Wyckoffmethod

DELL TO CONTINUE MARKING UP So, finally the trading range reveals itself This is the typical Re-Accumulation #2 (The Rising Bottom) Based on Local Spring @ 1st September bar : -1st position intiated @ 2nd september, using the lower of bar @ 1st september as stop loss *(Red arrow) -Subsequent position @ 3rd september bar *(Red arrow) Heavyweight position at the moment Stop loss as attached Regarding vol, huge influx after announcement of triple digit earning

SPACE X WILL MARK UP This is a pure Technical Entry Position initiated @ 3rd September The bar from : 31August, 1September & 2Septmber formed the Schematic #2 of SpringBoard (Red LIne drawn) Thus Breakout @ 3September was an opportunity for me to initiate the position Tight Stop

MICRON LOOKS LIKE TO CONT MARK UP So far, this looks like a typical Re-Accmulation Schematic #2 The bar from 27August --> 3September : Formed SpringBoard -Noticed that the volume evaporating within this period 1st Postion initiated @ 3September **(if you zoom in enough this Bar, u will notice the local spring ) 2nd Position @ 4September Stop loss as attached Nothing much about volumes

NNE: Distribution complete. Now I'm hunting the accumulation.NNE has officially completed the technical target of the prior distribution, and price is now starting to show the first signs of accumulation. Now, we already have 2 clean taps inside the developing model. I would want to see it trade lower one more time, creating that 3rd Tap. If NNE gives us that third tap and confirms the structure, the local technical target offers roughly an +80% move from the setup area. From there, I wouldn't necessarily close everything. I'd take profits into the local TT and leave a runner positioned toward ATHs if the macro structure continues expanding. NNE itself remains a highly speculative advanced-nuclear company developing microreactor technologies, so the chart confirmation matters even more here. The distribution gave us the downside. Now I'm waiting for the structure that gives us the upside.

MSCI: BULLISH PLAYBOOK to ATHs What is good boys, My ideal scenario for MSCI is very simple: I want MSCI to take the main range and then begin developing a proper accumulation model. If we get the sweep + accumulation confirmation, this becomes an extremely high-probability macro long in my framework. And I'm not looking for a small bounce. If the model develops the way I expect, I believe MSCI can eventually trade well beyond its previous ATHs, with the larger macro projection offering potential ~600% spot upside towards ATHs, the first TP area. The important part? I don't want to buy before the model exists. Range low → Liquidity sweep → Accumulation → Confirmation → Macro expansion. Everyone wants the breakout. I want to be positioned where the breakout is manufactured.

NVT GOING MARK UP I would say that this is the typical Re-Accumulation type of Schematic #1 -Spring Setup Continued selling from 23rd July-29th July formed the Spring , with successful test of spring @ 31st july which was an absorption -look at the huge vol supply what attracted me most, the formation of beautiful Springboard @ 12,13,14 August Bar - I think that was also an Absorption With Trigger Bar today, position as attached

Gold (XAU/USD) — Wyckoff Distribution | Are We at LPSY? | 13 Aug Yes I simplified the Wyckoff Distribution to the three phases that matter most: 1. Buying Climax 2. Automatic Reaction 3. Secondary Test. Who needs all the small in-between labels when the big picture is this clean. They are there if you look for them though. Here's where we are. Price pushed to a Buying Climax at $4440, pulled back to the AR, rallied to a Secondary Test and reach the low again inside a clear Distribution Phase range. The question now is: are we at the Last Point of Supply? LPSY is where the final distribution happens before the Mark Down Phase begins! If yes, the Break of Ice below $4357 levels and then Low Volume Rally area below current price become critical to confirm the mark down phase: Then we have plenty of targets and watch zone for pullback into longs during our intraday set-ups. H4 Imbalance — $4259 H4 Watch Zone — $4240 H4 Watch Zone — $4160 Daily Imbalance — $4106 That's a potential 2500-3000 pips Mark Down Phase if the structure plays out as labelled. Not a prediction. Wyckoff gives us the map and the price confirms or invalidates. Give this a rocket if you want updates as it develops. God bless!!

GBPCAD SELLS GBPCAD Price Action is currently is a Mark-down phase, re-distributing orders before pushing further to the downside. I'm going to set my pending orders in that Last Point of Supply (LPSY)

CRWD GOING FOR MARK UP This looks like an Atypical form of Re-Accumulation for now -Specifically #2 Rising bottom I think the chart is too straightforward Nothing much to comment about volumes In view of Spring , i started bought @ 27th July and added more position @ 31st July Will added more if any Springboard in future, formed.

NETAPP COULD BE MARKING UP This is an atypical form of Re-accmuation trading range Bar @ 29th , 30th, 31st July formed the Springboard (Red Arrow) -noticed the supply reducing (this is an Absorption ) I bought my first position @ 29th July Added more @ 31st July Tight risk

AEHR TO CONTINUE MARKING UP This is an Atypical form of Re-Accumulation pattern, Specifically schematic #2 Coming from the recent blowup of earning results, price structure forming Springboard , @ Bar 4th, 5th , 6th August (Red Arrow) As supply reducing (volumes), i initiated first position 6/8/2026 as attached -i will be adding more once breakout occur (squat reversal )

SEAGATE TECH MIGHT BE MARKING UP My point of interest is within the black circle This looks like an Accumulation Schematic #2 , The Rising Bottom I think the current price structure is completing the Phase C , Which going towards Phase D if any Breakout from here onwards Bar 30th, 31st july & 3rd & 4th august are Springboard I intiated my first entry as attached. Will add more if any Trigger bar in future (Trigger Bar = Breakout from the Springboard area)

MICRON CONTINUE MARK UP To be honest, i am not sure exactly what kind of trading range would be forming I am buying simply because of the SpringBoard (Bar @ 21st & 22nd July) (+AI CHIP Catalyst) In view of trigger bar today, i initiated my position Tight risk

SIMO MARKING UP This is A Typical Re-Accumulation Trading Range, Schematic # 1 Spring Setup Bar 7th July formed the Spring 1st position bought @ 8th July 2026 2nd position added more today Im expecting another Test of Spring afterwards nothing much about volumes

XOMETRY LOOKS LIKE GOING MARK UP In bigger context, XOMETRY (XMTR) is an Atypical Reaccumulation Pattern -To be specific, Schematic #2, the rising bottom What attracted me, after the gapped up, price formed the feather's weight (Red line drawn) And local spring formed @ Bar 8th July 2026 I would say that Bar from 6th July until 9th July formed the SpringBoard I bought today with an expectation of : 1/ Bar breakout today 2/ or Bars form mini absorption before breakout occur Position as attached

AMD MIGHT CONTINUE MARK UP This might be a typical Re-Accumulation Schematic #2 Looks like a Power Play to me -Price >100% within 8w -Trading range depth ~20% I initiated my 1st position @ 26/6/2026 (With Perspective of Local Spring @ 26/6/26) Turned out, today's Bar, looks (29/6/26) like an impending Local Spring to me. Thus i added more position today (29/6/2026) Nothing much to comment about volumes. Overweight position at the moment Low Risk Entry

TERADYNE IS CONTINUING MARK UP This is the Typical Rising Bottom - Type #2 Schematic Of Re-Accumulation My point of interest would be at the area of red line arc -which coincide with the BUEC area Honestly i actually missed the optimum entry @ bar 25th Jun This is a bit confusing but ill try to make it simple : My 1st position initiated @ Bar 26th Jun -I took Bar 25th Jun as my reference point as if i was actually able to be travel back time backwards from 26th Jun to 25th Jun Added more position today 29/6/2026

MARVELL TECH POWER PLAY Coming from a huge Re-Accumulation Trading Range Honestly i missed the crazy run @ 30th March 2026 -i was reluctant as i got few other stocks to consider Back to Marvell, there was a velocity mark up >100% within 8weeks Despite huge supply (Red arrow), price dropped <20% ! Position initiated as attached from the perspective of Selling Climax @ Bar 5th Jun

CREDO TECH MARK UP This is an Atypical form of Re-Accumulation #2 From the perspective of BUEC (Red Color Circle) : 1/ huge supply @ 5/6/2026 (black arrow). -despite that, effort and reward was not tally (tally here means, bar @ 5/6/2026 should closed lower) 2/ Bar @ 2nd 3rd 4th Jun, formed Schematic #2 of SpringBoard Position intiated today, with asumption that there will be trigger bar soon. Tight risk

NOW Accumulation Accumulation Area for Now. 60% of upward and down Moves for the zone. duration May last Through November.

by Black_Sheep1

SPX/ES - Bayesian Market thesis 📊 SPX / ES — Bayesian Market Thesis (Academic Summary) 🎯 Objective Frame current market conditions using a probabilistic research process, not directional prediction, with emphasis on regime identification and invalidation logic. 🧠 Research Methodology (High-Level Transparency) Our process integrates multiple, independent analytical domains into a single probabilistic view: Probabilistic inference We evaluate competing market regimes and assign likelihoods that update as new information emerges. Market structure analysis (Modern Wyckoff) Focus on acceptance vs rejection, testing behavior, and transitions between accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. Flow & derivatives context Options-related positioning and transaction flow are used to understand how positioning may shape price behavior, not to forecast direction. Classical technical structure Trend quality, range behavior, and relative location within recent value are used as structural constraints. These inputs are cross-validated. No single signal determines the thesis. 🧱 Current Structural Context (Wyckoff Lens) Price is operating near upper range boundaries Multiple high-area tests with reduced follow-through Structure consistent with late markup transitioning into distribution risk ➡️ Upside continuation is conditional, not assumed. 📐 Bayesian Scenario Assessment Probability-weighted view (dynamic): Regime Probability Characteristics 🔴 Distribution / Downside Rotation ~60–65% Failed acceptance, rotational volatility 🟢 Bullish Continuation ~35–40% Requires sustained acceptance above highs Probabilities adjust as price resolves uncertainty. 🚦 Invalidation Criteria (Bullish Reassessment) The current thesis is invalidated only by structural confirmation, not isolated price excursions. Required conditions: Sustained acceptance above range highs Higher high followed by a higher low holding above prior resistance Expansion in range and follow-through consistent with demand-led control Absent these, upside moves are treated as tests, not confirmations. 🧭 Interpretation Guidance This is a location- and regime-based assessment Elevated prices increase sensitivity to invalidation signals Risk management outweighs conviction in late-cycle structure 🧩 Closing Note This framework is designed to continuously update expectations, not predict outcomes. Markets resolve uncertainty first — direction follows.

DISNEY 5 Years of Correction /Accumulation Next Phase Soon?Possible Accumulation Schematic#2 5 Years of Price Correction and Accumulation. Is this Building a cause for a new uptrend or Test ?

by Black_Sheep1

HBM MARKING UP This is an Atypical Re-Accumulation Pattern , Schematic # 2 Tightening price action , going to the right Classic of Feather's Weight Supply (black arrow), evaporating. Lowest was 22nd May 2026 Position initiated yesterday, Trigger Bar (breaking out of upper trading range) **Red circle area