Trade ideas
BTC Dominance: Short-Term Dip or Long-Term Rally?📊 Bitcoin dominance has been cruising in an uptrend channel for a while, but it recently broke below the channel's floor, dropping to around 58%. Right now, it’s bouncing around in a key zone between the 60% resistance and 56% support.
What’s Coming Next?
🔴 Short-Term Bearish Scenario: If dominance can’t hold above 60%, we might see it slide back to the critical 56% support. This could give altcoins some breathing room and maybe even spark a decent rally. Perfect opportunity for those eyeing altcoin trades!
🟢 Long-Term Bullish Scenario: If dominance builds a solid base at 56% and starts climbing again, it could aim for 64% and even push toward 68–70%. If this plays out, Bitcoin’s gonna take charge of the market again, and altcoins might feel the heat.
The Bottom Line:
Short-Term: A drop to 56% could mean altcoins steal the show. Keep an eye on this level!
Long-Term: If Bitcoin flexes its muscles and dominance climbs to 68–70%, it’s probably time to lean heavier into BTC in your portfolio.
✍️ This analysis can be a solid guide for balancing your portfolio between Bitcoin and altcoins. Watch those 56% and 60% levels closely to make smart moves!
Q4 forecast for BTC.DBTC.D will continue to climb up until end of October aprox. which would represent in BTC pumping harder than alts slowly grinding up.
Once the bull market support band (21W EMA+ 20W SMA) gets penetrated, I expect alts to follow up on BTC's move. Right after this happens there should be a high OI increase that must need to be flushed a little specially on alts.
End of Q4 should be the birth of this cycle's alt season.
A BULL RUN IS LOADING #BTC.D #BULL RUN #ALTSEASONHay Guys,
I Have been into this Space since 2016- 2017 and I have seen the Bull and Bear Market, This Industry changed a lot in this Long period.
I am getting the Full send Vibes LIke 2017 once again those were the days when ALT were making 10x 20x 100x,
if you see the Dominance chart it is clearly indicating that the drop of Dominance would be Imminent , currently it is at 58.75% Level and I am anticipating it will touch 43 to 45% Level
10% DROP in dominance is huge and altcoin will give Multiple fold Return.
Prepare yourself for the huge Moment.
Disclaimer:- This is not a Financial advice do your own research and take this as an educational post only.
Thanks
Bitcoin DominanceMy gap fill to 95% was thwarted by a nice woman who explained to me why stablecoins will prevent a gap close. So far, she's right. The ratio came down and bounced off the bottom of it's localized bull fib. If you zoom in, you can see how it played in the fibs on the daily candle.
It can punch through and fall out to another touch of the Macro bear fib, and then go for 95%. Or maybe we get a legitimate bounce off the bottom of this micro fib. I'm not married to an outcome either way. I just wanted to bring it to people's attention that a 95% gap-close is a distinct possibility.
BTC.D – Retesting After Broadening Channel Breakdown
📆 On the 4H timeframe, Bitcoin Dominance broke down from the broadening channel and is now retesting that structure as resistance ⚠️.
A rejection here could create space for altcoins to gain momentum, while a reclaim might tighten liquidity back into BTC.
👀 Crucial retest in play — watch closely for confirmation!
Not financial advice.
BTC DOMINANCE vs ALTs according to the last 2021 cycle towards The 2021 pattern saw a sharp BTC.D peak and crash early. The current cycle shows a resilient BTC.D challenging major long-term resistance. The timing of the next explosive Altcoin Season (rotation) is likely conditional on a clear rejection and subsequent drop of BTC.D from the 70% zone, which would signal the shift of institutional and retail capital into the broader altcoin market.
$BTC.D (4-hour): nasty HEAD & SHOULDERS pattern. CRYPTOCAP:BTC with a nasty HEAD & SHOULDERS pattern and the ETFs (both Bitcoin and CRYPTOCAP:ETH and over a billion $ in inflows yesterday, combined) with a GOD CANDLE.
This is time for buying rather than selling.
The dominance chart still BULLISH on all timeframes and bang on at the top of my key support zone (highlighted on the chart, top at 58.85%).
Being a buyer makes sense here, institutional money is NOT going away, clearly.
They are preparing for Q4. Just saying.
👽💙
BTC.D Update – Monday 29.09.2025📊 📊 BTC.D Update – Monday 29.09.2025
Alright Members, let’s talk Alts! 🚀
As I mentioned in my last analysis, Bitcoin Dominance started a retracement last week and reached our black line (Arrow #3) perfectly ✅. So far, everything is moving according to plan.
We even saw dominance break below the black area for a moment, but the very next day it reversed right back inside. That tells us one thing 👉 dominance is still in a downtrend.
⚡ Here’s the key:
* If Bitcoin continues its uptrend and BTC.D breaks below our black line (Arrow #4 downside) → this would be a strong bull run signal for ALTS. 🌊
* Until then, expect accumulation near Arrow #3 and distribution near Arrow #4.
👉 My view hasn’t changed: Patience is power. Better to wait for a clear direction before jumping into new trades. The market is setting up something big — timing it right will make all the difference.
Stay sharp, stay motivated, and remember: discipline now = profits later. 💪🔥
Alright Memebrs, let’s talk Alts! 🚀
As I mentioned in my last analysis, Bitcoin Dominance started a retracement last week and reached our black line (Arrow #3) perfectly ✅. So far, everything is moving according to plan.
We even saw dominance break below the black area for a moment, but the very next day it reversed right back inside. That tells us one thing 👉 dominance is still in a downtrend.
⚡ Here’s the key:
* If Bitcoin continues its uptrend and BTC.D breaks below our black line (Arrow #4 downside) → this would be a strong bull run signal for ALTS. 🌊
* Until then, expect accumulation near Arrow #3 and distribution near Arrow #4.
👉 My view hasn’t changed: Patience is power. Better to wait for a clear direction before jumping into new trades. The market is setting up something big — timing it right will make all the difference.
Stay sharp, stay motivated, and remember: discipline now = profits later. 💪🔥
$BTC.D (4-hour chart): ROUNDED bottom HIGHER LOW, WAVE 5 onEverything about the CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE lower timeframes charts (1 and 4-hour tfs) is just bullish apart from the fact that it still has to cross above last bits of higher timeframes resistance zone (58.85 - 59%).
Which is what it is trying to do now. Once above 59% the impulsive WAVE 5 should explode upwards and aim as high as 60%+.
That would be ultra bearish for altcoins, I don't have to repeat.
Picking and choosing entries is the only strategy that can succeed this week. Tread wisely👽💙
BTC.D Alt coins updatewait for the monthly candle closure and to form a fvg / gap, whenever it taps into the monthly fvg, start acculumating altcoins, invest good in stronger altcoins like ETH, Link, ENA, SEI, INJ and stronger memes like Doge, Fartcoin, Bonk and Turbo. These pairs are my favourite and will outperform in alt season. Because btc.d is strongly bearish that's why not giving any short signal for alts, ignore what's BTC doing. Market makers are just flushing the long / buyers before a strong impulsive moves. October first week or maybe the 2nd week may go in red then the real strong move will start. Market makers are just showing the market is strongly bearish, shifted structre to the downside trapping all smc/ict traders and other breakout traders to trap for short selling as they did in feb. Best Of Luck.
BTC Dominance analysis!BTC dominance has fromed a harmonic pattern, and from the current structure I think it could rise into the 61–62% zone.
If that plays out, it would likely pressure altcoins to the downside, as money rotates back into Bitcoin.
It’s always tough to watch traders and investors lose money during these cycles — but unfortunately, that’s how markets work: capital flows shift, and not every phase favors every asset.
🎯 Conclusion: My view is that BTC dominance will likely climb into the 61–62% region, which may weigh on altcoins in the short term.
👉 For more structured market insights and professional analysis, follow along.
$BTC.D... Dominance STUCK between 58.85% and 59.15%. NEXT MOVE..No man's land time in crypto atm as both CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH ETFs had a QUARTER billion worth outflows yesterday, which is not a good sign in the current situation.
I will make a separate #ETH update, but the Bitcoin DOMINANCE chart has been showing some signs of weakness, basically got stuck in a range between 58.85 and 59.15% creating a RECTANGLE.
Easy to use, it breaks down below the pattern - great for alts, it breaks out above it, very bad for alts. Why overcomplicate this. It works as the best fundament before making any leveraged decisions.
This is the HOURLY, but remember the DAILY is just bullish, still. Next post on the 4-HOUR chart👽💙
BTC.DOMINANCE WEEKLY CHART UPDATE !!BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Weekly Chart Analysis
BTC dominance is currently at 58.94%, bouncing from the key support zone near 56%–57% (yellow area).
Resistance: Around 60%–61%, aligned with the 50-week MA.
Support: Strong support at 56%, critical for bulls to defend.
If BTC.D holds above 57%, it could retest 62%, strengthening BTC’s position over altcoins.
However, a break below 56% may trigger a drop toward 54%–55%, signaling a potential altcoin rally.






















