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Playing the Short-Term Setups with Clear Risk/RewardPlaying the Short-Term Setups with Clear Risk/Reward Is BTC going to rally or are we living the end of a cycle? Would love to read your opinion in comments :) I’ve mentioned before how crucial the $107k level is in the bigger picture, and I still stand by it. It’s a major support zone and losing it could open the door for deeper corrections, as stated in the previous idea. But as traders, we don’t need to predict the future months ahead. What makes me smile is finding clear, short-term opportunities with solid margins. Right now, price is testing a local resistance. 🚀 If we get a clean breakout, I’m looking to go long , aiming for about +5.5% upside with just 1.5% risk (stop loss). That’s the kind of asymmetric setup I love. 📉 On the flip side, if Bitcoin slips below $107k, instead of panicking, I’ll look for the fast and easy short trade. The idea is to capture a quick 5% downside move with again a tight 1.5% stop loss , knowing that volatility and rebounds in these zones make hard to hold a long term bearish position. 👉 I’m not here to predict the “final direction” for the long term. I like to focus on trading with safety, confidence, and wide profit margins in the short term. That’s where my consistency is built.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TopChartPatterns
9
SOL won’t make it to the new ATH??We see this bullish novel on the 1D timeframe, which is a strong formation in this kind of trend. Next, one of the most important Fibonacci levels in my opinion is 0.314, which is closing our volume gap (visible more clearly on the 1W timeframe). These two confluences, plus the divergence seen from the 1D TF downward, make me think of a possible slight downtrend from the 223–229 area, with potential liquidity grabs up to 232. In that case, we could be back at 193 and then continue the ride toward a new ATH. One thing we need to keep in mind (but just as a possibility) is the Head & Shoulders formation from March 2024, with the head at the ATH and a potential right shoulder forming right now. It’s a darker scenario, but we shouldn’t forget about it. So, I remain bearish until we break above $240. Let’s see what the market gives us.
by witowskiantoni
SOL NEW ATH SOON?We see this bullish novel on 1d timeframe which is strong formation in that kind of trend. Next one of the most important levels of fibonacci imo ofc 0.314 which is closing our volume gap seeable better at 1w timeframe. So this 2 confluences plus divergence seeable from 1d TF down makes me thinking of possible slight downtrend from area 223-229. Possible lq till 232. In that case we could be back at 193 and then continue ride for ATH Thing we need to concentrate our attention but just a little lets keep it possible is head n shoulders formation from march 2024 with head on ATH and possible right shoulder forming right now. Its dark scenario but lets not forget about it. So im bearish until we break 240 $ Lets see what market will give us
by witowskiantoni
1
Goldman lays out the case for $5,000 gold – here’s how it happenGoldman Sachs has warned that gold prices could surge to $5000/oz if the Trump administration succeeds in undermining the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve. A politicized Fed is seen as likely to cut rates extremely aggressively (Treasury Secretory Scott Bessent and Trump have called for an interest rate of 1.5% and 1.0%, respectively) to stimulate short-term growth, raising the risk of higher inflation. Such a move could drive investors away from traditional safe havens like the U.S. dollar and government bonds. In a report released this week, Goldman noted that if just 1% of the privately held U.S. Treasury market shifted into gold, prices could rise by about 40% from current levels.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Is gold at its peak?Gold has staged a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move. The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was bullish for gold, yet gold plummeted after the data release. There’s no need for confusion—it’s not as you might think, that bullish data means the price rises and bearish data means it falls. If it were that simple, everyone would be making money. Data and fundamentals are reflected in prices, but such reflections can be ahead of time, lagging, exceeding expectations, or falling short of expectations. Judging which scenario it is depends solely on the historical database one has accumulated and long-term real-trading experience. Today, I added to my gold positions twice and am still holding them. Even if the price falls further, my profits won’t decrease. This is because I believe today’s decline is most likely a result of some profit-taking traders closing their positions on the opportunity—after all, there have been no major bearish factors in the fundamentals yet. Whether a daily-level correction will occur still requires further observation. After all, since the rally started on August 20, there has been no real daily-level correction except for the sharp intraday pullback on September 4, and a correction would actually make the trend healthier. The period from now to next week is a critical short-term window for gold. I will closely track and analyze the market every day. If you lose your direction in such a market, you can follow me or leave me a message.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/09/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/09/2025 US30 just retested the major resistance cluster (45,690–45,762) and rejected again. Price continues to respect this ceiling, with buyers failing to hold momentum above it. Currently trading near 45,670, the index is consolidating under supply. The EMAs are pointing up slightly, showing short-term bullish momentum, but the rejection confirms sellers are still defending the top of the range. 📊 Current Market Behavior: 🚀 Push into resistance → rejection wick 📉 Supply stacked at 45,690–45,760 🧱 Support forming at 45,500–45,320 ⚠️ Market coiling → breakout setup 📌 Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance Zones: 45,690 → Immediate supply 45,739 → First rejection line 45,751–45,762 → Strong ceiling (triple top zone) 🔹 Support Zones: 45,500 → Short-term demand 45,320 → Structural support 44,988 → Deeper floor 44,704 → Strong demand zone 🧠 Bias: ⚖️ Neutral → leaning bearish below 45,690 Above 45,762 = bullish breakout Below 45,320 = bearish correction
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
XRP Quarterly Breakout & XRP/BTC Ratio Analysis1) The Current Technical Structure (XRP/USD) The quarterly chart for XRP confirms a powerful technical setup: - A classic Bollinger Band breakout on this long timeframe. - RSI at 82 , indicating extremely strong momentum. - The quarterly candle closed significantly above the upper band, pulled back to test it, and is now pushing higher again. - This is the exact type of pattern that has historically preceded major multi-year bull markets in other assets. Quarterly Data - Q3 2024: Closed at $2.08 (massive breakout quarter). - Q4 2024: Closed at $2.09 (consolidation at resistance). - Q1 2025: Closed at $2.24 (reaffirmation of trend). - Q2 2025: Closed at $2.82 (continued expansion). ________________________ 2) Historical Precedents and Outcomes - Nasdaq (1999): Led to a 5-year rally before a significant correction. - Gold (2006): Preceded a multi-year rally into 2011. - Bitcoin (2017): Sparked a 3-year bull market cycle. The failed examples: - Oil (2008): Collapsed due to global recession and demand destruction. - Bitcoin (2021): Failed due to excessive leverage and lack of regulatory clarity. Key Insight: Sustained precedents coincided with fundamental shifts (tech adoption, central bank easing, institutional crypto entry). Failures were tied to crises or regulatory headwinds. ________________________ 3) XRP’s Fundamental Context XRP stands apart from failed cases because: - It now has regulatory clarity that Bitcoin lacked in 2021. - There is potential ETF approval , which could bring institutional flows. - The financial industry continues to explore blockchain-based payment solutions. ________________________ 4) Long-term Value Perspective - Volume Confirmation: Breakout quarters showed 6–16bn vs prior lower levels, consistent with accumulation. - Regulatory Sequenance: Momentum followed clarity, unlike Bitcoin 2021. - Relative Valuation: Despite momentum, XRP hasn’t shown the euphoric valuations typical of late-cycle blow-offs. Benjamin Graham’s principle applies: “The market is a voting machine in the short run, but a weighing machine in the long run.” The market here seems to be weighing XRP’s improved fundamentals. ________________________ 5) XRP/BTC Ratio Analysis – Structural Strength Looking at the XRP/BTC pair adds critical confirmation: - Bottoming (2023–2024): Ratio held around 0.000007–0.000008 BTC. - Breakout (Q3–Q4 2024): Jumped to 0.000022 (≈129% vs BTC). - Consolidation (Q1 2025): Formed higher base at 0.000020–0.000025. - Continuation (Q2 2025): Held 0.000026 despite Bitcoin’s own strength. This is a textbook basing → breakout → consolidation → continuation pattern on a quarterly ratio chart — much stronger evidence than USD price alone. ________________________ 6) Comparative Historical Context - Bitcoin 2015–2017: Similar long-term basing before secular breakout. - Ethereum 2016–2017: Ratio strength vs BTC came before ETH’s surge. The distinction: XRP broke out after regulatory clarity, unlike BTC in 2021, which surged first and then faced challenges. ________________________ 7) Volume Analysis - Elevated volume through the 2023–2024 base. - Explosive volume during Q3–Q4 2024 breakout. - Healthy, consistent participation during Q1 2025 consolidation. - Renewed interest into Q2–Q3 2025. This mirrors institutional accumulation profiles in traditional markets during secular shifts. ________________________ 8) Long-term Investment Perspective From a value perspective, the XRP/BTC ratio suggests: - Base Length: Nearly a year before breakout. - Breakout Magnitude: More than doubled vs BTC. - Consolidation Quality: Higher lows held above resistance. - Regulatory Timing: Breakout followed, not preceded, clarity. This aligns with the principle that the market is now “weighing” XRP’s improved fundamentals. ________________________ 9) Risks to Monitor - Correlation: XRP still linked to crypto market flows. - RSI 82: Signals potential near-term overextension. - ETF uncertainty: Approval timelines could sway sentiment. - Invalidation levels: A quarterly close back inside Bollinger bands (USD) or sustained loss of 0.000020–0.000022 (BTC ratio). ________________________ 10) Conclusion Both the quarterly USD breakout and the XRP/BTC ratio strength point to a structural, early-to-mid cycle revaluation rather than late-cycle froth. For long-term investors, this resembles the early stages of prior secular breakouts (Bitcoin 2015–2017, Ethereum 2016–2017, Gold 2006). While corrections of 30–40% are likely along the way, the structural thesis remains intact as long as the quarterly patterns hold. ________________________ Not financial advice. Extracted directly from TrendSpider Sidekick analysis (Warren, the Long Term Investor).
by ToTheMoo
2
Infosys Holding Strong at Powerful Support – Big Move AheadThis is the weekly chart of Infosys (INFY). INFY is currently trading within an ascending parallel channel, with a strong support zone in the ₹1300–₹1400 range. The stock has shown a bounce from this level, offering traders and investors a favorable opportunity to accumulate. If this support sustains, the next potential upside targets are around ₹1750–₹1800, with the upper boundary of the channel positioned near ₹2100–₹2200. Thank you.
NSE:INFYLong
by FiveCircles
BTCUSDT 1H Chart Analysis !!BTCUSDT 1H Chart Analysis Current Price BTC is trading near $111,000, sitting right on top of the trendline support. The 111K MA (Moving Average) is also aligned here, adding extra strength to this support zone. Resistance Zone The most important level above is $113,000. This has acted as a ceiling multiple times; a clean breakout with volume could send BTC quickly higher. Bullish Scenario 🚀 If BTC breaks $113K with strength, the next upside targets are: $115,000 (psychological resistance) $117,000 (measured move from the ascending structure). Strong breakout here may trigger short squeezes, fueling momentum. Bearish Scenario ⚠️ If BTC fails to hold the trendline + MA support, price could drop back into the $109K–108K demand zone (highlighted green box). Below $108K, downside risk increases sharply. Market Context Structure is higher-lows, showing buyers still defending dips. But BTC is stuck in a range between support ($111K) and resistance ($113K). BTC is at a decision point. ✅ Break above $113K = bullish continuation toward $115–117K. ❌ Rejection and break below support = pullback into $109–108K demand zone.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
1