ZB1! trade ideas
U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Correction Potentially Complete
I decided to mark up this chart for entertainment purposes as I do with all other of my ideas.
Since I firmly believe that the markets are due for a major correction, Bond prices(less risky assets) should rise.
In my humble opinion..............
ZB Bonds Down TrendI will be looking for a false break reversal sell around NY session time to poke above the high a tad and continue in the down direction.
This market is in a downtrend and is making lower highs and lower lows.
I will expect a deeper pullback at some time to retest the 200sma again.
This of course depends on how it plays out tomorrow
ZB1! - Slippery Slope Of DeathThursday is the only day throughout the week that the bulls showed their strength. Overall Sentiment has been bearish throughout 2024 with things not looking to change anytime soon, especially if the long term highs @ 120.20 is not taken care of by the bulls.
116.21 daily liquidity void is where I have my eyes set to if we are to see yields continue it's bull run.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
ZB1! - Usually Correlation is Tight With Yields...After Monday's sell-off, bonds continued to trickle higher, running through the weekly highs @ 120.06 closing for the week @120.14.
Last week, I set out two bullish projections; 120.08 being T1 and 121.01 (now updated to 121.02) for T2. This weeks first target is 121.02 with a possibility for a continued bullish run up to the daily liquidity void starting from 122.11.
This bias goes hand in hand with yields continuing to sell-off, enticing short traders to continue to pile buy stops above recent highs increasing the likelihood for smart money to capitalise from.
Trading below Monday's bullish order block @119.06 will bring me back to the drawing board.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
ZB1! - Playing It Safe With LongsWith bonds 90%* of the time doing the opposite to yields, its safe to say the bond market has a higher possibility of continuing the rally up to weekly swing high/low equilibrium @ 120.08 with a stretch target of 121.02.
Playing safe this week and only aiming for low hanging fruits as the overall price action for the tickers I analyse does not give me all the signatures I need to spread my wings.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
ZB1! - Eat or Be EatenWith 7 daily bearish candles, how many people are currently betting a retracement will occur? That's the question I ask myself when I study recent and current price action.
118 is unfinished business for short sellers with 117 also in the cards if 118 does not show signs of respect.
This goes in line with my bullish bias for US10Y.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
ZB1! - Deprived Bonds There is usually a very tight correlation between the bonds market and the yields but what we have seen
especially on Friday is price action moving in tandem to each other.
Yields closed bearish whilst Bonds had a shift in market structure whilst closing bearish on the Friday which indicates something will give soon!
121.02 was my expectation for this weeks price action which was met but we have yet to retest 121.02 after running right through it.
120 would be a deep retracement but I would not rule that out of the cards for next week.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
ZB1! - 121 Premium Prices Coming W/ Lower Interest Rates?With Yields and bonds having a reverse correlation, I am expecting bonds to continue trading higher, targeting the 121.02 EQ range.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
ZB1! - Weekly Put Trust In Your BiasWith projected longs in the yields markets, I was anticipating a continue in the reverse correlated pair, bonds in which I wanted to see us run on daily sell stops, stretching for the 116.17, 50% equilibrium.
What we got was a sweep of daily buy stops with the possibility of a continuation up to the psychological number 120 which I would be awaiting a rip through the hourly liquidity gap @ 119.08 as that is considered thee last line of defence from the bears perspective
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
Treasury Bond Futures Triggers a Swing Long EntryThis chart of long term treasury bond futures indicates an impulsive move off of the October 2023 low. Since that impulse topped out in a first wave (or an A wave), price has retraced very nicely into the expected depth of correction guideline of the fourth wave of lessor degree. The correction unfolded as a double zigzag that met a the alternate wave guideline of equality as wave W is equal to the length of wave Y in price. With two guidelines met, probability dictates that the correction is complete and odds are that the next advance is underway.
ZB1! - Weekly When Will The Pain Subside?TVC:US10Y and CBOT:ZB1! are strong reverse correlation between each other and with last weeks price action proving to be mainly bearish, I do not believe the pain to the downside has ended...
With TVC:US10Y Thursday's daily bearish hammer forming @ the bullish order block created on Monday, we witnessed a bullish shooting star in CBOT:ZB1! , Thursdays candle which is the complete opposite.
I accept a relief rally up into the Mon 12th Feb 24 daily bearish order block with the market trading higher than 119.24, my idea will be negated.
I do suspect if the TVC:US10Y is to continue to the upside, CBOT:ZB1! will continue its decline with 116.17 in sight.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
ZB1! - Weekly Continued Selloff? #1Next in line is the T-Bond Futures market with the chances of this asset doing the complete opposite of US10Y 98% of the time.
Observing my bias, the biggest risk I face is the ZB1! repricing sharply next week to capitalise on the buy stops above all the short term and intermediate term highs up to 121.10.
Moreover, the overall sentiment on bonds is bearish than bullish throughout 2024 with more pain being felt if markets were to engineer price down to 119 (1st target) and 116 (2nd target), which will also be in line with bullish interest rates.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
Forex Factory - Volatility Dreams & NightmaresWe saw 6 high impact news released to the market yesterday and it gave me the volatility needed in order for deep liquidity pools to be tested, namely CME_MINI:ES1! daily bullish orderblock located @ 4976 since I was anticipating shorts yesterday to sellside levels.
Any day that has more than 3 high impact news releases, expect some form of volatility. If not, that day wouldn't be the ideal day to risk capital and would be best to sit on your hands.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
/ZB (US 30-Year Futures): Holding onto Trend, Targeting 1.618The 30-Year Bond seems to have found support at the 89 EMA aligning with a trend line, it seems that demand for this maturity will pick up soon which would result in the 30-year Yield dropping to around 3.5%. I do however think this drop in yields will be temporary, but the move down in 30 year yields and the move up in the 30-Year Bond Futures will likely be parabolic until the 1.618 resistance is reached.
50/50 Funds Had to Sell Stocks by the End of the MonthMany funds that hold 50 percent stocks and 50 percent bonds have to get their ratios back by the end of the month. With stocks outperforming bonds all month, funds held too much stock relative to bonds. They had to sell stock and buy bonds yesterday.