AMD Shares Surge After Partnership Announcement with OpenAIAMD Shares Surge After Partnership Announcement with OpenAI
According to media reports:
→ The deal involves AMD supplying processors of various generations to support the deployment of artificial intelligence infrastructure with a total capacity of 6 gigawatts.
→ The partnership is expected to generate billions in revenue for AMD starting in 2026.
→ Barclays analysts have raised their price target for AMD shares from $200 to $300.
The major announcement fuelled a sharp rally of around 30% in AMD’s share price, though this surge triggered aggressive selling pressure near the historic peak around the $227 level.
Technical Analysis of AMD Stock Chart
Price action analysis shows that:
→ The trading session opened with a wide bullish gap, breaking through the key psychological level of $200.
→ The price also surpassed previous resistance levels at $180 and $190.
→ During the session, the price pulled back, forming two large bearish candles on the four-hour chart.
A reasonable interpretation:
→ The initial reaction was highly emotional, but the optimism is fading quickly.
→ The price movement indicates strong bearish activity following the sharp rise.
Selling pressure is being driven by:
→ Investors locking in substantial profits now, as the deal’s financial impact will unfold gradually over time (creating future opportunities to re-enter at lower prices).
→ Technical signs of an overbought market.
Signs that AMD shares may be overbought include:
→ The RSI indicator, which exceeded 80 yesterday.
→ The price opening significantly above the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Possible Scenarios for AMD Stock Price
Short-term: Bearish activity could drive a correction towards:
→ The median line of the ascending channel, where demand and supply typically balance.
→ The psychological level of $200, which may influence sentiment among traders reacting to the news.
Long-term: AMD shares remain fundamentally attractive, given that:
→ The AI boom continues to serve as a major growth driver.
→ Market participants expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Stocks
CLSK - accumulation before a breakout or a trap?CLSK price is consolidating in the 9.5–10.5 buy zone, which aligns with a key volume area. On the weekly chart, a breakout from the falling wedge is forming, and if bulls manage to hold above the current range, the next targets stand at 17.98 and 24.72. Volumes indicate institutional interest, while RSI at lower levels suggests a potential reversal.
Fundamentally , CLSK is strongly correlated with Bitcoin and the mining sector: declining hash rate among competitors and expectations of a softer Fed policy provide a supportive backdrop.
The tactical setup is straightforward: defending 9.5–10.5 opens the way toward 17.98 and 24.72, while a breakdown would shift the price lower.
For now, it looks like accumulation, but the real question is who will give up first - the bulls or the bears.
COINBASE Last time it did this, it rallied at least +100%Coinbase (COIN) has set eyes on its Higher Highs trend-line again, the very same structure which we targeted successfully ($400 Target) on our buy signal 5 months ago (May 07, see chart below):
This time we have in our hands perhaps the strongest bullish confirmation signal of this Cycle, the 1W RSI breaking above its MA trend-line. This took place last week and every time Coinbase did this in the past 2 years, it rallied by at least +100%.
If that's repeated, it means the price would target $750, which is however well above the Higher Highs trend-line. A solid strategy would be targeting the Higher Highs trend-line initially and if the price breaks above it and re-tests/ holds it as Support, re-buy and then target $750.
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TSLA Up 5.45% Amid Mixed Q3 Deliveries—Undervalued AI Play?TSLA – Financial Performance & SWOT Analysis
TSLA Up 5.45% Amid Mixed Q3 Deliveries—Undervalued AI Play?
(1/9)
Good Morning, folks! TSLA is climbing 🚀, at $ 453.25 up 12.24% YTD per October 07, 2025. Mixed deliveries shake up this EV stock play, let’s dive in! 📊🔥 Tag a friend who needs this investing hack!
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE
• Last week: $ 453.25, up 5.45% on deliveries 📈
• YTD 2025: up 12.24%, lagging S&P slightly 🔄
• Q3 2025: 497K deliveries, production 447K 🚀
This EV stock’s volatility? Delivery beats pop! 💥
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION
• Market Cap: $ 1.507T, global leader 🏆
• Avg Volume: 89.59M shares, high liquidity 💧
• Trend: forward P/E 172.41, undervalued per AI hype 👑
This asset’s dominance? Holding tight! 🔒
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS
• Q3 deliveries: 497K vehicles, record amid tax credit 💰
• Stock surge: +5.45% on report 🏭
• AI hype: Robotaxi event looms, institutional buys 📈
This EV stock’s momentum? Tech rally push! ⚡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Mixed reports: production lags deliveries ⚠️
• Competition rising: EV market rivals 🆚
• Volatility: beta 2.09 swings 📉
This ticker’s exposure? Watch these twists! ⚠️🔄
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• AI integration (FSD/Robotaxi): growth driver 🌟
• EV leadership: market share 🤖
• Institutional interest: bullish sentiment 👥
This asset’s edge? Built tough! 💪
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: high P/E, delivery inconsistencies ⚖️
• Opportunities: EV recovery, AI expansion 🌍
Can this ticker beat the odds? 🎲 Reply with your take!
(8/9) – POLL TIME!
TSLA’s $ 453.25 surge—your vibe?
• Bullish: $500+ soon, AI beats 📈🚀
• Neutral: Steady, risks balanced ⚖️🛡️
• Bearish: $400 looms, demand dips 📉⚠️
Chime in below! 💬 Tag a friend for this poll!
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
TSLA’s $ 453.25 climb shows resilience 💪, AI fuels it ⚡. Risks bite 🦈, yet dips are DCA gold 💎. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust? See dcalpha.net for our algorithm edge, not advice, just our spin!
#TSLA #Investing #Markets #Trading #Finance #ETF #Commodities #DCA #Trends
Demystifying TSLA's Volatility into Gains**
TSLA is potentially undervalued as of October 07, 2025, at $ 453.25, up 12.24% YTD per Yahoo Finance. Mixed deliveries shape its path in the EV space.
**Financial Performance**
Price Movement: YTD at $ 453.25, up 12.24%. Broader period shows 5.45% gain amid tech rally. Q3 adds upside, with 497K deliveries.
Volume & Market Cap: Avg volume 89.59M shares. Market cap at $ 1.507T.
Key Metric: Forward P/E 172.41, beta 2.09.
**SWOT Analysis**
Strengths:
- EV market leadership.
- AI and Robotaxi integration.
- Institutional and bullish sentiment.
Weaknesses:
- Mixed delivery reports.
- High volatility.
- Production inconsistencies.
Opportunities:
- EV market recovery.
- AI hype and Robotaxi.
- Broader tech rally.
Threats:
- Competition in EV/AI.
- Tax credit expiration impact.
- Market cycles.
**TSLA vs. SPY: Key Comparisons**
| Aspect | TSLA | SPY |
|--------|------|-----|
| Purpose & Scope | EV and AI innovation focus | Broad market index tracking |
| Dynamics | Beta 2.09 volatility vs. lower 1.00 | Steady benchmark |
| Market Position | Up 12.24% YTD, undervalued hype vs. S&P gains | Stable exposure |
**Outlook & Risks**
TSLA’s $ 453.25 position shows AI edge, with delivery records. Competition looms, yet dip grabs turn volatility into gains. AI wins or EV recovery could sway it, but time’s our edge. Gem or fade? Depends on AI adoption.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 7, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 7, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Shutdown overhang: The U.S. Trade Deficit release remains at risk; traders lean on Fed commentary for macro tone.
📉 Rates + dollar watch: Treasury yields stay elevated ahead of FOMC Minutes (Wed); AMEX:SPY sensitivity to TVC:DXY remains high.
💬 Fed parade: Five speakers on deck — market parsing for any shift in post-Powell narrative.
💻 Tech + liquidity: $AAPL/ NASDAQ:MSFT flows continue driving AMEX:XLK rotation amid tightening liquidity backdrop.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — U.S. Trade Deficit (Aug)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed) speech
⏰ 10:05 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision) remarks
⏰ 10:45 AM — Stephen Miran (Fed Governor) speech
⏰ 11:30 AM — Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis Fed) speech
⏰ 3:00 PM — Consumer Credit (Aug)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #Bostic #Bowman #Kashkari #Miran #tradebalance #shutdown #bonds #Dollar #megacaps #economy
Walt Disney (DIS) – Reversal Cup & Handle FormationOn the Daily timeframe, NYSE:DIS is forming a reversal cup and handle pattern.
The price is moving below both EMA 50 and EMA 100 , confirming short-term bearish momentum. The recent decline matches the depth of the previous cup’s widest part, indicating potential continuation toward the next strong support near $106.
If this support level breaks, the price could move down to test the psychological zone around $100 , and possibly fill the gap below it.
IREN Wont Quit! Fib extension Analogue targets..NASDAQ:IREN Has ran all the weekly pivot in an astonishing wave III. RSI is extremely overbought.
The next Fibonacci extension targets (analogue scale) are the 3.618 at $59 and the 4.236 at $68 for a wave 3 termination.
Fibonacci log targets are as high as $400 but this seems unrealistic so switched to analogue in this case! Stranger things have happened still...
Safe trading
Micron: AI Memory Powerhouse Amid #AI and #TechnologyMicron: Undervalued AI Memory Powerhouse Amid #AI and #Technology Trends Explosion? $175 Target in Sight?
Micron (MU) shares hit a new 52-week high of $158.28 today, up 1.2% amid surging AI data center demand and institutional buying, with the stock soaring 86.8% YTD on memory chip tailwinds.
As Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings loom on September 23—projecting 58% EPS jump to $1.29 on $8.7B revenue—analysts have hiked targets to $175, implying 10%+ upside. Just as #AI racks up 17K mentions and #technology trends with 46K on X today (fueled by AI video generators and chip hype), Micron's HBM3E tech for Nvidia GPUs positions it as the undervalued play in the $200B+ semiconductor memory market.
But with forward P/E at 12x, is MU set to ride the AI wave higher, or will supply gluts cap the rally? Let's unpack the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 17, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Micron's resurgence is driven by AI hyperscaler demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), with Q2 fiscal 2025 revenue hitting $9.3B (up 93% YoY) and data center sales doubling to $2.2B.
Analysts forecast 2025 revenue of $38.5B (up 50% YoY), as HBM capacity ramps to 250K wafers amid #AI trends exploding on social media. Trading at 18% below fair value per DCF, MU's undervaluation shines with gross margins rebounding to 37%—but cyclical DRAM risks could flare if PC demand softens.
- **Positive:**
- AI boom ties into today's #technology hype, with HBM3E sales projected at $2.5B in FY2025; institutional stakes rising signal confidence.
- Q2 EPS beat of $1.18 (vs. $1.00 est.) and $1.6B FCF undervalues the stock at 12x forward earnings vs. sector 25x.
- Broader trends in edge AI and automotive chips position MU for 20%+ CAGR, amplified by #AI video generator virality.
- **Negative:**
- Inventory overhang from prior cycles could pressure pricing, clashing with #technology optimism if China trade tensions escalate.
- High capex ($8B annually) strains balance sheet if AI adoption slows amid economic jitters.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Leadership in DRAM/NAND with 20%+ market share; AI-optimized HBM tech generates 50%+ gross margins, amplified by #AI relevance in data centers.
**Weaknesses:** Cyclical exposure to consumer electronics; $7.8B net debt limits agility in a volatile #technology market.
**Opportunities:** HBM ramp to meet Nvidia/AMD demand unlocks $5B+ revenue; undervalued at 12x P/E amid 58% EPS growth and #AI boom on X.
**Threats:** Supply chain disruptions from geopolitics; competition from Samsung/SK Hynix capitalizing on #technology trends.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, MU is in a parabolic uptrend, breaking 52-week highs after consolidating above $140 support, with volume exploding on AI news and mirroring #AI volatility spikes. The weekly shows a cup-and-handle breakout from summer lows, now accelerating higher. Current price: $158.28, with VWAP at $156 as intraday pivot.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 74, overbought but fueled by momentum—watch for consolidation amid #technology surges. 📈
- **MACD:** Bullish crossover with surging histogram, confirming AI-driven acceleration; minimal divergence. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price crushing 21-day EMA ($145) and 50-day SMA ($130), golden cross locked in.
Support/Resistance: Key support at $150 (recent breakout and 50-day SMA), resistance at $165 (Fib extension) and $175 (analyst target). Patterns/Momentum: Cup-and-handle targets $200; strong buy signals. 🟢 Bullish signals: Volume on earnings hype. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could pull back 5-8% on profit-taking.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Smash $165 on earnings beat or #AI catalyst targets $175 short-term, then $200 by year-end. Buy dips to $150 for entries tied to tech trends.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Breach $150 eyes $140 (200-day EMA); supply news amid #technology fade could retrace 10%.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $150–$165 if data mixed and #AI cools, ideal for straddles pre-earnings.
Risk Tips: Set stops 3% below support ($145.50) to tame volatility. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify with NVDA or SMH to hedge semi correlations.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if MU holds $150, supercharged by today's #AI and #technology trends, cementing its undervalued status with 40%+ upside on memory demand. But watch September 23 earnings for confirmation—this fits September's chip rotation amid viral AI hype. What’s your take? Bullish on MU amid #AI chip trends or fading the rip? Share in the comments!
BTDR Closed above the weekly pivot!NASDAQ:BTDR Wave (3) is underway and price has overcome the weekly pivot for now and bulls want to see this hold! The trend is up, the supports have been tested and the all time High Volume Node is the next target $25.
Fibonacci extension targets are minimum if $38 at the 1.618 with possibility to overextended bringing up the next target of the R5 weekly pivot at $76
RSI is not overbought and has plenty of room to grow, reaching the next leg often kicks in serious momentum!
Safe trading
Crypto = Stocks, saying this since 2021Sorry for not posting as much
Want more? A lot more? See profile for more info.
Until we see a significant shift and change to our theses since 2021 >Crypto = Stocks. People were clamoring institutions. When big boys come to the party things change. Deal with that now. It is not the same game.
Since 2021 we've been saying that Crypto was no longer the same and that it turned into a similar asset as stocks.
Since then the top 10 have done well & most coins, especially after top 25, have suffered.
See the following charts to compare. Not in any order.
It's kind of like NASDAQ:NDX index vs CRYPTOCAP:BTC index.
Then the largest tech companies vs the largest Crypto.
NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:NVDA = CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:XRP CRYPTOCAP:BNB Capish?
SWING IDEA - NAVA Nava Ltd , a diversified natural resources and energy company, is showing a promising swing opportunity with a breakout backed by strong technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
Cup and Handle breakout, a strong bullish continuation pattern
Confirmed bullish price action post breakout
Bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe
Volume spike, confirming breakout strength
Trading near its 52-week high, showing momentum
Sustaining above 50 & 200 EMA on the daily chart
Target - 750 // 810
Stop loss - daily close below 645
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
CLEBI Stock Analysis CommentaryCLEBI Stock Analysis Commentary
Daily technical indicators are positive. The stock is trying to stay above its 21-day moving average (1546). As of this post, we observe positive price movements above the 1554 support level. Volatility has also increased compared to the previous week. Closing the small price gap around the 1600 level could occur in the short term. If the stock manages to remain above the 21-day moving average, resistances at 1652 and higher levels will be the next to watch. With indicators remaining positive, the probability of seeing further upward movement in the stock has increased.
Resistance Levels: 1554 – (1600) – 1652 – 1686 – 1748
Support Levels: 1497 – 1454 – 1430
If you enjoy our analysis, we’d appreciate your support — don’t forget to share it on your social media!
Legal Disclaimer:
The information, comments, and opinions provided here do not constitute investment advice. Investment advisory services are offered under a formal investment advisory agreement between the investor and authorized institutions such as brokerage firms, portfolio management companies, or non-deposit banks. The views expressed here are personal opinions and may not be suitable for your financial situation, risk tolerance, or return preferences. Therefore, no investment decisions should be made based solely on the information provided on this page.
Netflix (NFLX) - Descriptive Analysis by FIBCOS📘 NFLX 2009–2029 Descriptive Analysis
This is a detailed Elliott Wave Theory -based outlook for Netflix (NFLX) stock from around 2009 to the projected future of 2029, and it incorporates Fibonacci retracement & extensions, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , and Price Action structure within a channel.
Let’s break this down chronologically and structurally:
🌀 Wave Theory Confluence (Elliott Wave Structure)
The long-term structure of Netflix (NFLX) from 2009 to the projected 2029 period follows a classic Elliott Wave cycle, now realigned with the cycle top in mid-2018 and the macro correction ending in mid-2022.
1. Cycle Wave i (2009–2018):
NFLX entered a powerful multi-year rally, forming five sub-waves within this first major impulse. This long rally ended in mid-2018 , marking the top of Cycle Wave i .
2. Cycle Wave ii – ABC Correction (2018–2022):
From the 2018 top, the price entered a prolonged and complex 4-year correction, unfolding as a classic A-B-C corrective structure.
Wave A began the decline with a sharp markdown.
Wave B was a fake recovery, leading to Wave C, a deeper liquidation into mid-2022 , completing the correction.
This phase aligns with a major redistribution cycle where smart money exited positions, and retail investors were caught in hope rallies.
3. Cycle Wave iii (2022–2025):
After finding a bottom in mid-2022, the stock launched a new impulsive rally , forming five sub-waves (1–5) of a powerful Wave iii
Momentum accelerated in wave 3 of iii (typical in Elliott Wave), and the structure is now peaking as of late 2025, around $1,576.42.
This marks the expected completion of Wave iii, with signals pointing toward a correction.
4. Cycle Wave iv (Expected 2025–2027):
A corrective wave iv is expected to unfold, possibly returning toward the lower bound of the long-term ascending channel.
According to the principle of alternation , since wave ii was deep and complex, wave iv may be shallower or more sideways.
5. Cycle Wave v (Expected 2027–2029):
After the wave iv correction, a final impulsive leg — Wave v — is expected to push the price higher, targeting around $2,280.37 , with a potential extended move to $3,008.41 .
This will complete the macro 5-wave cycle that began in 2009.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence
The Fibonacci structure supports these wave formations:
The 2.618 extension of the previous impulse wave (measured from the 2022 bottom) projects a price target near $2,280.37 , aligning with historical extension zones.
The extended target at $3,008.41 aligns with the upper boundary of the long-term channel — often reached during euphoric final waves.
Prior retracements during wave ii and the anticipated retracement in wave iv fall into common Fibonacci pullback zones (0.382–0.618).
Fibonacci tools confirm that price has behaved symmetrically within the wave cycles, and provide high-probability zones for both correction and expansion.
🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC)
From a Smart Money perspective, the chart reflects a complete institutional cycle:
Distribution Zone (2017–2018):
Smart money exited during the late stages of Cycle Wave i. This aligns with the cycle top in mid-2018 , often accompanied by overvaluation and high optimism.
Re-Accumulation Phase (2018–2022):
The 4-year correction allowed institutional players to accumulate at discounted prices during wave C. Retail was largely shaken out, and liquidity was swept multiple times.
Expansion Phase (2022–2025):
From the 2022 bottom, price moved sharply upward in a clean impulse (Wave iii), confirming institutional interest. Gaps, strong breakouts, and efficient trends reflected low-resistance expansion driven by smart money.
Future Distribution (2029?):
Around the projected $2,280–$3,008 range (Wave v), expect distribution signs —including deviation from trend, order block mitigation, and liquidity grabs. These are typical before a larger market reset.
Smart Money Concepts help explain the why behind each wave: fear and euphoria don’t happen randomly — they are often orchestrated phases of value transfer.
📊 Price Action Structure
The long-term price action of NFLX reinforces the wave count and market psychology:
2009–2018 (Wave i):
Price action showed a steady trend of higher highs and higher lows , with smooth breakouts and momentum-driven runs.
2018–2022 (Wave ii correction):
A breakdown in structure occurred. Lower highs and a wide, overlapping correction defined this multi-year distribution. Key support levels were breached and retested as resistance — a classic bearish shift in structure.
2022–2025 (Wave iii):
Clean, impulsive movement resumed. Breakouts, bullish flags, and retests marked key continuation zones. Market structure flipped back bullish with efficient rallies.
2025–2027 (Wave iv expected):
A retracement is likely toward previous demand zones , possibly aligning with wave 4 of the lower-degree impulse, respecting Elliott’s guideline of wave 4 often retracing to the territory of wave 4 of the previous degree.
2027–2029 (Wave v projection):
Anticipate price pushing into new highs, with potential overextension . However, bearish divergence and slowing momentum could foreshadow the macro top.
This structure shows how technical behavior mirrors emotional and fundamental phases — from greed to fear, and back again.
📆 Timeline Summary (2009–2029)
2009–2018:
Powerful multi-year impulse forms Cycle Wave i , ending in mid-2018.
2018–2022:
A deep, multi-legged ABC correction forms Cycle Wave ii , ending in mid-2022.
2022–2025:
Explosive impulsive rally forms Cycle Wave iii , currently completing around $1,576.42.
2025–2027 (Expected):
A corrective pullback forms Cycle Wave iv , likely more sideways or shallow in structure.
2027–2029 (Expected):
Final rally completes Cycle Wave v , with price targets between $2,280.37 and $3,008.41 , ending the macro Elliott structure.
🔚 Conclusion
With the cycle top revised to mid-2018 and the correction ending mid-2022 , the chart structure becomes even more aligned with classic Elliott Wave theory and Smart Money behavior.
Netflix’s long-term chart is a perfect confluence of:
Elliott Wave structure (impulse → correction → impulse),
Fibonacci precision,
Institutional manipulation (SMC), and
Clear price action behavior.
The roadmap to 2029 shows exciting bullish potential, but also highlights the need for caution near projected macro top zones — where institutional distribution may quietly unfold again.
📘 DISCLAIMER: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.
#Netflix, #NFLX, #Nasdaq #WaveTheory, #Fibonacci, #SmartMoney, #PriceAction
BRK.B Undervalued Amid Steady Growth—Buffett's Long-Term Play?BRK.B – Financial Performance & SWOT Analysis
BRK.B Undervalued Amid Steady Growth—Buffett's Long-Term Play?
(1/9)
Good evening, folks! BRK.B is steady 📈, at $ 500.02 up 10.31% YTD per October 07, 2025. Fundamentals shake up this conglomerate play, let’s dive in! 📊🔥 Tag a friend who needs this investing hack!
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE
• Last week: $ 500.02, up from $ 498.75 close 📈
• YTD 2025: up 10.31%, lagging S&P 500 🔄
• Recent: minimal volatility, positive sentiment 🚀
This conglomerate stock’s stability? Fundamentals pop! 💥
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION
• Market Cap: $ 1.079T, diversified giant 🏆
• Avg Volume: 4.46M shares, solid liquidity 💧
• Trend: trading at discount to intrinsic value 👑
This asset’s position? Holding firm! 🔒
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS
• OxyChem acquisition: $9.7B deal boosts chemicals 💰
• Q2 earnings: revenue $92.52B, steady growth 🏭
• Buffett influence: positive long-term sentiment 📈
This conglomerate’s moves? Strategic edge! ⚡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Economic cycles: impacts subsidiaries ⚠️
• Succession concerns: post-Buffett era 🆚
• Low volatility: beta 0.77, but market risks 📉
This ticker’s challenges? Watch these shifts! ⚠️🔄
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Diversification (insurance/rail): risk mitigation 🌟
• Cash reserves: $344B for opportunities 🤖
• Buffett's influence: value investing 👥
This asset’s foundation? Built resilient! 💪
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: no dividends, succession risks ⚖️
• Opportunities: acquisitions, revenue growth 🌍
Can this ticker flip the odds? 🎲 Reply with your take!
(8/9) – POLL TIME!
BRK.B’s $ 500.02 value—your vibe?
• Bullish: $521+ soon, acquisition wins 📈🚀
• Neutral: Steady, risks balanced ⚖️🛡️
• Bearish: $450 looms, cycle dips 📉⚠️
Chime in below! 💬 Tag a friend for this poll!
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
BRK.B’s $ 500.02 stance shows strength 💪, fundamentals fuel it ⚡. Cycles bite 🦈, yet dips are DCA gold 💎. We snag ‘em cheap, scale like pros! Gem or bust? See dcalpha.net for our algorithm edge, not advice, just our spin!
#BRK.B #Investing #Markets #Trading #Finance #ETF #Commodities #DCA #Trends
Demystifying BRK.B's Volatility into Gains**
BRK.B is undervalued as of October 07, 2025, at $ 500.02, up 10.31% YTD per Yahoo Finance. Steady revenue shapes its path in the conglomerate space.
**Financial Performance**
Price Movement: YTD at $ 500.02, up 10.31%. Broader period shows stability amid market gains. Q2 adds context, with revenue $92.52B.
Volume & Market Cap: Avg volume 4.46M shares. Market cap at $ 1.079T.
Key Metric: PE ratio 17.12, beta 0.77.
**SWOT Analysis**
Strengths:
- Diversified operations across sectors.
- Strong cash position for investments.
- Buffett's value-driven approach.
Weaknesses:
- Succession planning concerns.
- No dividend payouts.
- Exposure to economic downturns.
Opportunities:
- Strategic acquisitions like OxyChem.
- Revenue growth in subsidiaries.
- Long-term market sentiment.
Threats:
- Market volatility impacts.
- Regulatory changes in sectors.
- Competitive pressures.
**BRK.B vs. SPY: Key Comparisons**
| Aspect | BRK.B | SPY |
|--------|------|-----|
| Purpose & Scope | Diversified conglomerate focus | Broad market index tracking |
| Dynamics | Low beta 0.77 vs. 1.00 | Steady benchmark |
| Market Position | Up 10.31% YTD, undervalued discount vs. S&P gains | Stable broad exposure |
**Outlook & Risks**
BRK.B’s $ 500.02 position shows fundamental edge, with revenue growth. Succession risks loom, yet dip grabs turn volatility into gains. Acquisitions or Buffett influence could sway it, but time’s our edge. Gem or fade? Depends on economic stability.
COIN Wave III underway into all time high!Elliot Wave (III) is still underway after wave (II) completed at the weekly 200EMA. Coinbase had a huge bullish engulfing candle this week, closing price above the High Volume Node and R1 weekly pivot - a strong bullish signal!
Price first tested the High Volume Node support and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $270. Characteristic of wave 3 shallow pullbacks.
Weekly RSI has reset to the channel EQ and crossing bullishly giving price room to extend upwards!
Safe trading
NAS100 - Stock Market on Federal Holiday!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the upward momentum decreases, we can expect a correction to the demand zones and buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk.
Traders in prediction markets now estimate that the U.S. federal government shutdown could last more than a week and potentially extend into mid-October. These projections suggest that Washington’s political environment has reached a deadlock, making a swift agreement in Congress increasingly unlikely.
The shutdown began early Wednesday morning after Democrats and Republicans—along with President Donald Trump—failed to reach a compromise on a temporary funding bill. As a result, hundreds of thousands of federal employees have been placed on unpaid leave, and numerous government programs and public services have been suspended.
According to data from Bank of America, since 1990, U.S. government shutdowns have lasted an average of 14 days. Although the S&P 500 has typically risen about 1% during such periods, an extended impasse could weigh heavily on an already fragile economy and markets near record highs.
The credit rating agency Fitch stated that the current shutdown will not have a direct impact on the United States’ credit rating, which remains at AA+ with a stable outlook. However, the agency noted that repeated reliance on short-term funding resolutions reflects persistent weaknesses in U.S. fiscal governance. Still, Fitch expects the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency to remain intact in the near future.
Fitch also added that a short-lived shutdown is unlikely to affect most public-finance credits, though a prolonged one could pose negative risks for bond issuers—particularly those dependent on federal funding in areas such as healthcare, housing, and higher education.
Meanwhile, UBS argued that concerns over the U.S. government shutdown have been overstated, predicting that its economic impact will be limited and short-lived. The bank advised investors to look beyond political noise and instead focus on Federal Reserve rate cuts, corporate earnings, and opportunities in artificial intelligence.
Economists at Citi expect the Federal Reserve to implement two 25-basis-point rate cuts in October and December, in line with its Dot Plot projections. However, the shutdown could delay access to key labor and inflation data, forcing investors to rely more heavily on private sources such as ADP reports.
Similarly, Bank of America forecasts a rate cut in October but notes that markets have already priced in this outcome, assigning a 95% probability for October and 85% for December. In essence, this projection merely aligns with the consensus that has already formed among traders.
In actual market developments, expectations have shifted back toward easing policies. Over the past two weeks, the hawkish pressure that had supported the dollar has eased, and markets are once again pricing in a lower-rate trajectory. Currently, about 105 basis points of rate cuts are priced in for next year, compared with a previous low of 94 basis points—a shift that favors equities while weighing on the dollar.
According to Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, the government shutdown will not significantly impair the Fed’s ability to assess labor market conditions. “The Fed relies more on its proprietary datasets than on official government statistics,” he explained. “Even amid a shutdown, policymakers maintain a fairly accurate picture of the economy.”
After a week dominated by employment data—some released and others delayed due to the shutdown—the upcoming week is expected to be relatively quiet for official U.S. economic releases unless a resolution is reached.Instead, market attention will pivot toward remarks from Federal Reserve officials.
On Wednesday, the minutes of the September FOMC meeting will be released, offering deeper insight into policymakers’ views on the rate path and inflation risks. Then, on Friday, the University of Michigan’s preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for October will shed light on household perceptions of the economy and their financial conditions—a key gauge for domestic demand strength.
In addition, investors will closely monitor speeches from several Fed officials, including Bostic, Bowman, Miran, Kashkari, Barr, and Musalem. Their comments could directly influence market expectations for monetary policy and shape trading sentiment in the days ahead.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Week of Oct 6 → Oct 10, 2025 🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Oct 6 → Oct 10, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Shutdown overhang: Some data (Trade, Jobless Claims, Budget) remain at risk of delay; markets lean on Fed tone instead.
📉 Fed-heavy week: Nearly every regional president and governor is on deck — tone from Powell (Thu) + FOMC Minutes (Wed) = the core catalyst.
💻 Earnings prep: Q3 pre-announcements begin — NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:NVDA remain leadership barometers.
💵 Rates & positioning: 10Y yields and USD remain key drivers into mid-month CPI/PPI stretch.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
Mon 10/6
⏰ 5:00 PM — Jeff Schmid (Kansas City Fed) speech
Tue 10/7
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — U.S. Trade Deficit (Aug)
⏰ 3:00 PM — Consumer Credit (Aug)
🗣️ Fed Speakers — Bostic (10:00), Bowman (10:05, 8:35, 8:45), Miran (10:45, 4:05), Kashkari (11:30)
Wed 10/8
⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Minutes (September Meeting)
🗣️ Fed Speakers — Musalem (9:20), Barr (9:30, 5:45), Kashkari (3:15), Goolsbee (7:15)
Thu 10/9
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 4)
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Fed Chair Powell remarks (opening keynote)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Wholesale Inventories (Aug)
🗣️ Fed Speakers — Bowman (8:35, 8:45, 3:45), Kashkari + Barr (12:45), Daly (4:10, 9:40 PM)
Fri 10/10
⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Consumer Sentiment (Prelim, Oct)
⏰ 2:00 PM — U.S. Federal Budget (Sept)
🗣️ Fed Speakers — Goolsbee (9:45)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Powell #FOMC #Fed #joblessclaims #tradebalance #consumerconfidence #shutdown #bonds #Dollar #megacaps #economy
POSITIONAL IDEA - VEDANTA (VEDL)Vedanta Ltd , one of India’s leading diversified natural resources companies, is showing a strong long-term breakout setup supported by powerful technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
Attempting a multi-year breakout after nearly 14 years of consolidation
Potential VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) breakout forming
Bullish engulfing candle on the monthly timeframe
Consolidating near all-time highs, showing strength in price structure
Trading above 50 & 200 EMA on both weekly and monthly charts
Maintaining a clear higher-high, higher-low trend structure
Target - 625 // 710
Stoploss - monthly close below 395
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MPWR 1D: shoulders are squared and the battery's still fullMonolithic Power Systems broke out of a long-term descending trendline after completing a clean inverse head and shoulders. Now the price is pulling back into the 705–688 zone — a textbook retest area that combines the neckline, the 0.705–0.79 Fib levels, and a major volume shelf. Add to that a golden cross (EMA50 crossing EMA200 from below) and we have a solid technical foundation for continuation. Volume on the pullback is low, indicating no panic, just rotation. If 688 holds, the next levels to watch are 755.66 and 952.17 — the latter being the 1.618 Fib extension. Tactical setup: look for a reversal signal between 705–688, with a stop just below 661. As long as price holds this zone, the bullish structure remains intact.
Fundamentally, MPWR remains one of the strongest names in the semiconductor space. With over $1.5B in annual revenue and industry-leading margins, the company continues to see strong demand from data center and EV sectors. In its latest report, management highlighted accelerating orders from Tier‑1 manufacturers. The balance sheet is clean, with zero debt, and ongoing buybacks provide downside support. In a sector full of volatility, MPWR stands out with both structural reliability and technical clarity - making it a strong candidate for long-term positioning.
If this textbook pattern plays out, the train’s just leaving the station. The best seat is usually the one taken before the doors close.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 3, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the previous week’s trading session, the S&P 500 Index demonstrated a significant increase in upward price activity, rebounding from the Mean Support level of 6585. The index not only retested but also exceeded our primary target set at Key Resistance of 6693 and the Inner Index Rally level of 6704.
At present, the index is situated just below the newly established Key Resistance level of 6750, and it appears to be on track to complete the Outer Index Rally at 6768, indicating the potential for further upward momentum in the near future that could extend to the subsequent Outer Index Rally target of 6946.
It is essential to recognize that upon achieving the Key Resistance target of 6750 and the Outer Index Rally target of 6768, there may be an ensuing pullback toward the Mean Support level of 6675. Furthermore, there is a possibility of a further decline that could extend to the Mean Support target of 6604.