CO-OPERATIVE ANALYSIS V2Based on our previous analysis, we were buying Co-Operative Bank shares between Kes 10.00 and 15.00 in the years 2023 and 2024. In 2025, we sold the shares we bought in 2024 for a 27.66% return, and we are left with the volume of shares bought in 2023.
Moving forward, Co-operative Bank is trading at all-time highs, and this makes it difficult for new investors to buy the stock. Since there are no historical price references, we will adopt the Fibonacci extension and the Stochastic RSI indicators.
The Fibonacci shows that the stock still has upside potential to around Kes 36.00, but this will be accompanied by some volatility and increased risk. The Stochastic RSI shows that the stock is overbought, and this coincides with a potential Fibonacci resistance at around Kes 27.15, putting some downward pressure on the price.
Buying Co-operative at current prices is a high risk and requires an aggressive risk management strategy and patience.
KENYA POWER AND LIGHTING COMPANYNairobi security exchange
KENYA POWER AND LIGHTING COMPANY
NEWS Kenya Power to Convert Its 2,000 Vehicles to Electric Over 4 Years
Stock looks in demande
stop loss 1.18
How much is HKEX:1 US in Kenya?
133.935384 KES
A high-risk investment is therefore one where the chances of underperformance, or of some or all of the investment being lost, are higher than average. These investment opportunities often offer investors the potential for larger returns in exchange for accepting the associated level of risk.
ABSA WEEKLY ANALYSISABSA share price shows Kes 26.00 as resistance that should be broken and traded above to confirm that resistance has turned into support. The Fibonacci extension indicates potential to the upside, with a target price of $40.00 in the far future. The downside will attract buyers, with multiple support zones to keep the price from an aggressive sell-off. In the short-term, the stock price will probably consolidate between the Fibonacci prices of Kes 23.00 and Kes 26.00
Buying at the current price has an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, but the stock will take a long-time to hit Kes 40.00. This is one of the long-term stocks to accumulate with empasis to price action to guide entries and exits.
Uchumi Pump:Dump This is purely for demo purposes. :-) :-)
A Pump and Dump is common to those who have been in the market for a while. This is when an individual, group, or institution takes advantage of an illiquid asset by aggressively increasing its price for a lucrative exit. If you pay close attention, you can spot a pump and dump in some tradeable assets.
Let us use uchumi. I am not implying that this is a pump and dump, Haha :-D But we can use it as a case study. This is how it works.
1. There is a period of accumulation. This is when the pumpers buy the stock, and it happens for a period of time. It can be within a month or a year. The accumulation part is very sensitive; you MUST know what you are doing. Experience is KING here.
2. There is capital invested to accumulate the stock, and capital that will be sacrificed for the pump. However, the capital invested must be greater than the capital to be sacrificed. e.g... if you have 1,000,000 dollars for the pump and dump, allocate at least 70% to accumulate the stock and 30% to pump the stock.
3. Having some information about the asset that might not be public yet can be beneficial, but it is not necessary.
4. Once done accumulating at the best price possible, the pump begins. Please pay close attention to the order book and work with it for the pump.
At the end of the strategy, even if you make 200% out of a 400% pump, you are still in the money. However, if the strategy fails, you will be in BIG trouble and end up stuck with a pretty nasty position.
I just wanted to let you know that that's all for now. The rest is up to you to learn the markets, expose yourself to different assets, and fill in the gap.
NCBANCBA has been a tricky stock to buy in 2025, as the stock price has been making all-time highs, and there are no historical price references. In such a scenario, certain tools can be employed to gain insight into what the future might hold in terms of price action.
Fibonacci extension is my tool of choice, and it has served me well in the past. We can see that NCBA is trading at a premium, making it a high-risk stock to purchase at current prices. There is some capital gains potential, but it will be accompanied by high volatility.
For NCBA, I will be on the sidelines until we see price retracement to between 55.00 and 65.00. We already bought the stock in 2021 between Kes 25.00 and 30.00, and this allows us to monitor the stock.
If you are considering buying NCBA, the chart is self-explanatory; look at support and resistance levels.
V2 KCB ANALYSISBased on our version 1 analysis, we were accumulating KCB between Kes 15.00 and 18.00. KCB has been one of the best performing stock ever since.
Let us take a look at the version 2 analysis of KCB.
We are seeing the 2015 price peak of Kes 65.50 acting as resistance for now, making FOMO a possible variable to push the stock price higher and trade above the 2015 peak price. If January-February profit taking comes into play, the price might find support at Kes 50.00.
If the price breaks and trades below Kes 50.00, we will wait to buy KCB between Kes 34.00 and 40.00. Kes 30.00 is the lowest price the stock should fall to if there is extreme negative micro/macro sentiment (bear market).
For now, we will wait for a price correction to look into KCB.
KENYA AIRWAYSFrom an all-time high of Kes 571 in 2006 to Kes 3.49 as of writing, Kenya Airways has been a tough stock to hold. Those who bought the stock in the years 2006 and 2007 saw their position lose over 90% of its value in 19 years.
Kenya Airways has been trading below its IPO price of Kes 11.25, and this is as a result of macro and micro factors that have left the company on its knees for years. However, sometimes you need to look beyond logic to see hope in the company turning around to profitability in the future.
The analysis is simple. I will accumulate and monitor the company's financials, micro and macro factors.
Sanlam V2 analysisWe already shared an analysis on Sanlam, and the position did extremely well. I am keeping it simple for future positioning as long as fundamentals remain attractive.
1. Accumulate between Kes 6 & 8
2. If the stock price breaks above kes 10.00 resistance, it will probably trade in a channel, with kes 12.00 being a crucial inflection price.
3. Target price for partial exit is Kes 18.00
SAFARICOM ANALYSIS 2Safaricom's Price action has followed the first analysis published a few years ago, and nothing much has changed since then (go to our page and look for the first analysis).
I will accumulate Safaricom if the share price falls to my accumulation zone and the fundamentals remain stable. If the share price breaks below my accumulation zone, the Dollar Cost Averaging strategy comes into play, and I will adjust my exit price.
However, if the price falls below the accumulation zone, you must dig into the company's fundamentals because this will not be a normal price behavior.
Housing Finance Analysis V2In 2017, the share price was unable to break above Kes 11.00 resistance price. This is the case in 2025. Moving forward, Kes 11.00 will be a crucial price that will determine the direction of the stock price.
For now, Kes 11.00 is playing resistance. This brings the probability of the stock price falling to an interim support price of Kes 8.00, but the support is weak. We will be buying more HFCK shares at Kes 8.00 with aggressive accumulation between Kes 4.00 and 6.00.
SAFARICOM Shares ~ An Elliott Wave Analysis Looking at an all time Safaricom chart, we reach a Flat correction(A,B and C), and whole chart represents the C part of the correction as mentioned. Our Wave C is full of character showcasing 5 internal waves as expected.
We start off with Wave 1(Green), from the top left of the chart, that had 5 internal waves shown in black. When Wave 1 was completed, we witnessed a Flat correction with 3 internal waves, A, B and C. These 3 formed our Wave 2(Green) and we should expect a Zigzag correction for Wave 4(Green). Wave 3(Green) respects the 1.618 Fib. level then forms Wave 4(Green). Indeed Wave 4 was a Zigzag as expected and then Wave 5(Green) proceeded.
Wave 5 shows character also, with 5 internal waves all shown in Blue. When Wave 1(Blue) completed, Wave 2 expressed itself in a Flat correction and we should expect a Zigzag for Wave 4(Blue). Wave 3 is long and almost gets to the 4.236 Fib. level. As expected, our Wave 4 was a Zigzag(specifically a double Zigzag) that retraces and confirms at the 2.618 and 1.618 Fib. levels. We should expect a Wave 5(Blue) to the region of 4.236 Fib. level which is around Ksh 10.80.
KENGEN ANALYSIS V2Based on KenGen's initial analysis, we aggressively accumulated the stock between Kes 2.00 and 3.00. We will be looking at adding to our KenGen holdings in the short and long term with respect to the technical analysis.
We are retaining our target of Kes 11.90, which was KenGen's IPO price.
SCOM PULLBACKthe stock has reached a zone we foresaw as one that will induce a sizable pullback. within this zone, a double top was confirmed after the price had a muted reaction to a great earnings report. a couple of bearish RSI divergences are the icing on the cake.
a close above the high of October 31 would invalidate this trade. in the interim, we foresee a 20% pullback before trend continuation.
TPSE SERENAFrom Pakistan to Mozambique, Serena boasts a portfolio of 35 luxury hotels and lodges. Despite ever-increasing competition in the hospitality sector, the company is growing on a year-on-year basis.
Comparing financials to the stock price, Serena is an attractive stock to accumulate for the long term.
The first volume of shares was bought at Kes 16.00
Safaricom setting up for reversalHello,
Divergence clear on this stock signalling we might be close to the bottom. Divergence in stocks refers to a situation where the price of a particular stock or index moves in a different direction than an indicator or another related stock or index. It indicates a potential shift in market sentiment or investor behavior, creating a disparity between the expected and observed trends. Divergence can occur in various forms, such as price-oscillator divergence or intermarket divergence, and is often considered a signal of a possible reversal or correction in the stock's price trajectory. Traders and investors closely monitor divergence patterns as they can provide valuable insights into market dynamics and aid in making informed decisions.
BANK OF KIGALIThe Bank of Kigali has strong fundamentals that can go unnoticed to most. It is a strong Bank serving one of the fastest growing economies in Africa, with about a 30% holding of Rwanda's Banking sector.
Fundamentally, the Bank of Kigali is undervalued. We will be looking at accumulating the Bank of Kigali in the coming months..
Diamond Trust BankDespite a strong stock price recovery of Kenyan banks since Covid-19, DTK has not been part of the party. This gives us a good opportunity to accumulate DTK at a discounted price between Kes 60.00 and 80.00.
There is a low probability for the stock price to fall and stay below Kes 60.00 unless political or social risks escalate in the country or globally.
DTK LONG some fundamental analysts have chalked DTK as a stock to buy with significant upside potential.
we like to focus more on the technicals. price is currently digesting the recent run-in price. the wicks on the above timeframe indicate that the bulls are still in the game. the support region is quite visible on the daily timeframe.
entry triggers include:
1. breach of downward sloping trendline.
2. breakout through most recent high.
stop loss:
a strong close below support region.






















