Trade ideas
BIAS UPDATED: RECAP OF ORIGINAL BIASSOMETIMES WE GET IT WRONG:
This week was a clear indication of why I lean on IF-THEN forecasts (If price does this, then I do that):
- Study my notes in the chart to understand the change of bias and the change in the state of price delivery.
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The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
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USTECUSTEC price is in the resistance zone 25237-25264. If the price cannot break through the 25264 level, it is expected that the price will likely go down in the short term. Consider selling in the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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NO CLEAR BIAS: AWAITING PRICE ACTION SIGNALS TO DECIDESTUDY THE POINTS MADE ON THE H1 ALONGSIDE WHAT THE DAILY CHART INDICATES
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
US100 | Expansion Phase Alignment
The Market Flow | Oct 23, 2025
Technical Overview
• Price confirms a breakout above the active countertrend trigger (green).
• All observed timeframes are in bullish alignment — wave structure expanding higher.
• Immediate resistance lies near 25,175 , where the 100% Fibonacci projection aligns.
• Clearing this zone opens continuation toward higher Fibonacci extensions — 25,353 , 25,418 , 25,464 , and 25,583+ .
• Structural pivots remain supportive above 24,763 and 24,613.7 (daily pivot zone).
Trade Structure & Levels
• Bias: Long above 24,613.7
• Trigger = 25,095–25,143 breakout zone
• Primary Invalidation = 24,613.7 (daily pivot)
• Secondary Invalidation = 24,323.5 (H4 pivot)
• Targets → Fibonacci extensions: 25,353 → 25,418 → 25,464 → 25,583
• Phase: Expansion
Risk & Event Context
• Focus remains on U.S. macro data and yield repricing.
• Short-term volatility expected around key data prints; sustained closes above the trigger confirm momentum continuation.
Conclusion
The US100 shows multi-timeframe bullish alignment, initiating an expansion phase above the countertrend trigger. As long as price holds above the daily pivot at 24,613.7, the structure supports progressive upside toward the Fibonacci expansion cluster.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
USNASDEQ100 currently showing bearish momentumThe US NASDAQ 100 is currently showing bearish momentum after recent downside consolidation. The index remains under selling pressure following disappointing earnings reports particularly from Netflix — which dampened risk sentiment.
Additionally, reports suggesting that the Trump administration is considering new export restrictions on China involving U.S. software have further weighed on market confidence may price test the Around 25,000, where reactions could occur. If selling pressure continues, the next major support could be near 24,500.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Suppooritng.
NASDAQ 100 (US100) Technical Analysis
The Nasdaq is moving within a rising channel on the 2H timeframe, after sweeping liquidity from previous lows and rebounding from the FVG 2H demand zone.
The likely scenario is a continuation of the bullish move toward 25,960 – 26,000, aligning with the upper trendline and potential resistance area.
However, a failure to hold above 25,160 may trigger a corrective pullback toward 24,380 before any renewed bullish momentum.
📊 Fundamental Outlook:
The Nasdaq remains supported by stable U.S. bond yields and easing Fed tightening expectations, along with positive earnings from major tech firms.
However, slower growth in parts of the tech sector and upcoming inflation data could temporarily limit further upside momentum.
📅 Short-term Bias: Bullish
🎯 Upside Targets: 25,960 – 26,000
📉 Pullback Target: 24,380
⛔ Invalidation Level: Below 23,990
#US100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #EmaraCapital #Rami_Hajj_Bakour #Trading #Markets
NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧
Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄
If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter—
residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but—
🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Nasdaq Faces Bearish Correction Below 25,180 After Recent HighsUSNAS100 | Overview
The Nasdaq is showing signs of bearish correction after stabilizing below 25,180, suggesting a potential pullback toward 25,035.
A 1H close below 25,035 would confirm further downside toward 24,960 → 24,860.
On the other hand, stability above 25,035 would support renewed bullish momentum, especially if price breaks 25,230, opening the way toward 25,400 and potentially 25,550.
Pivot Line: 25,180
Support: 25,035 · 24,960 · 24,860
Resistance: 25,300 · 25,400 · 25,550
NASDAQ Short There is a lot of resistance, as it is at an all-time high and is unable to break this level
There are 2 patterns on M15 and M30 showing a potential reversal zone
This is against the H4 trend; however, it is overbought on H1
RSI is showing strong divergence with a triple top on H1
Stoploss above 21300
First target 24870 or when M15 is oversold
NASDAQ Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart on Nasdaq , We Have A Clear Breakout and the price closed above my old res and new support with daily candle and we have a very good bullish Price Action on 1 And 2 Hours T.F Also the price trying to retest the area now and giving a good bullish price action on smaller time frames , , So i see it`s a good chance to buy this pair when it back to retest the broken res and we can targeting from 100 to 200 pips . and if we have a daily closure again below my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
USNAS100 | Bearish Momentum After Tesla Earnings MissUSNAS100 | Bearish Momentum After Tesla Earnings Miss ⚠️
The index dropped sharply by 1.5% (~500 points), exactly as projected.
Currently, the bias remains bearish while trading below 24860, with the next downside targets at 24760 → 24510.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 24,860
Resistance: 24,960 · 25,035 · 25,200
Support: 24,760 · 24,510 · 24,350
Trading Plan:
Sell Setup: Shorts remain valid below 24,860, targeting 24,760 / 24,510 / 24,350.
Buy Setup: Longs active only above 24,860, with confirmation toward 25,035 / 25,200.
Premium Takeaway
USNAS100 maintains a bearish bias below 24,860, with room to extend toward 24,510–24,350.
Only a confirmed 1H close above 25,035 would shift momentum bullish, signaling recovery toward 25,200.
previous idea:
USNASDAQ100 Consolidation to downside correctionThe NASDAQ 100 started the week on solid ground, supported by gains in mega-cap stocks. However, investor sentiment remains cautious ahead of a wave of corporate earnings and a critical inflation report, both of which could determine the next major market move.
🔍 Outlook
If sellers maintain control, the USNAS100 could correct toward 25,300 initially. A break below this level would open the door toward the 24,550 support area. However, a rebound from 25,300 could trigger a short-term recovery — but the broader outlook remains bearish unless price regains ground above 26,000.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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