Nio Update - Possible move in the makingGiven the recent pullback in the major indices, NIO looks like it’s setting up for a potential move if market sentiment stabilizes. The stock has held above key support despite the broader retracement, showing relative strength. With deliveries improving and the company trimming losses quarter-over-quarter, any bounce in risk assets could act as a catalyst. Still a speculative name, but the compression after the dip suggests it may be preparing for a directional move once the market settles.
Trade ideas
$NIO: The Key Levels to WatchNIO Inc. is a Chinese automotive technology company founded on November 28, 2014, and headquartered in Jiading. Its operations are centered on the electric vehicle market and a unique user-centric ecosystem.
Core Products: Design and manufacture of electric vehicles, including the ES8 7-seater SUV and the high-performance EP9 supercar.
Power Solutions: A comprehensive network of charging options, including home charging, public access, express valet services, mobile charging trucks, and its signature battery swapping technology.
Additional Services: Value-added offerings such as service packages, battery payment plans, vehicle financing, and license plate registration assistance.
Beyond its business as a comprehensive EV and power solutions company, NYSE:NIO 's stock ( NYSE:NIO ) is currently trading within a well-defined range. Here’s a tactical breakdown of the essential levels for your trading plan:
The Ceiling (Resistance): $8.00 is the wall. Until this level is convincingly broken to the upside, the overall bias remains range-bound to bearish. Any approach to this level is a potential area for taking profits or for aggressive traders to consider short positions.
The Floor (Support): $4.00 is the absolute floor. This is the level that must hold to prevent a significant downturn. Long positions become increasingly risky if the price starts to consolidate below $4.50.
The Abyss (Danger Zone): If $4.00 breaks, prepare for a rapid move down to $3.00. This is the "Danger Zone," and a break here could lead to catastrophic losses. All bullish bets should be re-evaluated if this level is tested.
The Buy Zones:
Zone 1 (Cautious Accumulation): $5.00. Start scaling into long positions here, but keep size small.
Zone 2 (High-Conviction Accumulation): $4.50. This is the prime zone to add to positions, as it offers a tighter stop-loss below the $4.00 support and a more favorable risk/reward setup.
NIO’s Balancing Act: Progress Meets PressureSince my last analysis on September 24, NIO has remained in a crucial transition phase. Deliveries have surpassed 110,000 units YTD, supported by the sub-brand ONVO, which started shipping the updated L60 SUV featuring Battery Swap compatibility.
The company also shortened ES8 delivery times to 22–23 weeks, showing improved production efficiency.
On the downside, a lawsuit filed in the U.S. by Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC triggered a ~9% drop in Hong Kong trading. Analysts remain cautious: while operational progress is clear, the path to profitability, targeted for Q4 2025, hinges on converting volume into sustainable margins.
NIO stands at a delicate balance: innovation and expansion on one side, legal and competitive risks on the other.
In the graphic above, the possible next move in the minor Elliott wave degree. This is only a financial technical study and does not constitute financial advice.
NIO Inc. (NIO) Expands Global Electric Vehicle ReachNIO Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A (NIO) is a leading Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer known for its smart, premium EVs and advanced battery-swapping technology. The company’s product lineup includes luxury SUVs and sedans designed to compete globally in performance and innovation. NIO’s growth is fueled by expanding EV adoption in China, global market expansion, and its unique approach to energy infrastructure through battery-as-a-service technology.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume highlights bullish strength. The price has entered the momentum zone after climbing above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be placed just below this Fibonacci mark using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders protect profits while leaving room for continued upside potential.
NIO 1W - engine on or just market noise?Technically, NIO has broken out of a long downtrend and is holding above the key $7.4 support. On the weekly chart this looks like the first sign of a long-awaited reversal. Fundamentally, however, the story is still mixed.
The company reported record October deliveries above 40 k units, up roughly 93% year-on-year - strong momentum that shows NIO is expanding its market share in China and entering a new growth phase. Still, free cash flow remains negative and profitability elusive due to heavy investments in battery-swap infrastructure and R&D.
Overall, sales growth and improving brand position support a bullish outlook. As long as price holds above $7.0–7.5, targets at $16.3 and $24.4 remain realistic. A breakdown below $6.5 would invalidate the setup.
Even electric dreams need a full charge - let’s see if this one can make it up the hill.
NIO | China will Lead the EV BattleNIO, Inc. is a holding company which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. Its products include the EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. It provides users with home charging, power express valet services, and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Bin Li and Li Hong Qin on November 28, 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.
NIO — The Spark Before the Storm $10000⚡ NIO: The Spark Before the Storm — A New SuperCycle Is Born ⚡🚗
"The storm that started with Tesla is about to find its next wave."
NIO just finished its deep correction of Wave 2 — and Wave 3 is ready to change everything. 🔥
🌩️ The Setup
From hype to despair — that’s how every SuperCycle begins.
After the 2021 peak, NIO collapsed into silence, grinding through a brutal 0.618 Fibonacci retrace.
But markets don’t die in fear — they reset .
And that reset is complete.
Now, the chart shows what could be the first true SuperCycle ignition for NIO — the same point Tesla stood at a decade ago.
🌊 The Wave Map
1️⃣ Wave 1 (2019–2021) — The hype wave. EV mania, hope, and early adoption.
2️⃣ Wave 2 (2021–2025) — The cleansing wave. Fear, dilution, exhaustion.
3️⃣ Wave 3 (2025–2029) — The expansion wave.
🔥 Projected zone: $450 (1.618)
4️⃣ Wave 4 (2030–2032) — The reset.
5️⃣ Wave 5 (2032–2035) — The final mania.
Every great company survives Wave 2… and dominates in Wave 3.
🧭 The Technical Pulse
Major liquidity sweep below $8 → Smart Money re-entry.
Break of Structure (BoS) confirmation above $10 = start of markup phase.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) near $6–9 = accumulation zone.
Fib geometry + historical rhythm = 3rd wave setup confirmed.
Price is coiling under long-term resistance — the spring before expansion.
⚙️ Macro + Fundamentals
EV market entering mass production maturity.
NIO’s battery swap network gives it an unmatched recurring model.
China’s stimulus & EV subsidies may reignite the sector.
Market cap reset = asymmetric opportunity.
This is where long-term conviction separates traders from investors.
🎯 Projection Timeline
📍 Wave 3 → ~$450
🔄 Wave 4 → $100–150 zone
🚀 Wave 5 → $10,000+
💬 Final Take
⚡ NIO’s not dead — it’s recharging.
When Wave 3 hits, disbelief turns to euphoria.
👇 Drop your take — is this the next EV breakout SuperCycle ?
Follow for deep Elliott + Smart Money confluence setups.
#NIO #EVRevolution #Wave3 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #FIBCOS #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #TradingView #StockMarket #MacroCycle #Investing #WaveTheory #ElectricVehicles
$NIO – The Vampiric Setup in Action🧛♂️ NYSE:NIO – The Vampiric Setup in Action
Price has been crushed from $60 → $4.78, but now the structure is shifting.
On the monthly chart, we see the classic Vampiric Setup:
Liquidity Pool swept (weak hands drained)
Displacement created (fast downside flush)
Breaker formed (structure reclaim)
Liquidity Reclaimed (buyers stepping back in)
📊 Current Price: $7.04 (+10%)
Support: $4.78 (discount zone)
Resistance Band: $12–$17 (liquidity pocket)
Long-Term Target: $26–28 equilibrium
🔹 Catalysts
EV sector rotation into 2026
China-U.S. policy shifts (subsidies/tariffs)
Delivery & margin stabilization in earnings
Macro liquidity — tech/AI flows lifting EV names
⚠️ Risk: Failure to hold above $5 kills the structure.
🚀 If the vampiric cycle completes, NIO could be transitioning from capitulation → accumulation → expansion.
#NIO #EVStocks #SmartMoney #VampiricSetup #VolanX #WaverVanir
Why NIO's Tide Is Turning: A Game-Changer in the EV ArenaThe momentum has decisively shifted for NIO, with ES8 orders surging and dominating the market. Its aggressively competitive pricing is poised to erode share from heavyweights like BYD, Tesla, and XPENG, making it an irresistible force in the pure-play EV space—one truly worth betting on.
At the heart of NIO's edge is its cutting-edge technology, particularly the battery swap system, which stands out as a stroke of genius. Critics dismissing battery swaps as outdated miss the bigger picture: delivering a full charge for a 100 kWh pack in just 10 minutes via ultra-fast chargers demands massive grid infrastructure that's often impractical and accelerates battery degradation. In contrast, NIO's swaps enable gentler, slower charging in controlled environments, preserving pack longevity while allowing stations to proliferate without straining local power grids.
Even more intriguing—and under-discussed—is the revenue potential of these swap stations. They can capitalize on power market volatility, charging batteries during off-peak low-price hours and feeding stored energy back to the grid at premium rates during demand spikes. It's not just smarter mobility; it's a savvy energy arbitrage play that could turn NIO's network into a profit powerhouse. For forward-thinking investors, NIO isn't just riding the EV wave—it's redefining it.
The New Nio's ES8 Breaks Records and Aims for ProfitLast Saturday, NIO stole the spotlight at its NIO Day 2025, more than just a product launch, it felt like a celebration for users, investors, and EV enthusiasts alike. The star of the show? The third-generation ES8, a premium electric SUV designed to go head-to-head with the luxury giants.
How NIO Is Performing: Q2 2025 Results
In the second quarter, NIO posted RMB 19 billion in revenue (about USD 2.65 billion) and delivered 72,056 vehicles, marking a year-on-year increase of 25–30%. Vehicle gross margin stood at around 10.3%, while the loss per share came in at -0.32 USD.
In other words, NIO is still in the red, but the direction is positive: better operational efficiency, tighter cost control, and a refreshed product lineup.
What to Expect in Q3 2025
The next earnings report is scheduled for November 19, 2025, and analysts are looking for another step forward:
USD 3.0–3.2 billion in revenue
87,000–91,000 vehicle deliveries
Loss narrowing to -0.22 USD per share
Q3 is expected to be a transitional quarter, while Q4 could be the one that finally brings break-even.
The New ES8: Record Orders and Long Waitlists
The ES8 isn’t just another model; it’s the symbol of NIO’s maturity. Within just 36 hours of launch, around 50,000 binding orders were placed, already beyond the estimated production capacity for 2025.
Delivery times? 24–26 weeks, roughly six months. It’s a logistical headache, but also a luxury problem for a brand that only a few years ago was chasing Tesla and the German heavyweights.
NIO is targeting a 20% gross margin on the ES8 thanks to in-house development and a tighter supply chain.
Moving Toward Profitability in Q4 2025
The official goal is clear: reach non-GAAP break-even by the fourth quarter of 2025. If ES8 deliveries and other models roll out as planned, NIO could end the year on a much stronger footing.
Still, more cautious analysts, like Nomura, say full-year profitability may not arrive until 2027, when margins stabilize and production fully catches up with demand.
A Direct Challenge to Premium Brands
With these numbers, NIO is sending a clear message to Mercedes, BMW, and Audi: premium electric SUVs are no longer just a German domain. The new ES8 challenges on price, technology, and customer experience, from swappable batteries to a more personalized after-sales service.
Conclusion
NIO Day 2025 wasn’t just a showcase; it revealed a company in acceleration mode, with record orders and ambitious plans. If NIO can convert this demand into deliveries and margins, 2025 could be the year it truly levels up.
This is not a financial advice
A great move for NIO IncNio has show some strength in the past days however it was not powerful enough. Nio according to my analyses will see a short as seen on the chart before making a greater move to the upside if we see a higher low formed and break of structure.
This is not a financial advice, just my opinion. Tell me what you think in the comment section.
NIO weeklyBreakout in 2025
Price has now broken out of this channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. The breakout was supported by rising trading volume, suggesting renewed interest.
The chart reflects a transition from a multi-year downtrend into a possible early-stage uptrend, with Fibonacci levels and price gaps as the next resistance checkpoints.
Moving average resistance
The 100-week moving average (~$6.20) was reclaimed, reinforcing bullish momentum, but multiple resistance layers lie ahead (notably $8.42, $11.38, $13.48).
Fibonacci retracements
Levels from the $16.16 high down to $3.64 low are plotted. Price is now approaching the 0.382 retracement ($8.42) after reclaiming the 0.236 retracement ($6.59), indicating it’s working through resistance zones.
Volume confirmation
Recent strong green volume bars show accumulation and short-covering, a common feature after a prolonged downtrend.
NIO : predicts Intraday Short Setup (Bearish Bias)How AI predicts daily market moves...🚀📈
⚡ NYSE:NIO predicts Intraday Short Setup (Bearish Bias)
📊 Current Market Status
Price: $6.21
Data Quality: ✅ Good
Timeframe: 1-Min K-Line (Intraday)
🎯 Intraday Price Predictions
30-Min → $6.22 (+0.24%)
2-Hr → $6.11 (-1.54%)
End-of-Day → $6.17 (-0.65%)
📈 Extended Outlook
Final Target: $6.17 (-0.65%)
Predicted Volatility: 66.5%
Range: $5.79 – $6.23
⚖️ Trend Analysis
Direction: BEARISH
Confidence: 64%
Bias: 🔻 Leaning downside with volatility expansion
🔑 Key Levels
Support: $5.79
Resistance: $6.23
Range Size: 7.2% of price
🚨 Intraday Trade Signal
Direction: SHORT
Entry: $6.21
Target: $6.18
Stop: $6.30
Confidence: 64%
Expected Move: -0.7%
R/R: 0.34 : 1
Horizon: 390 min (day session)
NIO Share Price Shows Signs of StrengthNIO Share Price Shows Signs of Strength
This week, the media highlighted that the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), the Chinese smart electric vehicle manufacturer, fell after management announced a $1 billion share offering to raise capital. The funds are intended to finance projects such as the development of EV charging infrastructure.
Indeed, on 10 September, a wide bearish gap appeared on the chart, but by 11 September (yesterday) the bulls had almost entirely recovered the decline. This indicates bullish strength, possibly supported by a solid fundamental backdrop, driven by:
→ the expansion of NIO’s model range (which now includes the budget ONVO brand as well as the premium Firefly series);
→ higher delivery volumes – in the latest reporting quarter the company delivered 72,056 vehicles, up 25.6% compared to the previous period.
The NIO Inc. (NIO) price chart points to further bullish signals.
Technical Analysis of NIO Stock
Price movements are forming an ascending channel (shown in blue), with the following features:
→ The bulls managed to recover from the sharp decline 0→1, after which we observe the 1→6 sequence, typical of a bullish market, as each subsequent low and high is higher than the previous one.
→ Upward impulses are steep, while the subsequent pullbacks (which can be interpreted as a bullish flag pattern, shown in red) look like healthy corrections.
→ Key resistance levels are turning into support. This was the case with $4.40 and $5.30. The black arrow shows that the channel’s median line also acts as support – which led to the price moving above the psychological $6 level.
From a bearish perspective, resistance may be provided by the upper boundary of the current correction zone. However, the third bullish flag could be broken (as were the previous two), which would open the way for NIO’s share price to reach the upper boundary of the blue channel.
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