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The Golden Trinity: Triple Divergence Confluence at Volume Void # Micro Gold Futures: Multi-Confluence Bullish Setup at Critical Juncture ## Market Structure Evolution (Points 1→3) The price action reveals a compelling narrative as buyers reassert control within a constructive sideways consolidation pattern. This accumulation phase, characterized by ascending support levels, suggests underlying strength despite the range-bound behavior. ## Technical Confluence Matrix at Current Position ### **Structural Confirmation** - **Higher High Formation**: The market has established a decisive higher high on the bar-level structure at this precise technical junction, confirming the shift in short-term momentum dynamics. ### **Volume-Weighted Analysis** - **VWAP Touch Point**: Price has precisely tested the Volume Weighted Average Price anchored from the local market low, providing institutional-level support validation at this critical level. ### **Divergence Trinity Setup** A rare triple-layered divergence configuration has emerged: - **Hidden Bullish Divergence**: Suggesting continuation of the underlying uptrend - **Classical Bullish Divergence**: Indicating potential reversal from oversold conditions - Both divergences align on the bar-level timeframe, amplifying the signal strength ### **Volume Profile Dynamics** - **OBV Breakout**: The On-Balance Volume indicator has decisively broken above its downtrend line, signaling a shift in accumulation patterns and renewed buying interest from smart money participants. - **Low Volume Node Rejection**: Point 3 marks a textbook rejection from a low volume area (LVN), a high-probability reversal zone where price typically finds little acceptance, creating a spring-loaded setup for directional movement. ## Trading Implications This confluence of technical factors creates a high-probability setup where multiple timeframes and indicators align. The rejection from the low volume node, combined with the structural higher high and triple divergence setup, presents an asymmetric risk-reward opportunity for positioned traders. ## Risk Considerations While the technical picture appears constructive, traders should monitor the sustainability of the OBV breakout and watch for volume confirmation on any upside continuation. The sideways market structure suggests patience may be required as the accumulation phase completes.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by jacesabr_real
OIL Trade Setup📢 NFX Trade Update – USOIL FX:USOIL Price pushed above $64, tagging the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, which I believe should hold. This move looks like a liquidity grab, hunting short stop-losses (our last setup included 😅). Classic SMC in play. Now we have clearer insight: the key question is whether price respects the 23.6% Fib or extends higher. Based on strong fundamentals (recent inventory build signaling oversupply), I doubt sustained higher prices. The bearish case still holds weight. 🎥 Full breakdown and details in the video.
GBEBROKERS:USOILShort
by niclaxfx
BITCOIN – CLEAN THE LOWS, BEFORE THE SHOWSLadies and gentlemen, Bitcoin has been trending up today, reaching the PRZ (~114,000). But under the hood, things aren’t as strong as they look. Let’s break it down: 🔎 Data & Orderflow Open Interest: Spiked heavily during today’s impulsive leg up on the LTF. Since the afternoon (Amsterdam time), perp OI has been climbing. Aggregated Spot CVD: Diverged bearish during the pump → no real spot demand, rally driven by futures only. Coin + Stablecoin OI: Both surged as price moved higher → confirming this was perp-driven. ExoCharts Orderflow: Clear cluster of top longers chasing the breakout. Now, CVD is rolling over into negative territory → signs of exhaustion. 📰 Macro Context Today’s soft PPI print fueled the move as retail chased longs. Tomorrow = CPI. The market is leaning bullish after today’s PPI surprise, expecting CPI to also come in soft. ⚠️ If CPI disappoints (comes in hot) → expect a wave down to clean weekend lows before any new leg higher. 🧩 Confluence Price is sitting at the anchored VWAP (ACWAP) from the 23 June low. We just touched the tip of an imbalance zone, overlapping with Fibonacci confluence. Combined with weak spot demand + perp-driven pump → edge leans bearish short-term. Price is sitting at the local POC. 🎯 My Take I believe BTC could dip down into the golden pocket, sweeping the lows, before moving back up Invalidation: Sustained time above 114,500 invalidates this idea and favors continuation higher. ✅ Summary: Today = perp-driven pump, weak spot demand. Tomorrow = CPI risk → if it misses, watch for liquidity grab to the downside before the next big move.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ThetaNomad
S (Sonic) 4H Pair/TF: S/USDT (Binance), 4H execution — confirm with Daily Rule: Enter/exit on bar close only; size by risk (≈1.0–1.2× 4H ATR) Levels: Support: 0.295–0.287 (demand), 0.275, 0.262 Resistance: 0.312, 0.330 (breakout trigger), 0.360 (then 0.385/0.420) Long Setups Range Buy (mean-revert) Buy zone: 0.295–0.287 (prefer a wick into the box + 4H close back above ~0.296) SL: 0.279 (or ATR-based) TPs: 0.312 → 0.330 → 0.360 Mgmt: Take 30–40% at TP1, move SL to BE; scale at TP2; runner to TP3 Breakout → Pullback (momentum) Trigger: Daily close ≥ 0.330 Buy retest: 0.326–0.332 SL: ~0.315 (or ATR-based) TPs: 0.360 → 0.385 → 0.420 Filter: Prefer MA6 > MA24 and price above SAR on the execution TF Short Setups Breakdown Short: 4H close < 0.287, sell the retest 0.287–0.289 → SL 0.296 → TPs 0.275 → 0.262 → 0.250 Failed-Breakout Fade: sweep 0.330–0.340 then 4H close back < 0.330 → SL 0.345 → TPs 0.312 → 0.300 → 0.290
Long
by khaghani
ALGOUSDT – Swing Trade Setup at Key SupportAlgorand (ALGO) recently posted an impressive 29%+ rally, showing renewed strength in the altcoin space. After topping out, price is now pulling back into a significant support zone around $0.23, aligning with previous structure and demand levels. This retracement could offer a high-probability long setup for swing traders. The support zone has historically acted as a launchpad for upside moves. A confirmation bounce or strong bullish candle from this area could lead to the next leg up. 🔹 Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Around $0.23 Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $0.28 – $0.33 🥈 $0.45 – $0.50 Stop Loss: Just below $0.22 A daily close below $0.22 would invalidate the setup and suggest further downside. Watch for volume confirmation and price structure near the zone.
Long
by Richtv_official
UPDATE: M2 Indicator issue partially fixed!Update: So I was able to get the “Global liquidity index” (yellow) indicator to show accurately by selecting all inputs EXCEPT “JPM2” (Japan money supply). I then tried any other indicators starting with “M2” for overlap and experimental purposes to see what the exact issue was and the glitch comes back as seen in my original post (yesterday). There is really weird "jump" and "pull back". Is something wrong with the Japan money supply – JPM2 – input? I used the “M2 Global liquidity Index – Time Shift – KH – KrystianHutyra” – in ORANGE to reference against the correctly working indicator and it showed the same issue from yesterday. Could this indicator (ORANGE) be linked to the JPM2?, I cannot change inputs on it as there are none, on offset the time. Thank you.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by shafiayahmad
Get Ready For a Bond Market CrisisThe yields on the US 10 Year Treasury are showing a really clear elliot wave outline that sugggests a big crisis may be coming. If we take a standard set of projection ratios relative to primary wave 1 (in green) then yields should easily break the 7.5 mark. This is going to crush risk premium, potentially lead to a crisis in the US, and could have far reaching consequences. Of course, if this is a wave 5 we're seeing into 2026 then yields could drop sharply - potentially in a 100% retracement of the move since 2020 - and theres only one reason why this might happen. Quite simply, a recession. So watch for the crisis in yields caused by a moonshot in the US 10 Year Yield, and then watch for the recession it causes when people actually start to buy percieved safe assets - bonds - and dump their risk assets.
TVC:TNX
by RogueEconomics
100% SURE PLAY ON JD.COM - CHINA IS ON FIRE! JD.com has just delivered a major technical breakout: ✅ The old bearish trendline has been broken after years of pressure. ✅ Price is now supported by the bullish trendline and reclaiming strength. ✅ Fibonacci extension points directly to a strong take profit zone between 47–68 USD. ✅ Weekly MACD cross = a big bullish signal confirming momentum shift. China’s tech sector looks ready to ignite, and JD.com is showing one of the strongest reversal setups in years. This is a high-conviction long play with clear upside potential. 🚀 My view: JD.com = multi-month bullish run ahead.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by TheAverageTrader00
TON — Range buy $3.05–$3.00 | SL $2.92 | TPs $3.22 / $3.30 / $3BINANCE:TONUSDT Timeframe: 4H (confirm with Daily) Levels Support: $3.05–$3.00 (demand), $2.80, $2.65–$2.60 Resistance: $3.22, $3.30 (breakout trigger), $3.48–$3.50, $3.80, $4.20 Long Setups: Range Buy (mean-revert) Buy zone: $3.05–$3.00 (prefer a wick into the box + 4H close back above ~$3.06) SL: $2.92 (or ~1.0–1.2× 4H ATR) TPs: $3.22 → $3.30 → $3.48 Mgmt: Take 30–40% at TP1, move SL to BE; scale more at TP2; runner to TP3. ============================= Breakout → Pullback (momentum) Trigger: Daily close ≥ $3.30 Buy zone on retest: $3.28–$3.32 SL: ~$3.12 (or ATR-based) TPs: $3.48 → $3.80 → $4.20 ============================= Short Setups (if we roll over): Breakdown Short: 4H close < $2.95, sell the retest $2.96–$2.98 → SL $3.06, TPs $2.80 → $2.65 Failed-Breakout Fade: sweep $3.30–$3.35 then 4H close back < $3.30 → SL $3.37, TPs $3.22 → $3.12 → $3.00
Long
by khaghani
Applying the Nx BIAS indicator to CHFJPYAfter my latest thread about the 🛡️ Nx BIAS 🛡️ indicator for determining market bias, I decided to take a scalp trade as a backtesting exercise on the CHFJPY pair. Entry details: Defined the DOL and Invalidation levels using the Nx Bias indicator on the 4H timeframe. Identified the area of interest and executed the entry on the 5M timeframe for the same pair. 📍📍 Note: I missed the first entry zone, but I re-entered on the second opportunity with a 1R target. The reason for the second trade was the high probability (+80%) of reaching the target. Normally, I risk 0.5% of my capital per trade, but this time I increased it to 1% for the second entry. Next steps and forward testing: I will be testing this indicator more extensively. The main goal is to rely solely on it for bias determination under live market conditions to evaluate its real-time performance, moving beyond backtesting results. Disclaimer: Do Your Own Research (DYOR). Best regards, Note: The indicator is not yet available and will be released soon under the name Nx Candle Bias.
Short
by mohx_404
Gold 3646 sell TP 3620The one-hour chart shows a minor support level at 3640, while 3620 is a major support level. The one-hour technical chart shows an M-top formation. Without data or news influence, the technical predictions are likely to hold. However, on the four-hour and weekly charts, the overall trend for gold remains upward. Yesterday, supported by data, gold experienced a significant pullback, then quickly rallied, but failed to break through the resistance level of 3660. Therefore, the upward momentum is currently insufficient, and gold is likely to continue its downward adjustment to around 3620 before rising again.✔️✔️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by vowgumlie
Technical and Fundamental Analysis of Form/USDT: Projected GrowtExecutive Summary Formation FI (FORM) is positioned for significant near-term growth, with strong technical and fundamental indicators suggesting a potential price increase from the current $3 level to $5.5. This represents a potential gain of approximately 83% based on current market conditions and project developments. Key Growth Catalysts 1. Innovative DeFi 2.0 Architecture Multi-strategy yield aggregation platform that dynamically allocates assets across DeFi protocols Cross-chain functionality with expanding support for Ethereum, BSC, Polygon, and Avalanche networks Smart rebalancing technology that maximizes APY while managing risk exposure 2. Strong Fundamental Metrics Total Value Locked (TVL) growth: 47% increase quarter-over-quarter, reaching $285 million User adoption: 38,500+ active wallets, with 22% monthly growth rate Revenue generation: Protocol revenues up 63% in Q2 2023, indicating sustainable economic model 3. Strategic Partnerships and Integrations Chainlink integration for secure price feeds and automated yield strategy execution Polygon collaboration for reduced gas fees and enhanced scalability Upcoming Binance Launchpool announcement anticipated in Q4 2023 Technical Analysis Current Chart Patterns (4H Timeframe) Bull flag formation identified with clear consolidation between $2.85-$3.15 RSI divergence: Hidden bullish divergence on daily chart indicating accumulation Moving averages: Price trading above 50-day and 200-day EMAs, confirming bullish structure Volume profile: Increasing volume on upward moves, decreasing on retracements Key Resistance and Support Levels Immediate resistance: $3.45 (previous high) Secondary resistance: $4.20 (Fibonacci 0.618 level) Target resistance: $5.50 (Fibonacci 1.272 extension) Strong support: $2.65 (200-day EMA + volume node) Price Targets and Timeline Short-term (2-4 weeks): $3.80-$4.20 range Medium-term (6-8 weeks): $4.80-$5.20 range Primary target: $5.50 (83% gain from current levels) Market Context and Timing Favorable Macro Environment DeFi recovery: Total DeFi market cap showing strength after 18-month consolidation Staking yield demand: Increasing institutional interest in sustainable yield generation FORM token utility: Enhanced tokenomics with veFORM model driving buy pressure Upcoming Catalysts Mainnet V2 launch (October 2023): Introducing leveraged yield strategies Governance proposals for token buyback and burn mechanism Cross-chain expansion to Arbitrum and Optimism networks Risk Factors and Considerations Potential Challenges Market volatility: Crypto markets remain susceptible to macro economic shifts Regulatory developments: Potential DeFi regulation could impact short-term price action Competition: Emerging yield aggregators may capture market share Risk Management Stop-loss recommendation: $2.40 (below key support level) Position sizing: Maximum 3-5% portfolio allocation recommended Profit-taking levels: Consider partial profits at $4.20 and $5.00 Conclusion Formation FI presents a compelling investment opportunity with strong fundamentals and technical positioning. The project's innovative approach to yield generation, combined with expanding TVL and user adoption, creates favorable conditions for price appreciation. The $5.50 target represents a realistic projection based on both technical patterns and fundamental growth metrics. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
Long
by AminAli7007
$SPX500 Swing Trade: Bullish SMA Setup!📈 S&P 500 CFD: Thief’s Bullish Pullback Plan 🤑💰 🚨 Swing/Day Trade Setup: S&P 500 Index CFDSteal profits with this 200 SMA Pullback Plan using the "Thief" layered entry strategy! 📊💸 Below is a detailed breakdown combining technicals, fundamentals, and market sentiment to help you navigate this bullish opportunity. Let’s dive in! 🐂 🎯 Trading Plan Overview Asset: S&P 500 Index CFD ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) Bias: Bullish 🐂 Strategy: Pullback to 200 SMA with layered "Thief" limit orders for entries Why This Plan? Technicals: The S&P 500 is riding record highs with strong momentum, supported by the 200 SMA as a dynamic support level. Fundamentals: Cooling inflation (PPI -0.1% vs. +0.3% expected), 100% Fed rate cut probability, and robust corporate earnings (+10% in 2025, +13% in 2026) fuel bullish sentiment. Sentiment: Neutral Fear & Greed Index (51/100) with low volatility (VIX ~15.04) and AI-driven institutional flows (e.g., Oracle +30%). 📊 Thief’s Technical Setup Entry Strategy: Use the Thief Layered Entry approach with multiple buy limit orders to catch pullbacks: 🔔 Buy Limit 1: $6,460 🔔 Buy Limit 2: $6,480 🔔 Buy Limit 3: $6,500 🔔 Buy Limit 4: $6,520 💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layer levels based on your risk tolerance and market conditions. You can enter at any price level or add more layers for flexibility! Entry Trigger: Pullback to the 200 SMA for optimal risk-reward. Stop Loss (SL): Suggested "Thief" SL: $6,440 (below key support). ⚠️ Note: Adjust your SL based on your risk management and strategy. Trade at your own risk, dear Traders! Take Profit (TP): Target: $6,700 (near resistance, potential overbought zone, or "police barricade" trap). 🚨 Note: Escape with profits before resistance hits! Set your TP based on your goals—don’t blindly follow mine. Take money at your own risk! 📡 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025, UTC+1) Daily Change: +37.43 points (+0.57%) YTD Performance: Record highs driven by AI optimism and Fed rate cut expectations. 😰😊 Fear & Greed Index Current Sentiment: Neutral (Score: 51/100) Breakdown: 📈 Market Momentum: Bullish (S&P 500 above 125-day MA). 🌬️ Volatility (VIX): Low (~15.04), signaling calm markets. 🛡️ Safe Haven Demand: Moderate (bonds lagging stocks). 💰 Junk Bond Demand: Slight greed (narrowing yield spreads). ⚖️ Options Activity: Balanced put/call ratio. 🏛️ Macro & Fundamental Analysis Producer Price Index (PPI): August PPI fell -0.1% (vs. +0.3% expected), easing inflation concerns. Fed Rate Cut: 100% probability of a 25-50 bps cut in September 2025. Labor Market: Weaker-than-expected (911K jobs revised down through March 2025). Corporate Earnings: Strong outlook (+10% growth in 2025, +13% in 2026). Key Drivers: 🚀 AI investment surge (e.g., Oracle +30%, Nvidia strength). 🌍 Geopolitical risks (Poland-Russia tensions, Middle East concerns). 📉 Trade policy uncertainties (Trump tariff threats). 🐂🐻 Sentiment Analysis Institutional Outlook: Cautiously optimistic 🏦 Deutsche Bank & Wells Fargo: S&P 500 targets at 7,000+ by 2026. 💡 Focus: AI capex and earnings resilience. Retail Trader Mood: Mixed but leaning bullish 📈 Meme stock activity (e.g., GameStop +10%). ₿ Crypto correlation (Bitcoin at $111.9K, Solana at 7-month highs). ⚡ Why This Plan Stands Out Technical Edge: The 200 SMA pullback is a proven strategy for swing/day traders, offering high-probability entries. Thief Strategy: Layered limit orders maximize flexibility and reduce risk of missing the move. Macro Support: Cooling inflation, Fed rate cuts, and AI-driven earnings create a bullish backdrop. Sentiment Boost: Neutral sentiment with low volatility supports steady upside potential. Risks to Watch: Geopolitical shocks, overvaluation concerns, and seasonal market weakness. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) Nasdaq 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tracks tech-heavy AI stocks driving S&P 500 momentum. VIX ( TVC:VIX ): Monitor volatility spikes for potential reversals. US 10-Year Treasury Yield ( TVC:TNX ): Impacts risk sentiment and stock valuations. FX:USDJPY : Correlates with risk-on/risk-off market moves. Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ): Tracks retail sentiment and risk appetite. 🚨 Key Takeaways 🏆 S&P 500 at record highs, supported by soft PPI and Fed cut expectations. 😎 Neutral sentiment with a greedy tilt if macro data improves. 🤖 AI trade dominates institutional flows, powering bullish momentum. 📅 Watch upcoming CPI data and Fed meeting for next catalysts. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #SPX500 #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #AI #FedRateCut #TradingIdeas
SP:SPXLong
by The-Thief
The overall bullish trend remains unchangedI personally believe that the overall trend remains bullish. The revised employment data the next day was worse than market expectations, and it rose and then fell. After all, this wave stretched from 3300 to around 3680, and there has never been a double-negative correction, so the market also needs to take a breather. It is currently in a high-level fluctuation, so don’t chase it up or down. 4H: Still in the rising channel, pay attention to the 3615-25 support in the short term, and the upward trend is mainly bullish. Key support level: 3630-35 Trading suggestion (valid on first touch) Buy around 3620-25, SL 8 points, 10-50 points of support OANDA:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by James_Miller_
Wyckoff Stage #4 Markdown?- NASDAQ:SNPS crashed on September 10, 2025 but I'm not interested in buying it yet. - Fundamentally it had a premium valuation which has gotten little compressed but I think it deserves to be punished more. - Monthly chart looks ugly and NASDAQ:SNPS is likely in a Wyckoff Stage #4 - Fundamentally, year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 13.72 | 15.35 | 18.27 | 22.76 EPS% | 4.54% | 11.92% | 19.00% | 24.59% EPS is fluctuating from 4% to 24% in 2028. Considering average eps % to be 15%. Fair forward p/e would be 15 but I am willing to pay 20 forward p/e as the base case. Fair value: year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 13.72 | 15.35 | 18.27 | 22.76 Price | $274 | $307 | $365 | $455 Bull Case ( forward p/e of 30 ) year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 13.72 | 15.35 | 18.27 | 22.76 Price | $411 | $460 | $548 | $682 Bear Case ( forward p/e of 15 ) year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 13.72 | 15.35 | 18.27 | 22.76 Price | $205 | $230 | $274 | $341
NASDAQ:SNPSShort
by bigbull037