ReutersReuters

Currencies move sideways as weaker dollar, EU funds in view

Central European currencies were hovering close to recent levels in thin trade on Friday as investors eyed a weakening dollar and worries over European Union funding in Hungary in a market that remained subdued due to a holiday in the United States.

The greenback stood close to a three-month low and was headed for a weekly loss as the prospect of the Federal Reserve slowing monetary policy tightening as soon as December preoccupied investors. A weaker dollar is generally supportive for emerging market currencies.

The Polish zloty EURPLN was 0.05% stronger against the euro at 4.6935.

"The PLN has been suprisingly insensitive to the weaker dollar which we would expect to lead to some strengthening in the PLN," said Piotr Bartkiewicz, an economist at Pekao.

"It seems that many of the trends that we have seen over recent weeks have exhausted themselves, in particular the trend towards a stronger U.S. dollar."

The Hungarian forint EURHUF was 0.13% weaker at 412.60.

The region's worst performing currency this year, the forint has been hit in recent days by media reports that the European Commission was going to withhold funding for Budapest due to concerns over the rule of law.

"Reports on EU funds further weakened the forint in the first half of the previous session, it tested the 415 level, and if that was broken the next level could be around 430 so it is worth watching that in the next few days," brokerage Equilor wrote in a note.

A trader in Budapest said that there was little trade in the forint and that it would likely remain in the 412-414 range on Friday.

The Czech crown EURCZK was 0.08% stronger at 24.38, while the Romanian leu EURRON was 0.11% stronger at 4.9175.

CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1039 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest

Previous

Daily

Change

bid

close

change

in 2022

EURCZK=

Czech crown

EURCZK

24.3800

24.4000

+0.08%

+2.02%

EURHUF=

Hungary forint

EURHUF

412.6000

412.0500

-0.13%

-10.47%

EURPLN=

Polish zloty

EURPLN

4.6935

4.6960

+0.05%

-2.18%

EURRON=

Romanian leu

EURRON

4.9175

4.9230

+0.11%

+0.62%

EURHRK=

Croatian kuna

EURHRK

7.5380

7.5465

+0.11%

-0.27%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD

117.2500

117.3350

+0.07%

+0.28%

Note: daily change

calculated from

1800 CET

Latest

Previous

Daily

Change

close

change

in 2022

.PX

Prague

(.PX)

1242.04

1244.4700

-0.20%

.BUX

Budapest

BUX

45097.07

45276.59

-0.40%

-11.09%

.WIG20

Warsaw

GPW

1750.77

1753.95

-0.18%

-22.77%

.BETI

Bucharest

BET

11638.27

11575.78

+0.54%

-10.90%

.SBITOP

Ljubljana

(.SBITOP)

1070.40

1070.47

-0.01%

-14.74%

.CRBEX

Zagreb

(.CRBEX)

1904.26

1903.42

+0.04%

-8.42%

.BELEX15

Belgrade

BELEX15

809.56

811.95

-0.29%

-1.37%

.SOFIX

Sofia

(.SOFIX)

595.74

593.10

+0.45%

-6.28%

Yield

Yield

Spread

Daily

(bid)

change

vs Bund

change in

Czech Republic

spread

CZ2YT=RR

2-year

(CZ2YT=RR)

5.6360

-0.2790

+349bps

-32bps

CZ5YT=RR

5-year

(CZ5YT=RR)

5.0390

0.0030

+307bps

-7bps

CZ10YT=RR

10-year

(CZ10YT=RR)

4.8280

0.0040

+290bps

-8bps

Poland

PL2YT=RR

2-year

(PL2YT=RR)

7.0790

0.0890

+493bps

+4bps

PL5YT=RR

5-year

(PL5YT=RR)

7.0850

0.1560

+512bps

+8bps

PL10YT=RR

10-year

(PL10YT=RR)

6.8280

0.1470

+490bps

+7bps

FORWARD

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

(CZKFRA) (PRIBOR=)

7.06

6.73

6.36

7.25

Hungary

(HUFFRA) (BUBOR=)

13.81

12.29

11.47

15.33

Poland

(PLNFRA) (WIBOR=)

7.38

7.37

7.10

7.32

Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices

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