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CANADIAN DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

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AUD/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the AUD/CAD with the target of 0.910 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2
AUDCAD December 2025 fundamental analysisAUD/CAD in December 2025 is likely to trade with a mild upside bias for AUD but within a broad range (roughly the high‑0.88 to low‑0.92 area), with no strong fundamental case for an aggressive trend either way. Overall, this looks more like a range-trading environment than a clear long‑term directional play, so any buy/sell stance should be tactical and risk‑managed.​ Policy and growth backdrop The Reserve Bank of Australia is holding the cash rate around 3.6% and signalling only limited scope for further easing, as underlying inflation is still above target and not expected to fully return to the 2–3% band until well into 2026. That stance keeps Australian real yields relatively supported and is consistent with Australian GDP growth stabilising near potential from late 2025.​ The Bank of Canada, by contrast, has cut its policy rate to 2.25% and projects below‑trend growth of about 1.2% in 2025, with excess capacity lingering in the economy. Markets expect further gentle easing into late 2025, contingent on inflation staying close to the 2% target.​ Relative macro fundamentals Medium‑term projections show Australia growing around 2.1% in 2025 versus roughly 1.6% for Canada, implying a modest growth premium in favour of AUD. The RBA’s own outlook also points to private demand being supported by earlier and expected rate cuts, while Australia remains close to full employment, again a mild positive for AUD over CAD.​ Canada’s outlook is weighed down by weaker external demand and adverse US trade policies, which have forced the Bank of Canada to downgrade growth forecasts for 2025–26, suggesting softer domestic momentum and less room for CAD to outperform on cyclical grounds. With inflation expected to hover near 2%, policy can stay relatively accommodative, further reducing CAD’s yield advantage.​ Market and forecast signals Long‑term forecasters cluster AUD/CAD around the low‑0.90s by late 2025: several published models place December 2025 averages roughly between 0.90 and 0.92. Other services show a wider band, roughly mid‑0.87 to low‑0.92, but with a generally positive or flat bias versus current levels.​ Historical data for 2025 show AUD/CAD already traded up to around 0.92 earlier in the year, so the projected year‑end levels are not extreme by recent standards. Taken together, consensus points to a modestly firmer AUD/CAD, not a sharp reversal lower.​ Key risks For AUD, the main downside risks are a renewed global growth wobble or a sharper slowdown in China/Australian commodities, which could force more RBA easing than currently projected. For CAD, an upside surprise in oil or a faster‑than‑expected Canadian rebound could narrow the growth and yield gap, limiting AUD strength.​ On the policy side, any upside surprise in Australian inflation that delays RBA cuts would tend to support AUD, whereas a persistence of low Canadian inflation combined with weaker growth would likely keep pressure on the BoC to stay dovish, mildly negative for CAD.​ Trading verdict for December 2025 Given a slightly stronger growth and yield backdrop for Australia, together with consensus forecasts clustering AUD/CAD around or a bit above current levels into December 2025, the pair has a modest fundamental tilt higher. From a fundamental perspective, AUD/CAD looks more like a cautious buy on dips/range‑long in December 2025 than an outright sell, provided risk is controlled and key data (RBA, BoC, inflation) are monitored closely.​
Long
by Oneirotrade
1
#042: Long Investment Opportunity on AUD/CAD The Australian dollar/Canadian dollar pair is moving within a broad compression phase that has been developing for several sessions. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, author of the book "The Institutional Code of Forex, 14 Steps to Read the Markets Like a Bank," available on Amazon. I'm an independent trader and money manager, and I thank you in advance for your time. This structure has created a clear area of ​​inefficiency just below the current market, while liquidity remains relatively flat and concentrated around the most recent lows. From a technical perspective, the pair is reacting after a prolonged period of downside pressure, forming a sequence of higher rejection wicks near a key support region. This behavior suggests that short-side exhaustion is beginning to emerge. The market is no longer making momentum-driven lows and is instead moving toward a classic accumulation pattern, often observed before a corrective upside expansion. Intermarket flows also support this interpretation. The Australian dollar is beginning to stabilize after a period of weakness triggered by commodity repricing and the reprioritization of macroeconomic priorities. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is showing signs of deceleration, partly influenced by the weaker tone of energy markets. The combination of a stabilizing AUD and a slower CAD creates a favorable environment for a bullish retracement on this cross. Volatility conditions remain moderate, and the recovery in short-term momentum indicators is consistent with the idea that the pair may attempt a rotation toward the middle range of the broader structure. The pair is currently near the lower limit of this range, making the risk-reward profile more attractive for a controlled long position, especially for traders seeking to anticipate institutional accumulation rather than chasing breakout moves. Price action offers an initial reversal signal, supported by a sharper rejection from discounted levels. If the market maintains this behavior and continues to respect the support zone it has repeatedly defended, a bullish continuation toward upper liquidity pockets becomes the most consistent scenario. In summary, AUDCAD represents a strategic opportunity for bullish exposure within a controlled and well-defined structure. The pair is showing the first signs of accumulation, improving sentiment dynamics, and an intermarket environment favoring an upward correction. This configuration is consistent with an institutional approach that favors discounted entries, asymmetric risk, and positioning relative to the retail sentiment curve.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
AUDCAD | 4H Setup | VMS StrategyGood morning, This pair has been in a clean downtrend for about a week, but today we finally reached a strong support level — and the market reacted. Here’s the breakdown: 🟢 Structure Price has reached major support and just printed a bullish engulfing candle on the 4-hour chart. 📉 Momentum Momentum is: Low Slightly divergent Starting to point up Exactly what we look for before a potential shift. 🔊 Volume (VMS Key Piece) Volume was weak on the higher timeframes, so we dropped down to the 15-minute chart — and that’s where the gem appeared: Volume 95 🔥 With structure, momentum, and now volume in alignment, this becomes a valid VMS long setup to watch. Not financial advice — this is how we apply the VMS Strategy with precision and patience.
Long
by darlwright
AUD/CAD – Long Setup Analysis (1H Chart)Market Structure The pair has been in a clear downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. However, the current price action shows the market rejecting the lower boundary of a descending channel (marked by the yellow dotted lines). The most recent candle cluster suggests buying interest stepping in around 0.9100–0.9103. This area acts as: • A short-term demand zone, shown by multiple rejections. • A reaction point within the channel structure. This makes it a logical place for a potential long position. The setup anticipates that price will: 1. Hold above the lower channel boundary. 2. Push upward into mid-channel structure. 3. Eventually test the upper channel resistance. The green projection path on your chart reflects a likely stair-step bullish retracement within the overall channel. Take Profit Levels 📍 TP1 – 0.91535 This level aligns with: • Mid-channel structure • A minor resistance zone visible from earlier consolidation • A logical place for partial profits, as price often reacts here before continuing Reaching TP1 would confirm the bullish momentum and strengthen the case for TP2. 📍 TP2 – 0.91700 This is positioned directly at the upper boundary of the descending channel, making it a strong, confluence-based target. Reasons it’s a high-probability profit zone: • It aligns with the projected bullish leg of the move. • It matches previous reaction levels shown on the chart. • Channels often cause strong reactions at their extremes. This would represent the full realization of the long setup. Stop-Loss Placement The stop is set below: • The nearest swing low • The lower channel boundary • Local demand zone This protects the setup in case price invalidates the bullish scenario. Risk/Reward The trade offers a favorable R:R structure: • TP1 creates a safe, conservative exit point. • TP2 provides extended upside with channel confluence. Given the clean structure and defined invalidation, the setup is technically sound.
Long
by dimitarmanolovv
AUDCAD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for AUDCAD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.9117 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.9143 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUD/CAD LONG FROM SUPPORT Hello, Friends! Bullish trend on AUD/CAD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.917. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1