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US30 Breaks Above 45,000 After Fed Chair’s SpeechFollowing the Fed Chair’s comments at Jackson Hole, US30 surged higher, breaking through the 45,000.0 resistance zone with strong bullish momentum. Support at: 45,000.0 | 44,000.0 | 43,323.5 | 41,900.0 | 37,700.0 Resistance at: 46,000.0 (psychological round number above current charted levels) 🔎 Bias: Bullish: Sustained price action above 45,000.0 could open the door for a run toward 46,000.0. Bearish: If price fails to hold above 45,000.0, a retest of 44,000.0 may follow. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
SKILLING:US30
by SPOT_FX
US30 Long Opportunity US30 has been on a bullish tear recent and after the speech by Powell, the market has turned on the bullish momentum to the max. the market is currently on an impulse to the the upside and has created new highs. Price has broken the $45000 pivot level and continues to trade above the 21, 50 and 200 SMA and in the bullish region of the RSI, currently sitting in the overextended levels at 80. it is clear the market is in need of a deep retracement to collect liquidity and i will be target the $45000-$5250 zone for a potential zone opportunity. Waiting to see how price reacts to the level and will ride the wave pass the $445652 mark.
FX:US30Long
by Fides_Trading
US30 LongUS30: New ATH Prints – Waiting for Weekly Candle Retracement The US30 has surged to fresh all-time highs (ATH), closing last week with a strong bullish weekly momentum candle. This kind of aggressive move often sees follow-through, but smart money typically waits for a retracement to optimize entries. Plan & Levels: The area around $45,300 stands out as a potential buying zone, aligning with expected dollar weakness and a key Fibonacci retracement level of the prior weekly push. Traders will watch for price to pull back toward this zone and confirm entries using lower timeframe candlestick patterns and confluence with Fibonacci support. Technical Context: Momentum remains firmly bullish, with higher highs and strong breadth across industrial and tech components supporting the rally. A controlled retracement would provide fresh liquidity for continuation and could set the stage for another leg higher toward new records. Trading Plan: Wait for a retracement toward $45,300 to build a long position. Validate entries using Fibonacci levels and bullish reversal candles on 4H or lower charts. Maintain disciplined risk management, as overextended markets can show sharp pullbacks before continuation.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by IndependentTradingUniversity
US30 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & Daily Trading Strategy# US30 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & Daily Trading Strategy **Current Position**: 45,657.5 (Aug 23, 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) * 🎯 Executive Summary US30 positioned above critical 45,000 resistance turned support, showing bullish momentum with multiple theory convergence suggesting continuation toward 46,200-46,800 zone, with 70% upside probability. --- # 📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS *INTRADAY ANALYSIS (5M - 4H)** *5-Minute Timeframe Analysis** *# Candlestick Patterns *Current Formation**: Bullish flag consolidation after breakout *Key Patterns**: *Hammer/Doji near 45,600**: Bullish continuation signal *Shooting Star above 45,750**: Take profit/reversal warning *Volume Confirmation**: Required above 150% average for sustainability *# Technical Indicators *RSI(14)**: 58-62 (Bullish momentum zone) *VWAP**: 45,635 ± 25 (Dynamic support/resistance) *Bollinger Bands**: Upper band test at 45,720, expansion phase active *EMA(20)**: 45,610 (immediate dynamic support) *# Entry/Exit Signals *Long Entry**: Break above 45,680 with volume *Stop Loss**: Below 45,580 (100 point risk) *Target 1**: 45,780 (R:R 1:1) *Target 2**: 45,850 (R:R 1:1.7) *15-Minute Timeframe Analysis** *# Harmonic Patterns *Active Pattern**: Bullish ABCD completion at 45,200-45,250 *Butterfly Extension**: Target projection 46,200-46,400 *Fibonacci Confluence**: - 61.8% extension at 46,180 - 78.6% extension at 46,450 *# Wyckoff Analysis *Phase**: Markup phase after successful reaccumulation *Character of Movement**: Strong hands accumulating *Volume**: Increasing on advances (bullish confirmation) *Next Expected**: Continued markup to distribution zone *# Entry Strategy (15M) *Pullback Entry**: 45,580-45,620 support zone *Stop Loss**: Below 45,520 (60-100 point risk) *Target**: 45,820-45,900 *Risk/Reward**: 1:2.5 *30-Minute Timeframe Analysis** *# Elliott Wave Count *Primary Count**: Wave 5 of (3) in progress - Wave 1: 44,500 → 45,200 - Wave 2: 45,200 → 44,900 - Wave 3: 44,900 → 45,650 (current) - Wave 4 Expected: 45,400-45,500 - Wave 5 Target: 46,200-46,500 *# Alternative Count *Wave (3) Extension**: Current move as wave 3 of 5 *Target**: 46,800-47,200 *Invalidation**: Below 45,200 *# W.D. Gann Analysis *Square of 9**: - 45,600 = 214² ÷ 10 (current support) - 46,000 = 215² ÷ 10 (next major resistance) - 46,400 = 216² ÷ 10 (extended target) *Time Theory**: Next major turn window Aug 27-29 *Angle Theory**: 1x1 Gann line at 45,200 (major support) *1-Hour Timeframe Analysis** *# Ichimoku Kinko Hyo *Tenkan-sen (9)**: 45,640 (current support) *Kijun-sen (26)**: 45,480 (strong support) *Kumo Cloud**: 45,200-45,400 (support zone) *Chikou Span**: Clearly above price (bullish) *Future Cloud**: Bullish twist confirmed for next 26 periods *# Moving Averages Matrix *SMA(20)**: 45,520 *EMA(20)**: 45,580 *SMA(50)**: 45,320 *EMA(50)**: 45,410 *SMA(200)**: 44,800 *Golden Cross Status**: All short-term MAs above long-term (bullish) *# 1H Trading Setup *Bull Flag Pattern**: Breakout above 45,700 *Entry**: 45,720 with volume confirmation *Stop**: 45,550 (170 point risk) *Target 1**: 45,950 (R:R 1:1.35) *Target 2**: 46,200 (R:R 1:2.8) *4-Hour Timeframe Analysis** *# Advanced Pattern Recognition *Cup & Handle**: Handle formation in progress *Ascending Triangle**: Base at 45,000, apex at 45,750 *Volume Profile**: Point of Control at 45,400 *Key Levels**: *Major Support**: 45,000-45,200 *Minor Support**: 45,400-45,500 *Minor Resistance**: 45,750-45,800 *Major Resistance**: 46,000-46,200 *# 4H Swing Strategy *Pattern**: Bullish continuation after consolidation *Entry Zone**: 45,500-45,600 on pullbacks *Stop Loss**: Below 45,200 (300-400 point risk) *Target 1**: 46,200 (R:R 1:1.5) *Target 2**: 46,800 (R:R 1:3) *Target 3**: 47,200 (R:R 1:4) --- # 📈 SWING ANALYSIS (4H - Monthly) *Daily Timeframe** * Elliott Wave Structure *Supercycle**: Wave (V) from 2020 lows in progress *Cycle**: Wave 3 of (V) extension phase *Primary**: Wave (3) of 3 targeting 47,000-48,000 *Intermediate**: Currently in wave 5 of (3) * Long-term Wave Count *Wave (1)**: 18,591 → 29,568 (COVID recovery) *Wave (2)**: 29,568 → 24,681 (correction) *Wave (3)**: 24,681 → current (in progress) - Target: 50,000-52,000 (1.618 extension) * Wyckoff Daily Analysis *Phase**: Markup phase continuation *Accumulation**: Completed between 40,000-42,000 *Character**: Professional money leading *Distribution Signs**: None yet, markup continuing * Gann Daily Forecasting *Master Time Cycle**: 180-day cycle bullish through Q4 2025 *Price Squares**: - 46,225 = 215² (immediate target) - 47,524 = 218² (major target) - 48,841 = 221² (extended target) *Seasonal**: September-October historically strong for Dow *Weekly Timeframe** * Major Elliott Wave Structure *Grand Supercycle**: Wave (III) from 1932 lows *Supercycle**: Wave (V) of III in final stages *Cycle**: Wave 3 of (V) - strongest part of bull market * Weekly Harmonic Analysis *Shark Pattern**: Completion target 47,500-48,000 *Crab Pattern**: Deep retracement only if below 42,000 *ABCD Extensions**: 1.272 at 46,800, 1.618 at 48,200 * Weekly Gann Analysis *Annual Cycle**: Bullish through early 2026 *Master Numbers**: - 47,000 (major psychological and Gann level) - 48,000 (strong resistance zone) - 50,000 (major long-term target) *Monthly Timeframe** * Macro Structure Analysis *Primary Degree**: Wave (5) of V nearing completion *Long-term Target**: 52,000-55,000 (final wave target) *Timeline**: Peak expected 2026-2027 *Post-Peak Correction**: Potentially 30-40% decline * Monthly Indicators *RSI**: 65 (bullish but watch for divergence) *MACD**: Strong bullish momentum *Volume**: Confirming uptrend *Seasonal Pattern**: Q4 typically strong for Dow Jones --- # 📋 CRITICAL LEVELS & TARGETS *Immediate Levels (24-48 Hours)** * Resistance Zones *R1**: 45,750-45,800 (immediate) *R2**: 45,900-45,950 (minor) *R3**: 46,050-46,100 (significant) *R4**: 46,200-46,300 (major) * Support Zones *S1**: 45,550-45,600 (immediate) *S2**: 45,400-45,450 (minor) *S3**: 45,200-45,300 (significant) *S4**: 45,000-45,100 (major/psychological) *Short-term Targets (1-2 Weeks)** * Bullish Scenario (70% Probability) *Target 1**: 46,200-46,400 *Target 2**: 46,800-47,000 *Target 3**: 47,500-47,800 * Bearish Scenario (30% Probability) *Target 1**: 44,800-45,000 *Target 2**: 44,200-44,500 *Target 3**: 43,500-43,800 *Medium-term Projections (1-3 Months)** * Primary Uptrend Scenario *Phase 1**: 46,500-47,000 (September) *Phase 2**: 47,500-48,000 (October) *Phase 3**: 48,500-50,000 (November-December) * Correction Scenario *Pullback Target**: 42,000-43,500 *Duration**: 4-8 weeks *Recovery**: Q1 2026 new highs --- # 📅 DETAILED DAILY TRADING STRATEGIES *MONDAY, AUGUST 26, 2025** * Pre-Market Analysis *Gap Assessment**: Expected gap up 50-100 points *Key Level**: Hold above 45,600 for continuation *Volume Requirement**: >120% average for gap sustainability *Morning Session (9:30 AM - 12:00 PM EST)** *# Setup 1: Gap & Go Strategy *Condition**: Gap up >45,700 with volume *Entry**: First pullback to 45,650-45,680 *Stop Loss**: 45,580 (70-100 point risk) *Target 1**: 45,850 (R:R 1:1.7) *Target 2**: 45,950 (R:R 1:2.7) *# Setup 2: Breakout Play *Entry**: Break above 45,780 with volume >150% avg *Stop Loss**: 45,680 (100 point risk) *Target 1**: 45,920 (R:R 1:1.4) *Target 2**: 46,080 (R:R 1:3) *Afternoon Session (12:00 PM - 4:00 PM EST)** *# Setup 3: Flag Pattern Continuation *Setup**: Pullback to 45,620-45,650 support *Entry**: Bounce with volume confirmation *Stop**: 45,550 (70-100 point risk) *Target**: 45,850-45,920 * Risk Management - Monday *Max Position Size**: 2% account risk *Max Daily Loss**: 3% of account *News Watch**: Economic data releases, Fed officials --- *TUESDAY, AUGUST 27, 2025** * Market Context *Gann Time Window**: Major turn date potential *Technical Focus**: Momentum continuation vs. profit-taking *Volume Expected**: Above average *Trading Sessions** *# Setup 1: Trend Continuation *Bullish Follow-through**: If Monday closes >45,750 - Entry: Pullback to 45,700-45,730 - Stop: 45,620 (80-110 point risk) - Target 1: 45,920 (R:R 1:2) - Target 2: 46,150 (R:R 1:4) *# Setup 2: Reversal Recognition *Bearish Reversal**: If rejection from 46,000 area - Entry: Break below 45,650 - Stop: 45,750 (100 point risk) - Target 1: 45,450 (R:R 1:2) - Target 2: 45,250 (R:R 1:4) *# Setup 3: Range Trading *Consolidation Range**: 45,600-45,850 *Buy Zone**: 45,600-45,630 *Sell Zone**: 45,820-45,850 *Stops**: 50 points outside range --- *WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 28, 2025** * Market Dynamics *Mid-week Character**: Often consolidation day *Pattern Development**: Triangle/flag completion expected *Federal Reserve**: Watch for policy communications *Strategy Focus** *# Setup 1: Breakout Preparation *Consolidation Pattern**: Symmetrical triangle *Breakout Level**: Above 45,880 or below 45,550 *Volume Requirement**: >200% average for valid break *Target Distance**: Equal to triangle height (~300 points) *# Setup 2: Scalping Strategy *Timeframe**: 5-15 minutes *Range**: 45,650-45,750 *Entry Signals**: RSI oversold/overbought extremes *Targets**: 25-50 point moves *Stops**: Tight 20-30 points * Risk Parameters - Wednesday *Reduced Position Size**: Anticipating lower volatility *Tighter Stops**: Market likely range-bound *Multiple Small Trades**: Rather than swing positions --- *THURSDAY, AUGUST 29, 2025** * Technical Setup *Elliott Wave**: Potential wave completion *Harmonic Patterns**: Butterfly/Gartley completion zones *Volume Pattern**: Building for Friday breakout *Primary Strategies** *# Setup 1: Pre-Breakout Positioning *Accumulation Zone**: 45,600-45,700 *Distribution Zone**: 45,900-46,000 *Position Size**: Larger for Friday breakout *# Setup 2: Pattern Completion *Harmonic Entry**: 45,580-45,620 (Butterfly D point) *Stop Loss**: Below 45,500 *Targets**: 45,900, 46,200, 46,500 *High probability setup**: Multiple confirmations --- *FRIDAY, AUGUST 30, 2025** * Weekly Close Significance *Monthly Close**: Critical for long-term charts *Options Expiration**: Increased volume and volatility *Position Squaring**: Professional money adjusting *End-of-Week Strategies** *# Setup 1: Weekly Breakout *Above 45,900**: Bullish for next week - Target: 46,200-46,500 - Stop: 45,650 - Hold over weekend if strong close *# Setup 2: Weekly Reversal *Below 45,500**: Bearish warning - Target: 45,200-45,000 - Stop: 45,650 - Consider closing before weekend *# Setup 3: Month-End Positioning *Strong Close >45,800**: Monthly bullish signal *Weak Close <45,600**: Caution for September *Volume Analysis**: Key for validation --- # ⚠️ COMPREHENSIVE RISK MANAGEMENT *Position Sizing Framework** * Account Risk Models *Conservative**: 1% risk per trade *Moderate**: 2% risk per trade *Aggressive**: 3% risk per trade (maximum) * Dynamic Sizing Formula ``` Position Size = (Account Equity × Risk %) ÷ Stop Distance ``` * Volatility Adjustment *High Volatility Days**: Reduce position size by 25-50% *Low Volatility Days**: Standard position size *News Event Days**: Reduce or avoid new positions *Stop Loss Methodology** * Technical Stops *5M Chart**: Recent swing high/low + 20 points *15M Chart**: Support/resistance + 30 points *1H Chart**: Key levels + 50 points *4H Chart**: Major levels + 100 points * Time-Based Stops *Scalping**: Maximum 1-2 hours in trade *Day Trading**: Close all positions by 3:45 PM EST *Swing Trading**: Re-evaluate every 48 hours *Profit Taking Strategy** * Scaling Out Method *25% at Target 1**: Lock in profits early *50% at Target 2**: Secure majority of gains *25% at Target 3**: Let winners run * Trailing Stops *Initial**: 50% of original stop distance *Progressive**: Tighten as profits increase *Final**: Break-even + spread when possible --- # 📊 WEEKLY PERFORMANCE FRAMEWORK *Success Metrics** * Primary KPIs *Win Rate**: Target >60% *Risk/Reward Ratio**: Minimum 1:2 average *Maximum Drawdown**: Limit to 8% weekly *Profit Factor**: Target >1.5 *Sharpe Ratio**: Measure risk-adjusted returns * Trade Quality Assessment *A-Grade Trades**: All confirmations present (>80% win rate) *B-Grade Trades**: Most confirmations (60-70% win rate) *C-Grade Trades**: Few confirmations (40-50% win rate) *Avoid D-Grade**: Insufficient setup quality *Weekly Review Protocol** * Analysis Questions 1. **Setup Quality**: Were entry criteria consistently met? 2. **Risk Management**: Were stops appropriate for volatility? 3. **Market Context**: How did fundamental factors impact technicals? 4. **Execution**: Were entries and exits well-timed? 5. **Emotional State**: Did psychology affect trading decisions? * Continuous Improvement *Pattern Recognition**: Which setups worked best? *Market Conditions**: Optimal volatility ranges for strategies *Time of Day**: Most profitable trading hours *News Impact**: How events affected technical levels --- # 🚨 CRITICAL ALERTS & DECISION POINTS *Immediate Alerts (Next 24-48 Hours)** * Bullish Catalysts *Break above 45,800**: Accelerated move to 46,200 *Volume spike >200%**: Confirms breakout validity *Gap up >100 points**: Strong institutional interest * Bearish Warnings *Break below 45,400**: Correction deepening *Volume spike on decline**: Distribution signals *Multiple rejections at 46,000**: Resistance holding *Weekly Watchpoints** * Technical Invalidations *Elliott Wave**: Below 45,200 invalidates bullish count *Harmonic Patterns**: Failure at 45,580 negates butterfly *Wyckoff**: Below 45,000 suggests distribution * Confirmation Signals *Volume Surge**: Above average on advances *Breadth**: Individual Dow components participating *Sector Rotation**: Industrial strength supporting index *Monthly Considerations** * September Seasonality *Historical Tendency**: Weakest month for equities *Strategy Adjustment**: More conservative positioning *Hedging**: Consider protective puts if extended * Federal Reserve Impact *Policy Meetings**: September 17-18 FOMC *Economic Data**: Employment, inflation reports *Market Sensitivity**: Tech sector influence on Dow --- # 🎯 SCENARIO PLANNING *Base Case Scenario (70% Probability)** * Bullish Continuation *Next Week**: 46,200-46,500 target range *September**: Consolidation 45,500-47,000 *Q4 2025**: New highs 47,500-50,000 *Catalysts**: Strong earnings, Fed dovishness *Alternative Scenarios** * Correction Scenario (25% Probability) *Trigger**: Break below 45,000 with volume *Target**: 43,500-44,500 (Fibonacci support) *Duration**: 4-8 weeks *Recovery**: Q1 2026 resumption * Extended Rally (5% Probability) *Trigger**: Break above 47,000 with strong volume *Target**: 50,000-52,000 (Elliott Wave target) *Timeline**: Q4 2025 - Q1 2026 *Risk**: Overextension, sharp correction follows --- **⚡ EXECUTION SUMMARY**: US30 at 45,657.5 is positioned for continued upside with multiple technical confirmations. Key resistance at 45,800-46,000 must be cleared with volume for next leg higher. Strict risk management essential given elevated levels and potential for increased volatility. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya dot trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
US30 - Giant Break OutDear Friends in Trading, Keynote: As long as price remains above 45000, potential for more Bullish continuation remains high. Especially after yesterday's sentiment for September. Quality: It's a giant break-out candle. This candle has the potential to serve as all 4 functions going forward. I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight Thank you for taking the time study my analysis. PS: I really apologies for changing the format again. I am aiming to find the golden thread between my eyes for work, and simplified clarity for ideas. I will settle on a standard template soon.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by ANROC
2
Dow Jones: Will It Finally Break All-Time Highs?While SPX 500 and Nasdaq have already smashed their all-time highs, Dow Jones is still grinding toward its breakout. In this analysis, I’ll break down the current consolidation phase, key Fibonacci levels, and precise long triggers to watch. We’ll zoom into daily and lower time frames to find actionable entries, manage risk, and avoid FOMO. Clear, skeptical, and to the point. 🔮 Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps <3
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by SkepticLab
3
Dow Jones Bulls Preparing Another Robbery — Are You In?🚨💰 US30/DJ30 Index CFD Market Heist Plan 🏦🎭 🕵️ Dear Thief OG’s, Ladies & Gentlemen of the robbery squad… the vault is wide open again! This time we’re sneaking into the Dow Jones (US30) for a Bullish Day/Swing Heist. 🔥 🎯 Robbery Blueprint Asset: US30/DJ30 Index CFD (Day/Swing Trade) Plan: Bullish 📈 Entry (Thief Style): The thief never knocks once… we layer the doors! Multiple buy limit orders 🔐: Layer 1 → 45,600.0 Layer 2 → 45,400.0 Layer 3 → 45,200.0 (You can expand the layers depending on your risk appetite 🕳️) Stop Loss (SL) 🛑: 📍 Thief SL @ 44,600.0 (Adjust based on your own risk & startergy – remember, survival is key in every robbery 🏃💨) Target (TP) 🎯: 🚓 Police barricade spotted @47,000.0! Our sweet escape is planned at 46,800.0 before sirens catch us. 💰 🏆 Thief Strategy Multiple limit order entries (layering method / scaling in). Enter at any price level if you’re fast, but layering is the OG Thief move. Manage your SL & risk like a pro robber – no reckless moves, or you’ll end up behind market bars! 🚔 💡 Why This Heist? 💡 The US30/DJ30 is primed for a bullish run 📈, driven by real-time market signals: Technical Analysis: Strong support levels holding firm, momentum indicators screaming bullish! 📊 Fundamental Outlook: Check global market data, COT reports, and sentiment analysis for confirmation. 🔗👉 Volatility Watch: Stay sharp for news releases that could spike volatility. 📰⚠️ ⚠️ Thief’s Risk Management ⚠️ News Alert: Avoid new trades during major news drops to dodge wild price swings. 🚫 Position Management: Use trailing stops to lock in those sweet profits. 🔐 Risk Control: Adjust lot sizes and SL based on your layered entries and risk profile. 📉 🏆 Join the Heist! 🏆 💥 Hit the Boost Button 💥 to power up our Thief Trader crew! 🚀 Let’s make bank with ease using the Thief Trading Style! 💸😎 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, and let’s keep robbing the markets! 🤑🐱‍👤
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by The-Thief