USDCAD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
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CADUSD trade ideas
LOONIE H4 | Bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reversr to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3814, which is a pullback ressitance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonaci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3875, whihc is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3729, whihc is a pullback support.
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USDCAD Prepaing to Gilde Down ??USDCAD has been struglling to move up, All the monthly and Bi-Monthly analysis show down including D1. Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again to preform and see the strong breakouts.
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usdcad terlihat akan strong bullishConsider placing a buy stop in this area, as it represents a strong zone for potential upward movement. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger further bullish momentum. However, if the price fails to break through and shows signs of rejection, shift your focus towards identifying selling opportunities instead.
USD/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.371 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD Sell Setup – Watch for Bearish Engulfing at 1.37727!USDCAD is approaching a key resistance zone at 1.37727, a level where sellers have stepped in before.
My plan is clear: I’ll be watching closely for a Bearish Engulfing candle on the 4H timeframe before pulling the trigger on a short position.
Here’s my breakdown:
Market Structure: Price is currently in a corrective move within a broader range, and 1.37727 has acted as a strong rejection zone in the past.
Entry Plan: Wait for a 4H Bearish Engulfing pattern at or near 1.37727 before entering short.
Target Levels:
TP1: 1.37000
TP2: 1.36450
Stop Loss: Above 1.38000 to allow room for false breakouts.
Why This Matters: A confirmed bearish engulfing here would suggest strong selling pressure and potential continuation to the downside.
Note: This is not financial advice. Always trade with discipline and risk management in place.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.37727
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3687
1st Support: 1.3563
1st Resistance: 1.3882
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USD/CADLooking for a bullish breakout here
Been in a downtrend for a while now and looking for a bullish breakout
Already rejected and showed a higher low on the retest and aiming for local high
USD strong after some positive SEC replacement news to add strength
I also have another trade shorting EUR/USD if you want to check that out!
Lets see how we go!
USD/CAD – Bullish ScenarioUSD/CAD – Bullish Scenario
Bias: Bullish, expecting upside continuation.
Current Structure: Price is holding above a key daily support level.
Plan:
As long as support holds, the bullish structure remains valid.
Look for bullish confirmations on lower timeframes — such as a fair value gap or a break of short-term highs.
First major upside target is the next daily resistance.
Extended target at the higher resistance zone if momentum is strong.
Invalidation: A daily close below support will void this bullish plan and require reassessment.
Summary:
Holding support and looking for bullish continuation toward the next resistance zone, with potential for further extension if momentum continues.
Next week sell USDCAD upon retracementHave a great weekend guys, for next week I am going to sell USDCAD upon retracement, targeting at the purple line there, coincidence with fibo 423.6. Reason is price had rejected the lower low level with great reversal candle, high chance continuing the big trend which is the downtrend. In previous I had posted that double bottom may formed and right now from candlestick analysis it seems the pattern no longer valid. Cheers~
USDCAD BEARISH ZONE COMESUP Current Technical Landscape
Market Sentiment & Drivers
The USD/CAD has risen modestly following Canada’s weak jobs data showing a −40.8 k drop in employment, raising expectations of dovish Bank of Canada policy and fueling a weaker Loonie.
Meanwhile, signals of a more dovish Fed—especially after Trump’s appointed governor tone—have added further downward pressure on the USD.
Key Levels & Technical Indicators
ActionForex (Intraday):
4H MACD has crossed above its signal, neutralizing bias for now.
Break below 1.3720 could target a deeper fall back to 1.3538 — the recent corrective low.
Break above 1.3809 would invalidate that bearish view and suggest a retest of 1.3878.
ActionForex (Weekly):
The pair hovered around 1.3720 last week with a neutral weekly bias.
A downside break could confirm continuation of the corrective decline toward 1.3538.
A bullish breakout beyond 1.3809 could lead to a retest of 1.3878 and possibly higher.
StockTA (as of July 28):
Overall sentiment remains bearish (score: −0.26), particularly in the short-term (−0.48).
Key resistance cluster around 1.47 to 1.45, with multiple levels noted between 1.47 and 1.37.
Support appears near 1.36, based on their analysis.
Marketscreener (latest in July):
Short-term trend: Neutral; Mid-term trend: Bearish; Long-term trend: Neutral.
Short-term resistance: 1.3733, support: 1.3571.
Mid-term resistance: 1.3978, support: 1.3571.
Long-term resistance: 1.4524, support: 1.3490.
Interpretation: Bearish Zone “Coming Up”
The phrase “bearish zone comes up” likely refers to the pair approaching a key resistance area where bearish reversal pressure is increasing. Currently:
1.3720–1.3809 is a critical near-term range. A failure to break above 1.3809 may invite renewed downside toward 1.3538.
Medium-term resistance clusters between 1.37 and 1.40 are also zones where bearish setups may form.
Broader resistance around 1.45–1.47 remains the major structural ceiling, although this lies further out unless the bias shifts.
Strategy Considerations
Bearish setup: Wait for rejection near 1.38, ideally with confirmation (e.g. bearish candle, MACD crossover). A break below 1.3720 could accelerate retest of 1.3538.
Bullish invalidation: A sustained move above 1.3809 could negate the immediate bearish bias, opening targets back toward 1.3878 and beyond.