Trade ideas
BTC market snapshotWe’re seeing a clearly formed rising wedge on BTC — a continuation pattern — with a target around 80K.
Rising Wedge in a Downtrend — Key Rules
▪️ Context: only valid when it forms after a decline.
▪️ Both trendlines slope upward, but the upper one rises more slowly → wedge narrows.
▪️ Volume decreases as price climbs.
▪️ The advance is weak and shallow — a “crawling” uptrend.
▪️ Breakouts occur downward most of the time, with volume expansion.
▪️ Target: the height of the wedge projected downward from the breakdown.
▪️ Strong confirmations: divergence + retest of the upper trendline.
We also have strong local resistance at 93,500. According to Thomas Bulkowski’s statistics:
Rising Wedge in a Downtrend — Performance
— Downward breakouts: ~72–78%
— Hitting the measured target: ~55–65%
— False breakouts to the upside: ~20–25%
A breakout above 93,500 would give a chance to invalidate the bearish structure and open the path toward 106K. For now, I’m maintaining a long-term bullish bias.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: THIS IS WHERE THE CRASH WILL STOP!!!? (watchout)Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
We are discussing a lot of technical stuff—Elliott Wave theory. We are going through multiple time frames, and I'm updating you about the price action, development structure, and important levels, as well as what the highest probability next move is.
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC/USDT 4H Chart 🔍 MARKET STRUCTURE
The chart shows a broad ascending channel in which BTC has been moving for several days:
Lower trend support: ~$87,500 – $88,000
Upper trend line: ~$94,500 – $95,000
The price has clearly rebounded from around $89,200, an important demand level.
📈 KEY LEVELS
Support
USD 89,284 – local support from which a rebound occurred
USD 87,804 – the next, much stronger support level consistent with the trendline
Resistance
USD 91,466 – currently being tested
USD 94,141 – key resistance and the upper band of the channel
📊 CHART SITUATION (4 hours)
1. Price action
The price has made a strong upward impulse from support at USD 89,280.
It is currently reaching local resistance at USD 91,450 – USD 91,700.
If this level is broken, the target is USD 94,000 – USD 94,500.
If it fails, a pullback to USD 90,200/USD 89,300 can be expected.
📉 MACD
Your MACD shows:
Bullish crossover – buy signal.
The histogram changes from red to green → momentum is increasing.
The curves are diverging, confirming the strength of the move.
This indicates that the short-term trend is turning bullish.
📌 TWO TRADING SCENARIOS
🟢 BULLISH Scenario (more likely)
Condition: H4 candle breakout and close above USD 91,700.
Targets:
TP1 → USD 92,800 – USD 93,200
TP2 → USD 94,000 – USD 94,500 (upper channel)
Stop-loss (if you were going long):
below USD 90,500
Safer below USD 89,280
MACD confirms this scenario.
🔴 BEARISH Scenario
Condition: rejection of USD 91,700 and a close below USD 90,500.
Targets:
TP1 → USD 89,300
TP2 → USD 87,800 (key trendline)
A drop to USD 87,800 would be an ideal place for large players to buy again.
BITCOIN FORMING AN ACCUMULATION PATTERNBitcoin looks like it’s grinding through a classic accumulation structure.
Here’s the thing: the selling pressure almost exhausted itself, we got the shakeout, and price snapped back into the range. The AR and ST levels are holding the story together, and the lower tests are getting weaker each time.
What this really means is the market might be shifting from fear to quiet accumulation. If this plays out, the next leg is usually a markup after the final test. I’ve drawn the possible path based on how this structure tends to resolve, not as a guarantee but as a roadmap.
Watching for:
• strength coming back into the range
• a clean higher low
• confirmation that demand is stepping in
If those pieces align, the upside opens up quickly. If they fail, the range simply extends.
BTCUSDT.P - December 11, 2025Price has broken down from a prior intraday range and is now staging a modest rebound off support around 89,300–89,400, with the main downside risk defined by the lower stop area near 87,900–88,000. The short-term trend and momentum remain bearish while below the former breakdown zone and resistance toward 91,800–92,000, where the breakeven and profit target region is marked. A failure to reclaim that resistance and renewed selling from current levels would keep the focus on a retest of the 88,000 area, while a stronger recovery through 92,000 would suggest a deeper corrective bounce toward the prior swing highs.
BTCUSDT: Bearish Drop to 84000?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is eyeing a bearish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price forming lower highs within an upward channel, approaching resistance near cumulative long liquidation zones that could trigger downside momentum if sellers defend the levels amid recent volatility. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity after the rally, targeting lower support levels with overall risk-reward exceeding 1:4.
Entry between 91400–92700 for a short position. Targets at 87900 (first), 84000 (second). Set a stop loss at a close above 93180 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3.5 in total. Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's channel dynamics.🌟
Fundamentally , Bitcoin has plunged below $90,000 on December 12, 2025, amid AI-related jitters dragging down Nasdaq and crypto stocks, with prices consolidating around $89,978 after a sharp fall from its $126,000 peak earlier this year. Despite a 1.9% daily crypto market cap increase to $3.23 trillion, sentiment remains cautious with fears of a price crash, as the asset oscillates in the $88,000–$93,000 range on Fed outlook but shows hourly downside after failing $92,735 resistance. Long-term forecasts eye drops to $80,000 by end-2026, with prediction markets skeptical of hitting $100,000 in 2025, though bulls maintain the uptrend for now. Bitcoin correlates with the S&P 500, which slipped today alongside Nasdaq due to AI bubble fears from Broadcom's results, potentially adding downward pressure on BTC. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
91,400 – 92,700
(Entries inside this zone remain valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Targets:
• 87,900 (first)
• 84,000 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
A daily close above 93,180
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
More than 1:4 overall
💡 Your view?
Will BTC reject the 92K zone and unwind toward 84,000, or does crypto surprise with a squeeze first? 👇
BTCUSDT.P - December 9, 2025Price is compressing under a descending trendline after a prior upswing, with the market holding above a key support band around 86,000–87,000 that defines the proposed long entry area. A clean breakout and acceptance above the descending trendline and overhead resistance near 94,500 would signal bullish trend continuation toward the 105,000–106,000 profit zone. Failure to hold the 86,000–87,000 support and a decisive break below would invalidate the long bias and open downside risk toward the lower support cluster around 77,000–78,000.
How to choose what to invest inHow to choose what to invest in: a practical checklist for traders and investors
Many beginners start with the question “What should I buy today?” and skip a more important one: “What role does this money play in my life in the next years?”
That is how portfolios turn into random collections of trades and screenshots.
This text gives you a compact filter for picking assets. Not a magic list of tickers, just a way to check whether a coin, stock or ETF really fits your time horizon, risk and skill level.
Start from your life, not from the chart
Asset selection starts before you open a chart. First, you need to see how this money fits into your real life.
Three simple points help:
When you might need this money: in a month, in a year, in five years.
How painful a 10, 30 or 50 % drawdown feels for you.
How many hours per week you truly give to the market.
Example. Money is needed in six months for a mortgage down payment. A 15 % drawdown already feels terrible. Screen time is 2 hours per week. In this case, aggressive altcoins or heavy leverage look more like a stress machine than an investment tool.
Another case. Ten-year horizon, regular contributions, stable income from a job, 30 % drawdown feels acceptable. This profile can hold more volatile assets, still with clear limits on risk.
Filter 1: you must understand the asset
First filter is simple and strict: you should be able to explain the asset to a non-trader in two sentences.
The label is less important: stock, ETF, coin or future. One thing matters: you understand where the return comes from. Growth of company profit. Coupon on a bond. Risk premium on a volatile market. Fees and staking rewards in a network.
If your explanation sounds like “price goes up, everyone buys”, this is closer to magic than to a plan. Better to drop this asset from the list and move on to something more clear.
Filter 2: risk and volatility
The market does not care about your comfort. You can care about it by choosing assets that match your stress level.
Key checks:
Average daily range relative to price. For many crypto names, a 5–10 % daily range is normal. Large caps in stock markets often move less.
Historical drawdowns during market crashes.
Sensitivity to events: earnings, regulator news, large players.
The sharper the asset, the smaller its weight in the portfolio and the more careful the position size. The same asset can be fine for an aggressive profile and a disaster for a conservative one.
Filter 3: liquidity
Liquidity stays invisible until you try to exit.
Look at three things:
Daily traded volume. For active trading, it is safer to work with assets where daily volume is many times larger than your typical position.
Spread. Wide spread eats money on both entry and exit.
Order book depth. A thin book turns a big order into a mini crash.
Filter 4: basic numbers and story
Even if you are chart-first, raw numbers still help to avoid extremes.
For stocks and ETFs, it helps to check:
Sector and business model. The company earns money on something clear, not only on a buzzword in slides.
Debt and margins. Over-leveraged businesses with thin margins suffer in stress periods.
Dividends or buybacks, if your style relies on cash coming back to shareholders.
For crypto and tokens:
Role of the token. Pure “casino chip” tokens rarely live long.
Emission and unlocks. Large unlocks often push price down.
Real network use: transactions, fees, projects building on top.
Build your personal checklist
At some point it makes sense to turn filters into a short checklist you run through before each position.
Example:
Time. I know the horizon for this asset and how it fits my overall money plan.
Risk. Risk per position is no more than X % of my capital, portfolio drawdown stays inside a level I can live with.
Understanding. I know where the return comes from and what can break the scenario.
Liquidity. Volume and spread allow me to enter and exit without huge slippage.
Exit plan. I have a level where the scenario is invalid and levels where I lock in profit, partly or fully.
Connect it with the chart
On TradingView you have both charts and basic info in one place, which makes this checklist easier to apply.
A typical flow:
Use a screener to find assets that match your profile by country, sector, market cap, volatility.
Open a higher-timeframe chart and see how the asset behaved in past crashes.
Check liquidity by volume and spread.
Only then search for an entry setup according to your system: trend, level, pullback, breakout and so on.
Before clicking the button, run through your checklist again.
Common traps when choosing assets
A few classic traps that ruin even a good money management system:
Blindly following a tip from a chat without knowing what the asset is and why you are in it.
All-in on one sector or one coin.
Heavy leverage on short horizons with low experience.
Averaging down without a written plan and clear risk limits.
Ignoring currency risk and taxes.
This text is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. You are responsible for your own money decisions.
4H chart, BTCUSDT. the 4H chart, BTCUSDT is consolidating in a tight range, holding above a rising trendline, while repeatedly rejecting from the same 93,500–94,500 resistance block.
The price is trading near rising support from the Ichimoku Cloud and lows of 82,000–83,000. Local horizontal support is now around 89,000–89,100, and if the trendline fails, deeper support is at 84,584 and 80,550.
As long as candles close above the trendline and 89,000, the setup favors another attempt to break the red resistance band; a clean 4H close above 94.5k would create room for a move towards 96,000–100,000.
A decisive break below the diagonal plus 89k level reveals a move first to 84.5k and then to 80.5k, where the larger, higher-timeframe demand zone and previous bounce began.
DYOR | NFA
Wait for the Final Stage of Bitcoin's Sharp Decline Wait for the Final Stage of Bitcoin's Sharp Decline
For weeks, Bitcoin has been moving inside a well-defined downward regression channel, showing a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
Now, after several rejections from the upper boundary near $94,000, the market is signaling that the final stage of the current bearish correction is about to unfold.
Key Observations:
$94,000 remains a confirmed resistance level where strong selling pressure is visible.
Price behavior continues to respect the regression channel's bearish slope.
The repetitive nature of Bitcoin's price patterns - as seen in previous cycles - suggests we are about to enter the last sharp drop of this correction phase.
If the historical pattern repeats (as highlighted in my earlier analysis "History Repeats Itself"), Bitcoin could soon extend its decline toward the $75,000-$78,000 area.
This zone aligns with the final structural low before a potential major bullish reversal.
Once this support range is tested and confirmed, it's expected that Bitcoin will begin a strong recovery, possibly marking the start of the next macro uptrend.
Technical Summary:
Trend: Bearish continuation nearing completion
Resistance: $94,000
Target Zone: $75,000 - $78,000
Outlook: Expect one final sharp decline before the next bullish phase begins
Every cycle ends the same way - fear peaks just before the reversal. Stay patient, stay prepared.
Next Week sorted before Next WeekAs I analysed earlier, BTC was going to grab 88K, and I did that beautifully. I took another long in that same region and it hit my TP almost immediately. It's just about understanding how liquidity is pooled and how market makers plan to grab them and trade in sync, and not about some buying or selling pressure. No fancy drawings, just pure understanding and some balls of steel. My profits for the week are sorted so I can afford to chill and see what the market is trying to do next.
🌐 BTC Price Analysis: Cup and Handle Pattern $120k ATH!🚀 Exciting Times for BTC!
🚀 Analyzing the 1D time frame reveals a compelling uptrend with the formation of a promising Cup and Handle pattern.
📈 If BTC continues to adhere to this pattern, the potential for a groundbreaking surge to new all-time highs at $120,000 is on the horizon, as meticulously illustrated in the chart.
🌐 Adding to the anticipation is the market buzz around the imminent approval of the ETF, a catalyst that historically has fueled bullish movements.
🚨 Buckle up for a potential ride to $120k!
🌟 My analysis suggests this journey might unfold over the next 3+ months.
🗓️ Let's ride the waves together and stay tuned for this exciting chapter in BTC's journey!
🚨 Risk Warning: Trading involves risk, and it's essential to conduct your thorough analysis and risk assessment.
👉 Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your research and consult with a financial professional before making trading decisions.
🚁 #Bitcoin #BTCtotheMoon #TechnicalAnalysis #CupAndHandle #ETFImpact
The Trade You Don’t Take!Most traders focus on entries, strategies, indicators, patterns…
But the truth is: your biggest edge is avoiding low-quality trades.
The market rewards patience far more than prediction.
Here’s the framework professional traders use to filter noise from opportunity, something 90% of traders overlook:
1. The Market Must Be Aligned
Before placing any trade, ask one question:
“Is the market trending, ranging, or correcting?”
Your strategy only works in the right environment.
A breakout strategy fails in a choppy range. A mean-reversion setup dies in a strong trend.
Identify the environment first, then choose the setup.
2. Your Levels Must Be Significant
True opportunity comes from reaction points, not random prices.
Look for:
- Major swing highs and lows
- Weekly or monthly levels
- Clean trendlines with multiple touches
- Areas where price previously paused, reversed, or consolidated
If the market isn’t near one of these levels, you’re trading in the middle, where noise lives.
3. Your Risk Must Make Sense
A good setup with a bad risk-to-reward is a bad trade.
Professionals only act when:
- The stop-loss is logical (protected behind structure)
- The target is realistic
- The reward outweighs the risk
If the math doesn’t work, the trade doesn’t happen.
🧠 The Hidden Lesson
Great traders don’t trade more, they filter more.
Your account grows not by finding better entries,
but by avoiding the trades that drain your capital, energy, and confidence.
Master the art of waiting, and your strategy will finally start working the way it was designed to.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC Isn’t FOMO — But It’s Not Ready to Drop EitherIf we look at BTC right now as a tug-of-war, the buyers are winning slightly — and consistently . Recent news continues to support a moderate risk-on environment , institutional capital has not exited Bitcoin , and the market lacks a shock strong enough to trigger a deep sell-off. As a result, the most reasonable scenario over the next 1–2 days is a gradual, controlled upside rather than a sharp vertical breakout.
From a technical perspective, the overall trend still leans bullish . Price is holding above a rising trendline and continues to find support on pullbacks. The 90,000 level stands out as a key psychological support and has repeatedly acted as a reliable base for rebounds. Ichimoku analysis shows price hovering around short-term equilibrium, suggesting the current move is more about accumulation and slow continuation than an aggressive rally.
The plan for a mild bullish bias is clear: prioritize BUY setups on pullbacks toward the 90,000–90,300 zone, especially if price shows strong holding behavior. If BTC regains momentum and stabilizes above this area, the next upside target sits near 94,000 as the upper resistance zone. Conversely, a clean break below 90,000 would weaken the bullish-light scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback for renewed accumulation.
In short, BTCUSDT is in a healthy, moderate bullish phase — not euphoric , but structurally supported. The real question now isn’t “will it go up?”, but rather: will you wait for a clean pullback to 90,000 for a safer entry, or step in as price starts pushing higher?
BTCUSDT (4H) chart update !!BTC is holding above the rising trendline and trying to stabilize.
The 88,000–89,000 zone is acting as strong support, where previous bounces occurred.
As long as this support holds, upside targets remain 94,000 → 98,000 → 102,000.
A 4H close below 89K could open room for a pullback toward 85K–84K.
The overall structure remains bullish consolidation. 🚀
DYOR | NFA






















