ETH/BTC: Tuur Demeester Registers Surprising Pattern
ETHBTC, the ratio between Ethereum's value and Bitcoin's value, fails to recover from a multi-year downtrend. Seasoned Bitcoiner Tuur Demeester, author of Bitcoin Reformation theory, noticed that this crucial indicator lost over one third of its value in two years.
ETHBTC lost 36.4% after this reckless move: Tuur Demeester
The ETHBTC metric is 27.9% down in 12 months, Tuur Demeester noticed in his recent thread on X (formerly Twitter). This is the result of a prolonged downtrend: In two years, Ethereum ETHUSD lost 36.4% against Bitcoin BTCUSD.
1 week: -3.2%
1 month: -5.2%
3 months: -8.2%
6 months: -13.7%
1 year: -27.9%
2 years: -36.4%— Tuur Demeester (@TuurDemeester) May 10, 2024
Demeester stressed that this timeline was chosen to demonstrate the long-term effects of Ethereum's ETHUSD migration to the proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus.
He recalled that Ethereum ETHUSD managed to replace PoW with PoS 18 months ago, in mid-September 2022. After this game-changing upgrade was activated, Bitcoin BTCUSD became the only major cryptocurrency leveraging the proof-of-work (PoW) consensus.
As covered by U.Today previously, Ethereum ETHUSD founder Vitalik Buterin called its now-deprecated proof-of-work version too vulnerable to centralization.
Buterin recalled that PoW always was nothing but a "temporary stage" before migration to proof of stake, which replaced mining with staking as a way to secure blockchain consensus.
As of now, Ethereum's ETHUSD proof-of-stake (PoS) ecosystem features more than 1 million active validators, U.Today reported in April.
Top trader Peter Brandt foresees continuation of trend
The Bitcoin Reformation author also recalled his August 2022 comment and called the Ethereum ETHUSD migration a "reckless switch."
Followers of Demeester indicated that this metric can be different should we zoom out. For instance, on a 10-year time frame, it would demonstrate 76,000% growth instead of a 36.4% decrease.
3 years forward projection: -57%— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) May 10, 2024
However, veteran trader Peter Brandt noticed that in three years, ETHBTC might be 57% down, according to Demeester's model.