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GOLD → False breakout at 3500. What next? 3400 or 3600?FX:XAUUSD updates its ATH on the spot market to 3508.5 and forms a false breakout, provoking liquidation and profit-taking. The imbalance in the market is changing, and a deeper correction is possible... Gold updated its historical maximum above $3500, but faced a correction amid a short-term strengthening of the dollar. The market's attention is focused on the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, which may determine further dynamics. Key drivers: The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90%, which supports gold. Pressure on the USD continues due to concerns about the independence of the Fed (pressure from Trump) and geopolitics. The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict (new strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory) is increasing demand for defensive assets. Ahead of the ISM Manufacturing PMI: Forecast — growth to 49 (but remains in the contraction zone). If the data turns out to be weaker, it will strengthen dollar sales and push gold to new records. Resistance levels: 3485, 3500 Support levels: 3467.6, 3441, 3423 Technically, gold may enter a longer consolidation or correction. If the bears keep the price below 3490-3485, then in the short term, we can expect a decline to the specified support zones. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3500-3505, but at the moment I do not see the potential for the market to continue growing (in the short term!). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
24
Gold Dips to 3,440:Dollar Weakness Sets Stage for the Next SurgeHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,440 zone. Gold is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is pulling back after recent highs. Key level in focus: 3,440 — an important area where buyers may look to step in and resume the trend. Fundamentals: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching 98.400 resistance while maintaining a bearish tone. A weaker dollar continues to provide support for Gold, reinforcing the bullish context. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
11
WLFIUSDT → Liquidation of hamsters before the rally to 0.3300BINANCE:WLFIUSDT.P is Trump's project. This relatively new coin is demonstrating aggressive and manipulative trading, but there are key areas on the chart that can be used as a guide... We all know about the manipulative games of Trump's projects ;) and this can be used in trading... The WLFI coin has growth potential, but we need to wait for confirmation. Technically, this is a rather aggressive and manipulative game. A sharp drop and liquidation of all “hamsters” to the 0.25 - 0.20 zone. However, the price has stopped updating lows, volatility is decreasing (consolidation). If the price returns to the range, there will be potential for growth. At the moment, the price is not allowed to fall, consolidation is forming, with resistance at the 0.2521 trigger. The market is testing this trigger... At the same time, Bitcoin is strengthening and may support altcoins... Resistance levels: 0.2521 Support levels: 0.2250, 0.2042 Technically, if the local structure does not break down and the price continues to storm 0.2520 - 0.255, this could lead to a return of the price to the trading range, which would open up the possibility of growth to 0.33. The structure will break if the price breaks through the support level of 0.225 - 0.22. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
22
GOLD → One step away from 3500. Consolidation. What next?FX:XAUUSD has been rallying towards 3500 since the opening of the session, and the market has every chance of testing this level. Consolidation or correction may form before the next breakout... Gold resumed its growth at the beginning of the week, reaching five-month highs around $3480 amid declining risk appetite and expectations of Fed policy easing. Trading activity remains low due to holidays in the US and Canada. Key drivers : Weak Asian markets and uncertainty surrounding Trump's trade policy are supporting interest in gold. The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90% after last week's PCE data. Overall, the market maintains its momentum towards record levels ($3500), but low liquidity may increase volatility. Technically , gold is strongly bullish. The price is striving to test the ATH - 3500. Before that, consolidation or a retest of the 3469-3460 zone may form. The dollar is weak at the moment and continues to trend downward, which generally supports gold. Resistance levels: 3484.8, 3500 Support levels: 3469.5, 3460 Undoubtedly, after consolidation or correction, gold may reach its target. However, continued growth beyond 3500 may be questionable due to a lack of energy, as the market has spent it to reach 3500. Accordingly, a false breakout of the ATH could trigger a strong profit-taking phase, which in turn could lead to a sell-off and correction. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
30
AUDUSD Pullback Toward 0.65000 as Dollar Weakens Ahead of US PCEHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around the 0.65000 zone. AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is retracing after recent highs. Key level in focus: 0.65000 — an important area where buyers may look to step in. Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is breaking below 98.100 support, pointing to further downside. A bearish DXY combined with bullish Gold strengthens the case for AUDUSD upside. Event risk: Today’s US PCE release is key. A soft print would reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance, supporting dollar weakness. A hot print could complicate the bearish dollar narrative. Next move: Monitoring how AUDUSD reacts around 0.65000 to assess whether buyers regain control or if deeper correction unfolds. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
20
USDCAD Pullback Toward 1.37900 as Dollar Weakness PersistsHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around the 1.37900 zone. USDCAD is trading in a downtrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias remains bearish, but price is retracing upward after recent lows. Key level in focus: 1.37900 — a critical area where sellers may look to re-enter and push the pair lower. Fundamentals: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) maintains a bearish tone as Jerome Powell’s recent dovish stance weighs on the greenback. With DXY approaching 97.800 resistance, further downside pressure on USD could reinforce USDCAD weakness. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
12
GBPUSD → Retest resistance for a breakout. Distribution?FX:GBPUSD is attempting to break through the resistance of the symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, which is a continuation pattern of the main bullish trend. Against the backdrop of stagnation and weakening of the dollar index, the GBPUSD price has stopped updating local lows, and consolidation in the form of a symmetrical triangle is forming. The strengthening of the GBP led to a breakout of the consolidation resistance, and if the bulls can stay above 1.352, then the market may trigger a rally to the resistance at 1.3588, from which a small correction is expected before continuing to grow to 1.378 thanks to motivated buyers. Resistance levels: 1.3589, 1.3674 Support levels: 1.3524, 1.3446 In the 1.3525 zone, there may be a prolonged struggle for the buying area (above resistance). If the bulls manage to stay above the resistance conglomerate, this will confirm the fact of a resistance breakout and the end of the downward correction, which may trigger a continuation of the global trend and price growth to 1.378. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Retest 3400 before the news. Will there be a rally?FX:XAUUSD is pulling back slightly after hitting a new high of 3423. The trend is bullish, and on the D1 chart we see a breakout of a symmetrical triangle, which generally hints at bullish potential. Gold is correcting after rising to $3423 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data. Key factors: Doubts about the Fed's independence are limiting the USD's strengthening. Soft Fed rhetoric: Board member Waller supported a rate cut in September and further easing. The probability of a September rate cut is estimated at 87%. Today's news: Core PCE inflation data (forecast: 2.6% y/y). If below forecast → increased expectations for policy easing → support for gold If above forecast → dollar strength → gold correction Short-term gold dynamics depend on inflation data and its impact on Fed rate expectations Support levels: 3405, 3394, 3386.5 Resistance levels: 3415, 3423, 3433 As part of the correction, the price may test liquidity zones and enter a consolidation phase ahead of the news. However, the market is one step away from distribution (exit from a symmetrical triangle). If the bulls keep the price above 3400 as part of the correction, we will have a good chance to catch the rally... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
BITCOIN → Breakthrough of the downward trend resistance... 120K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P formed a false breakdown of key support at 110,000 - 112,000 and returned to the whales' zone of interest. The chart shows the prerequisites for a possible end to the countertrend correction... A false breakdown of the daily support of 110K - 112K provokes a local bearish rally, within which the price breaks through the downward resistance of the correction and tests 113.300. The growth was supported by positive signals from institutional investors, technical stability and a decrease in selling pressure. The fundamental background is positive, the market is trending. The chart shows prerequisites for the end of the correction. However, the further outlook depends on the 112.0 - 112.5K area. if the bulls hold the price above this zone, the flagship may return to the upward movement and head towards 117K - 120K. Support levels: 112.5, 112.0, 110.9 Resistance levels: 113.6, 114.6, 117.0 After breaking through the resistance of the descending channel, the impulse stops and most likely a fight for the 112K zone may form. If the price returns to the channel and consolidates below 112K, then Bitcoin may return to the downward movement, however, while the price is trading above this line, the bulls have a chance... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
20
GOLD → Retest 3400. Readiness for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD is "consolidating" creeping up on resistance, which generally increases the chances of a breakout, but the initial resistance test may end in a pullback. However, there is news ahead that could trigger one of two scenarios... At the moment, gold is testing $3,400, but is ready for a correction pending new data from the US. However, further decline may be limited for the following reasons: Weak dollar: The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 90%. Trump-Fed conflict: Pressure on Fed Chair Lisa Cook undermines confidence in the dollar. Trade wars: New US tariffs (on India) and retaliatory measures (Mexico, Canada against China) increase demand for "safe havens" What is important: Political uncertainty and soft rhetoric of the Fed continue to play in favor of gold. Any attempts to reduce will be supported by buyers. It is also worth paying attention to the GDP and Initial Jobless Claims, which will be published today at 12:30 GMT. Resistance levels: 3405, 3420, 3433 Support levels: 3386, 3373, 3369 Technically, the situation is ambiguous and everything depends on the reaction to 3405 and further news. Weakening of the fundamental background may lead to consolidation or correction to 3373 - 3369. However, if traders feel support, then the retest of 3405 may end with a small consolidation around the level and subsequent breakout and growth to the specified targets (I am more inclined to this scenario based on the above situation) Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
US30 Pullback Toward 45,100 as DXY Weakens on Dovish Fed ToneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 45,100 zone. Dow Jones (US30) remains in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias is bullish, though price is retracing after recent highs. Key level in focus: 45,100 — acting as a key zone within the ongoing trend. Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) faced strong rejection at 98.700 following the Fed’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole symposium. This bearish dollar sentiment could support US equities due to their negative correlation. Next move: Holding above 45,100 may keep US30’s bullish momentum intact, while a decisive break lower would suggest deeper retracement. Monitoring price behavior at this level to gauge whether buyers step in. Trade safe, Joe.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by JoeChampion
26
GOLD → Bullish trend. Pullback before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to gradually storm the 3375-3405 area, paving its way to strong resistance at 3410. The fundamental background is relatively positive, with a bullish trend. Gold has retreated slightly from its two-week peak ($3400), but retains its growth potential against the backdrop of two key factors: Pressure on Fed Chair Lisa Cook is undermining confidence in the dollar and strengthening demand for defensive assets. New tariffs on China and India are reviving fears about global growth, which is beneficial for safe havens. But there are also restraining factors: A strong dollar could limit gold's growth. It is also worth paying attention to Friday's US inflation data (PCE), which will determine the further trend. Soft data will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and push gold higher. Resistance levels: 3386.5, 3393.5 Support levels: 3373.7, 3369.6 Movements up to 3410 may be zigzagging due to the fairly heavy zone of 3375 - 3410 (this can be seen in the volume profile). Focus on local but strong support: 3373 - 3369, the market may test this area before storming resistance 3386 - 3393 for growth to 3405 - 3410. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
33
NZDJPY → A false breakout of resistance will trigger a declineFX:NZDJPY entered a correction phase after a sharp decline. The main trend is downward, with a countertrend movement aimed at consolidating potential before further decline. A countertrend correction is forming against the backdrop of the main downward trend. The current movement may be aimed at hunting for liquidity before continuing its movement. Focus on the resistance zone at 86.67 The currency pair is trading below key resistance within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price may test 86.67 - 87.10 before continuing the main trend. Resistance levels: 86.67, 86.97, 97.11 Support levels: 85.97, 85.6 If a false breakout of the key zone of interest forms during the correction without the possibility of continuing growth, we will receive confirmation that the market is ready to move down. Consolidation below the level may trigger a downward impulse. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
GBPAUD → The correction is nearing completion...FX:GBPAUD is set to end the correction formed within the global bullish trend. A false breakdown of the liquidity zone is forming... GBPAUD on D1 is testing a strong support zone, which gives traders hope for a possible recovery. Locally, the chart shows signs of the correction ending... After correcting to 1/2 of the range, GBPAUD is forming a false breakdown of the order block and breaking the bearish structure, confirming the end of the correction. Consolidation above 2.076 could trigger a recovery within the bullish trend. Resistance levels: 2.086, 2.0978 Support levels: 2.076, 2.0715 Despite breaking through the resistance of the local correction, the market must confirm the bullish sentiment. Consolidation of the price above 2.076 will confirm this nuance, and consolidation above the key support may influence further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
Gold Watching 3,360 Support as Powell Dovish Tone Weighs on USDHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring Gold for a buying opportunity around 3,360 zone, Gold (XAUUSD) recently broke above the 3,360 resistance, turning it into an important support level to watch on any pullback. A retracement into this zone could help determine whether the breakout has strength to extend toward higher levels. On the fundamental side, Fed Chair Powell struck a dovish tone, signaling support for a potential September rate cut, citing lower inflation pressures and risks in the labor market. This backdrop keeps USD under pressure and maintains a bullish bias for Gold in the near term. Monitoring price action around 3,360 to assess whether buyers defend this level or if deeper consolidation unfolds. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
26
GOLD → Consolidation to continue growth towards 3400FX:XAUUSD is updating its local maximum but is facing pressure in the 3375-3400 zone. The market is bullish, but the dollar is consolidating. Traders are waiting for signals and stronger drivers... Gold resumes growth, approaching the $3400 level, amid a weakening dollar and falling US government bond yields. Key drivers: Trump's new threats of tariffs on Chinese goods and his attack on the Fed (removal of Lisa Cook) are undermining confidence in US assets (pressure on the dollar). Soft Fed rhetoric: Expectations of a September rate cut have strengthened after Powell's speech. Key risks: The dollar's recovery amid trade threats, US economic data may adjust rate expectations, and the escalation of the trade war supports demand for safe assets The short-term dynamics of gold will depend on the balance between the Fed's soft monetary policy and trade tensions. Resistance levels: 3379, 3400 Support levels: 3369, 3362, 3358 As part of the correction, the market may test local support zones located within the current trading range, after which gold may return to attack 3375-3379 to continue its growth towards 3400. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
BNBUSDT → Strong altcoin. Correction before growth.BINANCE:BNBUSDT.P , after forming an ATH, entered a correction, which may stop at 10-15%, after which the market may enter a recovery phase. The coin looks quite strong, especially against the backdrop of a bullish trend... BNB looks quite stronger than Bitcoin. While the flagship is forming a deep correction, the altcoin is testing local support within the bullish trend. BNB has quite positive dynamics. There is a strong bullish trend, the ATH has been updated, but a correction is forming, which is 8% of the permissible 30% (there is still room to move). The liquidity zone of 820-815 may serve as an area of interest. By the time the mirror level and strong area of interest are retested, Bitcoin may move into a recovery phase, which in turn will trigger growth in BNB. Support levels: 820, 816, 796 Resistance levels: 861, 884, 901 At the moment, the entire cryptocurrency market is in a downtrend. As part of this cycle, BNB may test support at 820-816. A false breakdown of support and consolidation above this level may indicate that bulls are interested in further growth. This could trigger a recovery within the main trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Correction before continuing distribution to 3400FX:XAUUSD entered a correction phase at the start of the session after Friday's rally, triggered by positive fundamentals... Gold is falling after Friday's rise, triggered by Powell's unexpectedly dovish comments in Jackson Hole. He confirmed the Fed's readiness to cut rates in September amid risks to employment and economic growth. The probability of a September rate cut has risen to 88%. Gold is correcting after a sharp jump, but the downside potential is limited. Market attention is focused on PCE inflation data this week Technically, the decline in gold prices may be temporary as the market continues to reassess the prospects for the Fed's dovish policy. The key factor will be Friday's PCE data, which will confirm or adjust expectations for an aggressive rate cut. Support levels: 3358, 3350, 3340 Resistance levels: 3375, 3405 The 3358-3350 area acts as a strong support zone, and it is also worth paying attention to the previously broken downward consolidation resistance. The market may test the support zone before rising, and a false breakdown and consolidation above the support level could have a bullish impact on the market... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
24
BITCOIN → Market potential change. Chance for growth to 125K...BINANCE:BTCUSDT , after a false breakdown of support, which we had been preparing for in my last idea, with the support of dovish hints from Powell, soared from 112K to 117K. What's next??? After Powell's speech and the shift in the fundamental background to positive, BTC broke the local bearish structure, forming a rally to 117K. The market exhausted its potential and, against the backdrop of the approaching weekend and a decline in liquidity, entered a correction phase. However, the relatively positive fundamental background should be taken into account when making further decisions. Lower interest rates could support the market... Technically, after retesting the 112K zone and forming a false breakdown, Bitcoin changed market sentiment. The capture of liquidity and the breakdown of the local downward structure changes the technical situation in favor of buyers. Potential areas of interest could be 117.8, 120.27, and 125K Resistance levels: 117K, 117.86K, 120.27K Support levels: 114.6K, 111.9K If, during the correction, the bulls manage to keep the price above the upper limit of the local trading range, i.e. above the downward channel and above the 114.600 zone, then interest in buying may increase. The market has the potential to test the resistance of the global trading range... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
34
GOLD → Consolidation and news. What are the chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern. Market uncertainty remains high. The global trend is bullish, while the local trend is neutral. What can we expect from gold? Gold is falling ahead of Powell's speech in Jackson Hole. The dollar is strengthening on strong US economic data (housing sales and PMI growth), which reduces the likelihood of an early easing of Fed policy. Key factors: Powell may confirm a cautious approach to rate cuts. The probability of a rate cut in September has fallen to 75%. The rise of the dollar as a “safe haven” is putting pressure on gold Scenarios after the speech: Hawkish tone from Powell → dollar rises → gold falls below $3300. Soft signal → dollar correction → gold recovery Technically , the gold casino continues and it is difficult to determine in advance which way the symmetrical triangle will break, but if we bet on a bullish trend and the likelihood of an imminent interest rate cut, the most likely scenario is a rebound from the support zone followed by a breakout of resistance and a rise to local levels Resistance levels: 3350, 3358, 3370 Support levels: 3323, 3320, 3315 A false breakout of the key support level, which is being defended quite aggressively by the bulls, could trigger an active recovery phase. However, it is important to keep an eye on Powell's speech, as well as Trump's, who will also be commenting this afternoon. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
BITCOIN → Retest 112K - 110K before growthBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is stuck within the trading range of 112K - 123K. The false breakout of the ATH ended with a reversal of the local trend and a bearish distribution phase, which may target the liquidity zone at 112 - 110K. The market remains bullish, with no fundamental changes for the cryptocurrency market and the situation remaining positive. Technically, we are seeing a countertrend correction within the bullish trend. Bitcoin is in a distribution phase. A local downward trend is forming, directed towards the zone of interest 112 - 110K. After a local upward correction, the downward movement may continue due to an imbalance of forces and a high level of profit-taking. Globally, on D1-W1, Bitcoin is within a neutral trading range within a bullish trend. A retest of the liquidity zone of 112K-110K may end with a long squeeze and a fairly aggressive reaction from buyers, but this can only be judged after the fact, following a retest of the specified zone. Resistance levels: 114.600, 115680, 117000 Support levels: 111910, 110400 The downward movement is purposefully heading towards the zone of interest. Earlier, in early August, the market tested the specified level (previous ATH), but technically did not reach the liquidity zones. There is a fairly high chance of a retest of 112 - 110K before the market attempts to grow. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
PENDLEUSDT → Retest of the 5.0 liquidity zone before rising to 7BINANCE:PENDLEUSDT is still consolidating, but is preparing to enter a correction phase, which could be triggered by a breakdown the 5.23 support level. Correction is a vital stage for further growth. Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, which in turn is triggering a correction in altcoins. PENDLE is testing support at 5.23, and a break of this support level, which is already being tested for the sixth time, could trigger a price decline to the liquidity zone of 5.01 - 4.72 PENDLE looks quite positive in the medium term, the coin is strong and continues to form a bullish trend. The current correction is aimed at accumulating potential before continuing growth, which may resume after retesting the support zone. Resistance levels: 5.833, 6.42 Support levels: 5.23, 5.013, 4.719 On the weekly chart, PENDLE is consolidating above the strong support level of 5.013. As part of the correction, the market may confirm this support and continue its growth towards the ATH from the mirror level. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
XAUUSD – Watching 3,310 as Price Pulls BackHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,310 zone, Gold (XAUUSD) has been moving lower after its recent swing high, with price now correcting toward the 3,310 area. Structure: The broader bias has been bullish overall, but recent price action shows a corrective move. Key level in focus: 3,310 — previously acted as support/resistance. Next move: Holding above this zone could maintain the medium-term bullish bias, while a clear break below may open the way for deeper retracement. Monitoring how price behaves around 3,310 to understand whether buyers will step in or if weakness continues. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
30