XAUUSD(GOLD): Strong Sell To Continue For While, Let's Wait! Dear Traders,
We hope you’ve had a great week. As the trading week concludes today, we can now analyse the potential price movement following a significant drop of over 1400 pips. Several factors contributed to this decline, including both technical and fundamental reasons, though the latter played a more prominent role. We anticipate further downward pressure until the price reaches the $4400 to $4300 region. At this point, a strong bullish reversal could propel the price towards $5000. If you agree with our analysis, please like and comment.
The Setupsfx_ Team
Xauusdtrading
4600 Gone — Bottom or Breather?Geopolitical tensions have shown signs of easing, directly reducing gold’s safe-haven demand. Strong U.S. April retail sales data further crushed hopes for near-term rate cuts. Additionally, the arrival of a new Fed Chair introduces medium-term uncertainty. Under the weight of these factors, gold has finally broken below key support to the downside. As noted during yesterday’s session — this decline was expected, with the first target around 4600.
On the current technical structure, the daily chart has formed a bearish arrangement. The 4H has entered oversold territory, suggesting a technical bounce is likely — but the strength of that bounce may be limited. The weekly chart is now approaching key support at MA30. Once that level breaks, the next key support will be MA60 (the 4100–4000 zone).
For intraday trading, given the oversold condition and potential for a bounce, small long positions can be considered — but don’t get too greedy. A one-pin bottom may appear, but a double or multiple bottom would be a safer setup, as such patterns tend to offer more room for a rebound.
During any bounce, watch for resistance in the 4610–4630 zone. If the bounce lacks strength, that area should offer another selling opportunity.
XAU/USD 15May 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed according to my alternative scenario analysis dated 12 May 2026 where I mentioned that we have seen a significant narrowing of the internal range. H4 internal structure remains bearish, therefore, it is a probability that price could target strong internal low and print a bearish iBOS.
Price did target strong internal low and printed a bearish iBOS.
Bullish CHoCH positioning, to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line.
Price is currently trading with an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday expectation:
Price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH. Price to then trade up to either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,556.520.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Case Study Update – W Pattern Failure & Weekly AnalysisThe market has now reacted strongly to the zones discussed in our previous case studies, and an important structural message is becoming clearer:
⚠️ The W Pattern failed to sustain.
After showing temporary bullish recovery attempts, price failed to hold above the key resistance and retest areas. The market respected the previously marked weekly sell zones and resumed weakness under broader bearish pressure.
🔍 What Happened?
In earlier updates:
We discussed the possibility of a bullish recovery if resistance zones were reclaimed
A bullish engulfing candle and W formation hinted at short-term upside
However, confirmation above higher resistance never sustained
Now the market has:
✅ Retested the weekly supply zone
✅ Failed near resistance structure
✅ Shifted momentum back toward bearish continuation
This is why structure confirmation matters more than pattern appearance alone.
📉 Current Market Structure
The broader trend still remains:
Lower highs
Heavy resistance pressure
Weak bullish follow-through
Repeated rejection from supply zones
The recent rejection near the 4700–4800 region reinforces the idea that sellers are still defending higher levels aggressively.
📌 Key Zones Going Forward
🔴 Resistance / Supply:
4700 – 4880 zone
5011 higher resistance
5179+ major breakout confirmation area
🟢 Support / Reaction Areas:
4490 – 4345 important reaction zone
4110 structural support
Deeper panic sell continuation possible below weekly support breaks
Weekly Buy zone 4450-4500 will be Point of Interest if final Bullish structure sustains.
🧠 Professional Perspective
One of the biggest lessons from this case study is:
A pattern without higher timeframe alignment often fails.
The W pattern looked attractive visually, but the:
Weekly trend remained bearish
Market was still trading under descending structure
Supply zones were never fully reclaimed
This created a high probability of rejection rather than sustained reversal.
📚 What This Teaches Traders
✅ Trend context matters more than candle excitement
✅ Retest failures often reveal true market direction
✅ Bigger timeframe pressure dominates smaller timeframe optimism
✅ Patience near zones is more valuable than prediction
The market is currently behaving like a classic:
📌 “Relief rally inside a bearish structure.”
⚠️ Important Reminder
Patterns can fail unexpectedly during:
Strong weekly trends
High volatility sessions
Weekend gaps / Friday reactions
News-driven liquidity events
Always combine:
Structure + Confirmation + Risk Management
📖 Series Continuation
This post continues our earlier XAUUSD educational case studies where:
Head & Shoulder structures were mapped
Sell zones were identified
Retest behaviour was discussed step-by-step
The market’s reaction to those zones is now becoming a live lesson in trend continuation psychology.
⚠️ Educational case study only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TradingEducation #MarketStructure #PriceAction #TradingPsychology #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoneyConcepts #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #YogirajTradingAcademy
GOLD - Sellers are in control of the market!!- XAUUSD/H1: The market has confirmed a breakout from the sideways range as the price broke the rising trendline and simultaneously broke through the important support zone (4667 - 4674). After the strong breakout, selling pressure is still dominant as the EMA34 has started to cross below the EMA89, indicating that the downward momentum is expanding.
- Currently, the (4667 - 4674) zone has become a significant resistance level. If the price retests this zone but fails to close above it, it is highly likely that sellers will continue to push the price down further. However, if it breaks above and closes above, the sideways range will continue, potentially opening up a bullish scenario.
- The (4607 - 4610) zone is currently a short-term support level. With the current selling pressure, the market is likely to clear liquidity in this area before extending the decline to lower levels.
✅ VIEW
1. SELL SCENARIO:
- Price retests around the nearby resistance zones (4638 - 4640) and further to the (4652 - 4655) zone. If the price does not break back, prioritize finding sell points in line with the current downtrend.
=> These are previously broken resistance zones and the confluence of dynamic EMA resistance levels across timeframes.
=> If the price breaks through the support zone (4607 - 4610), the downtrend will continue and head towards deeper support levels at 4587 and further at 4560.
2. BUY SCENARIO:
- Only prioritize short buying when the price holds firm in the support zone (4607 - 4610) and a clear reversal signal appears on smaller timeframes (M5 - M15).
- The trend clearly leans towards a bearish structure. If the price bounces briefly from this support zone, it will likely be a technical rebound after a sharp market decline.
=> The resistance zone (4667 - 4674) is the decisive area for determining whether the bullish structure will recover. If the price retests this zone but continues to fluctuate below it, it's still preferable to look for a sell opportunity in line with the trend.
XAUUSD DESCENDING TRENDLINE REVRSAL SETUPGold is currently trading inside a short-term bearish structure, respecting a descending trendline that has capped price multiple times. The chart shows price recently sweeping liquidity near the trendline resistance before rejecting lower, indicating sellers are still active in the current range.
However, a strong support zone around 4648 – 4660 remains intact. Price is now approaching this demand area, where a bullish reaction is anticipated. The projected scenario suggests a liquidity grab into support followed by a sharp rebound toward the descending trendline breakout area.
A confirmed breakout and close above the trendline and Ichimoku resistance could open the path toward the first upside target near 4725, with extended bullish momentum potentially reaching the higher target zone around 4770.
Key observations:
Descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance
Strong horizontal support zone holding bearish pressure
Possible liquidity sweep before reversal
Ichimoku cloud resistance near breakout region
Bullish continuation expected after confirmation above trendline
Bullish confirmation: sustained candles above the trendline and cloud resistance.
Invalidation: clean breakdown below the support zone around 4648.
Aggressive Trade: Sell at 4630–50.Since the start of the week, the market has maintained a pattern of volatile retracement; while successive highs have gradually trended lower, previous lows remained unbroken until a decisive downside breakout finally occurred during Thursday's U.S. trading session. This subsequently paved the way for an accelerated decline during the early Asian session on Friday.
On the 1-hour chart, if the decline continues on Friday, the primary level to watch is around 4550, which is the support level where the previous sharp rise started. Judging from the current momentum, the bears are clearly quite strong after the breakout, so the trading strategy should still focus on shorting.
Short-term Strategy: Aggressive traders may consider initiating short positions around the 4630 level, targeting the 4580–4550 range. In the event of an upward breakout, attention should shift to the 4650 resistance level as a potential entry point for subsequent short positions.
Choppy trading persists. New lows are possible.From a technical indicator perspective, the daily chart maintains a high-level consolidation pattern; the overhead resistance zone remains effective in capping upside potential, while short-term moving averages have flattened, suggesting the market currently lacks sustained upward momentum.
On the 1-hour chart, price action is oscillating within a narrow range; indicators remain in a relatively weak state, and upside potential for any rebound appears limited. Following this period of consolidation, there remains a likelihood of a subsequent retracement.
Regarding resistance levels, attention should be focused on the 4715–4730 zone; this serves as the short-term pivot point determining market strength—should a rebound encounter resistance here, it is unlikely to sustain its upward trajectory. The support level to watch is 4670-4680, which is an important short-term defensive level.
Short-term trading suggestion: Short at around 4720, target 4680-4660, and hold if it falls below.
XAUUSD(GOLD): Get Ready For Swing Sell! Trade Is Going To Be BigDear Traders,
As we mentioned in our previous analysis, gold is likely to continue falling. It did just that, but it then bounced back to the entry level. This is due to low market volume on Friday evening. As the week opens, we could see the price start dropping again as the week progresses. Furthermore, looking at the USD, we might see it showing signs of reversal and becoming bullish this week. This could also contribute to increased selling volume in the market. If you agree with our idea, please like and comment for more.
The Setupsfx_ Team
Has gold lost its bullish momentum?The gold market witnessed a significant pullback today, showing an obvious oscillating downward trend. In the early session, the gold price briefly rose to around 4770 but failed to sustain the upward momentum and instead fell sharply under pressure. The core reason is that it failed to form an effective stabilization above the key resistance level of 4760 — as a crucial oscillation boundary in the early stage, failing to hold above this level means insufficient bullish momentum, making a pullback inevitable.
Coupled with the release of today's CPI data (Consumer Price Index), the downward pressure on gold prices has been further intensified. From the perspective of the impact logic of inflation data on gold, the release of CPI data will directly affect market expectations for monetary policy, which in turn acts on gold prices. In the short term, market funds chose to short and exit in advance due to the game of policy expectations, leading to a further decline in gold prices on the basis of the early pullback and further amplifying the short-term fluctuation range.
However, it is worth noting that after the current gold price fell to around 4660, the downward support strength has gradually emerged, and there has been no continuous breakdown trend. From the perspective of market game, it can be clearly observed that whenever the bearish force launches an attack and the gold price approaches the 4660 support level, the bullish force will launch a counterattack. This indicates that the buying force in this range is relatively strong, temporarily forming an effective support line, which also confirms the effectiveness of the 4660-4670 support range we predicted earlier.
Combined with the current market sentiment, technical support and long-short game situation, the following trading recommendations are given: It is recommended to enter a light long position at an appropriate time in the 4660-4670 range, strictly control position risks, take the area below 4660 as the stop-loss level, and wait for the release of bullish rebound momentum. The tentative rebound target is the 4700-4720 range. In the follow-up, we need to focus on the rebound strength and the breakthrough of the resistance level around 4730. If the rebound is weak, take profit and exit in a timely manner to avoid risks brought by repeated market fluctuations.
XAU/USD 14 May 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 12 May 2026
You will note how price has targeted the strong internal low but failed to close below. This is in-line with alternative scenario of my analysis.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 08 May 2026 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,764.905.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently a bearish CHoCH, to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,773.575.
Alternative scenario:
We have seen a significant narrowing of the internal range. H4 TF internal structure remains bearish, therefore, it is a probability that price could target strong internal low a print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
Has Gold Lost Its Bullish Momentum?Gold suffered a sharp pullback yesterday, prices dipped rapidly from highs, and market sentiment turned weak in the short term. It then entered a period of sideways consolidation, with bulls and bears trading cautiously. The overall pattern is recovery after a sharp drop, pending a directional breakout.
Technical Analysis
Support Zone: 4660–4680 strong support remains solid
During the decline, the 4660–4680 zone stabilized quickly after multiple retests, with strong buying absorption, forming the core support band. This zone is both a cluster of short-term moving averages and a key recovery platform after yesterday’s sharp drop. As long as it is not effectively broken downward, the bullish structure remains intact.
Secondary Support: Below 4640. A confirmed breakdown of 4660–4680 will open further downside toward levels under 4640.
Resistance & Momentum: Upside momentum weak, rebounds capped
Bullish momentum is currently subdued, and rebounds lack sustained strength, with clear overhead resistance:
First Resistance: 4720–4730 strong near-term hurdle, repeatedly tested without breakout
Second Resistance: 4760 upper boundary of the consolidation range; a volume-driven breakout is needed to unlock further upside
Overall, gold is trading in a range-bound pattern with firm support below but lacking upside momentum, making a sharp one-sided rally or decline unlikely in the short term.
Trading Strategy
Go long on dips near the 4660–4680 support zone. Core logic: solid support, limited downside, and technical recovery demand for bulls.
Entry Zone: 4660–4680
Target Levels: 4690 → 4700 → 4710
Watch for support and resistance. Wait for a breakout.Wednesday's market did not see any significant breakthroughs, and generally remained within the 4730-4670 range. From a daily chart perspective, although prices have declined for two consecutive days, they have not extended their drop to breach previous lows; therefore, the short-term focus remains on this consolidation range.
On the 4-hour chart, the price continues to face resistance from previous highs and has yet to achieve a breakout; consequently, the current tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces remains somewhat deadlocked. However, the overall market trend remains bearish for now, and further declines during the day cannot be ruled out.
For short-term trading, sell around 4715. If the price falls to the 4650-4670 range, you can buy in batches with a small position.
GOLD - in the trend-determining zone!!- XAUUSD/H1 The market is still in a consolidation phase around the range (470x - 467x). Currently, the price is strongly fluctuating at the support zone (4676 - 4680) after a corrective decline from the nearest resistance zone at 470x. The short-term structure is still under selling pressure as the downtrend line has not been completely broken; however, the medium-term trend is not yet invalidated as the price remains above the strong support zone (4640 - 4648) on the H4 timeframe.
- The EMA34 and EMA89 on the H1 timeframe are showing signs of narrowing, indicating that the market is entering a large-scale consolidation phase before a clearer breakout. The zone (4708 - 4712) is currently the central resistance and also the breakout zone that will determine the possibility of a recovery of the uptrend.
- The zone (4676 - 4680) acts as an important short-term support. If the price loses this zone, selling pressure could extend to lower support zones around (466x) and even deeper to (464x).
✅ VIEW:
1. SELL SCENARIO:
- If the price breaks and closes below the support zone (4676 - 4680).
- Breaks the uptrend line.
=> Selling pressure will continue to extend to lower support zones around (466x and 464x).
=> The (4676 - 4680) zone is a confluence of support, medium-term uptrend line, and short-term liquidity zone.
=> If the price refuses to break the support zone (4640 - 4648), converging with the H4 uptrend structure, wait for a reversal signal (M5 - M15) to confirm a buy-back setup. A decisive break and close below H4 confirms a bearish structure.
2. BUY SCENARIO:
- Prioritize buying opportunities when the price holds the support zone (4676 - 4680) and a reversal signal appears on smaller timeframes (M5 - M15).
=> A bullish recovery structure will form when the price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (4708 - 4712) and simultaneously breaks the downtrend line, opening up the possibility of a continued increase to levels (472x and 474x).
XAUUSD(GOLD): Still Bearish Possible To See Swing Sell To HappenDear Traders,
We hope you’re all doing well. If you’ve been following the recent price movements, you’ll notice the increased volatility and lack of a clear direction. Our analysis suggests the price will likely reach the 4740 to 4760 region again. Once it does, a significant sell-off could occur, potentially pushing the price towards our take-profit level. Good luck and trade safely!
The Setupsfx_ Team
XAUUSD(GOLD): +1600 Pips Price Correction,Intraday Trading SetupDear traders,
We hope you’re doing well. We have a great trading opportunity. The price is likely to drop around the $4590 zone, where most buyers’ volume is pending. Currently, in the four-hour timeframe, the price is forming a head and shoulders pattern and has made numerous high wick rejections. If you agree with our setup, please like and comment for more details. Feel free to ask any questions you have.
The Setupsfx_ Team
The rebound was weak. Continue selling at resistance levels.Based on technical analysis, the daily candle closed higher; while the overall bullish structure remains intact, significant overhead resistance is evident, suggesting that a technical correction is imminent in the short term.
The 1-hour chart reveals that following a sustained decline, the price staged a rebound; however, subsequent highs have been trending lower, and technical indicators remain weak. The short-term downward trajectory persists, and once the current consolidation phase concludes, there remains further room for the price to test lower levels.
The resistance level to watch is 4710-4720, which is the area of concentrated pressure after Wednesday's surge and subsequent pullback, and also a short-term dividing line between strength and weakness.
For short-term trading, the outlook remains one of weak, sideways consolidation; traders should look to sell on rallies as the price approaches the resistance zone, targeting levels between 4680 and 4650.
GOLD - Strong compression, preparing for major volatility!✅ XAUUSD/H1
- Currently, the market lacks a clear trend as the price is still consolidating around the range (468x - 470x). However, the overall timeframe (H4 - Daily) still leans towards a medium-term uptrend structure as the EMA34 remains above the EMA89.
- The buying momentum is not strong enough to break through the central resistance zone (4708 - 4712). A correction to around 466x and further to 464x is likely.
- The (4708 - 4712) zone is a crucial resistance; if the price breaks through this zone, the uptrend will continue. The (4685 - 4690) zone is a crucial support; if the price breaks through this zone, the correction will open up towards lower support levels.
✅ VIEW
1. SELL SCENARIO:
- If the price breaks and closes below the support zone (4685 - 4690).
- Breaks the 0.618 Fibonacci dynamic resistance zone.
=> The downtrend will open up and head towards support levels (466x and further to 464x).
- If the price fails to break the uptrend line and the candle still closes above these support zones, prioritize waiting for a reversal confirmation signal (M5 - M15) to find a buy opportunity and head towards higher levels.
2. BUY SCENARIO:
- If the price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (4708 - 4712).
- Breaks the downtrend line and simultaneously the H1 candle closes above the EMA34 again.
=> Then the bullish structure recovers and heads towards the resistance levels above.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
A tug-of-war between bulls and bears.Following a sharp decline that saw gold prices touch a low of 4638, the market staged another vigorous rebound. When viewed in conjunction with the bearish impact of the CPI data, this price action served to validate my trading strategy: the bears had prevailed over the bulls, securing significant ground.
However, the 4638 level did not hold firm as support; instead, the market rebounded immediately, with the bulls launching a sustained counterattack that pushed prices back above 4700. To be frank, the market has recently lacked a clear directional trend; rather, it has been characterized by a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces, oscillating widely within the 4640–4760 range. Consequently, we will continue to execute trades based on strategies with the highest statistical probability of success, thereby maximizing our odds of generating a profit.
Absent any further major bearish catalysts, a "buy-the-dip" strategy remains the most prudent approach; specifically, opening long positions at levels near or below 4680 offers the highest probability of a successful outcome.
How to Find Key Levels in Gold Trading XAUUSD
In this short article, you will learn how to find powerful levels on a gold chart.
I will explain to you what a key level is, how to apply it in trading.
We will discuss key levels and different time frames, valid and invalid key levels. I will share with you a lot of useful trading tips.
First, let's start with a definition of a key level.
Key level is a single important historic price level on the chart,
from where a significant price movement initiated.
Usually, key levels are based on the edges of candlestick wicks.
Look at Gold chart on a 4H time frame.
I underlined a key level. You can see how strong was a bullish reaction to that. The price tested that level, bounced up and formed a long wick.
Key levels that are above current prices will be called resistances.
We will assume that sellers are placing their selling orders there.
Above is the example of a key resistance on Gold on an hourly time frame.
The price tested 2479 level, dropped rapidly and formed a long wick.
From a key resistance level, a bearish movement is expected.
Key levels that are below current prices will be called supports .
We will assume that buyers are placing their buying orders there.
That is the example of a key support level on Gold chart on a daily.
From a key support level a bullish movement is expected.
Key levels that are lying close to each other will compose support and resistance clusters.
Look at 2 key support levels on Gold on a 4H time frame.
These 2 levels are lying very close to each other and compose a support cluster.
3 key resistance above will compose a resistance cluster on Gold on a daily time frame, because these levels lye close to each other.
With time, the market tends to break key levels.
If the price violated a key support level and closes below that, it turns into a resistance level.
Look at a breakout of key support on an hourly time frame on Gold chart.
After a candle close below that, the broken key level turned into resistance.
If the price violates a key resistance level and closes above that, it turns into a support level.
Above is a recently broken horizontal resistance on Gold on a 4H time frame. After a breakout, that key level turned into support.
Key levels tend to lose their significance with time.
Key level that is broken by the buyers and the sellers or vice versa loses the status of a key level.
The underlined level was a significant resistance in the past.
However, the market stopped respecting this level and it lost its importance.
Remember that you can find key levels on any time frame.
But key levels are not equal in their significance.
Key levels that are spotted on higher time frame will be stronger than key levels that are spotted on lower time frames.
On the chart on the left, I underlined key support and resistance levels on a daily time frame on Gold.
While on the right, I market key support and resistance levels on a 4H time frame.
Daily structures will be considered to be more significant structures.
Hence, the market reaction to such structures tend to be stronger.
In comparison to support and resistance areas,
key levels provide the safest points to look for a trading opportunity from.
Once you spotted a confirmation after a test of a key level,
simply set your stop loss below a support or above a resistance.
You will have a very good reward to risk ratio.
Key levels play a crucial role in technical analysis of Gold.
No matter whether you are day trader, scalper, swing trader or investor, key levels is the first thing that you should always start your analysis from.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD 13 May 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note how price has targeted the strong internal low but failed to close below. This is in-line with alternative scenario of my analysis.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 May 2026.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 08 May 2026 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,764.905.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently a bearish CHoCH, to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,773.575.
Alternative scenario:
We have seen a significant narrowing of the internal range. H4 TF internal structure remains bearish, therefore, it is a probability that price could target strong internal low a print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:






















