EURUSD Sell???Price has been in a descending weekly range, however during that time I've been in profit and taking partials while scaling in as well to account for swap fees, you guys should know my trading style by now, once I take direction I will commit until I see a break in the form of CISD then I will wait for retracement then exit.
Long story short I'm still short on EU, actually looking for more scaling in opportunities today as I expect FED rate cuts to strengthen my position pushing price closer to my TP 1.154.
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GOLD ANALYSIS FOMC VOLATILITY AHEAD: What to Expect 10/Dec/2025PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS FOMC VOLATILITY AHEAD: What to Expect Today (December 10, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones.
Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan.
📰 Market Overview
Gold continues to consolidate inside the mid-range after reacting from discount areas earlier this week.
Price is rotating upward within the 4200–4240 structure, slowly gravitating toward premium liquidity pockets ahead of the year’s final FOMC event today at 07:30 UK Time.
Despite mild USD strength, gold remains fundamentally supported by:
Dovish expectations for a December rate cut
Rising geopolitical uncertainty
13-month streak of central-bank accumulation led by China
Stabilizing U.S. yields creating favorable conditions for non-yielding assets
Smart money continues its clean cycle:
accumulate at discount → distribute at premium, keeping the broader trend bullish.
🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move
📈 87–90% probability of a December Fed rate cut
→ Boosts gold’s macro upside as yield pressure softens.
💵 USD rebound remains limited
→ Weakens trend pressure; supports continued upside rotation.
🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China, Middle East)
→ Sustains safe-haven flow into metals.
🏦 China’s gold-buying streak hits 13 months
→ Reinforces long-term structural demand.
📊 Cooling bond volatility
→ Keeps dips shallow; encourages bullish continuation.
Narrative remains unchanged:
Macro uncertainty + institutional hedging + global de-dollarization = smart money remains net-long.
📰 Insights From Key Sources
“Markets pricing ~88% probability of 25bps cut.”
Fed officials hint rate cuts in 2026 may slow due to sticky inflation.
BRICS gold-backed settlement mechanism gaining traction.
ETF inflows hit strongest levels in 18 months.
Miners report supply constraints and rising extraction costs.
Analysts highlight potential gold revaluation risks tied to U.S. debt trajectory.
The story is unified across sources: smart money continues buying dips while the macro remains supportive.
📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH
🔸 FOMC Rate Decision & Powell Speech (Today — 07:30 PM UK Time)
Dovish outcome → strong bullish continuation toward sell zones
Hawkish tone → temporary liquidity grabs into buy zones
🔸 US CPI (Tomorrow)
Hot CPI → delays 2026 easing
Soft CPI → boosts rate-cut expectations
🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS
Gold is rotating cleanly between premium sell zones → discount buy zones, respecting institutional footprints and delivering predictable trading behavior.
Price is currently positioned near mid-range, reacting between scalp levels and major sell zones.
🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4172 – 4157
Primary deep-discount institutional demand zone.
Expect:
✔ Strong first-tap reaction
✔ Accumulation wicks & mitigation plays
✔ Higher-low formation if FOMC dips into discount
Break below 4157 → opens liquidity draws toward 4140 → 4115.
🔸 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4237 – 4248
Intraday premium zone ideal for liquidity grabs & short-term reactions.
Expect:
✔ Fast rejection wicks
✔ Scalp reversal setups before FOMC volatility
✔ Short-term fades into mid-range
Clean break → price gravitates to major sell zone.
🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4267 – 4282
Major premium distribution zone high-probability reversal region.
Expect:
✔ Manipulation above prior highs
✔ Stop hunts before the real move
✔ Swing short setups on rejection
Break & hold above 4282 opens targets:
➡ 4300 → 4318 → 4350 liquidity
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains bullish as long as the 4172–4157 demand zone holds, with smart money continuing to accumulate every dip. FOMC volatility may create temporary spikes, but structural bias stays upward unless discount levels break. Follow the zones, stay disciplined, and let liquidity guide your entries.
🙌 Support the Analysis
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M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
Gold (XAU/USD) at a CrossroadsGold has been consolidating within a well-defined ascending channel on the 4H timeframe, following a strong rally from late October. Recent price action has formed a clear range between the previous weekly high and low, with intraday swings narrowing, a classic sign of compression before expansion.
As the market awaits today’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision, the technical and macro setups appear to be converging.
On the 4-hour chart, gold continues to respect a broad upward channel, with a midline that has acted as a pivot zone. Current price action is hovering just above the channel midline and near the previous day high (PDH) and previous week low (PWL) levels, suggesting indecision.
Key Zones to Watch:
Support:
4,164–4,170 – Confluence of prior lows, minor Fibonacci zones
4,134 – Structural swing low; loss of this level could signal a deeper correction
4,040–4,050 – Historical demand zone and previous reaction area
Resistance:
4,246–4,265 – PDH / PWH zone; the top of current range
4,381 – Channel upper bound and extended target if bullish continuation resumes
Price has been trapped between ~4,170 and 4,265, forming a sideways structure or distribution phase. This type of price action often precedes large moves, the question is: which direction?
Macro Context – Fed Expected to Cut, But Tone May Be Hawkish
Today’s FOMC meeting is widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut, marking a potential shift from the high-rate regime of the past 18 months. However, market attention is squarely focused on the tone of the Fed’s forward guidance.
Several Fed officials have recently pushed back on aggressive easing expectations, signaling that even if a cut comes now, the path ahead may not be as dovish as markets hope. This sets the stage for what analysts call a “hawkish cut”, a rate reduction delivered with caution, and paired with messaging that suggests further cuts will be gradual or data-dependent.
Implications for gold:
-A hawkish tone may push U.S. yields and the dollar higher, applying pressure on gold
-A dovish surprise (or less hawkish tone) could boost gold, as it benefits from lower yields and a weaker USD
-The outcome could trigger significant short-term volatility, especially as gold is sitting near key technical levels
Bullish Scenario:
Fed cuts + dovish or neutral tone → yields fall, USD weakens
Gold breaks above 4,265 and
Upside targets: 4,320, 4,381, and possibly 4,400+ into early Q1 2026
Bearish Scenario:
Fed cuts, but tone is hawkish → yields rise, USD strengthens
Gold breaks below 4,164, then 4,134
H4 BULLISH REVERSAL SETUPGold (XAUUSD) – Technical Idea Based on our Chart From our chart, gold is moving inside a rising trend, and after breaking out of a descending/sideways channel, the price seems to be entering a new zone. Here is the structured idea: --- 1. Trend Outlook Gold is still in a bullish structure overall because: Price has formed higher highs and higher lows. The breakout from the blue channel indicates renewed bullish momentum. --- 2. Key Zones Identified in Your Chart Green Zone → Potential Target Area You marked a green box showing a possible bullish target around 4284 area. This suggests you expect: A small pullback Followed by a continuation toward the upside Red Zone → Risk/Stop Zone You marked the lower red box around 4191 area, which looks like your risk zone where the trend could fail. --- 3. Expected Price Movement Your sketch shows: A slight dip into the support region Then a strong bullish push upwa
EURCHF 1D EURCHF shows a clean technical structure that rarely deceives a focused trader. After a strong impulse price reacted precisely at the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 0.93884 confirming strong demand near the upper boundary of the range. The current setup suggests a pullback toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 0.93123 which forms the optimal continuation zone. As long as price maintains this area the trend remains bullish and limits the risk of a deeper correction. Once the market stabilises above the Fibonacci cluster the first target stands at 0.94419. The second target at 0.96107 reflects the natural extension of the current impulse. Volume supports buyers and creates favourable conditions for a sustained move higher. The logic here is simple the market pauses only to regain strength for the next leg.
USOIL strong down trend entry on consolidation breakdown USOIL Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
USOIL continues to show strong downside momentum, with sellers maintaining control. Price is currently respecting the downtrend structure, and a consolidation breakdown below 59,100 is confirming further bearish pressure.
📉 Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: 58,300
Next Major Support: 56,400
As always, ensure you are using proper risk management and wait for clear confirmations before entering any position.
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USDCAD Ascending channel pattern buy on consolidation breakoutUSOIL Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
USOIL continues to show strong downside momentum, with sellers maintaining control. Price is currently respecting the downtrend structure, and a consolidation breakdown below 59,100 is confirming further bearish pressure.
📉 Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: 58,300
Next Major Support: 56,400
As always, ensure you are using proper risk management and wait for clear confirmations before entering any position.
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USDJPY Strong down trend & major support breakdown sell strong 📉 USD/JPY – Sell Setup Update
USD/JPY is showing bearish momentum following a support-zone breakdown, with price now retracing toward the 156.000 region.
I’ll be watching this area closely for potential sell opportunities if the retest confirms resistance.
🔍 Technical Targets (H1 Timeframe):
155.300
154.700
153.700
As always, use proper risk management and adjust position sizes according to your trading plan.
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BTCUSD Selling from key supply zone at 92,000BTC/USD Analysis – Potential Sell Setup
Bitcoin is approaching a key supply zone near $92,000, where selling pressure may increase. If price rejects this level, the following support targets remain in focus on the 4H timeframe:
$89,200
$84,700
$82,100
Always ensure you apply proper risk management and follow your trading plan.
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FORGET RISK to REWARD - take profit where the market shows youAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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FOMC & Fed Press Conference Outlook – XAUUSDFOMC & Fed Press Conference Outlook – XAUUSD
Gold remains supported above the 4200 zone, and I’m looking for continuation as long as this structure holds.
My trade is positioned with an entry at 4202, targeting the 4290 level, with a protective stop-loss at 4176.
Volatility is expected during the FOMC statement and the Fed press conference. A dovish tone could support further upside, while any hawkish remarks may create short-term pullbacks
This setup is shared for educational purposes only Always manage your risk during high-impact events
GBPAUD 10 Dec 2025Reasons for entering the trade:
1. Daily divergence
2. 4H channel bottom support
3. 1H Bermuda Kumo
4. Break of the red Kumo on the 1H and 15-minute timeframes, followed by a rejection to the downside
5. Break of the 15-minute resistance and completion of the pullback
Entry: 2.00496
TP: 2.01068
SL: 2.00129
“BTCUSD Poised for Bullish Continuation After FOMC Rate Cut”Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently trading around the $92,600 zone as price consolidates within a well-defined range following recent macroeconomic developments. Market structure remains constructive, with buyers showing continued interest on every dip.
🔹 Key Levels
Support: $90,020
Resistance: $94,600
Extended Upside Target: $97,500
Price continues to respect the broader bullish trend, and the recent FOMC rate-cut decision has added further momentum to risk-on assets, including Bitcoin. This macro catalyst strengthens bullish sentiment and increases the probability of an upside breakout.
As long as Bitcoin holds above the $90,020 support, the bullish structure remains intact. A decisive break and close above $94,600 could open the path toward the next target around $97,500, where the next supply zone is expected to emerge.
🔸 Outlook
Momentum indicators continue to lean positive, and market participants appear to be pricing in further easing conditions. Unless support is lost, BTCUSD is well-positioned to extend its upward move.
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