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Wyckoffmethod

EUR/USD Perspective for the 2nd week of NovEU Weekly Outlook This week, EU isn’t moving exactly in sync with GU, which is unusual — so we’ll treat it as its own setup and focus purely on what the chart is showing us right now. - Scenario (A): I’ll be waiting for a deeper retracement to capitalise on the bullish move and see if a rally can form from the 5hr demand zone below. - Scenario (B): Alternatively, if price continues climbing, I’ll be looking for buy setups up towards the 5hr supply zone. From there, I’ll wait to see how price reacts — ideally slowing down before reaching supply, especially with an Asia high sitting just above. P.S. We’ll see what price does once the market opens Monday morning, but either POI marked could provide a solid setup this week. Stay patient and adaptable! 💪
by Hassan_fx
MNHLDG (BULL) LATE STAGE CYCLE This is a continuation from my previous entry -Kindly refer to the link attached Entry based on assumption, that probably, trading range would unfolding from here on. Bar @ 22nd & 23rd October would be considered as SpringBoard -Hence, with Trigger Bar yesterday (24th October), position initiated with tight risk It is either im getting stop from here onward, bcoz of Distribution or Possiblity of formation Trading Range #1 (Spring ) ***Purple Color Line **Red Color line indicate Schematic #2 Trading Range This is one of the leaders that i bought recently, since KLCI has been worsening past few weeks. Usually , whenever a Leader Stock , has been undergoing 4th/5th Stepping Stone (aka Trading Range, or 'Base' for the Non-Wyckoffian) , it is a sign that probably the stock has reaching its late stage. Some Stock Investors, would like to hold n enjoy the ride along the BuLL Run for The Leaders. But i learnt that, with some 15-20% profit, compounding, will give me a much better return. I simply cannot stomach for loss >6%. And i want to have good sleep. Investing is a marathon, and it is demanding a lot from you, mentally. Stress management is very important to stay long in this business.
MYX:MNHLDGLong
by drsyariz
Wyckoff Distribution - Cycle Top Is In?This idea is sharing the potential for the top being in for ETH and lower timeframe starting the final phase of Wyckoff Distribution. 🔍 Pattern Identification Phase A–E of a Wyckoff distribution. Buying Climax (BC) → Automatic Reaction (AR) → Upthrust (UT/UTAD) → Sign of Weakness (SOW). The “5a / 5b” double top corresponds to the Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD). The price currently sits near the midpoint of the channel, testing resistance around the 50-day SMA (yellow) and prior support-turned-resistance zones. 📉 Statistical Likelihood of Breakdown Historically, when this distribution schematic appears in crypto or equities, it resolves to the downside roughly 65–75% of the time — provided: Volume confirms weakness (volume declining on rallies and expanding on downswings). Lower highs and lower lows continue forming after the UTAD. Momentum (RSI) fails to confirm new highs (bearish divergence). RSI is below 50 and rolling over → neutral-to-bearish momentum. The price rejected near the 50-day SMA and upper channel resistance. Structure shows multiple failed breakout attempts above $4,200–$4,400, aligning with a classic distribution top. 📊 Based on backtests of Wyckoff distribution-type structures (in both traditional and crypto markets): Downside resolution probability: 70% ±10%. Neutral consolidation (sideways): 20%. Bullish continuation / spring scenario: 10%. 🧠 Validity of the Pattern on the Weekly ✅ Higher timeframe = stronger implication. On the weekly chart: The structure has clear symmetry to Wyckoff’s Distribution Schematic. There is a confirmed lower high (5b) near prior ATH. Volume contraction aligns with a mature distribution. RSI failing to reclaim 70 and diverging from price adds to bearish confluence. In Wyckoff methodology, patterns across multiple timeframes that confirm each other (daily + weekly) dramatically increase probability of follow-through. 🧩 Multi-Timeframe Synthesis Daily: short-term distribution (local microstructure) Weekly: intermediate distribution (macro confirmation) Monthly: major cycle-top distribution (potential cycle exhaustion) These three are nested fractals — the monthly chart is the “parent” structure of the same Wyckoff behavior visible on lower frames. That multi-timeframe confluence adds tremendous weight: In Wyckoff terms, a valid distribution on monthly + weekly + daily timeframes is statistically one of the highest-probability setups for a major markdown (≈ 80–85% historical probability once confirmed). 🧩 Fractal Nature of Wyckoff Structures Markets are fractal: smaller patterns nest inside larger ones. The daily distribution identified is the micro-mechanics — the short-term redistribution of supply near resistance. The weekly structure is the intermediate framework confirming that supply dominance isn’t just a blip but a developing trend. The monthly is the macro cycle top — the large-scale distribution that governs the whole market phase (multi-year). 📉 Typical Retrace Targets in Multi-Timeframe Distributions When a smaller-scale breakdown completes the macro distribution: Retrace depth: often 50–65 % of the total distribution height. For ETH, measured from the $4,800 top to the $1,400 macro base → retracement targets of $2,500–$3,000 are classic. In extreme cases (full Phase E markdown), price can revisit or slightly undercut the long-term demand line (~$1,800–$2,000) before new accumulation begins.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by GrammyWammy
8
ITMAX TO CONT MARK UPThis is a Re-Accmulation of Schematic #2, Rising Bottom From the pov of BUEC , my hypothesis for now, probably price would be making upward trajectory (Phase E) Taking 23/9 as landmark for the Trigger Bar : -This entry is an atypical type approach as compare to my original tactic -Bar (or Candlestick) @ 24th + 25th + 26th + 29th + 30th September, would be considered as the 'Stage Reversal' -This stage reversal , is also a type of SpringBoard -To be more specific, SpringBoard Schematic #2 Tight risk here. Pure Wyckoff
MYX:ITMAX
by drsyariz
KLCI SELLThis is a continuation from my previous post -Kindly refer to the link attached Yesterday, leaders has been acting weird, consisting of pathological behaviours. With lots of volatility and failed breakouts. These kind of environment and background are the kind that i want to avoid the most. As such, i was forced into cash and managed to book all profits. Being a Stock Investor, i am fully devoted to the action of individual stocks, dictating my plan in the market. -Probably @ level of 1640-1676 would be the end for this 2025 In the meantime, i am dipping toes incrementally if possbile. Balancing between risk n the upside. Staying cash is the prudent thing to do for me at the moment.
FTSEMYX:FBMKLCIShort
by drsyariz
SCGBHD CONT ITS MARKING UPThis is a continuation trade from my previous entry -Kindly refer to previous post (Link as attached) SCGBHD is one of the Leader in this current Bull Market. -Kindly refer to my post about KLCI Index In a bigger context, for now, i see SCGBHD is currently in Mark-Up Phase. I Re-Initiated position @ 2.35 today with an assumption that price is undergoing for Phase A : 1/ Purple Color line : Would be an imagination of a probable, Schematic #2 Of Re-Accumulation Trading Range 2/ Black Color line : Would be an imagination of a probable, Schematic #1 Of Re-Accumulation Trading Range PureWyckoff
MYX:SCGBHDLong
by drsyariz
KLCI TO CONTINUE BULLISHThis is a continuation from my previous post -Kindly refer to the link attached Since 3/10/2025, KLCI has been dropping for about 3.3% from the peak. Judging from the behaviour of current market leaders, i think KLCI most probably going to resume its uptrend from here (Black Box) -or it could further, plummet, slightly below the Black box (lingering around EMA 50) Im not sure, i have my own prediction but dont stick with it. At this moment October 2025, i managed to pull up around 140% total ROI of my account *(Heavy use of Margin ) For the Leadership stocks, they are acting very well at the moment And based on Wyckoff Projection , looks like KLCI able to reach 1700-1750 at the end of 2025? Or early 2026? Leaders mid bullrun October 2025 : SCGBHD, PEKAT, MNHDLG ITMAX (lead n rest) KGB FFB / KOPI (Cookie cutter) Spritzer (Category Killer) ---> These are my top Leaders
FTSEMYX:FBMKLCILong
by drsyariz
Fartcoin Wyckoff ReaccumulationCRYPTO:FARTCOINUSD looks to be in Wyckoff reaccumulation. Honestly, there’s nothing more to say, the chart speaks for itself. We’re currently sitting in the spring zone, waiting for a bounce, retest, and move up. In my opinion, that should unfold over the coming months. The risk here is that the spring I’m seeing might not actually be the spring, in that case, price could go lower. Still, I doubt it breaks below the current low; if it does, I’d say the downside risk sits around $0.5. The trend is slowly curling upward, and I’m looking at potential targets of: - Bear case: $2 - Base case: $3 - Bull case: $4
CRYPTO:FARTCOINUSDLong
by toghrulaliyev
SKBSHUT ON MARKING UPThis would probably a Type 2 # Schematic of Re-Accmulation with on going phase D completion My point of interest is inside the yellow box : -Huge Bar (or candlestick) @ 28/8/25 with influx vol, signifying that underlying fundamentals might be changing as it attracted big demand -Huge Bar, without subsequent feather's weight (or contraction), is a hazardous type of behaviour, that warrant me to monitor the subsequent event. -This hazardous behaviour is what wyckoffian termed as 'Time-Compression' Bar @ 19/9 & 22/9 formed a nice SpringBoard -Hence position intiated today with the Trigger Bar on-board PureWyckoff
MYX:SKBSHUTLong
by drsyariz
GBPUSD Buy Trade before NFP release. October 1 2025The trade was activated 1 hour before NFP fundamental was released. I use the 5min chart for entries and 15-1H for HTF Structure. I noticed that yesterday the previous supply was taken away creating a demand that is much powerful. In confluence with the recent economic data, I got some risk off environment but JPY is winning against USD. I followed that weakness to be able to validate this GBPUSD trade. Attached here is the chart showing simple bullish move that can be validated by adding your technicals (knowledge about supply and demand) plus fundamental analysis. RR: 3:1 Entry Model---> 5min BOS then retracement. Point of Entry :OB with Imbalance.
Long
by glyrad
$BTC Wyckoff DistributionPreliminary supply, or PSY: Occurs when significant interests start to sell lots of shares following a sharp upward trend. Volume increases and the price spread widens, indicating the possibility of a trend change. BC: buying climax, characterized by frequently significant rises in volume and price spread. The intensity of purchasing peaks, with professional interests filling heavy or urgent public demand at prices close to their peak. Since large operators require enormous public demand to sell their shares without reducing the stock price, a BC frequently occurs in conjunction with excellent earnings reports or other positive news. AR: Automatic reaction. After the BC, the strong buying significantly decreased, but the heavy supply persisted, and an AR occurred. The lower border of the distribution TR is defined in part by the selloff's low. ST: Stands for the secondary test, in which the price returns to the BC region to evaluate the demand/supply situation at the current price levels. Supply must exceed demand for a top to be confirmed, so volume and spread should decline as the price moves closer to BC's resistance zone. An ST could appear as an upthrust (UT), in which case the price goes above the resistance indicated by the BC and perhaps other STs before abruptly reversing to close below resistance. Price frequently tests the TR's lower boundary after a UT. SOW—sign of weakness: A downtrend to (or just barely past) the TR's lower border, typically accompanied by an increase in spread and volume, is an indication of weakness (SOW). The AR and the initial SOW(s) point to a shift in the stock's price movement, with supply now in control. Last point of supply, or LPSY: A weak rally on a tight spread following a test of support on a SOW indicates that the market is having significant difficulties advancing. Strong supply, low demand, or both may be to blame for this market's inability to recover. Before markdowns start in earnest, LPSYs signify the end of the demand cycle and the final distribution waves from large operators.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by EtherMatt
EG GOING FOR MARK UPThis is a Rising Bottom, #2 Schematic of Accumulation As you can see it, my point of interest would be over the yellow box area That is where a Feather's Weight formed. -a series of waves that undergone contraction, making higher high & higher low Then, Springboard formed afterwrds. -the final contraction : (focus on 12th, 17th, 18th stepmber Bar, or Cadnlestick whatever that you prefer) The bar on 17th Septmber, would be a Local Spring which further triggered me to initiate the position. Thus, with a trigger bar yesterday, position initiated as attached *added another position @ 1.30 I was away for some work yesterday didnt manage to update the opportunity as i always did I pray for your success endeavour, my friends .
MYX:EGLong
by drsyariz
SUNCON MARKING UPThis is a Schematic #2 Re-Accmulation The point of focus would be over the Stepping Stone area *(Black Color, Shaded Area) *SS (Stepping S) -SS, bascially a temporary 'place' / 'phase' where, the price would be lingering around before continuing the markup. The purple color arc **Purple Arrow, is a A type of Contraction. -A Contraction, indicating that the market participant has been reducing. -to be more specific, this is #1 schematic of SpringBoard I initiated my position from the Trigger Bar @ 22/8/25 (RM 6.07) Added another position today (RM 6.21)
MYX:SUNCONLong
by drsyariz
GME on SOL: The Wyckoff Accumulation Range Continues to UnfoldGME on SOL continues to unfold in its Wyckoff accumulation range, now spanning 185 days. It’s currently in phase C of the accumulation range development, and I’m looking for confirmation of price reclaiming the range low, taking support off the support lines and daily demand, and starting to form bullish orderflow. That, to me, would signal my thesis is correct and that price is in the process of a HTF deviation and reversal from these lows. Looking at the monthly, price has respected this accumulation range structure and has always rejected from the lows — just as it’s doing now. This could form a bullish pinbar close on the monthly from this low and reverse from here, aligning with the LTF if we get confirmations. Note this: the HTF is aligning to the LTF here imo, giving strong confluence. The same applies to the 1W, 2W, and 3W charts — all show the range well defined, rejecting the range low and deviating over many months. There’s only so long this will go on before the cause has developed enough and the effect takes place as price reverses and moves higher. And remember this: the longer the cause (development of the range), the greater the effect (the price movement that follows the cause). Reflect on price and think about where we could head if everything aligns as I’m forecasting and the narrative plays out as a whole. For me, the targets are clear and always have been with this coin (and AMC, WSB, and KITTY on SOL). I truly believe GME will smash a new ATH when the GME stock movement takes off (and it doesn’t seem too far away now!) and Roaring Kitty comes back on X. I think we’ll see an absolute melt-up in them all, with capital rotating between them all and the GME stock. The way I see it, price is in this local accumulation range as marked. Once we break out of this, the target is the ATH at $230 million MC — and let’s be honest, price moved from $2.83 million to $150 million in 3 days after breaking out of its prior accumulation range spanning only 36 days. Think what could happen after ranging here for 185 days within this local accumulation range, sat inside a larger range from the low of August 2024 where price has ranged for over 400 days! I think we see $500 million (a modest 2x) or maybe even $1 billion MC. I don’t think that’s out of the question if everything unfolds as I’ve discussed before — so imagine what AMC and WSB on SOL could also run to... It’s funny, because GME on SOL has been the weakest pair of them all despite being the centre of it all. Is it a telling sign of manipulation during the accumulation phase? Who knows. 1D: 2D: 3D: 1W: 2W: 3W: 1M:
Long
by marshyyy
GAMUDA CONTINUING MARKING UPThis is just a continuation from my previous thesis **pls refer to the link below I just want to mention that there is another formation of feather's weight (FW) (**Red line) since the Stepping Stone (SS) I would be labelling this FW as a form of SS It would be interesting if today's Bar / Candlestick, able to commit above yesterday's Bar/Candlestick (31/7/25) -Noticed the huge selling blocks (*Purple Arrow) EP n SL as attached (Position Intiated @ 31/7/25) PureWyckoff
MYX:GAMUDALong
by drsyariz