Trade ideas
ZB! H&S reversalThere are many indications that interest rates are reversing course, across the yield curve. It seems that the apetite for higher rates is finally saturated. We can conclude that from the fact that reverse relationship with equities is reestablished. So, if the rates go up, stocks go down, but as opposed to some weeks ago, now rates immediatelly go back down when stocks fall.
ZB! - trend changeLong bond futures have broken three downward sloping trendlines establishing higher lows, and at the same time are consolidating in a narrow range just above the purple SMA which kept lid on prices since mid March when the last leg down started. Note that three SMA's of different degrees are in bullish position, i.e. lower time frame SMA is above higher time frame SMA. Also note that RSI has been able to defend 50 level on recent pullback.
Expect acceleration to the upside, add to the position and become aggresive on the breakout of 142 level.
ZB - end of bear market?Stocks are selling off, and it looks like there's more to come. Interestingly, "flight to safety" was non-existant so far.
Market crash, and a recession that follows are profoundly deflationary events. Consequently, bonds should rally. And with agood reason: 3% guaranteed for 20+ years more and more looks like not such a bad proposition.
Moreover, it seems that market is crashing trying to find the point where interest rates would start coming down. And they will when FEAR, real FEAR emerges.
Trendline is broken, and ZB is coiling under the purple SMA with momentum divergence in place, picking up a nice bid in yesterday's sell off. If stocks really tank, and why wouldn't they after reaching historic valuations, and deflation returns.... interest rates at ZERO again?
T-BOND QUICK ANALYSIST BONDS Understandable monthly analysis for everyone , after /21\ years of uptrend now we have a decisive moment nobody can predict what's going to happen next.
as a professional trader, I see we have 3 probabilities either the market will break out, or the market will return uptrend, and either will be a trading range.
33,3% breakout.
33,3% return up.
33,3% trading range.
only GOD knows what is next






















