractalsFrom a fractals Perspective I expect a chance for around 30% gain from an upcoming upmove. From a Seasonal Perspective I expect a retracement mode until End of Mid/September and then upside until early December. I hope we make the bigger upmove in this time and complete that move otherwise this fractals target could take some time/moths/years. Feel free to like / support the Idea, leave a comment or contact me in the chat. Good luck to all *this is not a trade call* Cheers!
GETTEX:UNHLong
by Amazing-Fractals
GOLD- COMPLEX WOLFE WAVE FORMATION🔹 Pattern Observed The chart shows a Complex Wolfe Wave structure with points 1–2–3–4–5 clearly mapped. Price has reached point 5 near the upper resistance (~3,650–3,670 USD). Wolfe principle: After point 5, price targets the 1–4 trendline → this is your projected drop zone. 🔹 Current Situation Current Gold price: ~3,645 USD. Strong rally completed wave 5. Chart marks Immediate Target: ~3,300 USD. 🔹 Levels & Targets Resistance: 3,650–3,670 (pattern top). Immediate Target Zone: 3,300 (near support + Wolfe line). Extended Target: 3,200–3,150 (if selling pressure deepens). Invalidation: Above 3,700 (new highs would negate Wolfe setup). 🔹 Trading Implication Bias: Bearish after wave 5 completion. Entry: Short near 3,650–3,670 (with confirmation candle). Stop Loss: Above 3,700. Targets: T1 = 3,450 T2 = 3,350 T3 = 3,300 This gives ~350 point downside vs ~50 point risk → R:R ~1:6 if trade is taken near the top. ✅ Conclusion Gold has likely completed wave 5 of Wolfe structure near 3,650–3,670. Short-term expectation is a fall toward 3,300, aligning with Wolfe target zone. Important NOTE - Risk management is crucial — pattern invalidates above 3,700. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading commodities and derivatives involves substantial risk of capital loss. Please consult your financial advisor before acting on this view.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
1
Can Silicon Carbide Save a Bankrupt Chip Giant?Wolfspeed's dramatic 60% stock surge following court approval of its Chapter 11 restructuring plan signals a potential turning point for the struggling semiconductor company. The bankruptcy resolution eliminates 70% of Wolfspeed's $6.5 billion debt burden and reduces interest obligations by 60%, freeing up billions in cash flow for operations and new fabrication facilities. With 97% creditor support backing the plan, investors appear confident that the financial overhang has been cleared, positioning the company for a cleaner emergence from bankruptcy. The company's recovery prospects are bolstered by its leadership position in silicon carbide (SiC) technology, a critical component for electric vehicles and renewable energy systems. Wolfspeed's unique capability to produce 200mm SiC wafers at scale, combined with its vertically integrated supply chain and substantial patent portfolio, provides competitive advantages in a rapidly growing market. Global EV sales exceeded 17 million units in 2024, with projections of 20-30% annual growth, while each new electric vehicle requires more SiC chips for improved efficiency and faster charging capabilities. Geopolitical factors further strengthen Wolfspeed's strategic position, with the U.S. CHIPS Act providing up to $750 million in funding for domestic SiC manufacturing capacity. As the U.S. government classifies silicon carbide as critical for national security and clean energy, Wolfspeed's fully domestic supply chain becomes increasingly valuable amid rising export controls and cybersecurity concerns. However, the company faces intensifying competition from well-funded Chinese rivals, including a new Wuhan facility capable of producing 360,000 SiC wafers annually. Despite these favorable tailwinds, significant risks remain that could derail the recovery. Current shareholders face severe dilution, retaining only 3-5% of the restructured equity, while execution challenges persist regarding ramping the novel 200mm fabrication technology. The company continues operating at a loss with high enterprise value relative to current financial performance, and expanding global SiC capacity from competitors threatens to pressure pricing and market share. Wolfspeed's turnaround represents a high-stakes bet on whether technological leadership and strategic government support can overcome financial restructuring challenges in a competitive marketplace.
NYSE:WOLFLong
by UDIS_View
FILUSDT — WyckoffIdea / Plan Structure Higher-timeframe shows a completed Wyckoff accumulation between 2.20–2.70: SC → ST → Spring (June) → Test (Aug). Price is printing an LPS inside a contracting triangle. Bands are squeezed; volume declining into the apex. VPVR shows MP/POC ≈ 2.58–2.60; above it there’s a low-volume pocket up to ~2.85–2.90. 200D MA sits just below 3.0 and lines up with prior AR shelf. Triggers Aggressive: reclaim and hold 2.60–2.62 (MP) + break of triangle top. Conservative: daily close > 2.703 with rising volume. Add-back on a clean retest of 2.60–2.62 as support. Targets T1: 2.70 (range lid) T2: 2.86–2.90 (LVN/MA confluence) T3: 3.02–3.12 (AR shelf / supply band) T4: 3.57–3.60 (major SOS line) Stretch: if momentum persists, 4.18 then 4.82 (weekly levels / measured extension). Invalidation & Risk Primary invalidation of the Wyckoff view: daily close < 2.22 (Spring failure). Tighter trade-management levels: lose 2.49 → 2.44 (triangle base) and odds favor a revisit of 2.32–2.27; reduce risk there. If price reclaims 2.60 after a shakeout, treat it as a LPS retest. Expect stair-step behavior into 3.0–3.6 due to supply overhang; partials on the way up are prudent. Idea is invalidated on persistent closes back inside 2.20–2.32. This is a technical plan, not financial advice. Trade your system and size risk accordingly.
Long
by ICLV-426
1
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoLifeone
Hourly SAR moved above priceThis is an earlier signal compared to the standard bearish Wolfewave entry - which is price entering back below the 1-3 line. Here, I placed a 1:3 risk/reward ratio. Keep in mind that there could be stop hunters just above the bear risk tolerance. Next in line in the fractal order to mark a swing high will be the 4 hour SAR. Standard bearish Wolfewave Target is the 1-4 line. Alternative Targets are the Magic Lines. Patterns can fail Do your own due diligence.
SP:SPX
by FibonacciTradingCrew
1
Measured move target madePrice bounced near the target and has been confirmed by the 4 hour SAR. The 4 hour SAR is currently on a bearish retrace relative to the daily SAR. As long as the Daily SAR is above price, the bearish Wolfewave is still in play. Price is anticipated to go lower than what the 4 hour SAR has established as support. To see more details and for faster movement, we look to the shorter intervals. Shorter interval price action could invalidate longer interval patterns.
by FibonacciTradingCrew
Bearish Wolfewave target madeThe more confluence - the better. I combine this pattern with the SAR signal. The odds also seem better when there’s an rsi divergence. Typical entry is when price goes back down the 1-3 line. Ideal target is the 1-4 line. To spot a potential Wolfewave forming, I usually look for a wave 4 that enters wave 1. Then, I watch if that wave 4 breaches wave 2. If not, the next move should be a break above the 1-3 line. Another thing to look at is if the 2-4 line forms a rising wedge with the 1-3 line ( for a bearish Wolfewave). Earlier entry for a bearish Wolfewave could be when the SAR of the pattern moves above price. Another earlier entry is looking for signals on a shorter timeframe. Patterns can fail. Do your own due diligence.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by FibonacciTradingCrew