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US100 trade ideas

The #1 Trading Skill: Controlling Your RiskThe secret to trading isn’t winning every trade - it’s about managing risk. Risk management and trading. This is one of the most important topics if you’re serious about becoming a profitable trader. Risk management is the foundation of trading. If you don’t manage your risk you won’t make it. Simple as that. No one can predict whether the market will go up or down with 100% certainty. That’s why as traders we can never fully control how much profit we make. But we can control one thing. How much we lose. And that brings us to the first step in risk management. Understanding the power of the risk-reward ratio. When choosing a trading strategy that suits you one of the factors to consider is its risk-reward ratio. Every strategy has its own balance between risk and potential reward and understanding this is key. This is where we need to put our math brains to work. What is the risk-reward ratio? Simply put it tells us how much we stand to gain for every unit of risk we take. It’s a straightforward but powerful metric that helps determine whether a strategy can be profitable over time. Let’s break it down with a simple example: • If your strategy has a 1:1 risk-reward ratio it means that for every $100 you risk you aim to make $100 in profit. Win or lose the potential gain and loss are the same. • If your strategy has a 1:2 risk-reward ratio you risk losing $100, but if the trade goes your way you make $200. This means your potential reward is twice as big as your risk. • If your strategy has a 1:5 risk-reward ratio for every $100 you risk you have the chance to make $500. Here the possible reward is much greater than the risk you take. Your risk-reward ratio has a big impact on your overall profitability. But the risk-reward ratio alone doesn’t tell the full story. To know if a strategy is truly profitable you also need to consider another key factor: Win rate. Your win rate is the percentage of trades that end in profit. This is where math and probabilities come into play. • If your strategy has a 50% win rate it means that out of 10 trades 5 are winners and 5 are losers. • If your win rate is 40% 4 out of 10 trades will be profitable. The key to long-term success is finding the right balance between risk-reward and win rate. • If you have a 1:1 risk-reward ratio and a 40% win rate your strategy won’t be profitable. Over 10 trades you win 4 times and lose 6 times. Since you win and lose the same amount per trade your losses will be bigger than your gains in the long run. • But with a 1:5 risk-reward ratio and the same 40% win rate your strategy becomes profitable. That’s because your winning trades make far more than you lose on your losing trades. The takeaway? There’s no such thing as a right or wrong strategy only ones that are profitable or unprofitable. The key is to find a strategy that gives you a mathematical edge over time.
FPMARKETS:US100Education
by Kathrine_Sofie
US100 – Short Setup Near All-Time High US100 – Short Setup Near All-Time High Price is currently testing a critical resistance zone near the all-time high at 23,979. After rejecting from this level, I’ve identified a potential short opportunity with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Price testing ALL-TIME HIGH (23,979) and rejecting from resistance zone. 🔴 Entry: 23,798 – 23,805 🛑 SL: 23,880 🎯 TP1: 23,613 | TP2: 23,355 | TP3: 23,201 ⚡ Strong supply zone + rejection → high R:R setup (~1:5). ❌ Invalidation above 23,880. #US100 #NASDAQ100 #indices #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupplyDemand #ShortTrade
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by LForexUAE
NASDAQ - Bullish Flow into Highs Bias: Bullish HTF (4H Overview): From the bird’s-eye view, structure remains bullish. Liquidity is being targeted across the 30M–4H multi-timeframe play, with strong bullish intent confirmed by volume printing to the upside. LTF (30M / 5M Confirmation): A proper CHoCH has been established. Once the trend shift occurs, we wait for the pullback before attending longs. Entry Plan: Look for entry after the courtyard liquidity is collected and demand is mitigated (slash zone). Targets: Initial: 5M highs Extended: 30M highs, depending on market delivery. Mindset Note: Patience—let liquidity do its job before striking.
IG:NASDAQLong
by Juicemannn
US100 Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for US100 is below: The market is trading on 23633 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 23440 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AnabelSignals
2
QQQ Concentration RiskSince mid-2023, the gap has steadily widened - it doesn’t mean an immediate reversal, but it does mean QQQ is very top-heavy (the NDX/NDXE ratio tends to oscillate in bands; rather than, trend infinitely higher) Strong NDX vs weak NDXE suggests a fragile rally If mega-caps stumble, the whole index could pull back hard However, if breadth improves (NDXE starts outperforming), that would strengthen the rally base Current leadership concentration favors short-term bullish momentum (45%), but the rally is fragile, if mega-caps falter, the downside could open quickly (30%) 1. FAANG + NVDA/TSLA Leadership Persists Ratio keeps rising (NDX > NDXE) Leaders continue to attract flows (AI, cloud, semis). QQQ pushes to new highs with narrower breadth Rally vulnerable if just one or two leaders stumble (NVDA, AAPL, etc.) +5–10% upside near term if momentum holds 2. Pause & Rotation (25%) Ratio stalls near highs Equal-weight (NDXE) starts to catch up Breadth improves modestly, but QQQ as a whole chops sideways QQQ consolidates in a 5%–7% band 3. Breadth Divergence Resolves Lower (30%) Concentration risk unwinds Leaders mean-revert (profit-taking, earnings disappointments) NDX underperforms NDXE, ratio falls from highs QQQ could correct −10% or more The ratio at 2.88 is stretched relative to historical balance A “reasonable” medium-term range would be closer to 2.3–2.5 (15% to 25% on percentage scale) Implies QQQ pause/correction while NDXE holds steady or outperforms, or broadening participation (small/mid Nasdaq catching up)
NASDAQ:NDX
by pakoumal
NAS100 Bearish Reversal from Supply Zone – Short SetupThe NAS100 (1H chart) is trading within a channel structure marked by a rejection line (resistance) and a support line. Price recently broke below the EMA (70 & 200), showing bearish momentum. Supply Zone (POI): 23,524 – 23,637, where price may retest before further decline (potential short entry zone). Trend: Current momentum is bearish after rejection from channel resistance. Support/Target: Main downside target is 22,979 – 22,905, aligning with previous swing low and Fibonacci extension area. EMA Strategy: Price below both 70 & 200 EMA indicates bearish trend continuation. Structure Break: Breakdown of channel support suggests sellers are in control. 📌 Trading Plan: Entry (Sell Zone): 23,524 – 23,637 (POI Supply Zone) Stop Loss: Above 23,640 (channel resistance) Target: 22,979 – 22,905 Conclusion: Market is in bearish structure. Wait for pullback to supply zone for a high-probability short entry, targeting the lower support zone.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by MR_JOHN144
Nasdaq 100 Holds Pivot Zone 23,280–23,360USNAS100 – Overview The Nasdaq 100 reversed from the 23,045 support highlighted yesterday and is now trading above the pivot zone at 23,280–23,360. Technical Outlook: 📈 Bullish scenario: As long as price holds above 23,280–23,360, upside momentum may extend toward 23,510 → 23,620 → 23,720. A confirmed breakout above 23,770 would strengthen the bullish trend and open the path to a new ATH near 24,090. 📉 Bearish scenario: On the downside, failure to hold above 23,280 would expose 23,045, with full bearish confirmation only if the index stabilizes below 22,990, targeting 22,720. Key Levels: Resistance: 23,510 – 23,620 – 23,720 Support: 23,280 – 23,045 – 22,720
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq 100 (US100) – Short Opportunity Still AliveThe Nasdaq is still showing weakness at it's current level. There’s been more than enough time and news to push this market higher – but nothing happened. That, in itself, is a strong signal. What we’re seeing now: Weak jobs data: ADP and JOLTS both came in soft. Job openings hit the lowest level in nearly a year. That boosted rate-cut hopes – but the Nasdaq didn’t move. Tech underperformance: Broader markets found some strength, but tech keeps lagging behind. Nasdaq isn’t leading like it used to – that’s bearish. China IPO risks: New Nasdaq restrictions on Chinese listings are adding pressure to overall tech sentiment. No follow-through: Even with dovish expectations and weak macro, bulls can’t lift the index. That says a lot. Trade Setup (based on the chart): Entry: between 23,480 and 23,520 Stop Loss: above 23,600 or if not high leverage even 23,720 Targets: T1: 23,250 T2: 23,000 T3: will update depending on momentum Why this short still makes sense: The Nasdaq had multiple bullish triggers – weak data, Fed expectations, soft dollar – and didn’t move. Sentiment is shaky, buyers aren’t stepping in. Tech remains heavy while other sectors rotate. Price is stalling right at resistance after a weak bounce. Summary: Plenty of chances to break out – but nothing happened. That’s a red flag. I’m shorting between 23,480 and 23,520, with targets at 23,250 and 23,000. Setup is invalid if we break cleanly above 23,720. No financial advice – just how I see the chart right now.
SKILLING:US100Short
by Maxxchineee
NAS100 H4 | Heading into pullback resistanceNAS100 is rising towards the sell entry at 23,720.82, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside. Stop loss is at 23,927.51, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 23,097.53, which is a multi swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Short
by Tradu