AUDCAD LOCAL CORRECTION|SHORT|
✅AUDCAD price taps into the supply level after an extended rally, hinting at distribution. From an ICT view, this area may trigger a shift in order flow, drawing price toward inefficiency and the marked target zone. Time Frame 4H.
SHORT🔥
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Trade ideas
AUDCADBullish Trade Idea:
Trade Direction: Long (Buy)
Timeframe: 4H
Market Structure:
Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmed.
Break of Structure (BOS) occurred to the upside, confirming bullish momentum.
Price is breaking above previous high (B).
A potential bullish Gartley or Bat pattern forming (ABC pattern completed, aiming for D completion at higher levels).
Key Bullish Confluences:
ChoCH & BOS:
Structure flipped bullish after BOS to the upside.
Suggests a transition from bearish to bullish.
Bullish Harmonic Pattern:
ABCD pattern is targeting point D (above current price).
Extension to 2.616 Fibonacci level aligns with potential D completion.
Liquidity Above:
Price is targeting the "Weak High" marked just above current levels.
Weak highs often get taken out in bullish moves.
RSI Indicator (bottom of chart):
RSI is rising and moving above 50, indicating building bullish momentum.
No bearish divergence visible at the moment.
PDH (Previous Day High) Cleared:
Break above PDH confirms strength and could lead to expansion toward PMH (Previous Month High).
Entry Idea (Aggressive):
Entry: Current price or after a small pullback into the blue demand zone (OB) just above PDH.
Stop Loss: Below the demand zone (~below PDH).
Target 1: Weak High (~0.92200)
Target 2: Point D (2.616 extension; ~0.92800+)
Target 3 (Optional): Beyond D if continuation setup appears (trail SL)
Entry Idea (Conservative):
Wait for:
A retest of the OB or FVG (Fair Value Gap) below.
Reconfirmation (bullish engulfing or continuation pattern).
Then enter long.
Invalidation:
If price breaks below the PDH zone and closes below it with bearish momentum.
Also, if ChoCH is invalidated and structure shifts back bearish.
AUD/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
AUD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.913
Target Level: 0.906
Stop Loss: 0.918
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCAD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
AUD/CAD Technical Setup: Sideways Base, Breakout to 0.9120The AUD/CAD currency pair experienced a sharp decline on 25 September, with price action dropping aggressively from the 0.9170 zone down to the 0.9110 region. Rather than being an artificial move, the structure of the decline aligns closely with established technical factors such as resistance rejection, momentum exhaustion, and a clear continuation of the prior bearish trend.
Following the sell-off, the market has spent the last 6–7 hours consolidating in a narrow sideways channel just above 0.9100. This type of consolidation is commonly observed after strong directional moves, often functioning as a base for the next leg. In this case, the pattern is forming close to a support zone, suggesting potential accumulation.
From a technical standpoint, the short-term bias is shifting toward a bullish breakout. The pair has defended the 0.9110 support, and the price action is compressing within a small descending channel. A clean break above this pattern would confirm renewed upside momentum.
The immediate upside objective sits at 0.9120, which is the nearest resistance level. If buying momentum strengthens beyond this zone, the next resistance to monitor is 0.9170, the previous supply area that triggered the recent decline. On the downside, a failure to hold above 0.9100 could expose lower supports around 0.9085 and 0.9065.
Key takeaway: The 25 September drop in AUD/CAD was primarily a technical correction within the broader market structure. As long as 0.9110 holds, the short-term outlook favors a rebound towards 0.9120, with potential for extended gains if momentum accelerates. Traders should monitor breakout confirmation before positioning for the next directional leg.
STEP BY STEP GUIDE ON HOW YOU CAN DO YOUR FORECASTINGForecasting is a crucial skill that helps you make informed decisions based on data analysis and trends. Whether you’re in trading, business, or any field that requires strategic planning, this guide will provide you with a straightforward approach to effective forecasting. Follow these steps to enhance your forecasting abilities.
AUDCAD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 0.9118 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.9138
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.9107
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/CAD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.914 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCAD: Trend ContinuationThere's a trend continuation opportunity present on the AUDCAD pair. Here's my breakdown by timeframe.
Daily Timeframe:
Price pulled back and held supported at EMA20, which isn't a strong indication of support
Strong uptrend is indicated by EMA20 above EMA60
H1 Timeframe:
There's confluence here where Price is exiting the EMA20/60 band
EMA20 also remains above EMA60 for a strong uptrend
Pricing breaking DTL also remains valid as there was upside momentum
AUDCADAUDCAD rebounded strongly from recent lows and is now testing the 0.9163 – 0.9172 resistance zone, which aligns with the descending trendline.
🔽 Bearish case: A rejection here could confirm resistance and send price back toward 0.9136 and 0.9129.
🔼 Bullish case: A clean break and hold above 0.9172 may extend upside momentum into 0.9200+.
📌 This is a decisive area: trendline + horizontal confluence will reveal if buyers can flip structure.
⚠️ For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
AUDCAD - Hedging Short Targeting 0.9257Currently trading a 96k prop account with an open sell trade of 0.5 lots. Price seems to want to rise higher and so I'm not really confident in this short sell position at the present moment. Roughly 30 minutes ago just before creating this analysis I noticed Aussie accelerating and especially with pairs like EURAUD. I decided to hedge it 100% by adding an equal lot on the long size of 0.5.
I believe there is a good chance this pair will rise to my first target as explained in the video which is 0.9257
At this level I plan to lock-in my hedge of 0.5 long lots, book the profit and consider adding an additional sell of 0.5 lots to bring my breakeven level closer.
AUDCAD Trade Plan on 96k AccountCurrently trading a 96k prop account with an open sell trade of 0.5 lots. Price seems to want to rise higher and so I'm not really confident in this short sell position at the present moment. Roughly 30 minutes ago just before creating this analysis I noticed Aussie accelerating and especially with pairs like EURAUD. I decided to hedge it 100% by adding an equal lot on the long size of 0.5.
I believe there is a good chance this pair will rise to my first target as explained in the video which is 0.9257
At this level I plan to lock-in my hedge of 0.5 long lots, book the profit and consider adding an additional sell of 0.5 lots to bring my breakeven level closer.
AUDCAD
AUDCAD recently broke below the ascending structure and extended lower. Price is now retesting the 0.9163 – 0.9172 zone, which acted as previous support.
🔽 Bearish case: Rejection here could confirm the retest and send price back towards 0.9136 and 0.9129.
🔼 Bullish case: A strong break and hold above 0.9172 may signal recovery and open room back into 0.9200+.
📌 This retest zone will decide if sellers maintain control or if bulls regain momentum.
⚠️ For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
AUDCAD longAustralian economy is in a better position than the Canadian economy. Nothing seems to be rolling for Canada.
On Monday, the BoC cut rate by 25 bps which was already priced in... no surprise there. We had some pretty dovish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem. He highlighted concerns over the softening labor market and noted that while no forward guidance was offered, the bank would assess risks over a "shorter horizon than usual." Markets left the meeting continuing to price around 20bps of further cuts by year-end.
The August CPI report reinforced the BoC's dovish case. Headline inflation printed slightly below forecast at 1.9% Y/Y (vs. 2.0% exp.)
July Retail Sales data pointed to a weakening consumer. While the headline -0.8% M/M print was in line with expectations, the core ex-autos figure fell by a larger-than-expected 1.2%.
August Housing Starts fell to 245.8k, well below the 277.5k forecast, signaling a slowdown in the housing market and adding to the picture of a cooling economy.
GDP growth surprised to a contraction of -0.1% m/m (forecast +0.1%). It was the third month in a row in contraction.
Canadian employment slumped for a second month in a row with a loss of 65.5K jobs (forecast +4.9K)
Anyways, I could go on and on. As for the Australian economy, it is pretty resilient, but we had a bad job number last week with a surprised loss of 5.4K jobs.
So here what is my thinking, We are getting into a nice pullback zone. Risk was a bit off with the strength of the USD and the US Yields. Friday, CAD was the best performing currency even after some pretty bad retail sale numbers that came out during the session. I can't figure out why the CAD pushed up, but I still have a bearish outlook on the currency.
Technically we are coming back to the top of the 4 months consolidation zone. We will have to keep an eye on market sentiment. If the USd keeps grinding higher on a ''somewhat'' hawkish Fed and some pretty good data release for the US economy, the AUD could keep pushing lower. I still expect a technical bounce from the level.
Good luck and please monitor the market sentiment... this is what will push the pair in the right direction.
Good luck
AUDCADTechnical Analysis
Trend: Market is in a bullish channel. Price is respecting higher highs and higher lows, so structure favors buyers.
Momentum: Current candles show consolidation near the channel top, suggesting a pause rather than a reversal.
RSI: Showing mild bearish divergence → momentum is flattening, which often means price may retest lower channel or support before continuing up.
Multi-Timeframe:
1H → Bullish.
4H → Sideways with bullish tilt.
Daily → Bullish, which supports continuation.
📌 Trade Plan Logic
Bias: Strong bullish (fundamental + technical alignment).
Strategy:
Wait for a dip/pullback inside the bullish channel to join buyers at better pricing.
OR, if price consolidates then breaks higher with momentum, treat it as a continuation entry.
Risk Management:
Place stops below the last swing low / channel floor.
Take partial profits at the next impulse push, let the rest ride.
Invalidation: A clean 1H close below the bullish channel = bullish plan is off the table.au
Sell AUD CAD M15Please do not trade solely on my analysis as it might be incorrect.
I encourage constructive feedback.
If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another.
Check the news before trading - they my affect the analysis.
Explanations:
MIN - last minimum point
MAX - last maximum point
BOS - break of structure
SMS - shift in market structure
SL - stop loss
TP - take profit
RR - risk reward
OB - order block
OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe
AUDCAD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
#025: LONG AUD/CAD Investment Opportunity
The AUD/CAD pair has experienced a period of marked weakness in recent weeks, with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows that has consolidated a medium-term bearish trend. However, the latest developments on the H4 chart show the emergence of signals that deserve attention. Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, an independent Forex trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time.
🔍 Technical Analysis
After the decline, a key support area can be seen around the psychological threshold of 0.9100, where prices have slowed the bearish pressure.
Momentum indicators (RSI and MACD) show an oversold condition accompanied by a bullish divergence, often a prelude to a technical reversal or at least a pullback.
The latest H4 candles signal the entry of buying volumes, with a consolidation pattern that could transform into a rebound phase.
Australia remains exposed to a moderate economic cycle, but the recent decline in energy commodities has reduced the relative strength of the CAD, which is closely correlated with oil prices.
The Bank of Canada maintains a dovish tone, but the latest macroeconomic data shows signs of an economic slowdown that have dampened the Canadian currency's momentum.
Conversely, global risk sentiment appears to be improving, a factor that tends to favor cyclical currencies like the AUD.
In this scenario, AUD/CAD could begin a pullback phase from recent lows. The natural target lies in the nearest resistance areas, while the holding of current support remains the key to the validity of this scenario.
AUDCAD Price Forecast – Structural Shift in MomentumAUD/CAD has recently completed a strong trending phase, characterized by a well-defined upward channel with consistent expansions. The sequence of price action showed clear momentum as each retracement was absorbed and followed by renewed buying interest, maintaining structural order throughout the move.
However, the latest developments reflect a notable shift in behavior. After a prolonged climb, price is showing signs of losing momentum, with market structure shifts (MSS) indicating that control is gradually transitioning. This suggests that the market is entering a phase of rebalancing, where prior bullish momentum may give way to corrective activity.
The projection implies that the pair could be preparing for a deeper adjustment, where short-term liquidity cycles reset positioning before a more sustainable trend emerges. This type of rotation is natural after extended directional moves and often signals the beginning of a new phase rather than immediate continuation.
Overall, AUD/CAD is transitioning from strength into a corrective cycle. While the broader market has proven its ability to trend effectively, near-term behavior suggests that the focus will be on how efficiently the market absorbs this correction before defining the next directional phase.






















