Others vs high capsThis is an inverse correlation between btc.d+eth.d+usdt.d+usdc.d and others (below top 10 altcoins), right now we are seeing a change on dominance of crypto market. Both charts are crossing each other growing probabilities of a higher dominance of alts on crypto environment. Not financial advice, take your own finance decisions based on your own research.
BTC.D trade ideas
**BTC Analysis** Current market sentiment for Bi**BTC Analysis**
Current market sentiment for Bitcoin is cautiously optimistic. A key technical support level has formed around $60,000. If this level holds, it could attempt another rally towards previous highs. However, strong resistance exists in the $68,000-$70,000 zone, and a breakout would require significant capital inflow. Macro-wise, the market is assessing Federal Reserve rate cut expectations and ETF flows, which are the primary short-term drivers. The price will likely consolidate at high levels to absorb profit-taking and accumulate energy. Traders should closely monitor volume and the battle at key levels, guarding against false breakouts. The overall trend remains intact, but volatility is expected to increase.
Crypto Tip of the DayCrypto Tip of the Day 🚨
Buying shitcoins is like buying lottery tickets — except the odds are even worse. 🎰🚮
If you really want to survive (and thrive) in this market, stick to altcoins with strong fundamentals. 💡
Remember: not every pump is an opportunity — sometimes it’s just a trap. 🪤
bitcoin dominance weekly analysis In weekly time frame analysis, we see BTC in an ascending channel and then later breaking down the channel thus signaling a shift from uptrend to a downtrend. From a top-down analysis that is from big time frame to small time frame, we might have a short-term retest back to the downtrend line of the channel before running back in the down trend which will inversely mean that the altcoin season is gaining momentum, by this we simple mean when the BTC.D is in downtrend the altcoins are in uptrend . let's wait and see
BTC.D (Dominance at Critical Fibonacci Confluence) 2025 Weekly
**Summary:**
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is testing a major Fibonacci confluence near the 66% level. This zone historically acts as a major pivot and may signal either a continued dominance rally or a potential reversal setting the stage for altseason. We use three layered Fibonacci retracements to outline dominant trend zones, key resistances, and projected targets.
**Chart Context:**
This chart uses **three distinct Fibonacci retracements** to map the historical and projected behavior of BTC dominance:
1. **Primary Fib** (100% to 0%): Captures the macro move from BTC.D \~100% down to its 0% level at \~0%, which aligns with the first altseason (2018–2019).
2. **Secondary Fib** (100% to 38.88%): Maps the first bearish wave to identify potential recovery levels. BTC.D retraced up to the 61.8% (\~73.68%) but failed to break further.
3. **Third or the Current Fib** (73.68% to 38.88%): Maps the latest bearish fall in BTC.D. As of now, BTC.D is hovering at the 78.6% retracement level of this move, indicating heavy resistance.
**Key Technical Observations:**
* **1st TP (Resistance):** 66% — Strong Fibonacci confluence zone:
* Fib2 48.6% ≈ Fib3 78.6%
* Major reversal zone historically
* **2nd TP (Support):** 52.25% — Multi-Fib confluence:
* Fib1 48.6%, Fib2 61.8%, Fib3 38.2%
* **3rd TP (Ultimate Support):** 38.88% — Historical BTC.D bottom, aligned with the first altseason.
* Intermediate Fibonacci confluences between 48%–60% serve as layered support during decline phases.
**Indicators:**
* No external indicators used; pure multi-frame Fibonacci confluence.
* Price action structure and historical patterns highlight potential market rotation zones.
**Fundamental Context:**
The current phase of the market reflects increasing speculative activity in altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates. Historically, high BTC.D correlates with Bitcoin-led rallies, while a sharp drop often triggers altseason.
* Growing inflows into ETH, SOL, and possible now XRP, and mid-cap alts suggest capital rotation.
* If BTC.D faces rejection from 66%, the market could enter a new altseason phase.
* Macro tailwinds (e.g., easing monetary policy, risk-on sentiment) support altcoin performance in the medium term.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
BTC.D acts as a barometer of market risk preference. As confidence expands beyond Bitcoin, money flows into altcoins—like tributaries branching off the main river. The rejection from major confluences signals this psychological shift, marking phases of creative decentralization.
**Related Reference Charts:**
* TOTAL3 Fibonacci Setup (Altcoin market excluding BTC & ETH):
* TOTAL2 Correction Probabilities:
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Primary Bias:** Bearish rejection from 66% followed by correction to 52% and potentially 38.88%.
* **Alternative Scenario:** Brief breach above 66% before reversal.
* Traders may consider rotating into altcoin exposure if BTC.D confirms reversal at the confluence zone.
**Time Horizon:**
* Mid to Long Term (1–6 months outlook)
* Weekly timeframe tracking
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
* This analysis is for educational purposes. Market conditions may evolve rapidly.
* Use proper risk management when acting on dominance signals.
After Last Altseason, Confidence in Altcoins is Shattered?🚀 Bitcoin has been booming lately, but most altcoins are still lagging behind 📉
Many altcoins crashed over 90% after the last altseason 😬💔. This massive drop seems to have shaken investors’ confidence in altcoins, making people more cautious and hesitant to jump in again.
Even with BTC rising, the market sentiment for altcoins remains weak.
Do you think altcoins can regain trust, or is the market still skeptical? 🤔👇
BTC.D : Moving upward to retest ascending channelBTC.D (1W Update)
Bitcoin dominance has broken down from the ascending channel and is now heading for a retest.
If this retest fails to reclaim the channel, it could trigger a huge rally in altcoins over the long term — just a matter of time.
Keep a close watch, as confirmation here will decide the next big move for the market.
The Death Cross That Could Ignite Altcoins !Hello Traders 🐺
As you might already remember, I’ve been talking about the Altcoin Season 2025 since the last Black Monday when ETH was around $1400! I’ve constantly said that we’re about to see a major pump in the altcoin section.
But what are my price targets now? Do I still believe we’re heading higher for ETH and other altcoins, or are we at the beginning of the end? Let’s break it down 👇
When I pulled up the BTC.D chart, I realized something mind-blowing. On the weekly chart, after breaking the ascending channel that lasted for at least 4 consecutive years (yes, 4 years!), this is — in my humble opinion — a crazy move for BTC.D and especially altcoins. Still, many think this is just “normal” market movement… but let’s be honest with ourselves.
If you look back at the last Altcoin Season, you’ll see that when price reached the descending resistance and broke below a major support (just like now), we also had a Death Cross — a massive warning sign for anyone bearish on altcoins.
Now we have the exact same setup:
BTC.D broke below the channel support.
A death cross is forming.
The Fed is about to shift monetary policy — most likely with a rate cut this month since the risk of recession is now much higher than inflation risk.
Jobless claims are surging like never before since 2021 — which, by accident, was the exact time when the Fed started cutting rates before the previous Altcoin Season.
📉 Targets:
If you zoom in on the chart, you’ll see BTC.D needs to break below the previous low — and then it can drop even further toward the 49% area, a major support zone.
This could be the trigger for the real altcoin season of 2025.
I hope you enjoy this idea, and as always, remember our golden rule:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
The Bitcoin cycle is over🚨 The Bitcoin cycle is over 🚨
BTC dominance is breaking down fast, right as Bitcoin struggles to hold its key support, meanwhile, altcoins like ETH, HEDERA, and AVAX are smashing through major resistances.
This is classic money rotation: capital is flowing out of BTC and fueling a powerful new altseason. Every time we see this pattern, it marks the end of the Bitcoin bull cycle and the beginning of explosive gains in top altcoins.
Get ready, when the king rests, the new leaders shine. The altseason is just getting started! 🚀
Some ideas to join the altseason:
💬 Does this setup align with your view on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ?
🚀 Hit the rocket if this helped you spot the opportunity and follow for more easy, educational trade ideas!
Bitcoin Dominance to 59,28%
BTC Dominance is currently shaping a bullish ABCDE pattern with the potential to test the 60% resistance zone before any correction.
🔹 If dominance reaches this level, it will likely pressure altcoins negatively, delaying their bullish momentum.
🔹 RSI still has room for continuation, supporting the idea of a final push upward.
🔹 Key resistance sits between 59.28% – 60%, which could act as the turning point.
📌 My view: A move to 60% dominance is very possible in the short term. From there, we need to watch for rejection signals — this could mark the moment when capital flows back into altcoins.
⚠️ Not financial advice – analysis for educational purposes only.
Altcoin Momentum Building as BTC.D SlipsBTC.D is hovering around 58.3% after breaking down from the rising wedge structure, rejecting sharply from the 66% resistance zone.
Price is now retesting the 57%–58% support zone. A breakdown could drive dominance into the mid-50% range, signaling stronger altcoin momentum.
If support holds, expect a short-term bounce before the next move.
DYOR, NFA
#PEACE
Double Top Inside a Rising Wedge Inside of a Bear FlagTo me, this is super bearish. I see a Double Top (potentially and yet to be confirmed) on the micro time frame. This Double Top is inside of a Bearish Rising Wedge on a larger time frame which is part of a Bear Flag on a macro time frame. Anything could happen, but 3 bearish patterns on the micro and macro show me what's to come.